Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Removing Lepanthes eltoroensis

Published date10 March 2020
Citation85 FR 13844
Record Number2020-04824
SectionProposed rules
CourtFish And Wildlife Service
Federal Register, Volume 85 Issue 47 (Tuesday, March 10, 2020)
[Federal Register Volume 85, Number 47 (Tuesday, March 10, 2020)]
                [Proposed Rules]
                [Pages 13844-13856]
                From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
                [FR Doc No: 2020-04824]
                [[Page 13844]]
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                DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
                Fish and Wildlife Service
                50 CFR Part 17
                [Docket No. FWS-R4-ES-2019-0073; FXES11130900000-189-FF0932000]
                RIN 1018-BB83
                Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Removing Lepanthes
                eltoroensis From the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened Plants
                AGENCY: Fish and Wildlife Service, Interior.
                ACTION: Proposed rule.
                -----------------------------------------------------------------------
                SUMMARY: We, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, propose to remove
                Lepanthes eltoroensis (no common name), an orchid species from Puerto
                Rico, from the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened Plants (List)
                (i.e., to ``delist'' the species), due to recovery. This proposed
                action is based on a thorough review of the best available scientific
                and commercial data, which indicates that the threats to the species
                have been eliminated or reduced to the point that the species no longer
                meets the definition of an endangered or threatened species under the
                Endangered Species Act of 1973, as amended (Act). We also announce the
                availability of a draft post-delisting monitoring (PDM) plan. We seek
                information, data, and comments from the public regarding this proposal
                and the draft PDM plan.
                DATES: We will accept comments received or postmarked on or before May
                11, 2020. Comments submitted electronically using the Federal
                eRulemaking Portal (see ADDRESSES, below) must be received by 11:59
                p.m. Eastern Time on the closing date. We must receive requests for a
                public hearing, in writing, at the address shown in FOR FURTHER
                INFORMATION CONTACT by April 24, 2020.
                ADDRESSES: Written comments: You may submit comments on this proposed
                rule and the draft PDM plan by one of the following methods:
                 (1) Electronically: Go to the Federal eRulemaking Portal: http://www.regulations.gov. In the Search box, enter FWS-R4-ES-2019-0073,
                which is the docket number for this rulemaking. Then, click on the
                Search button. On the resulting page, in the Search panel on the left
                side of the screen, under the Document Type heading, click on the
                Proposed Rule box to locate this document. You may submit a comment by
                clicking on ``Comment Now!''
                 (2) By hard copy: Submit by U.S. mail or hand-delivery to: Public
                Comments Processing, Attn: FWS-R4-ES-2019-0073, U.S. Fish and Wildlife
                Service, MS: JAO/1N, 5275 Leesburg Pike, Falls Church, VA 22041-3803.
                 We request that you send comments only by the methods described
                above. We will post all comments on http://www.regulations.gov. This
                generally means that we will post any personal information you provide
                us (see Public Comments, below, for more information).
                 Document availability: This proposed rule, the draft PDM plan, and
                supporting documents (including the species status assessment (SSA)
                report and references cited) are available at http://www.regulations.gov under Docket No. FWS-R4-ES-2019-0073 or at the
                Caribbean Ecological Services Field Office website at https://www.fws.gov/southeast/caribbean/.
                FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Edwin Mu[ntilde]iz, Field Supervisor,
                U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Caribbean Ecological Services Field
                Office. Physical address: Road 301, Km. 5.1, Boquer[oacute]n, Puerto
                Rico 00622. Mailing address: P.O. Box 49, Boquer[oacute]n, Puerto Rico
                00622. Telephone: (787) 851-7297. If you use a telecommunications
                device for the deaf (TDD), please call the Federal Relay Service at
                (800) 877- 8339 for TTY assistance 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.
                SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
                Information Requested
                Public Comments
                 We intend that any final action resulting from this proposed rule
                will be based on the best scientific and commercial data available and
                be as accurate and as effective as possible. The proposed rule serves
                as the notice of initiation and, if finalized, the final determination
                fulfills the requirements of a 5-year review. Therefore, we request
                comments or information from other concerned governmental agencies, the
                scientific community, industry, or any other interested parties
                concerning this proposed rule. Because we will consider all comments
                and information we receive during the comment period, our final
                determination may differ from this proposal. We particularly seek new
                information not already included in the species status assessment
                report concerning:
                 (1) Information concerning the biology and ecology of Lepanthes
                eltoroensis;
                 (2) New information on the historical and current status, range,
                distribution, and population size of L. eltoroensis;
                 (3) Relevant data concerning any threats (or lack thereof) to L.
                eltoroensis, particularly any data on the possible effects of climate
                to this orchid as it relates to habitat;
                 (4) The extent of protection and management that would be provided
                by the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico to L. eltoroensis as a delisted
                species;
                 (5) Current or planned activities within the geographic range of L.
                eltoroensis that may negatively impact or benefit the species;
                 (6) The draft PDM plan and the methods and approach detailed in it;
                and
                 (7) Other relevant information the public believes we have not
                considered.
                 Please include sufficient information with your submission (such as
                scientific journal articles or other publications) to allow us to
                verify any scientific or commercial information you include. All
                comments submitted electronically via http://www.regulations.gov will
                be presented on the website in their entirety as submitted. For
                comments submitted via hard copy, we will post your entire comment--
                including your personal identifying information--on http://www.regulations.gov. You may request at the top of your document that
                we withhold personal information such as your street address, phone
                number, or email address from public review; however, we cannot
                guarantee that we will be able to do so.
                 Comments and materials we receive, as well as supporting
                documentation we used in preparing this proposed rule, will be
                available for public inspection on http://www.regulations.gov, or by
                appointment, during normal business hours, at the U.S. Fish and
                Wildlife Service, Caribbean Ecological Services Field Office (see FOR
                FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
                 Please note that submissions merely stating support for, or
                opposition to, the action under consideration without providing
                supporting information, although noted, will not be considered in
                making a determination, as section 4(b)(1)(A) of the Act (16 U.S.C.
                1531 et seq.) directs that determinations as to whether any species is
                an endangered or threatened species must be made ``solely on the basis
                of the best scientific and commercial data available.''
                Public Hearing
                 Section 4(b)(5) of the Act provides for a public hearing on this
                proposal, if requested. Requests must be received within 45 days after
                the date of publication of this proposed rule in the Federal Register
                (see DATES). Such requests must be sent to the address shown in FOR
                FURTHER INFORMATION
                [[Page 13845]]
                CONTACT. We will schedule a public hearing on this proposal, if
                requested, and announce the date, time, and place of the hearing, as
                well as how to obtain reasonable accommodations, in the Federal
                Register and local newspapers at least 15 days before the hearing.
                Peer Review
                 In accordance with our joint policy on peer review published in the
                Federal Register on July 1, 1994 (59 FR 34270), and the Service's
                August 22, 2016, Director's Memo on the Peer Review Process, we sought
                the expert opinions of five appropriate and independent specialists
                regarding the species status assessment report for Lepanthes
                eltoroensis. These peer reviewers have expertise in L. eltoroensis or
                similar epiphytic orchid species' biology or habitat, or climate
                change. We received comments from one of the five peer reviewers. The
                purpose of peer review is to ensure that our decisions are based on
                scientifically sound data, assumptions, and analyses. The peer reviewer
                comments will be available along with other public comments in the
                docket for this proposed rule.
                Species Status Assessment Report
                 A team of Service biologists, in consultation with other species
                experts, prepared a species status assessment (SSA) report for
                Lepanthes eltoroensis. The SSA report represents a compilation of the
                best scientific and commercial data available concerning the status of
                the species, including the impacts of past, present, and future factors
                (both negative and beneficial) affecting the species. As stated above,
                we solicited independent peer review of the SSA report by five
                individuals with expertise in L. eltoroensis or similar epiphytic
                orchid species' biology or habitat, or climate change. The final SSA,
                which supports this proposed rule, was revised, as appropriate, in
                response to the comments and suggestions received from our peer
                reviewers. The SSA report and other materials relating to this proposal
                can be found on the Service's Southeast Region website at https://www.fws.gov/southeast/ and at http://www.regulations.gov under Docket
                No. FWS-R4-ES-2019-0073.
                Background
                Previous Federal Actions
                 Lepanthes eltorensis (no common name) was originally recommended
                for Federal listing by the Smithsonian Institution (Ayensu and
                DeFilipps 1978). In 1980, we included the species among the plants
                being considered as endangered or threatened by the Service (45 FR
                82480), and subsequently included it in the annual Candidate Notice of
                Review from 1983 through 1989, determining that listing L. eltorensis
                was warranted but precluded by other pending listing actions of a
                higher priority. We published a final rule in the Federal Register
                listing L. eltoroensis as an endangered species on November 29, 1991
                (56 FR 60933). On July 15, 1996, we published the L. eltoroensis
                Recovery Plan (USFWS 1996). We completed a 5-year status review on
                August 24, 2015 (USFWS 2015). Although the review did not recommend we
                reclassify or delist this orchid, it did indicate that the species was
                showing substantial improvement and a reduced level of threats.
                Species Information
                 A thorough review of the taxonomy, life history, and ecology of
                Lepanthes eltoroensis is presented in the SSA report (Service 2019,
                entire), which is available at http://www.regulations.gov under Docket
                No. FWS-R4-ES-2019-0073, and summarized in this proposed rule.
                Species Description
                 Lepanthes eltoroensis is a member of a large genus of more than 800
                orchid species. Approximately 118 species in this genus are from the
                Caribbean and all but one are single-island endemics (Stimson 1969, p.
                332; Barre and Feldmann 1991, p. 11; Tremblay and Ackerman 1993, p.
                339; Luer 2014, p. 260). This species is a small, epiphytic orchid
                about 1.57 inches (in.) (4 centimeters (cm)) tall and is distinguished
                from other members of the genus by its obovate to oblanceolate leaves,
                ciliate sepals, and the length of the inflorescence (Vivaldi et al.
                1981, p. 26; Luer 2014, p. 260). The inflorescence is a long (0.03 in.;
                0.75 millimeters (mm)), peduncled raceme (flower cluster with flowers
                on separate short stalks) with reddish flowers. No more than two
                flowers are produced at the same time, and the flowers are open on the
                inflorescence for about 10 days (Mel[eacute]ndez-Ackerman and Tremblay
                2017, p. 1).
                Life History
                 For purposes of the SSA, we considered Lepanthes eltoroensis to be
                a single metapopulation, the individual trees that host the L.
                eltoroensis plants as subpopulations, and the host tree aggregates as
                patches (USFWS 2019, p. 16). A number of characteristics (see below)
                suggest that a metapopulation approach may be appropriate to understand
                orchid population dynamics (see USFWS 2019, pp. 14-15) and epiphytic
                species (Snall et al. 2003, p. 567; Snall et al. 2004, p. 758; Snall et
                al. 2005, pp. 209-210), like L. eltoroensis. Metapopulations are
                defined as a set of subpopulations with independent local dynamics
                occupying discrete patches (Hanski 1999, entire; Hanski and Gaggiotti
                2004, pp. 3-22), so that simultaneous extinction of all subpopulations
                is unlikely.
                 Populations of Lepanthes orchids exhibit high variance in
                reproductive potential, high variance in mean reproductive lifespan
                (Tremblay 2000, pp. 264-265), and few adults per population (Tremblay
                1997a, p. 95). Less than 20 percent of individuals reproduce, and most
                subpopulations (60 percent of host trees) have fewer than 15
                individuals. In addition, the distribution of individuals (seedling,
                juvenile, and adults) varies enormously among trees and is skewed
                towards few individuals per tree (Tremblay and Velazquez-Castro 2009,
                p. 214). The lifespan of L. eltoroensis can reach 30 to 50 years
                (Tremblay 1996, pp. 88-89, 114). However, the mean is 5.2 years, with
                an average percent mortality of 10 percent per year, although this
                varies greatly among life stages. Survival increases as individual
                orchids reach later life stages, but fewer plants reach adulthood and
                have the opportunity to contribute offspring to the next generation
                (Tremblay 2000, p. 265; Rosa-Fuentes and Tremblay 2007, p. 207).
                Because distribution of the species is within a protected national
                forest, access to moss, dispersal ability, reproductive success, and
                lifespan influence survivorship more than other potential human-induced
                threats (Tremblay 2000, p. 265; Rosa-Fuentes and Tremblay 2007, p.
                207).
                 The reproductive success of Lepanthes eltoroensis subpopulations is
                highly sensitive to temporal variation in environmental conditions
                (Tremblay and Hutchings 2002, entire). Further, reproductive success of
                L. eltoroensis, as in most orchids, is pollinator-limited (Tremblay et
                al. 2005, p. 6). This obligate cross-pollinated species (Tremblay et
                al. 2006, p. 78) uses a deceptive pollination system, typically
                characterized by very few reproductive events (~ less than 20 percent
                chance; Tremblay et al. 2005, p. 12). Although we do not know the
                pollinator for L. eltoroensis, elsewhere fungus gnats visit Lepanthes
                orchids (Blanco and Barboza 2005, p. 765) and pollinate by
                pseudocopulation; therefore, it is likely fungus gnats are a pollinator
                for L. eltoroensis. Fungus gnats do not travel far--perhaps tens of
                meters or even a few hundred meters (Ackerman 2018)--limiting pollen
                dispersal for L.
                [[Page 13846]]
                eltoroensis. Most L. eltoroensis pollination occurs among individuals
                within a host tree, resulting in high inbreeding and low genetic
                variability (Tremblay and Ackerman 2001, pp. 55-58). The seeds of L.
                eltoroensis are wind-dispersed and require a mycorrhizal association
                for germination and survival until plants start photosynthesis
                (Tremblay and Ackerman 2001, p. 55; Tremblay 2008, p. 85).
                Distribution and Abundance
                 Lepanthes eltoroensis is endemic to El Yunque National Forest (El
                Yunque), Puerto Rico. It is restricted to one general area within the
                Sierra Palm, Palo Colorado, and dwarf forests of the El Toro and Trade
                Winds trails (USFWS 2015, p. 5) at elevations above 2,461 feet (750
                meters) (USFWS 1996, p. 2). At the time of listing, the species
                consisted of an estimated 140 individual plants. Since then, surveys
                have located additional individuals and subpopulations (groups of L.
                etoroensis on the same host tree) resulting in a much greater estimate
                of individuals than at the time of listing. Surveys for L. eltoroensis
                have been infrequent, sparse, and done with varying spatial spread and
                methodology, making the results difficult to compare over time (USFWS
                2019, pp. 34-52). However, partial surveys conducted periodically from
                2000 to 2018 have found greater numbers of L. eltoroensis (USFWS 2019,
                pp. 49-50). In addition, surveys conducted between 2000 and 2005
                indicated the subpopulations surveyed along El Toro Trail and Trade
                Winds Trail were relatively stable over the 5-year period (USFWS 2019,
                p. 39). The best available metapopulation estimate is 3,000 individual
                plants (Tremblay 2008, p. 90; USFWS 2015, p. 5). Overall, data
                collected for the SSA did not indicate a general pattern of population
                decline, but rather natural fluctuations (USFWS 2019, p. 52).
                 The metapopulation estimate was made prior to Category 5 Hurricane
                Maria making landfall on Puerto Rico in 2017. A post-hurricane partial
                survey along the El Toro Trail was completed in 2018, and found 641
                total plants, including over 300 that had not been previously
                identified (Mel[eacute]ndez-Ackerman 2018, pers. comm.). We note that
                this was only a partial survey; there has never been a complete census
                of the entire metapopulation because most of the areas off the two main
                trails (El Toro and Trade Winds) are dangerous and inaccessible.
                However, the forest types Lepanthes eltoroensis is most affiliated
                with--Palo Colorado, Sierra Palm, and Dwarf Forest--cover over 13,000
                acres (ha) within the El Yunque (USFWS 2019, p. 8). Given the amount of
                unreachable habitat that has not been surveyed, all estimates are
                likely to underestimate the true abundance of the species (USFWS 2019,
                p. 50). Surveys of habitat outside traditional population sites (on or
                just off trails) could result in discovery of additional plants
                (Tremblay 2008, p. 90; USFWS 2019, pp. 18, 50, 73). In addition, since
                the time of listing, the species has faced multiple strong hurricanes
                (Hugo, Georges, Hortense, Irma, and Maria), and we currently know of
                more individuals than at the time of listing, indicating the species'
                abundance has remained stable (with all age classes represented and in
                good health) despite such events, and the species has the ability to
                recover from stochastic disturbances (USFWS 2019, pp. 51-52).
                Therefore, although the species and its habitat were harmed by the
                recent hurricanes (namely Maria), the previous estimate of 3,000
                individual plants is still our best estimate.
                Habitat
                 Lepanthes eltoroensis occurs on moss-covered trunks (i.e., host
                trees) within upper elevation cloud forests in the Sierra Palm, Palo
                Colorado, and Dwarf Forest associations of El Yunque (Luer 2014, p.
                260; Ewel and Whitmore 1973, pp. 41-49), where humidity ranges from 90
                to 100 percent, and cloud cover is continuous, particularly during the
                evening hours (55 FR 41248; October 10, 1990). Important habitat
                components seem to be elevation, adequate temperature and moisture
                regimes, open/semi-open gaps in the canopy, and presence of moss.
                Regulatory and Analytical Framework
                Regulatory Framework
                 Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533) and its implementing
                regulations (50 CFR part 424) set forth the procedures for determining
                whether a species is an ``endangered species'' or a ``threatened
                species.'' The Act defines an endangered species as a species that is
                ``in danger of extinction throughout all or a significant portion of
                its range,'' and a threatened species as a species that is ``likely to
                become an endangered species within the foreseeable future throughout
                all or a significant portion of its range.'' The Act requires that we
                determine whether any species is an ``endangered species'' or a
                ``threatened species'' because of any of the following factors:
                 (A) The present or threatened destruction, modification, or
                curtailment of its habitat or range;
                 (B) Overutilization for commercial, recreational, scientific, or
                educational purposes;
                 (C) Disease or predation;
                 (D) The inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms; or
                 (E) Other natural or manmade factors affecting its continued
                existence.
                 These factors represent broad categories of natural or human-caused
                actions or conditions that could have an effect on a species' continued
                existence. In evaluating these actions and conditions, we look for
                those that may have a negative effect on individuals of the species, as
                well as other actions or conditions that may ameliorate any negative
                effects or may have positive effects.
                 We use the term ``threat'' to refer in general to actions or
                conditions that are known to or are reasonably likely to negatively
                affect individuals of a species. The term ``threat'' includes actions
                or conditions that have a direct impact on individuals (direct
                impacts), as well as those that affect individuals through alteration
                of their habitat or required resources (stressors). The term ``threat''
                may encompass--either together or separately--the source of the action
                or condition or the action or condition itself.
                 However, the mere identification of any threat(s) does not
                necessarily mean that the species meets the statutory definition of an
                ``endangered species'' or a ``threatened species.'' In determining
                whether a species meets either definition, we must evaluate all
                identified threats by considering the expected response by the species,
                and the effects of the threats--in light of those actions and
                conditions that will ameliorate the threats--on an individual,
                population, and species level. We evaluate each threat and its expected
                effects on the species, then analyze the cumulative effect of all of
                the threats on the species as a whole. We also consider the cumulative
                effect of the threats in light of those actions and conditions that
                will have positive effects on the species--such as any existing
                regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts. The Secretary determines
                whether the species meets the definition of an ``endangered species''
                or a ``threatened species'' only after conducting this cumulative
                analysis and describing the expected effect on the species now and in
                the foreseeable future.
                 The Act does not define the term ``foreseeable future,'' which
                appears in the statutory definition of ``threatened species.'' Our
                implementing regulations at 50 CFR 424.11(d) set forth a framework for
                evaluating the foreseeable
                [[Page 13847]]
                future on a case-by-case basis. The term foreseeable future extends
                only so far into the future as the Services can reasonably determine
                that both the future threats and the species' responses to those
                threats are likely. In other words, the foreseeable future is the
                period of time in which we can make reliable predictions. ``Reliable''
                does not mean ``certain''; it means sufficient to provide a reasonable
                degree of confidence in the prediction. Thus, a prediction is reliable
                if it is reasonable to depend on it when making decisions.
                 It is not always possible or necessary to define foreseeable future
                as a particular number of years. Analysis of the foreseeable future
                uses the best scientific and commercial data available and should
                consider the timeframes applicable to the relevant threats and to the
                species' likely responses to those threats in view of its life-history
                characteristics. Data that are typically relevant to assessing the
                species' biological response include species-specific factors such as
                lifespan, reproductive rates or productivity, certain behaviors, and
                other demographic factors.
                Analytical Framework
                 We completed a comprehensive assessment of the biological status of
                Lepanthes eltoroensis and prepared a report of the assessment (SSA
                report), which provides a thorough account of the species' overall
                viability using conservation biology principles of resiliency,
                redundancy, and representation (collectively, the ``3Rs''). We define
                viability here as the ability of the species to persist over the long
                term and, conversely, to avoid extinction. We have used the SSA
                report's assessment of L. eltoroensis' current and potential future
                conditions, based on the factors influencing the species and framed in
                the context of the 3Rs, to inform our understanding of risk to the
                species and our determination whether L. eltoroensis continues to meet
                the definition of an endangered species, whether it meets the
                definition of a threatened species, or whether it does not meet the
                definition of either an endangered species or a threatened species (see
                Determination, below). In this discussion, we summarize the conclusions
                of that assessment, which can be accessed at http://www.regulations.gov
                under Docket No. FWS-R4-ES-2019-0073.
                 Lepanthes eltoroensis was listed as an endangered species in 1991,
                due to its rarity (Factor E), its restricted distribution (Factor E),
                forest management practices (Factor A), impacts from hurricane damage
                (Factor E), and collection (Factor B) (56 FR 60933, November 29, 1991,
                p. 56 FR 60935). The most important factor affecting L. eltoroensis at
                that time was its limited distribution. Additionally, its rarity made
                the species vulnerable to impacts from hurricanes, such as unfavorable
                microclimatic conditions resulting from numerous canopy gaps. Because
                so few individuals were known to occur, the risk of extinction was
                considered to be extremely high (56 FR 60933, November 29, 1991, p. 56
                FR 60935).
                Summary of Biological Status and Threats
                 In this section, we review the biological condition of the species
                and its resources, and the influence to assess the species' overall
                viability and the risks to that viability.
                Risk Factors for Lepanthes eltoroensis
                Forest Management Practices
                 At the time of listing (1991), El Yunque management practices such
                as establishment and maintenance of plantations, selective cutting,
                trail maintenance, and shelter construction were considered threats to
                Lepanthes eltoroensis (56 FR 60933, November 29, 1991, p. 56 FR 60935).
                The Recovery Plan further indicated that destruction and modification
                of habitat might be the most significant factors affecting the number
                of individuals and distribution of the species (USFWS 1996, p. 5).
                 Since the species was listed, several laws have been enacted that
                provide protections to this species. In 1999, Commonwealth Law No. 241
                (New Wildlife Law of Puerto Rico or Nueva Ley de Vida Silvestre de
                Puerto Rico) was enacted to protect, conserve, and enhance native and
                migratory wildlife species. This law requires authorization from the
                Puerto Rico Department of Natural and Environmental Resources (PRDNER)
                Secretary for any action that may affect the habitat of any species.
                Furthermore, part of El Yunque (including the habitat where Lepanthes
                eltoroensis is currently known to occur) was congressionally designated
                as the El Toro Wilderness in 2005, to preserve its natural conditions,
                including species like L. eltoroensis, inhabiting the area (Caribbean
                National Forest Act of 2005 (Pub. L. 109-118); the Wilderness Act (16
                U.S.C. 1131 et seq.); U.S. Forest Service (USFS) 2016, p. 32). The El
                Toro Wilderness consists of undeveloped USFS lands and is managed to
                preserve its natural conditions without any permanent improvements or
                human habitation (USFS 2016, p. 32). All known populations of L.
                eltoroensis occur within this wilderness area.
                 Scientists who have conducted research on Lepanthes eltoroensis do
                not consider destruction, curtailment, or modification of this species'
                habitat to be a factor threatening this species (Ackerman 2007, pers.
                comm.). In 2019, the USFS finalized a revised land and resources
                management plan to guide the general direction of El Yunque for the
                next 15 years. This plan specifically includes a set of standards and
                guidelines to protect the natural resources within the El Toro
                Wilderness, including listed species. Standards specific to the El Toro
                Wilderness include no salvaging of timber, no issuing permits for
                collection of plants or plant material unless for a scientific purpose,
                no new special-use permits for facilities or occupancy, managing
                recreation to minimize the number of people on the trails, and no
                construction of new trails (USFS 2019, pp. 1, 32-35). Standards and
                guidelines for at-risk (including listed) species detailed in the plan
                include not allowing collection of orchids unless approved for
                scientific purposes and making sure forest management activities are
                consistent with recovery plans (USFS 2019, p. 62). Implementation of
                management practices in El Yunque has also improved; there is no
                selective cutting, and maintenance is minimal as both El Toro and Trade
                Winds trails receive few visitors. Mostly researchers and forest
                personnel use El Toro and Trade Winds trails; therefore, few human
                encounters are expected (USFS 2016, p. 32). Additionally, the USFS
                coordinates with the Service to avoid or minimize impacts to a number
                of other federally listed species (e.g., Elfin-woods warbler, Ilex
                sintenisii) that co-occur within the same areas a L. eltoroensis as
                part of their management practices in accordance with section 7 of the
                Act.
                 There is no evidence suggesting current forest management practices
                are negatively affecting the species or its specialized habitat
                (adequate temperature and moisture regimes, and presence of moss)
                (USFWS 2019, p. 24). Furthermore, based on existing laws, we expect El
                Yunque will remain permanently protected as a nature reserve and be
                managed for conservation. Therefore, we no longer consider forest
                management practices or destruction and modification of habitat to be
                threats to the species.
                Hurricanes
                 The extremely restricted distribution of Lepanthes eltoroensis
                makes it particularly vulnerable to large-scale
                [[Page 13848]]
                disturbances, such as hurricanes and tropical storms, which frequently
                affect islands of the Caribbean (NOAA 2018, unpaginated). Due to its
                geographic location, hurricanes are more frequent in the northeastern
                quadrant of Puerto Rico, where El Yunque is located (White et al. 2014,
                p. 30). Current global climate models are rather poor in simulating
                tropical cyclones; however, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
                Change's climate simulations suggest that the Caribbean will experience
                a decrease in tropical cyclone frequency, but an increase in the
                frequency of the most intense events (PRCC 2013, p. 10; USFWS 2019, p.
                56).
                 Cloud forests, where this species occurs, are much taller than
                other vegetation and are higher in elevation, making them more exposed
                and more easily affected by high winds and in need of more time to
                recover post-disturbance (Hu and Smith 2018, p. 827). Heavy rains and
                winds associated with tropical storms and hurricanes cause tree
                defoliation, habitat modification due to falling of trees, and
                landslides (Lugo 2008, p. 368). Surveys conducted along El Toro Trail
                following Hurricane Maria in 2018 focused on assessing the impacts to
                the species and its host trees (subpopulations). Nineteen host trees
                were not found and assumed to be lost due to the hurricane. An
                additional nine host trees were found knocked down. In total, 641
                plants, including seedlings, juveniles, and reproductive and non-
                reproductive adults, were found; 322 were found on previously marked
                host trees (including 191 individuals on those host trees that were
                knocked to the ground), and 319 were new individuals not previously
                surveyed (Melendez-Ackerman 2018, pers. comm.). Given that Lepanthes
                eltoroensis does not persist on felled or dead trees (Ben[iacute]tez
                and Tremblay 2003, pp. 67-69), we assume many of these 191 individuals
                (approximately 30 percent of individuals found) will not survive,
                resulting in the loss of those individuals from the metapopulation.
                However, based on previous efforts, we know individual plants can be
                moved to new host trees and do quite well, highlighting the feasibility
                of relocation to increase the species' long-term viability in the
                context of severe hurricanes such as Hurricane Maria. University of
                Puerto Rico researchers translocated some of these 191 individuals, but
                because the translocations occurred months after the hurricane, we do
                not expect survival to be as high as if it had occurred immediately
                after the hurricane. Furthermore, this species has persisted from past
                hurricane events without active management of translocating species
                from felled host trees.
                 In addition, associated microclimate changes resulting from downed
                trees and landslides after severe storms (e.g., increased light
                exposure, reduction in relative humidity) may negatively affect the
                growth rate of Lepanthes eltoroensis populations (Tremblay 2008, pp.
                89-90). Following Hurricane Georges in 1998, non-transplanted
                populations of L. eltoroensis had negative growth rates, while groups
                of plants that were transplanted to better habitats within the forest
                had positive growth rates (Benitez-Joubert and Tremblay 2003, pp. 67-
                69). Furthermore, based on data on related species, L. eltoroensis
                growth rates may be negatively affected by excess light from gaps
                caused by felled trees during hurricanes (Fernandez et al. 2003, p.
                76).
                 The inherently low redundancy (the ability of a species to
                withstand catastrophic events) of Lepanthes eltoroensis due to its
                limited range makes hurricanes and tropical storms a primary risk
                factor. However, given the observed stable trend from past surveys and
                recent partial surveys in 2018 (USFWS 2019, pp. 39, 45-48), it appears
                that the species has the ability to recover from normal stochastic
                disturbances (USFWS 2019, pp. 51-52). Additionally, relocation has
                proven to be a viable conservation strategy for this species
                (Ben[iacute]tez and Tremblay 2003, pp. 67-69). Relocating plants from
                fallen trees to standing trees following hurricane events results in
                higher survival of those transplanted individuals. This management
                strategy can improve and maximize species' survival and reproductive
                success after hurricane events (Ben[iacute]tez and Tremblay 2003, pp.
                67-69; Tremblay 2008, pp. 83-90). Following this recommendation, after
                Hurricane Maria, researchers from the University of Puerto Rico
                translocated some L. eltoroensis individuals along the El Toro trail.
                These individuals are currently being monitored to assess survival. In
                addition, since L. elotoroensis is part of the USDA Forest Service's
                ``Plant Species of Conservation Interest of El Yunque'' (USFS 2018, p.
                37) and is included in the 2016 revised Land and Resource Management
                Plan that details a management concept focused on conservation,
                particularly to protect unique ecological resources (USFS 2016, p.1),
                the USFS will continue to implement conservation actions, such as
                habitat protection, enhancement, and relocation of L. eltoroensis
                individuals following hurricanes as deemed necessary.
                Collection
                 Collection for commercial or recreational purposes eliminated one
                population of Lepanthes eltoroensis prior to listing under the Act (56
                FR 60933; November 29, 1991). The rarity of the species made the loss
                of even a few individuals a critical loss to the species as a whole.
                 The USFS regulations in title 36 of the Code of Federal Regulations
                at part 261, section 261.9 (36 CFR 261.9) prohibit collection of listed
                plant species in wilderness areas. Additionally, since the species was
                listed under the Act in 1991, other laws have been enacted that provide
                protections to the species from collection or removal. Commonwealth Law
                No. 241 (New Wildlife Law of Puerto Rico or Nueva Ley de Vida Silvestre
                de Puerto Rico), enacted in 1999, protects, conserves, and enhances
                native and migratory wildlife species. Specifically, Article 5 of this
                law prohibits collection and hunting of wildlife species, including
                plants within the jurisdiction of Puerto Rico without a permit from the
                PRDNER Secretary. In 2004, Lepanthes eltoroensis was included in the
                list of protected species of Regulation 6766 (Reglamento 6766 para
                Regir el Manejo de las Especies Vulnerables y en Peligro de
                Extinci[oacute]n en el Estado Libre Asociado de Puerto Rico), which
                governs the management of endangered and threatened species within the
                Commonwealth of Puerto Rico. Article 2.06 of this regulation prohibits
                collecting, cutting, and removing, among other activities, listed plant
                individuals within the jurisdiction of Puerto Rico. L. eltoroensis will
                likely remain protected under Commonwealth laws and regulations even
                after it is delisted from the ESA. Commonwealth Regulation 6766
                provides protection to species that are not federally listed or that
                have been removed from the ESA, and the species will remain protected
                under the Wilderness provisions from the 2016 revised Land and Resource
                Management Plan for El Yunque (USFS 2016, entire). According to this
                plan, any influences by humans on the natural process that take place
                in the wilderness area will be to protect threatened and endangered
                species in addition to human life (USFS 2016, p. 33). As such, the
                standards of the plan include conducting wildlife and plant habitat/
                population surveys and monitoring in a manner compatible with the goals
                and objectives of wilderness (USFS 2016, p. 34). Additional protection
                measures include not issuing forest product permits for collection of
                plants or plant material in wilderness areas (unless for scientific and
                [[Page 13849]]
                educational purposes and approved by the forest biologist/ecologist),
                and management strategies to design, construct, and maintain trails to
                the appropriate trail standard in order to meet wilderness standards
                protections (USFS 2016, p. 34).
                 Despite the one documented instance of collection, the threat of
                collection is low, given that few people venture into the El Toro
                Wilderness (Tremblay 2007, pers. comm.) and that the small size (less
                than 2 in. (4 cm) tall) and inconspicuousness of this species makes it
                easy to overlook (Ackerman 2007, pers. comm.; Tremblay 2007, pers.
                comm.). Additionally, this species is not used for commercial or
                recreational purposes and is not considered to have ornamental value
                (USFWS 2015, p. 8). Thus, there is no evidence that collection is
                currently impacting Lepanthes eltoroensis (USFWS 2019, p. 24) or likely
                to do so in the future.
                Small Population Size and Low Reproduction
                 The smaller the population, the greater the probability that
                fluctuations in population size from stochastic variation (e.g.,
                reproduction and mortality) will lead to extirpation. There are also
                genetic concerns with small populations, including reduced availability
                of compatible mates, genetic drift, and inbreeding depression. Small
                subpopulations of Lepanthes eltoroensis are particularly vulnerable to
                stochastic events, thus contributing to lower species' viability (USFWS
                2019, p. 24).
                 Lepanthes eltoroensis may experience declining growth related to
                the distribution of individuals among host trees and demographic
                processes (e.g., reproductive success, survival), which can be
                negatively influenced by environmental and catastrophic risks (USFWS
                2019, p. 25). Fruit production is limited; therefore, opportunities for
                establishment are limited. Less than 20 percent of individuals
                reproduce, and most subpopulations (60 percent of host trees) have
                fewer than 15 individuals. In addition, the distribution of individuals
                (seedling, juvenile, and adults) varies enormously among trees and is
                skewed towards few individuals per tree (Tremblay and Velazquez-Castro
                2009, p. 214). Despite small subpopulations of L. eltoroensis with
                limited distribution and naturally limited fruit production, this
                species has continued to persist even after regular exposure to
                disturbances. In addition, we now estimate the species population to be
                3,000 individuals, which is a significant increase from the 140
                individuals known at the time of listing. Therefore, the species'
                vulnerability to extinction is reduced.
                Genetic Risks
                 The main genetic risk factor for the species is low genetic
                variability. The effective population size (number of individuals in a
                population who contribute offspring to the next generation) ranges from
                3 to 9 percent of the standing population (number of individuals in a
                population) (Tremblay and Ackerman 2001, entire). In other words, for
                every 100 adults, maybe 9 will transfer genes to the next generation.
                In addition, although Lepanthes eltoroensis can survive for up to 50
                years, most seedlings and juveniles die (Tremblay 2000, p. 264).
                Therefore, very few individuals are responsible for the majority of
                seed production, decreasing the genetic diversity as a whole in
                subpopulations (Mel[eacute]ndez-Ackerman and Tremblay 2017, pp. 5-6).
                 There is evidence for low gene flow in the species. Estimated gene
                flow in Lepanthes eltoroensis is less than two effective migrants per
                generation (the effective generation of the orchid) (Tremblay and
                Ackerman 2001, p. 54). This implies that most mating is among
                individuals within a host tree, potentially resulting in high
                inbreeding, low genetic variability, and inbreeding depression
                (Tremblay and Ackerman 2001, pp. 55-58). Low genetic diversity may be
                reflected in reduced genetic and environmental plasticity, and thus,
                low ability to adapt to environmental changes. If there are high rates
                of inbreeding, this could lead to inbreeding depression, and could have
                profound long-term negative impacts to the viability of the species
                (USFWS 2019, pp. 28-29). However, the species is likely an obligate
                cross-pollinated species (Tremblay et al. 2006, p. 78), which is a
                mechanism to reduce inbreeding. Additionally, this species has
                demonstrated the ability to adapt to changing environmental conditions
                (i.e., natural disturbances) over time (USFWS 2019, p. 54).
                Effects of Climate Change
                 The average temperatures at El Yunque have increased over the past
                30 years (Jennings et al. 2014, p. 4; Khalyani et al. 2016, p. 277).
                Climate projections indicate a 4.6 to 9 degrees Celsius ([deg]C) (8.2
                to 16.2 degrees Fahrenheit ([deg]F)) temperature increase for Puerto
                Rico from 1960-2099 (Khalyani et al. 2016, p. 275). Additionally,
                projections indicate a decrease in precipitation and acceleration of
                the hydrological cycles resulting in wet and dry extremes (Jennings et
                al. 2014, p. 4; Cashman et al. 2010, pp. 52-54). In one downscaled
                model, precipitation is projected to decrease faster in wetter regions
                like the Luquillo Mountains, where El Yunque is located, and the
                central mountains of Puerto Rico (Khalyani et al. 2016, p. 274). In
                contrast, ongoing research suggests higher elevations may have a
                buffering effect on declining trends in precipitation (Bowden 2018,
                pers. comm.; USFWS 2019, pp.65-66). Downscaled modeling for Puerto Rico
                was based on three Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change global
                emissions scenarios from the CMIP3 data set: mid-high (A2), mid-low
                (A1B), and low (B2) (Khalyani et al. 2016, p. 267). Under all of these
                scenarios, emissions increase, precipitation declines, temperature and
                total dry days increase, and subtropical rain and wet forests are lost,
                while all wet and moist forest types decrease in Puerto Rico; the
                differences in the scenarios depends on the extent of these changes and
                the timing of when they are predicted to occur (USFWS 2019, p.67).
                 The most important potential risk to Lepanthes eltoroensis is the
                projected shift of the life zones of Puerto Rico from humid to drier.
                This includes changes in relative area and distribution pattern of the
                life zones, and the disappearance of humid life zones (Khalyani et al.
                2016, p. 275). Decreased rainfall in northeastern Puerto Rico (i.e., El
                Yunque) can cause migration, distribution changes, and potential
                extirpation of many species that depend on the unique environmental
                conditions of the rain forest (Weaver and Gould 2013, p. 62). These
                projections may have direct implications for L. eltoroensis because the
                acreage of the lower montane wet forest life zone it occupies could
                decrease, resulting in less habitat available for the species.
                Epiphytes like L. eltoroensis could experience moisture stress due to
                higher temperatures and less cloud cover with a rising cloud base,
                affecting their growth and flowering (Nadkarni and Solano 2002, p.
                584). Due to its specialized ecological requirements and restricted
                distributions within the dwarf forest, L. eltoroensis could be more
                adversely impacted by the effects of climate change than other species
                with wider distribution (e.g., lower elevation species) and greater
                plasticity, thus, reducing its viability. Predictions of life zone
                changes are not expected to affect resiliency of L. eltoroensis until
                after mid-century, and predictions out to 2100 vary in severity of
                impact (USFWS 2019, p.69).
                 Another potential risk to Lepanthes eltoroensis is the increase in
                [[Page 13850]]
                catastrophic hurricanes resulting from climate change. The persistence
                of L. eltoroensis through repeated past hurricanes and other storms
                suggests it has the ability to recover and adapt from disturbances, and
                relocation of individuals from blown-down host trees further
                accelerates the recovery of the species post-hurricane (USFWS 2019, p.
                73). In fact, ongoing monitoring show an initial positive population
                growth rate of L. eltoroensis despite the loss of host trees following
                hurricane Mar[iacute]a (Melendez-Ackerman 2019, pers. comm.).
                 Overall we anticipate the range of Lepanthes eltoroensis to
                contract due to changes in climatic variables leading to loss of wet
                and tropical montane habitats, potentially exacerbated by an increase
                in the frequency and severity of hurricanes by the end of the century
                (2100). However, surveys outside of the areas where the species is
                traditionally searched, along with an associated habitat model, would
                help better predict the future viability of L. eltoroensis (USFWS 2019,
                p. 73). Although changes to precipitation and drought, temperature, and
                life zones are expected to occur on Puerto Rico, over the next 20 to 30
                years they are not predicted to be substantial. Modeling shows dramatic
                changes to Puerto Rico through 2100, the divergence in these
                projections increases dramatically after mid-century, making
                projections beyond 20 to 30 years more uncertain (Khalyani et al. 2016,
                p. 275). Moreover, L. eltoroensis is found in a protected area where
                synergistically damaging forest management practices are unlikely to
                occur, and there is the requirement for implementation of conservation
                management practices to mitigate negative impacts such as those caused
                by hurricanes.
                Summary of Current Condition
                 Viability is defined as the ability of the species to sustain
                populations in the wild over time. To assess the viability of Lepanthes
                eltoroensis, we used the three conservation biology principles of
                resiliency, representation, and redundancy (Shaffer and Stein 2000, pp.
                306-310). Briefly, resiliency supports the ability of the species to
                withstand environmental and demographic stochasticity (for example, wet
                or dry, warm or cold years); representation supports the ability of the
                species to adapt over time to long-term changes in the environment (for
                example, climate changes); and redundancy supports the ability of the
                species to withstand catastrophic events (for example, droughts,
                hurricanes). In general, the more redundant and resilient a species is
                and the more representation it has, the more likely it is to sustain
                populations over time, even under changing environmental conditions.
                Resiliency
                 Factors that influence the resiliency of Lepanthes eltoroensis
                include abundance and growth trends within host trees, and habitat
                factors such as elevation, slope, aspect, precipitation, temperature,
                canopy cover, and presence of moss, mycorrhizal fungi, and pollinators.
                Influencing those factors are elements of L. eltoroensis' ecology that
                determine whether populations can grow to maximize habitat occupancy,
                thereby increasing resiliency. Stochastic factors that have the
                potential to affect L. eltoroensis include impacts to its habitat from
                hurricanes and effects of climate change (i.e., changes in temperature
                and precipitation regimes). Beneficial factors that influence
                resiliency include the protected status of the species' habitat, as the
                known range of the species is entirely within the El Toro Wilderness
                and therefore protected from human-induced habitat loss and collection.
                 The best available surveys of Lepanthes eltoroensis found that the
                number of individuals is greater than at the time of listing (Tremblay
                2008, p. 90), approximately 3,000 individual plants. The distribution
                of L. eltoroensis has not been investigated outside of traditional
                areas (i.e., just off El Toro and Trade Wind Trails); however, some
                researchers suggest that additional populations may occur within
                suitable habitat outside El Toro Trail. In fact, additional individuals
                have been found near, but outside El Toro Trail (Tremblay 2008, p. 90).
                Assuming a metapopulation size of 3,000 individuals, and observed
                stable subpopulations from past surveys (including recent partial
                surveys in 2018), this suggests the species has the ability to recover
                from normal stochastic disturbances; thus, we consider the species to
                be moderately resilient.
                Representation
                 We lack genetic and ecological diversity data to characterize
                representation for Lepanthes eltoroensis. In the absence of species-
                specific genetic and ecological diversity information, we typically
                evaluate representation based on the extent and variability of habitat
                characteristics across the geographical range. Because the species does
                not appear to have much physiological flexibility, given that it has a
                rather restricted distribution (cloud forests on ridges),
                representative units were not delineated for this species. Available
                data suggest that conditions are present for genetic drift and
                inbreeding (Tremblay 1997a, p. 92). However, the effect of a genetic
                drift on the species into the future is uncertain, and the most updated
                L. eltoroensis information shows that the species has the ability to
                adapt to changing environmental conditions (i.e., natural disturbances)
                over time. Furthermore, some of the factors that we concluded would
                reduce representation at the time of listing, such as habitat
                destruction and collection, are no longer acting as stressors upon the
                species. Finally, because the population is significantly larger than
                was known at the time of listing, representation has improved.
                Redundancy
                 Redundancy for Lepanthes eltoroensis is the total number and
                resilience of subpopulations and their distribution across the species'
                range. This species is endemic to El Yunque, and it has not been
                introduced elsewhere. Despite the presence of multiple subpopulations
                (i.e., host trees), these subpopulations are located within a narrow/
                restricted range at El Toro Wilderness Area and are all exposed to
                similar specific habitat and environmental conditions. Population
                surveys by Mel[eacute]ndez-Ackerman et al. (2018) accounted for at
                least 61 host trees or subpopulations prior to hurricane Maria. Of
                these, Mel[eacute]ndez-Ackerman et al. (2018) were not able to locate
                19 host trees following the hurricane, and studies are ongoing to
                determine the species response from the disturbance. Although
                redundancy is inherently low due to the narrow range the species
                inhabits, it has persisted despite past natural disturbances (i.e.,
                hurricanes, tropical storms, etc.), and is considered more abundant
                within its habitat than previously documented.
                Projected Future Status
                 Lepanthes eltoroensis only occurs within the protected El Yunque
                lands where stressors--including forest management practices, urban
                development surrounding El Yunque, and overcollection--are not expected
                to be present or are expected to remain relatively stable and unlikely
                to affect the species in the future. Because L. eltoroensis occurs on
                protected lands managed by the USFS, it will benefit from their ongoing
                conservation practices, which include the relocation of plants from
                fallen host trees after a hurricane as deemed necessary, to alleviate
                the negative impacts of these storm events. The effect of genetic drift
                on the species into the future is uncertain, but L. eltoroensis has
                thus far
                [[Page 13851]]
                demonstrated the ability to adapt to changing environmental conditions
                (i.e., natural disturbances) over time (USFWS 2019, pp. 51-52). The
                primary stressor affecting the future condition of L. eltoroensis is
                current and ongoing climate change stressors (Mel[eacute]ndez-Ackerman
                and Tremblay 2017, p. 1) and the associated shifts in rainfall,
                temperature, and storm intensities. These stressors account for
                indirect and direct effects at some level to all life stages and across
                the species' range.
                 All of these climate change stressors are predicted to result in
                shifts in the distribution of life zones present on Puerto Rico, with
                some of the most dramatic impacts predicted to occur in the latter half
                of the century in the tropical and subtropical wet forests in which the
                species resides (USFWS 2019, p. 57). Key life-history factors that make
                this species vulnerable to climate change stressors are its restricted
                range within the tropical and subtropical wet forests within El Yunque
                and low subpopulation sizes (USFWS 2015, pp. 7-10). Given the
                relatively low genetic and environmental plasticity of the species, it
                potentially does not have the capacity to adapt to these predicted
                conditions (USFWS 2019, p. 52).
                 To examine the potential future condition of Lepanthes eltoroensis,
                we used three future scenarios based on climate change predictions for
                Puerto Rico (Khalyani et al. 2016, entire), which used global emission
                scenarios (mid-high (A2), mid-low (A1B), and low (B1) (Nakicenovic and
                Swart 2000, entire)) to capture a range of possible scenarios. Our
                assessment of future viability includes qualitative descriptions of the
                likely impacts of climate change under the above three scenarios from
                the literature, and is intended to capture the uncertainty in the
                species' response to climate stressors, and the lack of information on
                abundance and growth rates.
                Climate Change Predictions
                 Projections out to the year 2100 predict increases in temperature
                and decreases in precipitation, particularly in wetter regions like El
                Yunque (Khalyani et al. 2016, pp. 274-275). However, divergence in
                temperature and precipitation projections increases dramatically after
                mid-century, depending on the scenario (Khalyani et al. 2016, p. 275;
                USFWS 2019, pp. 59-62), making projections beyond 20 to 30 years
                uncertain. Given the average lifespan of the species (approximately 5
                years), a period of 20 to 30 years allows for multiple generations and
                detection of any population changes. Additionally, the species has been
                listed for close to 30 years, so we have a baseline to understand how
                populations have performed in that period. Therefore, the ``foreseeable
                future'' used in this determination is 20 to 30 years.
                Precipitation and Drought
                 In general, projections show similar patterns of changes in
                precipitation and drought intensity and extremes, although total
                changes were greater for the A2 scenario (Khalyani et al. 2016, pp.
                272-273, 274; USFWS 2019, pp. 59-60). Under scenarios A2, A1B, and B1,
                annual precipitation is projected to decrease by 510 to 916 millimeters
                (mm) (20 to 36 in.), 354 to 842 mm (14 to 33 in.), and 312 to 619 mm
                (12 to 24 in.), respectively, by 2100. Current annual precipitation in
                Puerto Rico averages 745 to 4,346 mm (29 to 171 in.). However,
                differences in precipitation between the three scenarios were greater
                after the mid-century (Khalyani et al. 2016, p. 274). Before then
                decreases in rainfall are expected to be far less; rainfall decreases
                are expected to be 0.0012 to 0.0032 mm per day per year through 2050
                (PRCC 2013, p. 7). Additionally, for all three climate scenarios,
                significant decreases in precipitation for the northern wet forests are
                not predicted until after 2040 (USFWS 2019, p. 60). Furthermore, the
                U.S. Geological Survey projection for Puerto Rico predicts an overall
                drying of the island and a reduction in extreme rainfall occurrence;
                however, this model suggests higher elevations, like those supporting
                L. eltoroensis, may have a buffering effect on declining trends in
                precipitation (Bowden 2018, pers. comm.). Therefore, precipitation
                declines are not likely to occur in the area supporting L. eltoroensis
                during the foreseeable future. On the other hand, drought intensity
                increased steadily under all three scenarios, but with a gradual
                increase in drought extremes (Khalyani et al. 2016, pp. 274-275). This
                increase is linear for all three scenarios.
                Temperature
                 By 2100, all three scenarios predict increases in temperature with
                increases of 7.5-9.0 [deg]C (13.5-16.2 [deg]F), 6.4-7.6 [deg]C (11.5-
                13.4 [deg]F), and 4.6-5.4 [deg]C (8.3-9.7 [deg]F) under the A2, A1B,
                and B1 scenarios, respectively (Khalyani et al. 2016, p. 275). However,
                like with precipitation, projected increases in temperature are not
                substantial until after 2040. Projections show only a 0.8 [deg]C (1.4
                [deg]F) increase by mid-century under all three scenarios. These
                scenarios differentiate the most from each other in later time
                intervals (after 2040) (Khalyani et al. 2016, pp. 275, 277). However,
                we are not aware of any information that would indicate these air
                temperature increases will influence formation of the cloud cover over
                El Yunque, which could in turn impact interior temperatures and
                humidity of the forest, where Lepanthes eltoroensis is found.
                Life Zones
                 Dramatic changes are projected in the life zone distributions in
                Puerto Rico, although the changes vary by life zone and are predicted
                to be much more significant after mid-century. Because life zones are
                derived from climate variables (e.g., precipitation and temperature),
                general changes in life zone distribution are similar to changes in
                climatic variables. For example, annual precipitation changes will
                result in shifts from rain, wet and moist zones to drier zones
                (Khalyani et al. 2016, p. 275), and changes in temperature will result
                in changes from subtropical to tropical. In general, decreasing trends
                were observed in the areas of wet and moist zones, while increasing
                trends were observed in dry zones under all three scenarios (Khalyani
                et al. 2016, pp. 275, 279). Under all scenarios, loss of subtropical
                rain and wet forests are observed, although decreasing trends were
                observed in the area of wet and moist zones, while increasing trends
                were observed in the areas of dry zones in all three scenarios.
                Additionally, the loss of wet and moist zones in the northeastern
                mountain area that supports Lepanthes eltoroensis is not predicted to
                be substantial, and the area remains relatively stable until after 2040
                (USFWS 2019 p. 69). This may be due to possible buffering effects of
                elevation across the island.
                 In summary, changes to precipitation and drought, temperature, and
                life zones are expected to occur on Puerto Rico, but over the next 20
                to 30 years, they are not predicted to be substantial. Although
                modeling shows changes to Puerto Rico through 2100, the divergence in
                these projections increases dramatically after mid-century, making
                projections beyond 20 to 30 years more uncertain.
                 These projected changes may have direct or at least indirect
                effects on Lepanthes eltoroensis; however, viability of the species
                under all scenarios is expected to remain stable within the foreseeable
                future (USFWS 2019, p. 71). Potential direct effects include a reduced
                number of seedlings as the number of dry days increase, a reduced
                number of fruits as minimum average temperature increases, and a
                reduced number of adults as maximum temperature increases (Olaya-Arenas
                et
                [[Page 13852]]
                al. 2011, p. 2042). Additionally, projected changes in hurricane
                frequencies (and associated habitat changes) may negatively affect the
                growth rate of L. eltoroensis populations (Tremblay 2008, pp. 89-90)
                due to increases in light penetration from defoliation. Indirect
                effects are related to potential changes in moss cover and composition
                due to temperature and precipitation changes. Data from related species
                showed that orchid density, growth, and establishment were positively
                associated with moss species richness (Crain 2012, pp. 15-16; Garcia-
                Cancel et al. 2013, p. 6). Therefore, a change in forest temperature
                and humidity could affect the establishment and distribution of moss
                and, thus, L. eltoroensis (USFWS 2019, p. 11).
                 Persistence of the species through repeated past hurricanes and
                other storms suggests the species has the ability to recover and adapt
                from disturbances, and relocation of individuals from blown-down host
                trees further accelerates the recovery of the species post-hurricane.
                In fact, many researchers at El Yunque have concluded that hurricanes
                are the main organizing force of the forests (USFWS 2019, p. 71). The
                forests go through a cycle that averages 60 years, starting with great
                impact by winds and rain of a hurricane, and then 60 years of regrowth
                (Lugo 2008, p. 371). In those 60 years of regrowth, complete changes in
                the species that dominate the landscape can occur. Although the
                hurricane appears destructive, it can be constructive because it makes
                the area more productive--it rejuvenates the forest (USFWS 2019, p.
                71). Currently, El Yunque is at the initial phase of early succession
                following Hurricane Maria (2017), which produced severe tree mortality
                and defoliation, including Lepanthes eltoroensis host trees.
                 In general, we anticipate the range of the species may contract
                somewhat due to changes in climatic variables, although the loss of wet
                and moist zones in the northeastern mountain area that supports
                Lepanthes eltoroensis is not predicted to be substantial by mid-century
                (USFWS 2019, p. 66). The range contraction may be exacerbated by an
                increase in the frequency and severity of hurricanes. However, as the
                species occurs within El Yunque, synergistic negative effects of
                development and deleterious forest management practices are unlikely
                threats to the species in the future. Currently, L. eltoroensis and its
                habitat at the El Yunque are protected by Congressional designation of
                El Toro Wilderness Area (Forest Plan 2016, p. 32), thus precluding
                human disturbance. Because the El Yunque management plan includes a set
                of standards and guidelines to protect the natural resources within the
                El Toro Wilderness, including other co-occurring federally listed
                species (e.g., Ilex sintenisii and Ternstroemia luquillensis) (USFS
                2019, pp. 1, 32-35), the Service anticipates continued implementation
                of conservation and management practices to improve the habitat of all
                species within the area, including actions to mitigate hurricane
                impacts.
                Future Viability
                Resiliency
                 Under all future scenarios, resiliency is projected to remain
                moderate through at least the next 20 to 30 years. As mentioned above,
                there is very little projected contraction of the wet and moist forests
                within this timeframe. Although increasing catastrophic hurricanes are
                possible, relocation of plants can ameliorate some of these impacts.
                Redundancy
                 Redundancy is expected to remain stable under all scenarios for the
                next 20 to 30 years, although this prediction is uncertain given the
                very limited range of the species and the lack of knowledge about the
                full extent of the species' range (i.e., no surveys conducted off the
                two main trails). However, Lepanthes eltoroensis has persisted through
                catastrophic events in the past, and we expect it to persist into the
                foreseeable future.
                Representation
                 Because the species does not appear to have much physiological
                flexibility, given that it has a rather restricted distribution,
                representative units were not delineated for this species. The current
                condition of low genetic and environmental diversity, and little
                breadth to rely on if some plants are lost, is expected to continue
                under all scenarios, at least through the next 20 to 30 years.
                Available data suggest that conditions are present for genetic drift
                and inbreeding. However, Lepanthes eltoroensis has demonstrated the
                ability to adapt to changing environmental conditions (i.e., natural
                disturbances) over time.
                Recovery and Recovery Plan Implementation
                 Section 4(f) of the Act directs us to develop and implement
                recovery plans for the conservation and survival of endangered and
                threatened species unless we determine that such a plan will not
                promote the conservation of the species. Recovery plans are not
                regulatory documents. Rather, they are intended to establish goals for
                long-term conservation of a listed species and define criteria that are
                designed to indicate when the threats facing a species have been
                removed or reduced to such an extent that the species may no longer
                need the protections of the Act. Recovery plans also provide guidance
                to our Federal, State, and other governmental and nongovernmental
                partners on methods to minimize threats to listed species.
                 There are many paths to accomplishing recovery of a species, and
                recovery may be achieved without all criteria being fully met. For
                example, one or more criteria may have been exceeded while other
                criteria may not have been accomplished or become obsolete, yet the
                Service may judge that, overall, the threats have been minimized
                sufficiently, and the species is robust enough, to reclassify the
                species from endangered to threatened or perhaps delist the species. In
                other cases, recovery opportunities may be recognized that were not
                known at the time the recovery plan was finalized. These opportunities
                may be used instead of methods identified in the recovery plan.
                 Likewise, information on the species that was not known at the time
                the recovery plan was finalized may become available. The new
                information may change the extent that criteria need to be met for
                recognizing recovery of the species. Recovery of species is a dynamic
                process requiring adaptive management that may, or may not, fully
                follow the guidance provided in a recovery plan.
                 The following discussion provides a brief review of recovery
                planning and implementation for Lepanthes eltoroensis, as well as an
                analysis of the recovery criteria and goals as they relate to
                evaluating the status of this orchid.
                 The Lepanthes eltoroensis Recovery Plan was approved on July 15,
                1996. The objective of the Recovery Plan is to provide direction for
                reversing the decline of this orchid and for restoring the species to a
                self-sustaining status, thereby permitting eventual removal from the
                Federal List of Endangered and Threatened Plants (USFWS 1996, p. 8).
                However, the Recovery Plan provides only criteria for reclassifying the
                species from endangered to threatened (``downlisting''). The specific
                criteria are: (1) Prepare and implement an agreement between the
                Service and the USFS concerning the protection of L. eltoroensis within
                El Yunque, and (2) establish new populations capable of self-
                perpetuation within protected areas (USFWS 1996, p. 8). The plan also
                [[Page 13853]]
                includes the following recovery actions intended to address threats to
                the species:
                 (1) Prevent further habitat loss and population decline;
                 (2) Continue to gather information on the species' distribution and
                abundance;
                 (3) Conduct research;
                 (4) Establish new populations; and
                 (5) Refine recovery criteria.
                 The following discussion provides specific details for each of
                these actions and the extent to which the recovery criteria have been
                met.
                Recovery Action 1: Prevent Further Habitat Loss and Population Decline
                 This action has been met. In the past, the species' primary threat
                was identified as destruction and modification of habitat associated
                with forest management practices (e.g., establishment and maintenance
                of plantations, selective cutting, trail maintenance, and shelter
                construction; 56 FR 60933, November 29, 1991). As described above under
                ``Forest Management Practices,'' the best available data indicates that
                forest management practices are no longer negatively affecting
                Lepanthes eltoroensis. Furthermore, the area where the species is found
                is within a protected area (El Yunque), part of which is the El Toro
                Wilderness designated in 2005, where the land is managed to preserve
                its natural conditions and species like L. eltoroensis (USFS 2016, p.
                32). We expect this wilderness area will remain permanently protected
                as a nature reserve and be managed for conservation. Additionally,
                because this area is within a National Forest, the National Forest
                Management Act of 1976 (16 U.S.C. 1600 et seq.), requires El Yunque to
                develop management plans. As noted above, El Yunque plan specifically
                includes a set of standards and guidelines to protect the natural
                resources within the El Toro Wilderness. Moreover, Federal agencies are
                mandated to carry out programs for the conservation of endangered
                species under section 7 of the Act to ensure that any action
                authorized, funded, or carried out by a Federal agency is not likely to
                jeopardize the continued existence of a federally listed species. The
                USFS continually consults with the Service to avoid and minimize
                impacts to listed species and their habitat at El Yunque. L.
                eltoroensis shares habitat with other federally listed species (e.g.,
                Ilex sintenisii, Ternstroemia luquillensis, and Elfin-woods warbler);
                thus, the USFS will continue to consult with the Service on projects
                that could affect listed species in this area. Additionally, since the
                species was listed in 1991, many more individuals have been found and
                observed growth has been stable with no documented decline in the
                population.
                Recovery Action 2: Continue To Gather Information on the Species'
                Distribution and Abundance
                 This action has been met. Since the species was listed in 1991,
                several surveys for Lepanthes eltoroensis have been conducted. Although
                these surveys have been infrequent, sparse, and done with varying
                spatial spread and methodology, making the results difficult to compare
                over time, even partial surveys have found greater numbers of L.
                eltoroensis. Surveys have indicated stable growth rates. While the best
                available estimate of the metapopulation is 3,000 individuals, surveys
                likely underestimate the species' true abundance as suitable habitat
                off the two main trails are dangerous and mostly inaccessible,
                preventing additional surveys. Surveys of habitat outside traditional
                population sites may result in additional individuals.
                Recovery Action 3: Conduct Research
                 This action has been met; however we continue to conduct research
                on the species. Information has been collected throughout the years on
                the distribution and dispersion patterns of Lepanthes eltoroensis
                (Tremblay 1997a, pp. 85-96), variance in floral morphology (Tremblay
                1997b, pp. 38-45), and genetic differentiation (Tremblay and Ackerman
                2001, pp. 47-62). In 2016, the Service and the PRDNER provided funding
                to researchers at the University of Puerto Rico to evaluate the current
                population status of L. eltoroensis and model its demographic variation
                in response to climatic variability (i.e., temperature and relative
                humidity). This study is an effort to evaluate the influence that
                climate change will have on the persistence of this species in its
                environment. Results are anticipated to be available later in 2020 and
                will be factored into our final determination on this proposed rule.
                Data gathered during this project will also be used to characterize the
                microhabitat variation between areas with and without L. eltoroensis
                and develop a habitat selection model to evaluate the relationship
                between the presence and absence of plants and landscape-level
                variables such as elevation, forest type, aspect, and temperature.
                Additionally, these data will allow for development of a monitoring
                infrastructure to model the demographic responses of L. eltoroensis to
                climate variation. This research will update the distribution and
                status of L. eltoroensis within El Yunque, and assess natural threats,
                particularly climate change, affecting these populations. However, the
                best available data indicates that the species is projected to remain
                viable, and the results of the additional surveys, while helpful
                information, is not required.
                Recovery Action 4: Establish New Populations
                 This action has not been met but is no longer necessary. At the
                time of listing, only 140 plants were thought to exist; we now estimate
                a population size of 3,000 individuals. The 2015 5-year status review
                of Lepanthes eltoroensis states that the action to establish new
                populations is not necessary at this time for the recovery of the
                species because additional sub-populations and individuals have been
                found since the species was listed (USFWS 2015, p. 5). Additionally,
                relocation of plants from fallen trees onto standing trees following
                hurricane events was found to be an effective management strategy to
                improve and maximize survival and reproductive success (Ben[iacute]tez
                and Tremblay 2003, pp. 67-69).
                Recovery Action 5: Refine Recovery Criteria
                 This action has not been met but will no longer be necessary. The
                Recovery Plan states that as additional information on Lepanthes
                eltoroensis is gathered, it will be necessary to better define, and
                possibly modify, recovery criteria. Based on the information compiled
                in the SSA (USFWS 2019, entire) this orchid is projected to remain
                viable over time, such that it may no longer meet the definition of an
                endangered or threatened species (see Determination).
                Recovery Criterion 1: Prepare and Implement and Agreement Between the
                Service and the USFS Concerning the Protection of Lepanthes eltoroensis
                Within El Yunque
                 This criterion has been partially met. Although there is not a
                specific agreement between the Service and the USFS concerning the
                protection of Lepanthes eltoroensis, the intent of this criterion--to
                provide long-term protection for the species--has been met. Existing
                populations and the species' habitat are protected. As stated before,
                this orchid species occurs within the El Toro Wilderness area where
                habitat destruction or modification is no longer considered a threat to
                the species or its habitat. The implementation of management practices
                in the forest has improved, no selective cutting is
                [[Page 13854]]
                conducted, and the USFS coordinates with the Service to avoid impacts
                to listed species as part of their management practices. Because this
                species overlaps with other listed species, the USFS will continue to
                consult on projects that may affect this area. Furthermore,
                Commonwealth laws and regulations protect the species' habitat as well
                as the species from collection and removal. There is no evidence that
                L. eltoroensis or its habitat is being negatively impacted; therefore,
                a formal agreement between the Service and the USFS is not necessary
                for protecting this species.
                Recovery Criterion 2: Establish New Populations Capable of Self-
                Perpetuation Within Protected Areas
                 As stated under Recovery Action 4, we have found that the action to
                establish new populations is not necessary at this time for the
                recovery of the species because additional sub-populations and
                individuals have been found since the species was listed (USFWS 2015,
                p. 5). Additionally, relocation of plants is an effective management
                strategy to improve and maximize survival and reproductive success, as
                has been demonstrated after hurricane events (Ben[iacute]tez and
                Tremblay 2003, pp. 67-69).
                Summary
                 The Recovery Plan for Lepanthes eltoroensis provided direction for
                reversing the decline of this species, thereby informing when the
                species may be delisted. The Recovery Plan outlined two criteria for
                reclassifying the species from endangered to threatened: (1) Prepare
                and implement an agreement between the Service and the USFS concerning
                the protection of L. eltoroensis within El Yunque, and (2) establish
                new populations capable of self-perpetuation within protected areas.
                Both of these criteria have been partially met or are no longer
                considered necessary. This species is protected by Commonwealth law and
                regulations, and will continue to be should the species no longer
                require Federal protection, and occurs within a protected wilderness
                area that will remain protected and managed using techniques that are
                beneficial for this and other co-occurring federally listed species.
                There is no evidence that L. eltoroensis or its habitat is being
                negatively impacted by forest management activities or will be in the
                future. Additionally, the designation of wilderness where the species
                occurs has eliminated the need for a formal agreement between the
                Service and the USFS to protect this species. Since the species was
                listed under the Act and the Recovery Plan was written, additional
                plants have been found; therefore, establishment of new populations is
                not necessary at this time for recovery. Additionally, the five
                recovery actions intended to address threats to the species have all
                been either met or determined to no longer be necessary for recovery.
                Determination of Status of Lepanthes eltoroensis
                 Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533), and its implementing
                regulations (50 CFR part 424), set forth the procedures for determining
                whether a species meets the definition of ``endangered species'' or
                ``threatened species.'' The Act defines an ``endangered species'' as a
                species that is in danger of extinction throughout all or a significant
                portion of its range, and a ``threatened species'' as a species that is
                likely to become an endangered species within the foreseeable future
                throughout all or a significant portion of its range. The Act requires
                that we determine whether a species meets the definition of
                ``endangered species'' or ``threatened species'' because of any of the
                following factors: (A) The present or threatened destruction,
                modification, or curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)
                overutilization for commercial, recreational, scientific, or
                educational purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D) the inadequacy of
                existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E) other natural or manmade factors
                affecting its continued existence.
                Status Throughout All of Its Range
                 After evaluating threats to the species and assessing the
                cumulative effect of the threats under the section 4(a)(1) factors, we
                note that more individuals are known to occur than at the time of
                listing. Additionally, the best metapopulation estimate of 3,000
                individuals is likely an underestimate, as not all potential habitat
                has been surveyed. Despite the effects of a small population size,
                continued limited distribution, and evidence of low gene flow (Factor
                E), the species has persisted and adapted to changing environmental
                conditions. Forest management practices (Factor A) and collection
                (Factor B) are not currently a threat to this species, nor are they
                anticipated to negatively affect Lepanthes eltoroensis in the future.
                Although hurricanes (Factor E) have the potential to negatively impact
                growth rates and survival of L. eltoroensis, observed stable
                subpopulations, even after recent severe hurricanes, indicate this
                species has the ability to recover from these natural disturbances.
                Additionally, relocation of plants is a viable management strategy that
                can improve and maximize survival and reproduction success. The
                greatest threat to the future of L. eltoroensis is current and ongoing
                effects of climate change factors (Factor E); however, while changes to
                precipitation and drought, temperature, and life zones are expected to
                occur on Puerto Rico, within the foreseeable future, they are not
                predicted to be substantial, and the viability of the species is
                expected to remain stable. We anticipate small population dynamics
                (Factor E) will continue to be a concern, as there is already evidence
                of genetic drift, but L.eltoroensis has demonstrated the ability to
                adapt to changing environmental conditions over time at population
                levels lower than they are currently or projected to be in the future.
                 The species was originally listed as an endangered species due to
                its rarity, restricted distribution, specialized habitat, and
                vulnerability to habitat destruction or modification, as well as
                because of collection for commercial/recreational uses. We find that
                these threats are no longer affecting the status of the species as they
                have been minimized or eliminated. Partial surveys over the past 18
                years, including surveys following two strong hurricanes in 2018,
                indicate there are more individuals than known at the time of listing,
                and the population appears to be relatively stable. Surveys are limited
                to detections right on the trails, or a very short distance from the
                trails. Habitat that has not or cannot be surveyed may hold additional
                subpopulations; therefore, surveys likely underestimate the true
                abundance of this species. The habitat at El Yunque, where the species
                occurs, is a designated wilderness area, and managed for its natural
                conditions; therefore, habitat modification or destruction is not a
                current threat. In addition, collection is prohibited under USFS
                regulations, and there is no indication this is a current threat to the
                species. Persistence of the species through repeated past strong
                hurricanes indicates the species has the ability to recover and adapt
                from disturbances. Furthermore, relocation of individuals from felled
                trees further accelerates the recovery of the species post-hurricane.
                While a narrow endemic, the species has continued to exist across its
                historical range with all life stages represented and in good health.
                While projections predict increasing temperatures and decreasing
                [[Page 13855]]
                precipitation over time into the future, projected impacts to the
                species' habitat (e.g., life zone changes) are not expected to be
                significant within the foreseeable future (USFWS 2019, p. 69). Recent,
                yet unpublished downscaled climate modelling (Bowden 2018, pers. comm.)
                indicates that higher elevation areas, like those supporting L.
                eltoroensis, may be buffered from the more generally predicted level of
                precipitation changes. This species has also demonstrated the ability
                to adapt to changes in its environment. Since the species was listed,
                warming temperatures have been documented and precipitation levels have
                decreased, yet the species has persisted. Additionally, following
                strong hurricanes that affected the species' habitat, abundance has
                remained stable, with all age classes represented and in good health.
                While suitable habitat conditions for the species may contract some
                over the foreseeable future, the species is likely to continue to
                maintain close to current levels of resiliency, redundancy, and
                representation. We conclude that there are no existing or potential
                threats that, either alone or in combination with others (i.e., forest
                management practices, climate change, and hurricane damage), are likely
                to cause the species' viability to decline. Thus, after assessing the
                best available data, we conclude that L. eltoroensis is not in danger
                of extinction throughout its range (i.e., meets the definition of an
                endangered species) or likely to become so within the foreseeable
                future (i.e., meets the definition of a threatened species).
                Status Throughout a Significant Portion of Its Range
                 Under the Act and our implementing regulations, a species may
                warrant listing if it is in danger of extinction or likely to become so
                within the foreseeable future throughout all or a significant portion
                of its range.
                 Having determined that Lepanthes eltoroensis is not in danger of
                extinction or likely to become so within the foreseeable future
                throughout all of its range, we now consider whether it may be in
                danger of extinction or likely to become so within the foreseeable
                future in a significant portion of its range. The range of a species
                can theoretically be divided into portions in an infinite number of
                ways, so we first screen the potential portions of the species' range
                to determine if there are any portions that warrant further
                consideration. To do the ``screening'' analysis, we ask whether there
                are portions of the species' range for which there is substantial
                information indicating that: (1) The portion may be significant; and
                (2) the species may be, in that portion, either in danger of extinction
                or likely to become so in the foreseeable future. For a particular
                portion, if we cannot answer both questions in the affirmative, then
                that portion does not warrant further consideration and the species
                does not warrant listing because of its status in that portion of its
                range. Conversely, we emphasize that answering both of these questions
                in the affirmative is not a determination that the species is in danger
                of extinction or likely to become so in the foreseeable future
                throughout a significant portion of its range--rather, it is a step in
                determining whether a more detailed analysis of the issue is required.
                 If we answer these questions in the affirmative, we then conduct a
                more thorough analysis to determine whether the portion does indeed
                meet both of the ``significant portion of its range'' prongs: (1) The
                portion is significant; and (2) the species is, in that portion, either
                in danger of extinction or likely to become so in the foreseeable
                future. Confirmation that a portion does indeed meet one of these
                prongs does not create a presumption, prejudgment, or other
                determination as to whether the species is an endangered species or
                threatened species. Rather, we must then undertake a more detailed
                analysis of the other prong to make that determination. Only if the
                portion does indeed meet both prongs would the species warrant listing
                because of its status in a significant portion of its range.
                 We evaluated the range of the Lepanthes eltoroensis to determine if
                any area may be a significant portion of the range. The species is a
                narrow endemic that functions as a single, contiguous population (with
                a metapopulation structure) and occurs within a very small area (El
                Yunque, Puerto Rico). Every threat to the species in any portion of its
                range is a threat to the species throughout all of its range, and so
                the species has the same status under the Act throughout its narrow
                range. Therefore, we conclude, based on this screening analysis, that
                the species is not in danger of extinction or likely to become so in
                the foreseeable future in any significant portion of its range. Our
                conclusion--that we do not undertake additional analysis if we
                determine that the species has the same status under the Act throughout
                its narrow range--is consistent with the courts' holdings in Desert
                Survivors v. Department of the Interior, No. 16-cv-01165-JCS, 2018 WL
                4053447 (N.D. Cal. Aug. 24, 2018); Center for Biological Diversity v.
                Jewell, 248 F. Supp. 3d, 946, 959 (D. Ariz. 2017); and Center for
                Biological Diversity v. Everson, 2020 WL 437289 (D.D.C. Jan. 28, 2020).
                Determination of Status
                 Our review of the best available scientific and commercial data
                indicates that Lepanthes eltoroensis does not meet the definition of an
                endangered species or a threatened species in accordance with sections
                3(6) and 3(20) of the Act. Therefore, we propose to remove this species
                from the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened Plants.
                Effects of This Proposed Rule
                 This proposal, if made final, would revise 50 CFR 17.12(h) to
                remove Lepanthes eltoroensis from the Federal List of Endangered and
                Threatened Plants. Therefore, revision of the species' recovery plan is
                not necessary. The prohibitions and conservation measures provided by
                the Act, particularly through sections 7 and 9, would no longer apply
                to this species. Federal agencies would no longer be required to
                consult with the Service under section 7 of the Act in the event that
                activities they authorize, fund, or carry out may affect L.
                eltoroensis. There is no critical habitat designated for this species.
                Post-Delisting Monitoring
                 Section 4(g)(1) of the Act requires us to monitor for not less than
                5 years the status of all species that are delisted due to recovery.
                Post-delisting monitoring refers to activities undertaken to verify
                that a species delisted due to recovery remains secure from the risk of
                extinction after the protections of the Act no longer apply. The
                primary goal of PDM is to monitor the species to ensure that its status
                does not deteriorate, and if a decline is detected, to take measures to
                halt the decline so that proposing it as an endangered or threatened
                species is not again needed. If at any time during the monitoring
                period data indicate that protective status under the Act should be
                reinstated, we can initiate listing procedures, including, if
                appropriate, emergency listing. At the conclusion of the monitoring
                period, we will review all available information to determine if
                relisting, the continuation of monitoring, or the termination of
                monitoring is appropriate.
                 Section 4(g) of the Act explicitly requires that we cooperate with
                the States in development and implementation of PDM programs. However,
                we remain ultimately responsible for compliance with section 4(g) and,
                therefore, must remain actively engaged in all phases of PDM. We also
                seek active participation of other
                [[Page 13856]]
                entities that are expected to assume responsibilities for the species'
                conservation after delisting. The Service is currently coordinating
                with PRDNER and USFS on the completion of the PDM.
                 We have prepared a draft PDM plan for the orchid, Lepanthes
                eltoroensis. The plan is designed to detect substantial declines in the
                species, with reasonable certainty and precision, or an increase in
                threats. The plan:
                 (1) Summarizes the species' status at the time of proposed
                delisting;
                 (2) Defines thresholds or triggers for potential monitoring
                outcomes and conclusions;
                 (3) Lays out frequency and duration of monitoring;
                 (4) Articulates monitoring methods, including sampling
                considerations;
                 (5) Outlines data compilation and reporting procedures and
                responsibilities; and
                 (6) Proposes a PDM implementation schedule, funding, and
                responsible parties.
                 Concurrent with this proposed delisting rule, we announce the
                availability of the draft PDM plan for public review at http://www.regulations.gov under Docket No. FWS-R4-ES-2019-0073. The plan can
                also be viewed in its entirety at https://www.fws.gov/southeast/caribbean/. Copies can also be obtained from the U.S. Fish and Wildlife
                Service, Caribbean Ecological Services Field Office (see FOR FURTHER
                INFORMATION CONTACT). We seek information, data, and comments from the
                public regarding Lepanthes eltoroensis and the PDM plan. We are also
                seeking peer review of the draft PDM plan during this proposed rule's
                comment period. We anticipate finalizing this plan, considering all
                public and peer review comments, prior to making a final determination
                on the proposed delisting rule.
                Required Determinations
                Clarity of the Rule
                 We are required by Executive Orders 12866 and 12988 and by the
                Presidential Memorandum of June 1, 1998, to write all rules in plain
                language. This means that each rule we publish must:
                 (1) Be logically organized;
                 (2) Use the active voice to address readers directly;
                 (3) Use clear language rather than jargon;
                 (4) Be divided into short sections and sentences; and
                 (5) Use lists and tables wherever possible.
                 If you feel that we have not met these requirements, send us
                comments by one of the methods listed in ADDRESSES. To better help us
                revise the rule, your comments should be as specific as possible. For
                example, you should tell us the numbers of the sections or paragraphs
                that are unclearly written, which sections or sentences are too long,
                the sections where you feel lists or tables would be useful, etc.
                National Environmental Policy Act (42 U.S.C. 4321 et seq.)
                 We determined that we do not need to prepare an environmental
                assessment or an environmental impact statements, as defined under the
                authority of the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969 (42 U.S.C.
                4321 et seq.), in connection with regulations adopted pursuant to
                section 4(a) of the Endangered Species Act. We published a notice
                outlining our reasons for this determination in the Federal Register
                October 25, 1983 (48 FR 49244).
                Government-to-Government Relationship With Tribes
                 In accordance with the President's memorandum of April 29, 1994
                (Government-to-Government Relations with Native American Tribal
                Governments; 59 FR 22951), Executive Order 13175 (Consultation and
                Coordination With Indian Tribal Governments), and the Department of the
                Interior's manual at 512 DM 2, we readily acknowledge our
                responsibility to communicate meaningfully with recognized Federal
                Tribes on a government-to-government basis. We have determined that
                there are no tribal interests affected by this proposal.
                References Cited
                 A complete list of references cited in this rulemaking is available
                on the internet at http://www.regulations.gov under Docket No. FWS-R4-
                ES-2019-0073 and upon request from the Caribbean Ecological Services
                Field Office (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
                Authors
                 The primary authors of this proposed rule are the staff members of
                the Service's Species Assessment Team and the Caribbean Ecological
                Services Field Office.
                List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
                 Endangered and threatened species, Exports, Imports, Reporting and
                recordkeeping requirements, Transportation.
                Proposed Regulation Promulgation
                 Accordingly, we propose to amend part 17, subchapter B of chapter
                I, title 50 of the Code of Federal Regulations, as set forth below:
                PART 17--ENDANGERED AND THREATENED WILDLIFE AND PLANTS
                0
                1. The authority citation for part 17 continues to read as follows:
                 Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1361-1407; 1531-1544; and 4201-4245,
                unless otherwise noted.
                Sec. 17.12 [Amended]
                0
                2. Amend Sec. 17.12(h) by removing the entry for ``Lepanthes
                eltoroensis'' under FLOWERING PLANTS from the List of Endangered and
                Threatened Plants.
                 Dated: January 23, 2020.
                Aurelia Skipwith,
                Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
                [FR Doc. 2020-04824 Filed 3-9-20; 8:45 am]
                 BILLING CODE 4333-15-P
                

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