Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Removing Arenaria cumberlandensis (Cumberland Sandwort) From the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened Plants

Published date27 April 2020
Record Number2020-08398
SectionProposed rules
CourtFish And Wildlife Service
Federal Register, Volume 85 Issue 81 (Monday, April 27, 2020)
[Federal Register Volume 85, Number 81 (Monday, April 27, 2020)]
                [Proposed Rules]
                [Pages 23302-23315]
                From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
                [FR Doc No: 2020-08398]
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                DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
                Fish and Wildlife Service
                50 CFR Part 17
                [Docket No. FWS-R4-ES-2019-0080; FXES11130900000C2-189-FF09E42000]
                RIN 1018-BD82
                Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Removing Arenaria
                cumberlandensis (Cumberland Sandwort) From the Federal List of
                Endangered and Threatened Plants
                AGENCY: Fish and Wildlife Service, Interior.
                ACTION: Proposed rule.
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                SUMMARY: We, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service), propose to
                remove Cumberland sandwort (Arenaria cumberlandensis) from the Federal
                List of Endangered and Threatened Plants (List). We also announce the
                availability of a draft post-delisting monitoring (PDM) plan for the
                Cumberland sandwort. We seek information, data, and comments from the
                public on this proposed rule and on the associated draft PDM plan. If
                this proposal is finalized, the Cumberland sandwort will be removed
                from the List.
                DATES: We will accept comments received or postmarked on or before June
                26, 2020. Comments submitted electronically using the Federal
                eRulemaking Portal (see ADDRESSES, below) must be received by 11:59
                p.m. Eastern Time on the closing date. We must receive requests for
                public hearings, in writing, at the address shown in FOR FURTHER
                INFORMATION CONTACT by June 11, 2020.
                ADDRESSES: You may submit comments on this proposed rule and draft PDM
                plan by one of the following methods:
                 (1) Electronically: Go to the Federal eRulemaking Portal: http://www.regulations.gov. In the Search box, enter FWS-R4-ES-2019-0080,
                which is the docket number for this rulemaking. Then, click on the
                Search button. On the resulting page, in the Search panel on the left
                side of the screen, under the Document Type heading, click on the
                Proposed Rule box to locate this document. You may submit a comment by
                clicking on ``Comment Now!''
                 (2) By hard copy: Submit by U.S. mail to: Public Comments
                Processing, Attn: FWS-R4-ES-2019-0080; U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service,
                MS: PRB/3W, 5275 Leesburg Pike, Falls Church, VA 22041-3803.
                 We request that you send comments only by the methods described
                above. We will post all comments on http://www.regulations.gov. This
                generally means that we will post any personal information you provide
                us (see Public Comments, below, for more information).
                 Document availability: The proposed rule, draft PDM plan, and
                supporting documents are available at http://www.regulations.gov under
                Docket No. FWS-R4-ES-2019-0080.
                FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Lee Andrews, Field Supervisor, U.S.
                Fish and Wildlife Service, Tennessee Ecological Services Field Office,
                446 Neal Street, Cookeville, Tennessee, 38501; telephone (931) 528-
                6481. Individuals who use a telecommunications device for the deaf
                (TDD), may call the Federal Relay Service at (800) 877-8339.
                SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
                Executive Summary
                 Why we need to publish a rule. Under the Endangered Species Act of
                1973, as amended (Act), we are required to conduct a review of all
                listed species at least once every 5 years (5-year review) to review
                their status and determine whether they should be classified
                differently or removed from listed status. In our 2013 5-year review
                for the Cumberland sandwort, we recommended reclassifying the species
                from endangered to threatened. We initiated another 5-year review for
                the species on May 7, 2018 (83 FR 20093), and determined the species
                met the criteria for delisting. Therefore, we are publishing this
                proposed rule to delist the species.
                 What this document does. This document proposes to remove the
                Cumberland sandwort from the List. It also announces the availability
                of a draft PDM plan for the Cumberland sandwort. This determination is
                based on a thorough review of the best available scientific and
                commercial data, which indicate that the Cumberland sandwort has
                recovered and no longer meets the definition of an endangered or a
                threatened species under the Act. Our review shows that threats to the
                species identified at the time of listing (i.e., timber harvesting,
                trampling from recreational uses, and digging for archaeological
                artifacts) have been reduced to the point that they no longer threaten
                the species, and the Cumberland sandwort has increased in abundance and
                range. Our review also indicates that potential effects of projected
                climate change are not expected to cause the species to become
                endangered in the foreseeable future.
                 The basis for our action. Under the Act, we may determine that a
                species is an endangered or threatened species because of one or more
                of the five factors described in section 4(a)(1) of the Act. We must
                consider the same factors in removing a species from the List
                (delisting) in determining whether a species meets the definition of an
                endangered species or a threatened species.
                 Here, we have determined that the Cumberland sandwort may be
                considered for delisting based on recovery. In the rule listing the
                Cumberland sandwort (53 FR 23745, June 23, 1988), the primary threats
                identified for the species were the destruction and modification of
                habitat (Factor A) due to trampling by recreational users of the
                rockhouse and bluff habitats where the species occurs, trampling and
                soil disturbance from looting of archeological artifacts (i.e., relic
                digging), and timber harvesting in or adjacent to occupied sites. While
                some habitats occupied by Cumberland sandwort are exposed to these
                potential stressors, many are protected from these activities, and
                available data support the determination that the species is more
                resilient to these threats than was assumed at the time of listing. The
                listing rule also discussed limited distribution and small population
                size (Factor E), along with inadequate regulatory mechanisms for
                preventing habitat destruction (Factor D), as factors contributing to
                the species' endangerment. However, our review of the status of and
                listing factors for the Cumberland sandwort indicated: (1) An increase
                in the number of occurrences of the species within its geographically
                restricted range and increased abundance in some occurrences; (2)
                resiliency to existing and potential threats; (3) the protection of 66
                extant occurrences located on Federal and State conservation lands by
                regulations
                [[Page 23303]]
                or management plans to prevent habitat destruction or removal of
                plants; and (4) the implementation of beneficial management practices.
                Accordingly, the Cumberland sandwort no longer meets the definition of
                an endangered or threatened species under the Act.
                 Peer review. We are requesting comments from independent
                specialists to ensure that we base our determination on scientifically
                sound data, assumptions, and analyses.
                Information Requested
                Public Comments
                 We want any final rule resulting from this proposal to be as
                accurate and effective as possible. Therefore, we invite tribal and
                governmental agencies, the scientific community, industry, and other
                interested parties to submit data, comments, and new information
                concerning this proposed rule. The comments that will be most useful
                and likely to influence our decision are those that are supported by
                data or peer-reviewed studies and those that include citations to, and
                analyses of, applicable laws and regulations. Please make your comments
                as specific as possible and explain the basis for them. In addition,
                please include sufficient information with your comments to allow us to
                authenticate any scientific or commercial data you reference or
                provide. In particular, we are seeking comments on:
                 (1) Biological data regarding the Cumberland sandwort, including
                the locations of any additional occurrences, survey data, or other
                relevant information;
                 (2) Relevant data concerning any threats (or lack thereof) to the
                Cumberland sandwort;
                 (3) Additional information regarding the range, distribution, life
                history, ecology, and habitat of the Cumberland sandwort;
                 (4) Current or planned activities within the geographic range of
                the Cumberland sandwort that may negatively impact or benefit the
                Cumberland sandwort; and
                 (5) The draft PDM plan and the methods and approach detailed in it.
                 Please note that submissions merely stating support for or
                opposition to the action under consideration without providing
                supporting information, although noted, will not be considered in
                making a determination, as section 4(b)(1)(A) of the Act directs that
                determinations as to whether any species is an endangered or threatened
                species must be made ``solely on the basis of the best scientific and
                commercial data available.''
                 In developing a final determination on this proposed action, we
                will take into consideration all comments and any additional
                information we receive. Such information may lead to a final rule that
                differs from this proposal. All comments and recommendations, including
                names and addresses, will become part of the administrative record.
                 You may submit your comments and materials concerning the proposed
                rule by one of the methods listed in ADDRESSES. We request that you
                send comments only by the methods described in ADDRESSES.
                 We will post your entire comment--including your personal
                identifying information--on http://www.regulations.gov. If you provide
                personal identifying information in your comment, you may request at
                the top of your document that we withhold this information from public
                review. However, we cannot guarantee that we will be able to do so.
                 Comments and materials we receive, as well as supporting
                documentation we used in preparing this proposed rule, will be
                available for public inspection on http://www.regulations.gov.
                Public Hearing
                 Section 4(b)(5)(E) of the Act provides for one or more public
                hearings on this proposal, if requested. We must receive requests for a
                public hearing, in writing, at the address shown in FOR FURTHER
                INFORMATION CONTACT by the date shown in DATES. We will schedule a
                public hearing on this proposal, if requested, and announce the date,
                time, and place of the hearing, as well as how to obtain reasonable
                accommodations, in the Federal Register at least 15 days before the
                hearing.
                Peer Review
                 In accordance with our policy published in the Federal Register on
                July 1, 1994 (59 FR 34270), and our August 22, 2016, memorandum
                updating and clarifying the role of peer review of listing actions
                under the Act, we will solicit the expert opinions of at least three
                appropriate and independent specialists regarding the science in this
                proposed rule and the draft PDM plan. The purpose of such review is to
                ensure that we base our decisions on scientifically sound data,
                assumptions, and analyses. The peer reviewers will be selected based
                upon their expertise in the Cumberland sandwort's biology, habitat, and
                physical or biological factors that will inform our determination. We
                will send peer reviewers copies of this proposed rule and the draft PDM
                plan immediately following publication of this proposed rule in the
                Federal Register. We will invite them to comment, during the public
                comment period, on the specific assumptions and conclusions regarding
                this proposed delisting rule and the associated draft PDM plan. We will
                summarize the opinions of these reviewers in the final decision
                documents, and we will consider their input and any additional
                information we receive as part of our process of making a final
                decision on this proposal and draft PDM plan. Such communication may
                lead to a final decision that differs from this proposal.
                Previous Federal Actions
                 On June 23, 1988, we listed the Cumberland sandwort as endangered,
                due to the threat of habitat destruction or modification resulting from
                unintended trampling by recreational users of public lands,
                unauthorized digging of Native American artifacts, and timber
                harvesting, combined with the low number of occurrences known to exist
                at the time of listing and low abundance at most occurrences (53 FR
                23745). On June 20, 1996, we released a recovery plan for the
                Cumberland sandwort (Service 1996). We completed another 5-year review
                for the Cumberland sandwort on December 23, 2013. This 5-year review
                summarized all new information accumulated on the species since the
                publication of the species' recovery plan and recommended
                reclassification to threatened status. We initiated a third 5-year
                review for the species on May 7, 2018 (83 FR 20093), and, based on our
                review of available data we gathered during preparation of that 5-year
                review, and presented herein, we have determined that the recovery
                criteria for delisting the species have been met. This rule will,
                therefore, equate to our 5-year review. We are providing the 2013 5-
                year review as a supplemental document to the proposed rule at https://www.regulations.gov at (Docket No. FWS-R4-ES-2019-0080) or https://www.fws.gov/southeast/endangered-species-act/five-year-reviews/.
                 For additional details on previous Federal actions, including
                recovery actions, see discussion under the Recovery section of the
                preamble, below.
                Species Information
                 Below, we present a thorough review of the taxonomy, life history,
                ecology, and overall status of this plant, referencing data from the
                2013 5-year review (Service 2013) where appropriate.
                [[Page 23304]]
                Taxonomy
                 Cumberland sandwort (Arenaria cumberlandensis), a member of the
                Pink family (Caryophyllaceae), was first recognized and described as a
                species in 1979 (Wofford and Kral 1979, entire). This species, along
                with several other species of Arenaria, was transferred to the genus
                Minuartia while retaining the specific epithet (McNeill 1980, entire).
                The species is listed as Minuartia cumberlandensis (Wofford and Kral)
                McNeill in A Fifth Checklist of Tennessee Vascular Plants (Chester et
                al. 2009, p. 43), the Integrated Taxonomic Information System (ITIS)
                (2019), and Flora of North America (2019). However, an examination of
                the taxonomy of Minuartia using DNA sequences determined that all
                species in Minuartia section Uninerviae should be elevated to genus
                Mononeuria, along with Geocarpon minimum (Dillenberger and Kadereit
                2014, p. 79). The Flora of the Southern and Mid-Atlantic States
                accepted this recommendation, assigning the name Mononeuria
                cumberlandensis (B.E. Wofford & Kral) Dillenberger & Kadereit to
                Cumberland sandwort (Weakley 2015, p. 820). Although there have been
                changes to the species' taxonomy since the time of listing, we are
                proposing to remove the species from the List of Endangered and
                Threatened Plants using the name by which it was initially listed,
                Arenaria cumberlandensis (=Mononeuria cumberlandensis).
                Population Genetics
                 In a study of populations in Tennessee, Cumberland sandwort was
                found to possess ``fairly high'' levels of genetic variation (Winder
                2004, pp. 16-19). Observed levels of heterozygosity were consistent
                with expected effects of frequent mating among closely related
                individuals, or inbreeding (Winder 2004, p. 19), a common phenomenon in
                small populations due to the greater likelihood that most or all
                individuals in the population will be closely related (Allendorf and
                Luikart 2007, p. 306). Greater genetic similarity was found among
                populations within about 4 kilometers (km) (2.5 miles (mi)) of one
                another, but a wide range of values were observed at distances of 4 to
                25 kilometers (2.5 to 15.5 mi), beyond which populations were
                consistently dissimilar (Winder 2004, p. 27). Thus, Cumberland sandwort
                populations generally are genetically independent of one another and
                have been for a significant period of time, with possible exceptions
                where gene flow could occur among densely clustered populations in
                close geographic proximity to one another (Winder 2004, p. 28). The
                majority of the genetic variation found in the species is retained
                within a central cluster of populations located in Pickett County,
                Tennessee, and in Laurel Fork (Fentress County) (Winder 2004, p. 37).
                The genetic structure of the lone Kentucky population and its relation
                to sites sampled in Tennessee are unknown.
                Species Description
                 The following description of Cumberland sandwort is modified from
                Wofford and Kral (1979, pp. 257-259) and Kral (1983, pp. 363-364). This
                species is a delicate perennial that occurs in small cushionlike
                clumps, with upright stems 10 to 15 centimeters (cm) (4 to 6 inches
                (in)) tall that are slender and triangular in shape. Leaves are
                opposite, 2 to 3 cm (0.8 to 1.2 in) long and 1 to 3 millimeters (mm)
                (0.04 to 0.12 in) wide, and are thin and bright green in color, with
                glassy margins. Basal leaves are longer and wider than those at the top
                of the stems. The flowers are symmetrical, five-parted, and usually
                solitary at the end of the stems. The sepals (a part of the flower that
                provides protection for the flower in bud and sometimes provides
                support for petals when in bloom) are green and inconspicuously three-
                veined, and the white petals usually have five green veins. The fruit
                is a 3- to 3.5-mm-long (0.12 to 0.14 in) ovoid capsule containing
                numerous reddish-brown reticulated (having the form or appearance of a
                net) seeds that are 0.5 to 0.7 mm (0.02 to 0.03 inches) long.
                 The mild conditions of the sheltered habitat where Cumberland
                sandwort occurs allow rosettes (circular arrangement of leaves) to
                persist through winter and produce abundant, leafy stems in the spring
                (Winder 2004, p. 5). The species flowers from May through August, with
                some flowers persisting as late as November (Wofford and Kral 1979, p.
                259; Winder 2004, p. 5).
                Habitat
                 Cumberland sandwort inhabits fine-grained, sandy soils that
                comprise the floors of the interior of ``rockhouses'' (cave-like
                recesses produced by differential weathering of sandstone). These
                habitats are typically behind the dripline of overlying cliffs, ledges,
                and solution pockets of cliffs, where these features are found in
                Pennsylvanian sandstones on the Cumberland Plateau in southern Kentucky
                and northern Tennessee (Horton 2017, entire). The species occupies
                sites that generally share characteristics of high levels of shade,
                moisture, and humidity, and relatively constant, cool temperatures
                (Wofford and Smith 1980, p. 7), although some smaller occurrences
                occupy drier and warmer sites. Few other species are directly
                associated with Cumberland sandwort microsites, but the following
                species are important indicators that suitable habitat conditions are
                present within a given rockhouse or bluff site: Silene rotundifolia
                (round-leaved catchfly), Thalictrum clavatum (mountain meadow-rue),
                Heuchera parviflora (little-flowered alumroot), Ageratina lucae-braunae
                (Lucy Braun's snakeroot), Stenanthium diffusum (diffuse reather-bells)
                and the bryophytes Vittaria appalachiana (Appalachian shoestring fern),
                Bryoxiphium norvegicum (Norway bryoxiphium moss), and Scopelophila
                cataractae (cataract scopelophila moss) (TDEC 2011b, p. 5).
                Distribution
                 When Cumberland sandwort was listed as endangered, the species was
                known from 11 occurrences (Wofford and Smith 1980, pp. 9-18), which
                were treated as 5 populations (53 FR 23745, June 23, 1988). Of these
                occurrences, 1 was in McCreary County, Kentucky, and 10 were
                distributed among four Tennessee counties (Fentress, Morgan, Pickett,
                and Scott). The species recovery plan (Service 1996, pp. 6-8) reported
                that 28 occurrences were extant, including the 11 from the listing
                rule, 27 of which were partly or entirely located on publicly owned
                conservation lands. One of these 28 occurrences was in McCreary County,
                Kentucky, and the remaining 27 were distributed among the 4 Tennessee
                counties reported in the listing rule. All occurrences reported in the
                listing rule and species recovery plan were located in the South Fork
                Cumberland River drainage. Of these 28 occurrences, all but 3 were
                extant as of 2017 (TNHID 2018).
                 As explained below, documentation to verify past or present
                existence is lacking for two of the three occurrences we did not
                determine to be extant as of 2017, raising questions regarding their
                validity. The ``Middle Creek 2'' occurrence reported in the recovery
                plan was apparently based on an observation reported by a National Park
                Service (NPS) archaeologist, but staff of the TDEC Division of Natural
                Areas (TDNA) were unable to confirm the presence of Cumberland sandwort
                at the mapped location, which they attribute to a mapping error when
                the occurrence was reported. The Morgan County occurrence reported in
                the recovery plan, with only the site name ``Sunbright'' given for
                location information, also cannot be verified. No
                [[Page 23305]]
                citation was provided in the recovery plan for this record, and no
                record existed for this site in the Tennessee Natural Heritage
                Inventory Database (TNHID) (2018), maintained by the Natural Heritage
                Program at TDNA. A search of herbarium records for Cumberland sandwort
                from Morgan County, Tennessee, produced no specimens from the vicinity
                of Sunbright (SERNEC Data Portal 2018). However, a new extant
                occurrence record was documented in TNHID for Scott County, based on
                the label for a specimen collected in 2002 from a site not previously
                known to be occupied by Cumberland sandwort.
                 The Big Branch occurrence reported in the recovery plan was not
                recorded in the TNHID (2018), so no attempts have been made to relocate
                this occurrence. Staff from NPS reported the occurrence in comments
                provided after reviewing the draft recovery plan (NPS 1995). We
                provided information to TDNA on the Big Branch occurrence reported by
                NPS, and there is now a historical record for this occurrence in the
                TNHID.
                 In order to evaluate the current status of Cumberland sandwort, we
                used data from Natural Heritage Programs in Kentucky (KNHP 2018) and
                Tennessee (TNHID 2018) to determine the location and condition of
                mapped element occurrences. An element occurrence (E.O.) is a
                fundamental unit of information in the NatureServe Natural Heritage
                methodology, and is defined as ``an area of land and/or water in which
                a species . . . is, or was present'' (NatureServe 2004). There were 64
                extant occurrences of Cumberland sandwort reported in the 2013 5-year
                review. As of 2018, there were 71 extant occurrences, distributed among
                the 5 counties where the species was reported to be extant when the
                recovery plan was published: 1 in McCreary County, Kentucky (Kentucky
                Natural Heritage Program (KNHP) 2018); 1 in Morgan, 26 in Fentress, 38
                in Pickett, and 5 in Scott Counties, Tennessee (TNHID 2018). Of these
                occurrences, 12 occur within the Obey River drainage in Tennessee; 11
                of these occurrences have been discovered since 2005 on recently
                acquired, State-owned conservation lands, and 1 on privately owned
                lands in 2016. The remaining 59 occurrences lie within the South Fork
                Cumberland River drainage, and all but 1 in Tennessee. Four of the
                occurrences in the South Fork Cumberland River drainage are located on
                privately owned lands in Tennessee; the remainder are located on state
                or federal conservation lands. In addition to these 71 natural
                occurrences of Cumberland sandwort, one introduced occurrence has been
                established in McCreary County, Kentucky, on the Daniel Boone National
                Forest (DBNF) (Pence et al. 2011, entire).
                Framework for Monitoring and Evaluating Trends
                 The TDEC Natural Heritage Program began monitoring Cumberland
                sandwort in Tennessee during 2000, estimating abundance in 34 sites as
                part of a project to conduct surveys for new locations and update
                records for previously known occurrences of the species (TDEC 2000,
                entire). The number of occurrences monitored has increased to 55, and
                TDEC has categorized sites into three tiers of differing priority, with
                highest priority sites to be most frequently monitored (TDEC 2007, p.
                5):
                 Tier 1 sites have a history of site disturbance related to
                recreational use or illicit digging of Native American artifacts.
                 Tier 2 sites face fewer immediate threats in the less
                frequently visited sites they occupy.
                 Tier 3 sites faced no imminent threats at the time of
                categorization.
                 Designating tiers provides for more frequent monitoring of sites
                with a greater likelihood of being adversely affected by known threats
                that could warrant management intervention. Tier 1 sites are monitored
                every 1 to 3 years, Tier 2 sites every 3 to 6 years, and Tier 3 sites
                every 6 to 10 years (TDEC 2007, p. 5). In addition to monitoring during
                2000 and 2006 (before the tier system was developed), TDEC monitored
                Tier 1 sites during 2010 and 2011 (TDEC 2011a, entire), 2014 (TDEC
                2014, entire), and 2017 (TDEC unpublished data). Tier 2 sites were
                monitored during 2011 through 2012 (TDEC 2012, entire), and Tier 3
                sites were monitored during 2016 and 2017 (TDEC unpublished data).
                 The Service receives monitoring data in the form of written reports
                and occurrence-level summary data provided in the TNHID (2018). We used
                these summary data to determine which sites in each tier had been
                monitored in two or more years, making it possible to assess whether
                Cumberland sandwort had declined, remained stable, or increased either
                in estimated abundance or area occupied. Based on data provided in the
                TNHID, 18 occurrences are in Tier 1, 24 in Tier 2, and 13 in Tier 3 for
                which such data were available. Tier 1 occurrences have been monitored
                an average of 4.7 times, with time between initial and the most recent
                monitoring events averaging 15.8 years. Tier 2 occurrences have been
                monitored an average of 2.4 times over an average timespan of 8.4
                years. Tier 3 occurrences have been monitored an average of 2.4 times
                over an average timespan of 12.1 years. Fifteen occurrences in
                Tennessee have been monitored only once or have not, as yet, been
                assigned to a monitoring tier.
                 After reviewing all available monitoring data, TDEC assessed
                whether individual occurrences had declined, remained stable, or
                increased over the time that they have been monitored (McCoy 2018,
                pers. comm.). However, statistical trend analysis of Cumberland
                sandwort monitoring data from Tennessee is not feasible for two
                reasons: First, estimates of abundance generated in 2000 and in later
                monitoring events lack adequate precision for statistically analyzing
                change in abundance over time, and second, visual estimates of area
                occupied by the species can introduce potential for observer bias
                because these areas are not precisely measured. However, the
                preparation of hand-drawn maps by TDEC botanists, beginning with the
                initial monitoring effort in 2000, allows tracking persistence and
                stability of individual patches within occupied sites and detecting
                substantial changes in their estimated size. Based on the best
                available data, of the 18 Tier 1 occurrences, 2 demonstrate evidence of
                decline, 13 are stable, and 3 have increased. Of the 24 Tier 2
                occurrences that have been monitored on two or more occassions, 5
                demonstrate evidence of decline, 18 are stable, and 1 has increased. Of
                the 13 Tier 3 occurrences, 2 have declined, 10 are stable, and 1 has
                increased (McCoy 2018, pers. comm.).
                Recovery
                 Section 4(f) of the Act directs us to develop and implement
                recovery plans for the conservation and survival of threatened and
                endangered species unless we determine that such a plan will not
                promote the conservation of the species. Recovery plans are not
                regulatory documents and are instead intended to: (1) Establish goals
                for long-term conservation of a listed species; (2) define criteria
                that are designed to indicate when the threats facing a species have
                been removed or reduced to such an extent that the species may no
                longer need the protections of the Act; and (3) provide guidance to our
                Federal, State, and other governmental and non-governmental partners on
                methods to minimize threats to listed species. There are many paths to
                accomplishing recovery of a species, and recovery may be achieved
                without all criteria being fully met. For example, one or more criteria
                may have been exceeded while other criteria may not
                [[Page 23306]]
                have been accomplished, yet the Service may judge that, overall, the
                threats have been minimized sufficiently, and the species is robust
                enough, to reclassify the species from endangered to threatened or
                perhaps delist the species. In other cases, recovery opportunities may
                have been recognized that were not known at the time the recovery plan
                was finalized. These opportunities may be used instead of methods
                identified in the recovery plan.
                 Likewise, information on the species may be learned that was not
                known at the time the recovery plan was finalized. The new information
                may change the extent that criteria need to be met for recognizing
                recovery of the species. In short, recovery of species is a dynamic
                process requiring adaptive management that may, or may not, fully
                follow the guidance provided in a recovery plan.
                 The Cumberland Sandwort Recovery Plan (see Previous Federal
                Actions, above) included recovery criteria to indicate when threats to
                the species have been adequately addressed and prescribed actions that
                were thought to be necessary for achieving those criteria. Below we
                discuss our analysis of available data and our determination as to
                whether recovery criteria for Cumberland sandwort have been achieved.
                Recovery Criteria
                 The objective of the recovery plan is to delist the Cumberland
                sandwort. Recovery criteria in the plan state that Arenaria
                cumberlandensis (Cumberland sandwort) will be considered for
                reclassification from endangered to threatened status when 30
                geographically distinct, self-sustaining occurrences are protected in
                four counties in Tennessee and Kentucky and have maintained stable or
                increasing numbers for 5 consecutive years. The species will be
                considered for delisting when 40 geographically distinct, self-
                sustaining occurrences are protected and have maintained statistically
                stable or increasing numbers for 5 consecutive years. At least 12 of
                these occurrences must be in counties other than Pickett County,
                Tennessee.
                 Methods were chosen for monitoring that minimize trampling of
                Cumberland sandwort and disturbance of the sandy soil substrate the
                species occupies. The tradeoff of using this method to minimize
                disturbance is the inability to statistically analyze trends for
                individual occurrences or Cumberland sandwort as a species. To address
                this limitation, we developed a framework for using available
                distribution and monitoring data, aerial photography, and qualitative
                assessment of trends for each occurrence to evaluate whether recovery
                criteria for Cumberland sandwort have been achieved.
                 Using this framework we assessed the species' viability based on
                the three conservation biology principles of resiliency,
                representation, and redundancy (Shaffer and Stein 2000, entire).
                Resiliency is the ability to sustain populations in the face of
                environmental variation and transient perturbations. To be resilient, a
                species must have healthy populations that are able to sustain
                themselves through good and bad years. The greater the number of
                healthier populations, the more resiliency a species possesses.
                Representation is the range of variation or adaptive diversity found in
                a species, and is the source of a species' ability to adapt to near-
                and long-term changes in the environment. Maintaining adaptive
                diversity requires conserving both ecological and genetic diversity,
                which enable a species to be more responsive and adaptive to change
                and, therefore, more viable. Finally, redundancy protects species
                against the unpredictable and highly consequential events for which
                adaptation is unlikely, allowing them to withstand catastrophic events.
                Redundancy spreads risk and is best achieved by having multiple
                populations widely distributed across a species' range.
                 We characterized the resiliency of 69 of the 71 extant Cumberland
                sandwort occurrences using available data on three factors (complete
                data were not available for two of the extant occurrences): Occurrence
                size expressed as estimated abundance or areal coverage, recorded
                observations of threats causing disturbance to plants or the substrates
                in which they were rooted, and assessment of general forest conditions
                from recorded observations or evaluation of aerial photography, for the
                reasons that follow. Smaller populations are at greater risk of (1)
                losing genetic variation due to drift (change in the frequency of
                alleles in a population due to random, stochastic events), and (2)
                inbreeding, which decreases the likelihood that an individual will
                receive pollen from a compatible mate and produce viable offspring
                (Allendorf and Luikart 2007, pp. 122-123). Small populations also may
                face higher risks of extinction due to diminished resilience to
                demographic and environmental stochasticity (M[uuml]nzbergov[aacute]
                2006, p. 143). Demographic stochasticity is the variation in vital
                rates (i.e., probabilities of survival and reproduction) among
                individuals of a given age or life-cycle stage, at a given point in
                time, while environmental stochasticity is variation in vital rates
                over time, affecting all individuals of a given age or stage similarly
                (Lande 1988, p. 1457). Undisturbed substrates contribute to Cumberland
                sandwort resiliency by providing suitable sites for germination,
                growth, and reproduction to occur. Also, the presence of contiguous
                forest vegetation in the vicinity of Cumberland sandwort occurrences
                helps to maintain suitable hydrology and microclimate, potentially
                buffering severity of stress resulting from environmental
                perturbations, such as drought. We evaluated representation by
                considering the distribution of resilient occurrences among the
                counties and watersheds from which the species is known. Finally, we
                evaluated redundancy based on the overall number of resilient
                occurrences distributed throughout its range.
                 In evaluating resiliency, we used estimates of abundance, where
                available, combined with estimates of areal coverage to provide a basis
                for categorizing occurrences into groups of low, medium, or high
                abundance. Occurrences with fewer than 100 individuals (Heschel and
                Page 1995, pp. 128-131; M[uuml]nzbergov[aacute] 2006, p. 148) or with
                areal coverage less than 1 m\2\ were ranked ``low''; occurrences with
                100-1,000 individuals or with areal coverage ranging from 1 to 5 m\2\
                were ranked ``medium''; and occurrences with more than 1,000
                individuals or areal coverage greater than 5 m\2\ were ranked ``high''.
                We ranked substrate conditions at each occurrence based on recorded
                observations of threats (TDEC 2011b, pp. 37-44). Substrate conditions
                were ranked ``high'' for sites with no record of disturbance;
                ``medium'' for sites with moderate risk of exposure to the threat based
                on limited historical evidence of digging for archeological artifacts
                (i.e., relic digging) or trampling by humans or wildlife in limited
                areas within available habitat; and ``low'' for sites with high risk of
                exposure as indicated by recent evidence of relic digging or trampling
                throughout available habitat. We used aerial imagery available through
                Google Earth ProTM to determine whether forests in the
                general vicinity of Cumberland sandwort occurrences exhibited signs of
                timber harvest, as indicated by substantially reduced tree densities,
                presence of logging equipment trails, or conversion to non-native,
                evergreen forest types. Forest conditions were ranked ``high'' in
                locations where late seral forest was present upslope and downslope of
                occupied sites and in adjacent areas;
                [[Page 23307]]
                ``medium'' in locations where risk of exposure to the threat was
                moderate based on evidence of logging having occurred within the prior
                15 years in the vicinity of, but not immediately upslope, downslope, or
                adjacent to, occurrences; and ``low'' in sites where risk of exposure
                was high based on evidence of logging within the prior 15 years in the
                forest immediately surrounding the occupied habitat.
                 Of the 69 occurrences that we could evaluate for all 3 resiliency
                factors, 12 were ranked as low in abundance, 27 ranked medium, and 30
                occurrences ranked high. Substrate conditions ranked low at 12, medium
                at 25, and high at 32 occurrences. We were able to evaluate forest
                conditions at all 71 extant occurrences, with the following results: 8
                occurrences ranked low, 3 ranked medium, and 60 ranked high.
                 Using the ranks for the 3 resiliency factors (abundance, substrate
                condition, and forest condition), we calculated an overall resiliency
                index for 68 of the 70 Tennessee occurrences (table 1) and the lone
                Kentucky occurrence. We assigned numerical scores of one for factor
                ranks of ``low,'' two for ``medium'' ranks, and three for ``high''
                ranks. Using these scores, we calculated a weighted average, wherein
                factor ranks for abundance were given twice the weight of factor ranks
                for substrate and forest condition, due to the importance of population
                size in maintaining genetic variation and determining resilience to
                demographic and environmental stochasticity (Sgr[ograve] et al. 2011,
                p. 329). The resulting resiliency index for an occurrence ranges from
                one to three and is categorized as follows:
                 Low rank for scores of 1.5 or less;
                 Low-medium rank for scores greater than 1.5 and less than
                2.0;
                 Medium rank for scores ranging from 2.0 to 2.5;
                 Medium-high rank for scores greater than 2.5 and less than
                3.0;
                 High rank for scores of 3.0.
                 Available data for the Kentucky occurrence indicate that the
                species abundance rank is medium at that location and that the
                occurrence is not exposed to threats from trampling or relic digging.
                This location, in BSF, is protected from timber harvesting, and
                available data indicate that surrounding forests are undisturbed. These
                factors produced an overall resiliency rank of medium for this
                occurrence.
                 In Tennessee, 56 occurrences had overall resiliency ranks of medium
                or higher. Table 1 shows the resiliency ranks for all Tennessee
                occurrences. All of the stable and increasing trends in the medium,
                medium-high, and high resiliency ranks represent counts of occurrences
                considered self-sustaining, as required by recovery criteria.
                 Table 1--Resiliency Index Ranks for Cumberland Sandwort Occurrences in Tennessee
                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Monitoring tier Trend Low Low- medium Medium Medium- high High
                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                One....................................... Decline..................... 2 .............. .............. .............. ..............
                 Stable...................... 1 1 7 4 ..............
                 Increase.................... .............. .............. .............. 2 1
                Two....................................... Decline..................... 3 .............. 2 .............. ..............
                 Stable...................... 2 .............. 10 3 2
                 Increase.................... .............. .............. .............. 1 ..............
                Three..................................... Decline..................... 1 .............. 1 .............. ..............
                 Stable...................... .............. .............. 4 3 3
                 Increase.................... .............. .............. 1 .............. ..............
                Other..................................... n/a......................... 1 1 7 .............. 5
                 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Total................................. ............................ 10 2 32 13 11
                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 For the purpose of evaluating Cumberland sandwort's status with
                respect to recovery criteria, we define self-sustaining to include
                those populations that had an overall resiliency index rank of medium
                or higher and that TDEC determined were stable or increasing (Table 1)
                based on available monitoring data, as described above in Species
                Information. For the Kentucky occurrence, available data indicate that
                the occurrence is stable. We consider 66 occurrences on Federal or
                State conservation lands (Table 2), as well as 2 occurrences located on
                private lands where land use is restricted by conservation easements,
                to be protected. Using these definitions, 42 protected occurrences
                (including the 1 in Kentucky) are self-sustaining (table 1 presents
                data for Tennessee). These occurrences have been known to exist for an
                average of 21 years, with a range of 7 to 44 years spanning the first
                and most recent observations recorded for the species in these sites.
                This exceeds one criterion for removing Cumberland sandwort from the
                List--i.e., that there be at least 40 geographically distinct,
                protected, and self-sustaining occurrences that have been stable or
                increasing for at least 5 years.
                 Table 2--Land Ownership for 66 Cumberland Sandwort Occurrences on
                 Federal and State Conservation Lands
                 [Note: Number of occurrences in table sums to 70, but 4 occurrences
                 occupy habitats spanning adjacent lands owned by TDF and TSP and are
                 counted only once for total]
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Number of
                 Agency Land unit occurrences
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                National Park Service......... Big South Fork 27.
                 National Scenic River
                 and Recreation Area
                 (BSF).
                Tennessee Division of Forestry Pickett State Forest 29 (4 partially
                 (TDF). (PSF). on TSP lands).
                Tennessee Division of Natural Pogue Creek Canyon 7.
                 Areas. State Natural Area
                 (PCNA).
                Tennessee State Parks (TSP)... Pickett CCC Memorial 7 (4 partially
                 State Park (PSP). on TDF lands).
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                [[Page 23308]]
                 The recovery criteria in the recovery plan also require that at
                least 12 of the protected, self-sustaining occurrences be located
                outside of Pickett County, Tennessee, presumably for the purpose of
                increasing representation and redundancy within the species' geographic
                range. Of the 42 occurrences meeting the criterion of being protected
                and self-sustaining, 28 are located in Pickett County, Tennessee, 13
                are located elsewhere in Tennessee (9 in Fentress County, 4 in Scott
                County), and 1 is located in McCreary County, Kentucky. Thus, this
                delisting criterion is also exceeded.
                 Another measure of representation for the species is its
                distribution among major watersheds in which it is found. The recovery
                plan reported in 1996 that the species was known only from the South
                Fork Cumberland watershed, but it is now also known from 12 occurrences
                in the Obey River watershed in Tennessee. Of the 42 occurrences meeting
                the recovery criterion that there be at least 40 geographically
                distinct, protected, and self-sustaining occurrences, 2 are located in
                the Obey River watershed. The low number of occurrences in this
                watershed meeting this criterion is primarily due to the recent
                discovery of any occurrences in this watershed and consequent lack of
                repeat observations. In addition to the two occurrences in the Obey
                River watershed meeting the recovery criterion above, nine occurrences
                on protected lands have resiliency indices of medium or higher, and we
                expect that they will be self-sustaining and contribute to the species
                representation of resilient occurrences into the foreseeable future.
                 Our assessment of the viability of Cumberland sandwort supports the
                determination that the recovery criteria for delisting the species have
                been satisfied. The discussion above demonstrates that there are more
                than 40 protected and self-sustaining occurrences of the species,
                distributed among 4 counties in Tennessee and 1 in Kentucky.
                Summary of Factors Affecting the Species
                 Section 4 of the Act and its implementing regulations (50 CFR part
                424) set forth the procedures for listing species, reclassifying
                species, or removing species from listed status. We may determine that
                a species is an endangered or threatened species due to one or more of
                the five factors described in section 4(a)(1) of the Act: (A) The
                present or threatened destruction, modification, or curtailment of its
                habitat or range; (B) overutilization for commercial, recreational,
                scientific, or educational purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D) the
                inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E) other natural or
                manmade factors affecting its continued existence.
                 A recovered species is one that no longer meets the Act's
                definition of endangered or threatened. Determining whether the status
                of a species has improved to the point that it can be delisted or
                downlisted requires consideration of the same five factors identified
                above for listing a species. When Cumberland sandwort was listed as
                endangered in 1988, the identified threats (factors) influencing its
                status were the modification and loss of habitat and curtailment of
                range (Factor A), the inadequacy of State or Federal mechanisms to
                protect its habitat at that time (Factor D), and its limited
                distribution and low abundance in some populations (Factor E). The
                following analysis evaluates these previously identified threats, any
                other threats currently facing the species, as well as any other
                threats that are reasonably likely to affect the species in the
                foreseeable future following the delisting and the removal of the Act's
                protections.
                 The Act does not define the term ``foreseeable future.'' However,
                our implementing regulations at 50 CFR 424.11(d) (84 FR 45020) codify
                that the term ``foreseeable future'' extends only so far into the
                future as the Service can reasonably determine that the conditions
                potentially posing a danger of extinction in the foreseeable future are
                probable. The Service will describe the foreseeable future on a case-
                by-case basis, using the best available data and taking into account
                considerations such as the species' life-history characteristics,
                threat-projection timeframes, and environmental variability. The
                Service need not identify the foreseeable future in terms of a specific
                period of time, but may instead explain the extent to which we can
                reasonably determine that both the future threats and the species'
                responses to those threats are probable. To establish the foreseeable
                future for the purpose of determining whether Cumberland sandwort meets
                the definition of a threatened or endangered species, we evaluated
                trends from historical data on distribution and abundance, ongoing
                conservation efforts, factors currently affecting the species, and
                predictions of future climate change. Structured monitoring of
                Cumberland sandwort populations began in 2000, but records of initial
                observations for occurrences range from 1973 to 2017, with an average
                of 18 years between the earliest and most recent recorded observations
                for a given occurrence. The period of observation is 30 or more years
                for 16 occurrences, which vary in population size and threat exposure.
                These historical data provide insight into Cumberland sandwort's
                exposure and response to potential threats under varying conditions.
                When combined with our knowledge of factors affecting the species,
                available data allow us to reasonably predict future conditions, albeit
                with diminishing precision over time. Given our understanding of the
                best available data, for the purposes of this rule we consider the
                foreseeable future for Cumberland sandwort to be approximately 30
                years.
                 In assessing threats to Cumberland sandwort, we consider the
                exposure of individual occurrences to suspected stressors, available
                data on the species response to those stressors where they have been
                observed, and efforts undertaken to reduce exposure into the future. As
                noted above in Recovery Criteria, available data indicate that the lone
                Kentucky occurrence is not exposed to threats that would result in
                modification or destruction of habitat.
                Habitat Loss and Curtailment of Range
                 In the rule listing the Cumberland sandwort (53 FR 23745, June 23,
                1988), the primary threats identified for the species were the
                destruction and modification of habitat due to trampling by
                recreational users of the rockhouse and bluff habitats where the
                species occurs, trampling and soil disturbance from looting of
                archeological artifacts (i.e., relic digging), and timber harvesting in
                or adjacent to occupied sites.
                 In Tennessee, the potential for trampling or soil disturbance from
                recreational use, wildlife, or relic digging has been noted at 38 sites
                where Cumberland sandwort occurs, with varying degrees of exposure and
                actual risk for adversely affecting the species (TDEC 2011b, pp. 40-44,
                TNHID 2018). In one of these sites (EO 78), signs of trampling and a
                fire pit were observed on the rockhouse floor in 2007 (TNHID 2018), but
                Cumberland sandwort plants are located on ledges and solution pockets
                on the bluff where they are not exposed to trampling. Additionally, no
                fire pit was observed during a site visit by the Service in February
                2019. Of the other 37 sites where risk of trampling or soil disturbance
                has been recorded during monitoring or other site visits, available
                data indicate that Cumberland sandwort faces high risk of exposure in
                12 of them and moderate risk in the other 25. Cumberland sandwort
                [[Page 23309]]
                abundance has declined at 6 of the 12 sites with high exposure risk,
                while 5 have remained stable. Trend data are not available for the
                twelfth site, which was discovered in 2014. Declines in abundance have
                been observed at only three of the sites with moderate risk of
                exposure, while increases have been observed at three others. The
                remaining 19 sites with moderate risk of exposure to the threat of
                trampling or soil disturbance have remained stable. Thus, while the
                potential threat of trampling or soil disturbance has been noted at
                many sites, Cumberland sandwort faces a high risk of actual exposure in
                less than 20 percent of occurrences. Under conditions of moderate
                exposure risk, the species has demonstrated low vulnerability to being
                adversely affected, having maintained stable populations in most
                instances.
                 Protective features, including fences, boardwalks, barricades,
                rerouted trails, and/or informational signs have been installed at 8 of
                the 37 occurrences discussed above, protecting specific habitats
                occupied by Cumberland sandwort. (Service 2013, pp. 13-14, TDEC 2016,
                p. 3). The seven occurrences at PCNA are protected from recreational
                activities by the State's efforts to survey proposed alignments for new
                trails and route them away from sites with Cumberland sandwort.
                Measures such as these reduce or preclude the species' exposure to the
                threat of trampling from recreationists using trails on public lands
                where the species occurs.
                 Timber harvest occurs at PSF, but does not occur at BSF, PSP, or
                PCNA, limiting the potential magnitude of this activity, assumed to be
                a threat to Cumberland sandwort, to less than half of the sites on
                conservation lands. During the course of evaluating forest conditions
                in the vicinity of Cumberland sandwort occurrences, we observed that
                timber harvests had been conducted in the general vicinity of 10
                occurrences at PSF, during the period between approximately 2008 and
                2017. Timber harvests occurred upslope or downslope of seven of these
                occurrences, creating a high risk for exposure to potential effects of
                this threat, and in the general vicinity of three occurrences, where
                exposure risk was moderate. Sometime prior to 1999, the forest was
                converted to pasture on the plateau top above an eleventh occurrence,
                located on privately owned lands. Based on these data, timber harvests
                or forest conversion to pasture have taken place near approximately 15
                percent of Cumberland sandwort sites. Data were available to evaluate
                trends for 10 of these 11 occurrences--3 have declined and 7 have
                remained stable. Monitoring data collected by TDEC at three of these
                occurrences since 2016 revealed no adverse effects from logging
                activities. These data support the conclusion that timber harvests in
                the vicinity of Cumberland sandwort occurrences that do not directly
                impact the species or its habitat may pose little threat in terms of
                indirect effects. This conclusion is also supported by observations
                from visits we conducted in February 2019 to four occurrences with
                nearby timber harvests, in which no adverse effects from off-site
                timber removal were detectable. Based on these observations, we
                conclude that our estimates of forest condition ranks, discussed above
                in Recovery Criteria, likely underestimate the resiliency of
                occurrences in those instances where forest condition ranks were
                reduced due to evidence of nearby logging activities.
                 While some Cumberland sandwort occurrences are exposed to potential
                habitat-related stressors that might, in certain situations, adversely
                affect the species, available monitoring data indicate that the species
                is less vulnerable to these threats than was assumed at the time of
                listing. In the event Cumberland sandwort is removed from the List, our
                draft post-delisting monitoring plan (see Post-delisting Monitoring,
                below) identifies 50 occurrences to be monitored over a period of at
                least 5 years following delisting, including 27 occurrences where risks
                of exposure to soil disturbance or trampling, effects of nearby timber
                harvests, or the two combined have been moderate to high. Continuing to
                monitor sites where Cumberland sandwort is exposed to potential threats
                that were previously assumed to place the species at risk of extinction
                will provide an opportunity to work with land managers to avoid or
                minimize adverse effects should the threats increase in severity or
                extent.
                 In our analysis of Cumberland sandwort's resiliency, discussed
                above in Recovery Criteria, we incorporated available data regarding
                threats that could potentially modify habitat or curtail the species'
                range. We determined that 42 occurrences currently meet the criterion
                of being protected and self-sustaining. These occurrences have been
                known to exist for an average of 21 years, with a range of 7 to 44
                years spanning the first and most recent observations recorded for the
                species in these sites. In addition to these 42 occurrences, 9
                occurrences are protected in the Obey River watershed and 2 in the
                South Fork Cumberland watershed in Tennessee for which sufficient
                monitoring data for evaluating trends in abundance or threats is
                lacking. However, seven of these occurrences in the Obey River drainage
                have no evidence of substrate or forest disturbance, and are located in
                PCNA, where TDEC (no date, pp. 10-11) surveys potential trail routes to
                prevent new trail construction that would expose occurrences to threats
                from recreational uses. No other potential threats to the habitats at
                PCNA have been documented. The two occurrences in the South Fork
                Cumberland drainage are located in BSF and are not affected by any
                known threats because they are remotely located from trail access and
                protected from timber harvest.
                 Thus, available data indicate that the threat of habitat
                modification or curtailment of the species' range has been addressed.
                Limited Distribution and Small Population Sizes
                 The listing rule for Cumberland sandwort identified the species'
                restricted distribution, limited to a small portion of the Cumberland
                Plateau in northern Tennessee and southern Kentucky, and the small size
                of many populations, as factors increasing the risks of population loss
                and potential extinction of the species. The species is still
                restricted to a small portion of the Cumberland Plateau, but the number
                of known occurrences has increased from 11 at the time of listing
                (Wofford and Smith 1980, pp. 9-18, 53 FR 23745) to 71 currently (TNHID
                2018). Three projects have been funded to support searches for new
                Cumberland sandwort occurrences (KSNPC 1991, entire; TDEC 2000, entire;
                TDEC 2008, entire). The single search effort that occurred in Kentucky,
                only in McCreary County, did not expand the known range of Cumberland
                sandwort, but confirmed the known occurrence located in Big Spring
                Hollow and documented that thousands of plants were present at two
                sites mapped at the occurrence (KSNPC 1991, entire). Searches conducted
                in Tennessee in 2000 (TDEC 2000, entire) and 2006-2007 (TDEC 2008,
                entire) produced records for 30 new occurrences on conservation lands
                in Fentress, Pickett, and Scott counties, Tennessee. In addition to
                these three Cumberland sandwort survey projects, surveys at PCNA for
                prospective trail routes have produced records for six additional
                occurrences on conservation lands in Fentress County (TNHID 2018).
                These survey efforts, funded in part by the Service via Section 6
                grants to state agencies for endangered species recovery, contributed
                greatly to increasing the species' distribution to the 71 extant
                occurrences known today.
                [[Page 23310]]
                 Fourteen protected and self-sustaining occurrences are located
                outside of Pickett County, satisfying the recovery criterion concerning
                geographic distribution. And 12 of the 71 occurrences are located in
                the Obey River watershed in Tennessee, increasing the species'
                distribution beyond the South Fork Cumberland watershed, to which the
                species was thought to be restricted at the time of listing.
                 The listing rule discussed small population size as a threat to
                many occurrences, but did not include information on population sizes
                at the time or specify the number of individuals or the size of habitat
                area occupied that would be necessary to buffer against extinction
                risk. As discussed above in Recovery Criteria, we used available data
                to evaluate the species' abundance at known occurrences. We consider
                populations consisting of fewer than 100 individuals or occupying less
                than 1 m\2\ of habitat to be at heightened risk of (1) losing genetic
                variation due to drift (change in the frequency of alleles in a
                population due to random, stochastic events), and (2) inbreeding, which
                decreases the likelihood that an individual will receive pollen from a
                compatible mate and produce viable offspring (Allendorf and Luikart
                2007, pp. 122-123). However, we note that the risk of inbreeding
                depression due to unavailability of incompatible mates might be low for
                Cumberland sandwort, as self-compatibility apparently evolved twice in
                geographically distant populations of the closely related congener
                Mononeuria (=Arenaria) glabra at the edges of the species' range (Wyatt
                1984, p. 815). Based on available data, 12 populations consist of fewer
                than 100 individuals or occupy less than 1 m\2\ of habitat. Six of
                these 12 have been known to persist as small populations for lengths of
                time ranging from 24 to 41 years, indicating that even small poulations
                are likely to persist for the foreseeable future (TNHID 2018). The
                remaining six were discovered in 2000 or later. In contrast, 27
                occurrences contain 100-1,000 individuals or occupy 1 to 5 m\2\ of
                habitat, and 30 occurrences contain more than 1,000 individuals or
                occupy greater than 5 m\2\ of habitat. Estimates of abundance available
                for 24 of the largest occurrences indicate that they collectively hold
                at least 67,000 Cumberland sandwort individuals. These data demonstrate
                that small population size is not a threat to the species, affecting
                less than 20 percent of the 71 extant Cumberland sandwort occurrences.
                 Techniques for micropropagating, cryopreserving, and outplanting
                Cumberland sandwort have been developed and successfully applied to
                establish an introduced population at DBNF (Pence et al. 2011, entire),
                which is not counted among the 71 extant occurrences discussed above.
                This introduced population has grown from an initial outplanting of 63
                individuals to 255 individuals, representing multiple life stages, as
                of 2017 (Taylor 2018, pers. comm.). Eight years after initial
                outplanting, the genetic variation in this population, which was
                established in 2005 from seven genetic lines, was approaching levels of
                genetic diversity comparable to the source population (Philpott et al.
                2014, entire). The Missouri Botanical Garden (MBG) has seeds in storage
                from BSF and PSP that were collected in 1991, 1994, 2005, and 2014
                (Dell 2018, pers. comm.). Collections were made at multiple points in
                time to maintain seed viability in storage. While a cultivated source
                of plants is not currently maintained ex situ, the need for doing so is
                mitigated by the development of methods to micropropagate the species
                from cuttings and by availability of seeds in ex situ collections,
                providing two potential methods for propagating the species should it
                become necessary to do so.
                 Available data support the determination that Cumberland sandwort
                is not likely to become endangered in the foreseeable future due to
                limited distribution or small population sizes.
                Effects of Climate Change
                 Our analyses under the Act include consideration of ongoing and
                projected changes in climate. The terms ``climate'' and ``climate
                change'' are defined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
                (IPCC). The term ``climate change'' thus refers to a change in the mean
                or variability of one or more measures of climate (e.g., temperature or
                precipitation) that persists for an extended period, typically decades
                or longer, whether the change is due to natural variability, human
                activity, or both (IPCC 2014, pp. 119-120). A recent compilation of
                climate change and its effects is available from reports of the IPCC
                (IPCC 2014, entire).
                 The IPCC concluded that evidence of warming of the climate system
                is unequivocal (IPCC 2014, pp. 2, 40). Numerous long-term climate
                changes have been observed including changes in arctic temperatures and
                ice, widespread changes in precipitation amounts, changes in ocean
                salinity, and aspects of extreme weather including heavy precipitation
                and heat waves (IPCC 2014, pp. 40-44). Since 1970, the average annual
                temperature across the Southeast has increased by about 2 degrees
                Fahrenheit ([deg]F), with the greatest increases occurring during
                winter months. The geographic extent of areas in the Southeast region
                affected by moderate to severe spring and summer drought has increased
                over the past three decades by 12 and 14 percent, respectively (Karl et
                al. 2009, p. 111). These trends are expected to increase. Rates of
                warming are predicted to more than double in comparison to what the
                Southeast has experienced since 1975, with the greatest increases
                projected for summer months. Depending on the emissions scenario used
                for modeling change (IPCC 2000, entire), average temperatures are
                expected to increase by 4.5 [deg]F (scenario B1) to 9 [deg]F (scenario
                A2) by the 2080s (Karl et al. 2009, p. 111). While there is
                considerable variability in rainfall predictions throughout the region,
                increases in evaporation of moisture from soils and loss of water by
                plants in response to warmer temperatures are expected to contribute to
                increased frequency, intensity, and duration of drought events (Karl et
                al. 2009, p. 112).
                 We used the National Climate Change Viewer (NCCV), a climate-
                visualization tool developed by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), to
                generate future climate projections across the range of Cumberland
                sandwort. The NCCV is a web-based tool for visualizing projected
                changes in climate and water balance at watershed, State, and county
                scales (USGS 2017). This tool uses air temperature and precipitation
                data from 30 downscaled climate models for two Representative
                Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios, RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, as input to
                a simple water-balance model to simulate changes in the surface water
                balance over historical and future time periods, providing insight into
                potential for climate-driven changes in water resources. To evaluate
                the maximum effects of climate change in the future, we used
                projections from RCP 8.5, which is the most aggressive emissions
                scenario wherein greenhouse gases (GHGs) rise unchecked through the end
                of the century, to characterize projected future changes in climate and
                water resources, averaged across the five counties encompassing the
                range of Cumberland sandwort. The projections estimate change in mean
                annual values, comparing the period 1981 through 2010 with 2050 through
                2074, for maximum and minimum temperature,
                [[Page 23311]]
                monthly precipitation and runoff, snowfall, soil water storage, and
                evaporative deficit.
                 Within the range of Cumberland sandwort, the NCCV projects that,
                under the more extreme RCP 8.5 scenario, maximum temperature will
                increase by 3.2 degrees Celsius ([deg]C) (5.7 degrees [deg]F), minimum
                temperature will increase by 3.1 [deg]C (5.6 [deg]F), precipitation
                will increase by 5.36 mm (0.2 in) per month, soil water storage will
                decrease by 12.2 mm (0.5 in) annually, and evaporative deficit will
                increase by 4.6 mm (0.2 in) per month. Projected changes in snowfall
                are negligible. These estimates indicate that, despite projected
                minimal increases in annual precipitation, anticipated increases in
                maximum and minimum temperatures will offset those gains, leading to a
                net loss in projected runoff and soil water storage. The most notable
                change with respect to water balance between the two time periods is
                that soil storage projections are projected to be significantly reduced
                during the months of June through November for the period 2050 through
                2074. Based on these projections, Cumberland sandwort will on average
                be exposed to increased temperatures across its range which, despite
                limited increases in precipitation, are expected to decrease soil water
                available during the growing season.
                 Assessments of vulnerability of federally listed plants in
                Tennessee to projected climate change have been conducted by two
                different groups (Glick et al. 2015, entire; Kwit 2018, pers. comm.)
                using version 2.1 of NatureServe's Climate Change Vulnerability Index
                (CCVI) (Young et al. 2015, entire). The CCVI is an assessment tool that
                combines results of downscaled climate predictions, characterizing
                direct exposure to projected climate change, with readily available
                information about a species' natural history, distribution, and
                landscape circumstances, which together influence sensitivity to
                change, to predict whether it will likely suffer a range contraction
                and/or population reductions due to the effects of climate change. For
                these assessments using the CCVI, climate change projections were based
                on ensemble climate predictions, representing a median of 16 major
                global circulation models, using a ``middle of the road'' scenario
                (i.e., emission scenario A1B of the IPCC (IPCC 2000, entire)) for GHG
                emissions (Young et al. 2015, p. 14), in contrast to the more extreme
                scenario that we used in the NCCV to project climate and water balance
                changes reported above. From these two assessments, Cumberland sandwort
                was ranked as either ``presumed stable'' (Glick et al. 2015, p. 40) or
                ``moderately vulnerable'' (Kwit 2018, pers. comm.), the latter
                indicating the species' abundance and/or range extent within the
                geographical area assessed would likely decrease by 2050 (Young et al.
                2015, p. 45).
                 The disparate results between these two assessments conducted using
                the same tool illustrate that there is some subjectivity involved in
                evaluating aspects of a species' biology and ecology as they relate to
                CCVI sensitivity factors used to model potential vulnerability to
                projected climate change. In the case of Cumberland sandwort, differing
                judgements of the species' physiological dependence on specific thermal
                and hydrological niches, restriction to uncommon geological features,
                and potential for phenological response to changing climate resulted in
                different outcomes with respect to predicted vulnerability to climate
                change. In the assessment that ranked Cumberland sandwort as moderately
                vulnerable, each of these factors were individually ranked as being
                more likely to increase the species' overall vulnerability than in the
                contrasting assessment that produced a rank of presumed stable.
                 Despite having produced different vulnerability ranks, both
                assessments ranked Cumberland sandwort among the least vulnerable to
                projected climate change of the Federally listed plant species
                evaluated in Tennessee (Glick et al. 2015, p. 40; Kwit 2018, pers.
                comm.). While the rank of moderately vulnerable indicates that
                Cumberland sandwort would likely decrease in abundance and/or range
                extent by 2050, neither assessment using the CCVI predicted that the
                species would become extinct within that timeframe or decrease
                significantly in abundance and/or range extent. Factors contributing to
                potential resilience of the species to projected climate change include
                the topographic complexity of the landscape it occupies, general lack
                of fragmentation among habitats where the species occurs, high
                abundance at some occurrences, and the fact that most occurrences are
                located on conservation lands where known threats can be monitored and
                managed.
                 Evidence of Cumberland sandwort's potential resilience to the
                threat of increased drought frequency and intensity is provided by
                examining available monitoring data in relation to drought records
                available from 2000 through present. We acquired data from the U.S.
                Drought Monitor (USDM) summarizing the number of weeks that the
                geographic area where Cumberland sandwort occurs experienced
                ``extreme'' or ``exceptional'' droughts for periods of more than 2
                consecutive weeks (USDM 2019). The USDM is jointly produced by the
                National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-
                Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, and the National
                Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Since 2000, the four Tennessee
                counties, where all but one Cumberland sandwort occurrence are located,
                have experienced periods of such drought during 2007, 2008, and 2016.
                Prolonged drought conditions began during the last half of June 2007
                and extended into late winter or spring of 2008, depending on the
                county. ``Extreme'' or ``exceptional'' drought conditions in these
                counties started again sometime between August and October 2008, ending
                in early December. During June 2007 through the end of 2008, these
                counties experienced between 26 and 53 cumulative weeks of ``extreme''
                or ``exceptional'' drought conditions for periods that lasted 2 or more
                consecutive weeks. These counties did not experience such drought
                conditions again until a 3-week period during November 2016.
                 To determine whether any population declines recorded through
                monitoring corresponded with documented periods of local drought, we
                examined available data (TNHID 2018) for all sites where monitoring has
                encompassed the two drought periods discussed above. There were 20
                occurrences with data spanning this time range, only one (Tennessee EO
                7) of which was judged to have declined. More than 450 plants were
                estimated to have been present at this site in November 2007, and 351
                plants were counted at the site in September 2017. Cumberland sandwort
                was estimated to have occupied approximately 4 m\2\ of habitat in both
                years. This site's medium rank for abundance did not change over this
                time period. The other 19 sites remained stable over the time period
                encompassing the drought conditions discussed above, with the exception
                of three that increased. Available monitoring data, when considered in
                conjunction with data documenting droughts of extreme or exceptional
                severity within the range of Cumberland sandwort, indicate that the
                species is resilient to this climate phenomenon. Small populations are
                likely the most vulnerable to reductions or loss due to climate change.
                Monitoring data spanning the time period of the droughts discussed
                above were available for 3 occurrences with fewer than 100 individuals
                or that were less than 1 m\2\ in size, all of which remained stable.
                Thus, we conclude that climate change
                [[Page 23312]]
                will not threaten the viability of the species into the foreseeable
                future.
                Cumulative Effects
                 The stressors discussed in the analysis above could work in concert
                with each other and result in a cumulative adverse effect to Cumberland
                sandwort, e.g., one stressor may make the species more vulnerable to
                other threats. For example, stressors discussed under Factor A that
                individually do not rise to the level of a threat could together result
                in habitat degradation or loss. In instances where multiple habitat
                stressors act in concert with small population sizes, occurrences might
                lack resilience needed for population stability or growth. However, the
                potential stressors we identified either have not occurred to the
                extent originally anticipated at the time of listing, or appear to be
                either well-tolerated by the species or adequately managed as described
                in this proposal to delist the species. Our analysis has identified no
                range-wide threats or stressors with significant effects to all
                occurrences. We characterized the presence and relative severity of
                threats resulting from disturbances of substrates or altered forest
                conditions. Only 7 of the 71 extant occurrences were found to be
                potentially exposed to both substrate disturbance and altered forest
                condition. For reasons discussed below in Inadequacy of Regulatory
                Mechanisms, we do not anticipate stressors to increase on conservation
                lands where nearly all of the occurrences are located. Furthermore, the
                increases documented in the number and size of many occurrences since
                the species was listed do not indicate that cumulative effects of
                various activities and stressors are affecting the viability of the
                species at this time or into the future.
                Inadequacy of Existing Regulatory Mechanisms
                 The Commonwealth of Kentucky and the State of Tennessee both list
                Cumberland sandwort as an endangered species. Conservation efforts are
                directed towards such species by KSNPC and TDEC, using funding and
                authorities provided through cooperative agreements with the Service
                under section 6 of the Act for endangered species recovery. Should
                Cumberland sandwort be delisted, these agencies would no longer receive
                such funding specifically for Cumberland sandwort conservation efforts,
                but could allocate a portion of overall funds they receive for post-
                delisting monitoring of the species.
                 The Kentucky Rare Plants Recognition Act, Kentucky Revised Statutes
                (KRS), chapter 146, section 600-619, directs the KSNPC to identify
                plants native to Kentucky that are in danger of extirpation within
                Kentucky and report every 4 years to the Governor and General Assembly
                on the conditions and needs of these endangered or threatened plants.
                The list of endangered or threatened plants in Kentucky is found in the
                Kentucky Administrative Regulations, title 400, chapter 3:040. The
                statute also recognizes the need to develop and maintain information
                regarding distribution, population, habitat needs, limiting factors,
                other biological data, and requirements for the survival of plants
                native to Kentucky. However, this statute does not include any
                regulatory prohibitions of activities or direct protections for any
                species included in the list. It is expressly stated in KRS 146.615
                that this list of endangered or threatened plants shall not obstruct or
                hinder any development or use of public or private land. Furthermore,
                the intent of this statute is not to ameliorate the threats identified
                for the species, but to provide information on the species.
                 The Tennessee Rare Plant Protection and Conservation Act of 1985
                (T.C.A. 11-26-201) authorizes the TDEC to, among other things, conduct
                investigations on species of rare plants throughout the State of
                Tennessee; maintain a listing of species of plants determined to be
                endangered, threatened, or of special concern within the State; and
                regulate the sale or export of endangered species via a licensing
                system. This statute forbids persons from knowingly uprooting, digging,
                taking, removing, damaging, destroying, possessing, or otherwise
                disturbing for any purpose, any endangered species from private or
                public lands without the written permission of the landowner, lessee,
                or other person entitled to possession and prescribes penalties for
                violations. The TDEC may use the list of threatened and special concern
                species when commenting on proposed public works projects in Tennessee,
                and the department shall encourage voluntary efforts to prevent the
                plants on this list from becoming endangered species. It may not,
                however, be used to interfere with, delay, or impede any public works
                project.
                 Cumberland sandwort listing under these State laws may continue
                following Federal delisting, although Federal delisting may prompt
                changes in status in Kentucky or Tennessee. However, we are unaware of
                any planned changes to State protections at this time.
                 Further, Cumberland sandwort habitats on both state and federal
                conservation lands would remain protected by rules, regulations, or
                plans governing the establishment or management of those lands,
                relevant sections of which are summarized below. As noted above in
                Table 1, 66 of the 71 extant Cumberland sandwort occurrences are
                located on Federal or State conservation lands at BSF, PSF, PCNA, and
                PSP.
                 Establishment of the BSF was authorized by section 108 of the Water
                Resources Act of 1974. The NPS manages the 125,000-acre (ac) BSF
                according to prescriptions established for eight management zones in
                Alternative D of the Final General Management Plan/Environmental Impact
                Statement for Big South Fork National River and Recreation Area,
                Kentucky and Tennessee (NPS 2005, entire). Under this management
                framework, habitats occupied by Cumberland sandwort and those that are
                potentially suitable for the species fall within the Sensitive Resource
                Protection Zone, which is managed to reflect natural processes and be
                carefully protected from unnatural degradation (NPS 2005, pp. 31-40).
                 The 20,887-ac PSF was established in 1935 on lands donated to the
                State of Tennessee by Stearns Coal and Lumber Company (retrieved March
                13, 2019 from https://www.tn.gov/agriculture/forests/state-forests/pickett.html). The Rules of the Tennessee Department of Agriculture
                Division of Forestry, Chapter 0080-7-1 Protection of State Forests,
                prohibit destruction or damaging of any natural resource or collection
                of plants or botanical specimens, unless authorized by permit from the
                district forester. Pickett CCC Memorial State Park is situated within
                the PSF. The Rules of the Tennessee Department of Environment and
                Conservation, Chapter 0400-0202 Public Use and Recreation, prohibit
                users of State parks from destroying, digging, cutting, removing, or
                possessing any tree, shrub or other plant, except as permitted by the
                Assistant Commissioner of Parks and Recreation (Rule 0400-02-02-.18).
                Permits may only be issued for scientific or educational purposes (Rule
                0400-02-02-.23). The 3,000-ac PCNA is contiguous to PSF and very near
                PSP, the latter of which provides local management of the natural area.
                The Tennessee Natural Areas Preservation Act of 1971 forbids the
                unauthorized removal or destruction of any rare, threatened, or
                endangered species of plants in any natural areas, with civil penalties
                of up to $10,000 per day for
                [[Page 23313]]
                each day during which the prohibited act occurs (T.C.A Sec. 11-14-
                1115). Thus, we do not anticipate stressors to increase on conservation
                lands where nearly all of the occurrences are located. For the reasons
                discussed above, we conclude that inadequacy of regulatory mechanisms
                will not threaten the viability of the species into the foreseeable
                future.
                Determination of Cumberland Sandwort's Status
                 Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533) and its implementing
                regulations (50 CFR part 424) set forth the procedures for determining
                whether a species meets the definition of ``endangered species'' or
                ``threatened species.'' The Act defines an ``endangered species'' as a
                species that is ``in danger of extinction throughout all or a
                significant portion of its range,'' and a ``threatened species'' as a
                species that is ``likely to become an endangered species within the
                foreseeable future throughout all or a significant portion of its
                range.'' The Act requires that we determine whether a species meets the
                definition of ``endangered species'' or ``threatened species'' because
                of any of the following factors: (A) The present or threatened
                destruction, modification, or curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)
                Overutilization for commercial, recreational, scientific, or
                educational purposes; (C) Disease or predation; (D) The inadequacy of
                existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E) Other natural or manmade factors
                affecting its continued existence.
                Status Throughout All of Its Range
                 After evaluating threats to the species and assessing the
                cumulative effect of the threats under the section 4(a)(1) factors, we
                have found that since listing under the Act, Cumberland sandwort
                representation has increased with the discovery of occurrences in the
                Obey River watershed. Redundancy also has increased from 11 occurrences
                at the time of listing to 71 occurrences known to be extant, including
                25 of the 28 occurrences that were included in the species recovery
                plan. An assessment of resiliency of these occurrences, taking into
                account estimated abundance, substrate condition, and forest condition,
                indicates that 57 ranked medium or higher, which we consider to be
                resilient. Of these resilient occurrences, 42 are counted towards
                meeting and exceeding recovery criteria because they are self-
                sustaining and located on protected land. Of the 15 resilient
                occurrences that are not counted towards meeting recovery criteria, 10
                are located on protected lands but lack a sufficient number of
                observations over time to judge trends in their abundance and evaluate
                whether they are self-sustaining; thus, we expect they will also
                contribute to the species' overall resiliency and redundancy, ensuring
                its ability to withstand future catastrophic events (but we are not
                relying upon these 10 to make this proposed determination). Because
                Cumberland sandwort has increased in representation and redundancy,
                generally, and in particular with respect to numbers of resilient,
                self-sustaining and protected occurrences, we expect this species to
                persist into the future.
                 We have carefully assessed the best scientific and commercial
                information available regarding the threats faced by the Cumberland
                sandwort in developing this proposed rule. Threats reported at the time
                of listing related to habitat loss and curtailment of range (Factor A)
                have been managed in many locations, and available data indicate the
                species possesses greater resilience to effects of substrate
                disturbance from trampling and various activities and to effects of
                timber harvesting in nearby areas than was assumed at the time of
                listing.
                 We have analyzed or evaluated potential effects of climate change
                and low population size (Factor E) and determined that they are not
                significant threats to the species nor are likely to be in the
                foreseeable future as defined above. Although not all state and federal
                regulatory mechanisms (Factor D) will be in effect in the event that
                Cumberland sandwort is delisted, those remaining are likely to be
                adequate to protect the Cumberland sandwort from threats to its
                habitat, given the fact that 66 of the 71 extant occurrences are
                located on Federal or State conservation lands. The net effect of
                current and foreseeable future stressors to the species, after
                considering applicable conservation measures and the existing
                regulatory mechanisms, is not sufficient to cause the species to meet
                the definition of an endangered or threatened species. Thus, after
                assessing the best available information, we conclude that the
                Cumberland sandwort no longer meets the definition of endangered or
                threatened under the Act throughout all of its range.
                Status Throughout a Significant Portion of Its Range
                 Under the Act and our implementing regulations, a species may
                warrant listing if it is in danger of extinction or likely to become so
                in the foreseeable future throughout all or a significant portion of
                its range.
                 Having determined that the Cumberland sandwort is not in danger of
                extinction or likely to become so in the foreseeable future throughout
                all of its range, we now consider whether it may be in danger of
                extinction or likely to become so in the foreseeable future in a
                significant portion of its range. The range of a species can
                theoretically be divided into portions in an infinite number of ways,
                so we first screen the potential portions of the species' range to
                determine if there are any portions that warrant further consideration.
                To do the ``screening'' analysis, we ask whether there are portions of
                the species' range for which there is substantial information
                indicating that: (1) The portion may be significant; and, (2) the
                species may be, in that portion, either in danger of extinction or
                likely to become so in the foreseeable future. For a particular
                portion, if we cannot answer both questions in the affirmative, then
                that portion does not warrant further consideration and the species
                does not warrant listing because of its status in that portion of its
                range. Conversely, we emphasize that answering both of these questions
                in the affirmative is not a determination that the species is in danger
                of extinction or likely to become so in the foreseeable future
                throughout a significant portion of its range--rather, it is a step in
                determining whether a more-detailed analysis of the issue is required.
                 If we answer these questions in the affirmative, we then conduct a
                more thorough analysis to determine whether the portion does indeed
                meet both of the ``significant portion of its range'' prongs: (1) The
                portion is significant and (2) the species is, in that portion, either
                in danger of extinction or likely to become so in the foreseeable
                future. Confirmation that a portion does indeed meet one of these
                prongs does not create a presumption, prejudgment, or other
                determination as to whether the species is an endangered species or
                threatened species. Rather, we must then undertake a more detailed
                analysis of the other prong to make that determination. Only if the
                portion does indeed meet both prongs would the species warrant listing
                because of its status in a significant portion of its range.
                 At both stages in this process--the stage of screening potential
                portions to identify any portions that warrant further consideration
                and the stage of undertaking the more detailed analysis of any portions
                that do warrant further consideration--it might be more efficient for
                us to address the ``significance'' question or the ``status'' question
                first. Our selection of which question to address first for a
                particular
                [[Page 23314]]
                portion depends on the biology of the species, its range, and the
                threats it faces. Regardless of which question we address first, if we
                reach a negative answer with respect to the first question that we
                address, we do not need to evaluate the second question for that
                portion of the species' range.
                 The range of Cumberland sandwort is restricted to a small
                geographic area in portions of five counties, with high similarity in
                geological and ecological conditions among occupied sites. Within this
                geographic area, the species is known from two watersheds, South Fork
                Cumberland and Obey River, where there are 59 and 12 extant
                occurrences, respectively. Therefore, applying the process described
                above, we first evaluated the status of Cumberland sandwort to
                determine if any threats or population declines were concentrated in
                any specific portion of the range. Threats related to habitat
                modification or curtailment of range primarily affect occurrences in
                the South Fork Cumberland drainage. Our analysis of the species
                resilience (see above, Recovery), which integrated information on
                abundance and threats, determined that 45 of the occurrences within the
                South Fork Cumberland and all of the occurrences within the Obey River
                drainages had resiliency indices of medium or higher. We have
                determined that 40 of these resilient occurrences in the South Fork
                Cumberland and 2 in the Obey River drainages are protected and
                contribute towards achieving the recovery criteria. The presence of 40
                protected and self-sustaining occurrences in the South Fork Cumberland
                indicates that threats are not concentrated in this drainage so as to
                affect the representation, redundancy, or resiliency of the Cumberland
                sandwort. Nine protected occurrences in the Obey River watershed have
                resiliency indices of medium or higher, but lack sufficient monitoring
                data to evaluate trends in abundance and determine whether they are
                self-sustaining. Due to their locations on protected lands, primarily
                within PCNA where proposed trail routes are surveyed to minimize
                adverse effects to Cumberland sandwort (TDEC no date, p. 10-11), we
                expect that these nine occurrences will remain stable for the
                foreseeable future, adding to the resilience, representation, and
                redundancy afforded by the 42 occurrences currently considered to
                contribute to achieving recovery criteria. Based on the distribution of
                42 protected and self-sustaining occurrences among the two watersheds,
                all located on conservation lands managed according to rules,
                regulations, or management plans (NPS 2005, pp. 31-39, TDEC no date,
                entire) that protect Cumberland sandwort, we have determined that
                threats related to habitat modification or curtailment of range are not
                concentrated in any portion of the species' range so as to affect its
                representation, redundancy, or resiliency.
                 We have reviewed other potential threats and conclude that none of
                them are concentrated in any portion of the species' range so as to
                affect the representation, redundancy, or resiliency of the species.
                 Therefore, we conclude, based on this screening analysis, that no
                portions of the Cumberland sandwort's range warrant further
                consideration to determine whether the species may be in danger of
                extinction or likely to become so in the foreseeable future in a
                significant portion of its range. Thus, we conclude that the species is
                not an endangered species or threatened species based on its status in
                a significant portion of its range. Our approach to analyzing
                significant portions of the species' range in this determination is
                consistent with the courts' holdings in Desert Survivors v. Department
                of the Interior, No. 16-cv-01165-JCS, 2018 WL 4053447 (N.D. Cal. Aug.
                24, 2018); Center for Biological Diversity v. Jewell, 248 F. Supp. 3d,
                946, 959 (D. Ariz. 2017); and Center for Biological Diversity v.
                Everson, 2020 WL 437289 (D.D.C. Jan. 28, 2020).
                Determination of Status
                 Our review of the best available scientific and commercial
                information indicates that the Cumberland sandwort does not meet the
                definition of an endangered species or a threatened species in
                accordance with sections 3(6) and 3(20) of the Act. Therefore, we
                propose to remove the Cumberland sandwort from the List of Endangered
                and Threatened Plants.
                Effects of This Proposed Rule
                 This proposal, if made final, would revise 50 CFR 17.12 (h) to
                remove the Cumberland sandwort from the Federal List of Endangered and
                Threatened Plants. The prohibitions and conservation measures provided
                by the Act, particularly through sections 7 and 9, would no longer
                apply to Cumberland sandwort. Federal agencies would no longer be
                required to consult with us under section 7 of the Act to ensure that
                any action authorized, funded, or carried out by them is not likely to
                jeopardize the Cumberland sandwort's continued existence.
                 This rule will not affect Cumberland sandwort's status as a
                threatened or endangered species under State laws or suspend any other
                legal protections provided by those laws. States may have more
                restrictive laws protecting wildlife, and these will not be affected by
                this Federal action. However, this proposed rule may prompt either
                Kentucky or Tennessee to remove protection for the Cumberland sandwort
                under their endangered species laws, although we are not aware of any
                such intention at this time.
                Post-Delisting Monitoring
                 Section 4(g)(1) of the Act requires us to monitor for not less than
                5 years the status of all species that are delisted due to recovery.
                Post-delisting monitoring (PDM) refers to activities undertaken to
                verify that a species delisted due to recovery remains secure from the
                risk of extinction after the protections of the Act no longer apply.
                The primary goal of PDM is to monitor the species to ensure that its
                status does not deteriorate, and if a decline is detected, to take
                measures to halt the decline so that proposing it as endangered or
                threatened is not again needed. If at any time during the monitoring
                period, data indicate that protective status under the Act should be
                reinstated, we can initiate listing procedures, including, if
                appropriate, emergency listing. At the conclusion of the monitoring
                period, we will review all available information to determine if re-
                listing, the continuation of monitoring, or the termination of
                monitoring is appropriate.
                 Section 4(g) of the Act explicitly requires that we cooperate with
                the States in development and implementation of PDM programs. However,
                we remain ultimately responsible for compliance with section 4(g) and,
                therefore, must remain actively engaged in all phases of PDM. We also
                seek active participation of other entities that are expected to assume
                responsibilities for the species' conservation after delisting.
                 We have prepared a draft PDM Plan for Cumberland sandwort (Service
                2018). The draft plan describes:
                 (1) The Cumberland sandwort's condition at the time of delisting;
                 (2) Thresholds or triggers for potential monitoring outcomes and
                conclusions;
                 (3) Frequency and duration of monitoring;
                 (4) Monitoring methods including sampling considerations; and
                 (5) Data compilation and reporting procedures and responsibilities.
                 The draft plan also proposes a PDM implementation schedule
                including timing and responsible parties.
                [[Page 23315]]
                 Concurrent with this proposed delisting rule, we announce the draft
                plan's availability for public review at http://www.regulations.gov
                under Docket Number FWS-R4-ES-2019-0080. Copies can also be obtained
                from the Service's Tennessee Ecological Services Field Office (see FOR
                FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT). We seek information, data, and comments
                from the public regarding the draft PDM plan.
                Required Determinations
                Clarity of the Proposed Rule
                 We are required by Executive Orders 12866 and 12988 and by the
                Presidential Memorandum of June 1, 1998, to write all rules in plain
                language. This means that each rule we publish must:
                 (a) Be logically organized;
                 (b) Use the active voice to address readers directly;
                 (c) Use clear language rather than jargon;
                 (d) Be divided into short sections and sentences; and
                 (e) Use lists and tables wherever possible.
                 If you feel that we have not met these requirements, send us
                comments by one of the methods listed in ADDRESSES. To better help us
                revise the rule, your comments should be as specific as possible. For
                example, you should tell us the numbers of the sections or paragraphs
                that are unclearly written, which sections or sentences are too long,
                the sections where you feel lists or tables would be useful, etc.
                National Environmental Policy Act
                 We have determined that we do not need to prepare an environmental
                assessment or environmental impact statement, as defined in the
                National Environmental Policy Act (42 U.S.C 4321 et seq.), in
                connection with regulations adopted pursuant to section 4(a) of the
                Endangered Species Act. We published a notice outlining our reasons for
                this determination in the Federal Register on October 25, 1983 (48 FR
                49244).
                Government-to-Government Relationship With Tribes
                 In accordance with the President's memorandum of April 29, 1994,
                ``Government-to-Government Relations with Native American Tribal
                Governments'' (59 FR 22951), Executive Order 13175, and the Department
                of the Interior's manual at 512 DM 2, we readily acknowledge our
                responsibility to communicate meaningfully with recognized Federal
                Tribes on a government-to-government basis. We have determined that
                there are no tribal lands that may be affected by this proposal.
                References Cited
                 A complete list of references cited is available at http://www.regulations.gov under Docket Number FWS-R4-ES-2019-0080, or upon
                request from the Field Supervisor, Tennessee Field Office (see FOR
                FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
                Authors
                 The primary authors of this document are the staff members of the
                Tennessee Ecological Services Field Office (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
                CONTACT).
                List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
                 Endangered and threatened species, Exports, Imports, Reporting and
                recordkeeping requirements, Transportation.
                Proposed Regulation Promulgation
                 Accordingly, we propose to amend part 17, subchapter B of chapter
                I, title 50 of the Code of Federal Regulations, as set forth below:
                PART 17--ENDANGERED AND THREATENED WILDLIFE AND PLANTS
                0
                1. The authority citation for part 17 continues to read as follows:
                 Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1361-1407; 1531-1544; 4201-4245, unless
                otherwise noted.
                Sec. 17.12 [Amended]
                0
                2. Amend Sec. 17.12(h) by removing the entry for ``Arenaria
                cumberlandensis'' under ``FLOWERING PLANTS'' from the List of
                Endangered and Threatened Plants.
                Aurelia Skipwith,
                Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
                [FR Doc. 2020-08398 Filed 4-24-20; 8:45 am]
                 BILLING CODE 4333-15-P
                

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