Energy Conservation Program for Consumer Products and Certain Commercial and Industrial Equipment: Test Procedures for Consumer and Commercial Water Heaters

Federal Register, Volume 80 Issue 71 (Tuesday, April 14, 2015)

Federal Register Volume 80, Number 71 (Tuesday, April 14, 2015)

Proposed Rules

Pages 20115-20147

From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office www.gpo.gov

FR Doc No: 2015-07932

Page 20115

Vol. 80

Tuesday,

No. 71

April 14, 2015

Part III

Department of Energy

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10 CFR Parts 429, 430, and 431

Energy Conservation Program for Consumer Products and Certain Commercial and Industrial Equipment: Test Procedures for Consumer and Commercial Water Heaters; Proposed Rule

Page 20116

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DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY

10 CFR Parts 429, 430, and 431

EERE-2015-BT-TP-0007

RIN 1904-AC91

Energy Conservation Program for Consumer Products and Certain Commercial and Industrial Equipment: Test Procedures for Consumer and Commercial Water Heaters

AGENCY: Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Department of Energy.

ACTION: Notice of proposed rulemaking.

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SUMMARY: As required by the Energy Policy and Conservation Act of 1975 (EPCA), as amended, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) proposes to establish a mathematical conversion factor for the purpose of translating efficiency ratings for water heaters under the test method currently in effect to the ratings under the amended test method promulgated by DOE in a final rule published on July 11, 2014 (hereinafter referred to as the ``the July 2014 final rule''). Compliance with the amended test procedure is required beginning on the later of: one year after the publication of a final rule that establishes a mathematical conversion factor, or December 31, 2015. This rulemaking document proposes a mathematical conversion factor which may be used to convert the existing efficiency ratings under the current Federal test procedure to efficiency ratings under the test procedure adopted in the July 2014 final rule for water heater basic models manufactured, tested and certified prior to the compliance date of the amended test procedure. The amended test procedure applies to all covered consumer water heaters and the covered commercial water heating equipment with residential applications defined in the July 2014 final rule as a ``residential-duty commercial water heater.'' In addition, this document proposes amendments to the minimum energy conservation standards for consumer water heaters and residential-duty commercial water heaters to account for the impact of the new metric, but does not alter the stringency of the existing energy conservation standards. While DOE has not planned a public meeting to discuss this proposal, DOE is willing to consider a request to hold a meeting.

DATES: Comments: DOE will accept comments, data, and information regarding this notice of proposed rulemaking (NOPR) no later than May 14, 2015. See section V, ``Public Participation,'' for details.

ADDRESSES: All comments submitted must identify the NOPR for the Conversion Factor for Test Procedures for Consumer and Certain Commercial Water Heaters, and provide docket number EERE-2015-BT-TP-

0007 and/or RIN 1904-AC91. Interested persons are encouraged to submit comments using the Federal eRulemaking Portal at www.regulations.gov. Follow the instructions for submitting comments. Alternatively, interested persons may submit comments by any of the following methods:

Email: ConsumerCommWaterHtrs2015TP0007@ee.doe.gov. Include the docket number and/or RIN in the subject line of the message. Submit electronic comments in WordPerfect, Microsoft Word, PDF, or ASCII file format, and avoid the use of special characters or any form of encryption.

Postal Mail: Ms. Brenda Edwards, U.S. Department of Energy, Building Technologies Office, Mailstop EE-5B, 1000 Independence Avenue SW., Washington, DC 20585-0121. If possible, please submit all items on a compact disc (CD), in which case it is not necessary to include printed copies.

Hand Delivery/Courier: Ms. Brenda Edwards, U.S. Department of Energy, Building Technologies Office, 950 L'Enfant Plaza SW., 6th Floor, Washington, DC 20024. Telephone: (202) 586-2945. If possible, please submit all items on a CD, in which case it is not necessary to include printed copies.

No telefacsimilies (faxes) will be accepted. For detailed instructions on submitting comments and additional information on the rulemaking process, see section V of this document (Public Participation).

Docket: The docket is available for review at www.regulations.gov, including Federal Register notices, comments, and other supporting documents/materials. All documents in the docket are listed in the www.regulations.gov index. However, not all documents listed in the index may be publicly available, such as information that is exempt from public disclosure.

A link to the docket Web page can be found at: http://www.regulations.gov/#!docketDetail;D=EERE-2015-BT-TP-0007. This Web page contains a link to the docket for this notice of proposed rulemaking on the www.regulations.gov site. The www.regulations.gov Web page contains simple instructions on how to access all documents, including public comments, in the docket. See section V, ``Public Participation,'' for information on how to submit comments through www.regulations.gov.

For information on how to submit a comment or review other public comments and the docket, contact Ms. Brenda Edwards at (202) 586-2945 or by email: Brenda.Edwards@ee.doe.gov.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Ms. Ashley Armstrong, U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Building Technologies Office, EE-5B, 1000 Independence Avenue SW., Washington, DC 20585-0121. Telephone: (202) 586-6590. Email: Ashley.Armstrong@ee.doe.gov.

Mr. Eric Stas, U.S. Department of Energy, Office of the General Counsel, GC-33, 1000 Independence Avenue SW., Washington, DC 20585-

0121. Telephone: (202) 586-9507. Email: Eric.Stas@hq.doe.gov.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:

Table of Contents

I. Authority and Background

II. Summary of the Notice of Proposed Rulemaking

III. Discussion

  1. Stakeholder Comments on Other Rulemakings

  2. Scope

    1. Test Procedure and Energy Conservation Standards Coverage

    2. Units on the Market

  3. Potential Approaches for Developing Conversions

    1. Background Regarding Changes to Existing Test Procedures

    2. Analytical Methods

    3. Empirical Regression

  4. Testing Conducted for the Mathematical Conversion

    1. Consumer Water Heater Testing

    2. Residential-Duty Commercial Water Heater Testing

  5. Testing Results and Analysis of Test Data

    1. Impact of Certain Water Heater Attributes on Efficiency Ratings

    2. Conversion Factor Derivation

    3. Energy Conservation Standard Derivation

  6. Certification and Labeling Issues

    IV. Procedural Issues and Regulatory Review

  7. Review Under Executive Order 12866

  8. Review Under the Regulatory Flexibility Act

  9. Review Under the Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995

  10. Review Under the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969

  11. Review Under Executive Order 13132

  12. Review Under Executive Order 12988

  13. Review Under the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act of 1995

  14. Review Under the Treasury and General Government Appropriations Act, 1999

    I. Review Under Executive Order 12630

  15. Review Under Treasury and General Government Appropriations Act, 2001

  16. Review Under Executive Order 13211

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    L. Review Under Section 32 of the Federal Energy Administration Act of 1974

    V. Public Participation

  17. Submission of Comments

  18. Issues on Which DOE Seeks Comment

    VI. Approval of the Office of the Secretary

    I. Authority and Background

    Title III Part B \1\ of the Energy Policy and Conservation Act of 1975 (``EPCA'' or, ``the Act''), Public Law 94-163 (42 U.S.C. 6291-

    6309, as codified) sets forth a variety of provisions designed to improve energy efficiency and established the Energy Conservation Program for Consumer Products Other Than Automobiles.\2\ These include consumer water heaters, one subject of this document. (42 U.S.C. 6292(a)(4)) Title III, Part C \3\ of EPCA, Public Law 94-163 (42 U.S.C. 6311-6317, as codified), added by Public Law 95-619, Title IV, Sec. 441(a), established the Energy Conservation Program for Certain Industrial Equipment, which includes the commercial water heating equipment that is another subject of this rulemaking. (42 U.S.C. 6311(1)(K))

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    \1\ For editorial reasons, upon codification in the U.S. Code, Part B was redesignated Part A.

    \2\ All references to EPCA in this document refer to the statute as amended through the American Energy Manufacturing Technical Corrections Act (AEMTCA), Public Law 112-210 (Dec. 18, 2012).

    \3\ For editorial reasons, upon codification in the U.S. Code, Part C was redesignated Part A-1.

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    Under EPCA, energy conservation programs generally consist of four parts: (1) Testing; (2) labeling; (3) establishing Federal energy conservation standards; and (4) certification and enforcement procedures. The testing requirements consist of test procedures that manufacturers of covered products and equipment must use as the basis for certifying to DOE that their products and equipment comply with the applicable energy conservation standards adopted under EPCA, and for making other representations about the efficiency of those products. (42 U.S.C. 6293(c); 42 U.S.C. 6295(s); 42 U.S.C. 6314) Similarly, DOE must use these test procedures to determine whether such products and equipment comply with any relevant standards promulgated under EPCA. (42 U.S.C. 6295(s))

    EPCA, as codified, contains what is known as an ``anti-

    backsliding'' provision, which prevents the Secretary from prescribing any amended standard that either increases the maximum allowable energy use or decreases the minimum required energy efficiency of a covered product. (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(1)) Also, the Secretary may not prescribe an amended or new standard if interested persons have established by a preponderance of the evidence that the standard is likely to result in the unavailability in the United States of any covered product type (or class) of performance characteristics (including reliability), features, sizes, capacities, and volumes that are substantially the same as those generally available in the United States. (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(4))

    EPCA prescribed energy conservation standards for consumer water heaters (42 U.S.C. 6295(e)(1)), and directed DOE to conduct further rulemakings to determine whether to amend these standards (42 U.S.C. 6295(e)(4)(A)-(B)). DOE notes that under 42 U.S.C. 6295(m), the agency must periodically review its already established energy conservation standards for a covered product. Under this requirement, the next review that DOE would need to conduct must occur no later than six years from the issuance of a final rule establishing or amending a standard for a covered product.

    On April 16, 2010, DOE published a final rule (hereinafter referred to as the ``April 2010 final rule'') that amended the energy conservation standards for all classes of consumer water heaters, except for tabletop and electric instantaneous water heaters, for which the existing energy conservation standards were left in place. 75 FR 20112. The standards adopted by the April 2010 final rule are shown below in Table I.1. These standards will apply to all water heater products listed in Table I.1 and manufactured in, or imported into, the United States on or after April 16, 2015, for all classes, except for tabletop and electric instantaneous. For these latter two classes, compliance with these standards has been required since April 15, 1991. 55 FR 42162 (Oct. 17, 1990). Current energy conservation standards for consumer water heaters can be found in DOE's regulations at 10 CFR 430.32(d).

    Table I.1--Energy Conservation Standards for Consumer Water Heaters

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    Product class Rated storage volume *** Energy factor **

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    Gas-fired Storage..................... >=20 gal and 55 gal and =20 gal and 55 gal and =20 gal and 155,000 Btu/hr... 80 Q/800 + 110(Vr) 1, 2 (Btu/hr)

    Oil-fired storage water heaters 155,000 Btu/hr... 78 Q/800 + 110(Vr) 1, 2 (Btu/hr)

    Gas-fired instantaneous water =10 gal.......... 80 Q/800 + 110(Vr) 1, 2 (Btu/hr)

    Oil-fired instantaneous water =10 gal.......... 78 Q/800 + 110(Vr) 1, 2 (Btu/hr)

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    Equipment Size Minimum thermal insulation

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    Unfired hot water storage tank. All............... R-12.5

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    * Vm is the measured storage volume, and Vr is the rated volume, both in gallons. Q is the nameplate input rate

    in Btu/hr.

    ** For hot water supply boilers with a capacity of less than 10 gallons: (1) The standards are mandatory for

    products manufactured on and after October 21, 2005, and (2) products manufactured prior to that date, and on

    or after October 23, 2003, must meet either the standards listed in this table or the applicable standards in

    subpart E of this part for a ``commercial packaged boiler.''

    *** Water heaters and hot water supply boilers having more than 140 gallons of storage capacity need not meet

    the standby loss requirement if: (1) The tank surface area is thermally insulated to R-12.5 or more; (2) a

    standing pilot light is not used; and (3) for gas or oil-fired storage water heaters, they have a fire damper

    or fan-assisted combustion.

    On December 18, 2012, the American Energy Manufacturing Technical Corrections Act (AEMTCA), Public Law 112-210, was signed into law. In relevant part, it amended EPCA to require that DOE publish a final rule establishing a uniform efficiency descriptor and accompanying test methods for covered consumer water heaters and commercial water heating equipment within one year of the enactment of AEMTCA. (42 U.S.C. 6295(e)(5)(B)) The final rule must replace the current energy factor, thermal efficiency, and standby loss metrics with a uniform efficiency descriptor. (42 U.S.C. 6295(e)(5)(C)) The July 2014 final rule fulfilled these requirements. AEMTCA requires that, beginning one year after the date of publication of DOE's final rule establishing the uniform descriptor (i.e., July 13, 2015), the efficiency standards for the consumer water heaters and residential-duty commercial water heaters identified in the July 2014 final rule must be denominated according to the uniform efficiency descriptor established in that final rule (42 U.S.C. 6295(e)(5)(D)), and that DOE must develop a mathematical conversion factor for converting the measurement of efficiency for those water heaters from the test procedures and metrics currently in effect to the new uniform energy descriptor. (42 U.S.C. 6295(e)(5)(E)(i)-(ii)) Consumer water heaters and residential-duty commercial water heaters manufactured prior to the effective date of the final rule (i.e., July 13, 2015) that comply with the efficiency standards and labeling requirements in effect prior to the final rule shall be considered to comply with the final rule and with any revised labeling requirements established by the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) to carry out the final rule. (42 U.S.C. 6295(e)(5)(K))

    AEMTCA also requires that the uniform efficiency descriptor and accompanying test method apply, to the maximum extent practicable, to all water-heating technologies currently in use and to future water-

    heating technologies. (42 U.S.C. 6295(e)(5)(H)) AEMTCA allows DOE to provide an exclusion from the uniform efficiency descriptor for specific categories of otherwise covered water heaters that do not have residential uses, that can be clearly described, and that are effectively rated using the current thermal efficiency and standby loss descriptors. (42 U.S.C. 6295(e)(5)(F))

    AEMTCA outlines DOE's various options for establishing a new uniform efficiency descriptor for water heaters. The options that AEMTCA provides to DOE include: (1) A revised version of the energy factor descriptor currently in use; (2) the thermal efficiency and standby loss descriptors currently in use; (3) a revised version of the thermal efficiency and standby loss descriptors; (4) a hybrid of descriptors; or (5) a new approach. (42 U.S.C. 6295(e)(5)(G)) Lastly, AEMTCA requires that DOE invite stakeholders to participate in the rulemaking process, and that DOE contract with the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), as necessary, to conduct testing and simulation of alternative descriptors identified for consideration. (42 U.S.C. 6295(e)(5)(I)-(J))

    As noted previously, in the July 2014 final rule, DOE amended its test procedure for consumer and certain commercial water heaters. 79 FR 40542 (July 11, 2014). The July 2014 final rule for consumer and certain commercial water heaters satisfied the AEMTCA requirements to develop a uniform efficiency descriptor to replace the existing energy factor, thermal efficiency and standby loss metrics. The amended test procedure includes

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    provisions for determining the uniform energy factor (UEF), as well as the annual energy consumption of these products. Furthermore, the uniform descriptor test procedure can be applied to: (1) Most consumer water heaters (including certain consumer water heaters that are covered products under EPCA's definition of ``water heater'' at 42 U.S.C. 6291(27), but that are not addressed by the existing test method); and (2) to commercial water heaters that have residential applications. The major modifications to the existing DOE test procedure to establish the uniform descriptor test method included the use of multiple draw patterns and different draw patterns, and changes to the set-point temperature. In addition, DOE expanded the scope of the test method to include test procedure provisions that are applicable to water heaters with storage volumes between 2 gallons (7.6 L) and 20 gallons (76 L), and to clarify applicability to electric instantaneous water heaters. DOE also established a new equipment class and corresponding definition for ``residential-duty commercial water heater.''

    This rulemaking will satisfy the requirements of AEMTCA to develop a mathematical conversion factor for converting the measurement of efficiency for covered water heaters from the test procedures and metrics currently in effect to the new uniform energy descriptor. (42 U.S.C. 6295(e)(5)(E))

    II. Summary of the Notice of Proposed Rulemaking

    This notice of proposed rulemaking proposes to establish a mathematical conversion factor between the current rated values under the existing water heaters test procedures (i.e., energy factor, first-

    hour rating, maximum gallons per minute (GPM) rating, thermal efficiency, standby loss), and the amended test procedure for the uniform efficiency descriptor (i.e., UEF and first-hour rating or maximum GPM rating), which was established in the July 2014 final rule. As discussed previously, the water heater test procedure was updated to be more representative of conditions encountered in the field (including modifications to both the test conditions and the draw patterns) and to expand the scope of the test procedure to apply to certain commercial and consumer water heaters that are currently not addressed by the test procedure.

    The mathematical conversion factor required by AEMTCA is a bridge between the efficiency ratings obtained through testing under the existing test procedures and those obtained under the uniform efficiency descriptor test procedure published in the July 2014 final rule. Therefore, the mathematical conversion factor will only apply to products and equipment covered by the existing test procedure, as products and equipment that are not covered by the existing test method would not have ratings to be converted. Certain water heater types are not covered by the mathematical conversion factor, either because they are not covered by the uniform efficiency descriptor established by the July 2014 final rule (e.g., commercial heat pump water heaters), or because they are not covered by DOE's existing test procedure (e.g., water heaters with storage volumes between 2 and 20 gallons). The water heater types that are and are not covered by the mathematical conversion factor are discussed in detail in section III.B of this notice of proposed rulemaking.

    To help develop the mathematical conversion factor, DOE conducted a series of tests on the types of water heaters included within the scope of this rulemaking (i.e., those described in section III.B and that pass the minimum standards for consumer \4\ and commercial water heaters). An investigation of DOE's Compliance Certification Management System (CCMS) and the Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute's (AHRI) water-heating databases found that certain types of water heaters are not available for purchase on the market; these units are discussed in section III.B. As there are no existing water heaters in these product classes, and the purpose of the conversion factor is to convert the efficiency ratings of existing water heaters, DOE did not include these water heaters in its analysis for the mathematical conversion factor.

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    \4\ DOE published a final rule on April 16, 2010, that will require compliance with amended energy conservation standards beginning on April 16, 2015. 75 FR 20112. DOE focused the testing of consumer water heaters on units that would comply with the amended standards.

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    DOE selected 72 water heaters for testing, including: 43 consumer storage units, 22 consumer instantaneous units, and 7 commercial residential-duty storage units. Units were selected to represent the range of rated values available on the market (i.e., storage volume, input rate, first-hour rating, maximum GPM, recovery efficiency, energy factor, thermal efficiency, and standby loss). DOE used data obtained from testing, along with analytical methods described in section III.C, to calculate the conversion factors described in this document. DOE investigated several approaches to derive these conversion factors, which are discussed in detail in section III.C of this notice of proposed rulemaking. DOE developed different conversion factors for determining first-hour rating, maximum GPM, and UEF based on the existing ratings for consumer and residential-duty commercial water heaters, which can be found in section III.E.

    DOE then used the conversion factors to derive minimum energy conservation standards based on the UEF, as shown in Table II.1 and Table II.2. The proposed standards based on UEF are neither more nor less stringent than the existing standards for consumer water heaters based on energy factor (as amended by the April 2010 final rule) and for commercial water-heating equipment based on the thermal efficiency and standby loss metrics. The methodology for deriving the proposed UEF standards is discussed in detail in section III.E.3 of this notice of proposed rulemaking.

    Table II.1--Proposed Consumer Water Heater Energy Conservation Standards

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    Rated storage

    Product class volume Draw pattern Uniform energy factor *

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    Gas-fired Storage............. >=20 gal and 55 gal and =20 gal and 55 gal and =20 gal and Very Small............... 0.6808-(0.0022 x Vr)

    X emissions, and mobile home certification. The joint comment suggested that the sensitivity of the energy factor to draw pattern be investigated and that systematic differences between ``old'' and ``new'' values should be expected for several technologies. (Joint Comment, EERE-2011-BT-TP-0042-0077 at p. 2)

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    \8\ 78 FR 66202.

    \9\ ACEEE submitted a joint comment on behalf of ACEEE, ASAP, ASE, Consumers Union (CU), NCLC, NRDC and NEEP.

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    DOE has considered these comments fully in the development of this proposed rule. Although discussed in overview here, these comments are discussed in more detail later in this document as applicable to DOE's specific decisions regarding the mathematical conversion factor. In regards to the method of developing the conversion factor, DOE agrees in principle with the HTP comment that the most exact approach would be an empirical analysis using a curve-fitting method and actual test data, because such approach would account for all the changes made in the new test procedure, without having to make assumptions. However, DOE notes that the confidence in this empirical approach is dependent upon sample size and has considered whether the approach can feasibly be tested and implemented within the time constraints set forth by AEMTCA. (The curve-fitting method investigated is discussed in section III.C.3.)

    In addition, as suggested by NREL, DOE investigated the use of the WHAM model to predict water heater efficiency under the new test procedure parameters, and used the results in the conversion factor analysis. The methodology for applying WHAM and the results are found in section III.C.2.c. As suggested in the NOPR joint comment, the sensitivity of the UEF to draw pattern was investigated by including the drawn volume in the conversion factor calculations; this approach is discussed further in section III.C.

    In an effort to develop a mathematical conversion factor, DOE commissioned testing of 72 individual water heaters from various easily distinguishable water-heating categories under the updated test procedure. All of the water heaters chosen were found using either the Compliance Certification Management System (CCMS) or AHRI water heater databases, where the water heaters included in the databases were further distinguished based on the suggestions made by AHRI and BWC in response to the November 2013 water heaters NOPR (78 FR 66202 (Nov. 4, 2013)). The models selected for testing and the parameters examined are described in more detail in section III.D. These test data were used to investigate all of the potential conversion factor methods described in section III.C.

    DOE has also carefully considered the comments regarding the establishment of energy conservation standards using the uniform efficiency descriptor metric (i.e., UEF). Those comments are discussed further in section III.E.3.

  19. Scope

    The purpose of this section is to describe DOE's process for categorizing water heaters and establishing the range of units to be considered in this mathematical conversion factor rulemaking. DOE seeks comment on the scope of the conversion factor. This is identified as issue 1 in section V.E, ``Issues on Which DOE Seeks Comment.''

    1. Test Procedure and Energy Conservation Standards Coverage

    To determine the appropriate scope of coverage for the mathematical conversion factor, DOE first considered the scope of its existing test procedures and energy conservation standards for consumer and commercial water heaters. Water heaters that are not currently subject to the DOE test procedures or standards were not included in the scope of the conversion factor, as they are not required to be tested and rated for efficiency under the DOE test method.

    a. Consumer Water Heaters

    Under the existing regulatory definitions, DOE's current consumer water heater test procedures and energy conservation standards are not applicable to gas or electric water heaters with storage tanks that are at or above 2 gallons (7.6 L) and less than 20 gallons (76 L). In terms of the high end of the capacity range, the current DOE test procedure for consumer water heaters only applies to gas-fired water heaters with storage volumes less than or equal to 100 gallons (380 L), electric resistance and heat pump storage water heaters with storage volumes less than or equal to 120 gallons (450 L), and oil-fired water heaters with storage volumes less than or equal to 50 gallons (190 L). 10 CFR part 430, subpart B, appendix E, sections 1.12.1, 1.12.2, and 1.12.4.

    In the July 2014 final rule, DOE expanded the scope of the water heater test procedure for the uniform efficiency descriptor to include water heaters with storage volumes between 2 and 20 gallons and up to 120 gallons. 79 FR 40542, 40547-48 (July 11, 2014).

    DOE's current consumer water heater test procedure and energy conservation standards are not applicable to gas-fired instantaneous water heaters with input capacities at or below 50,000 Btu/h or at or above 200,000 Btu/h. 10 CFR part 430, subpart B, appendix E, section 1.7.2. In addition, the existing test procedure and energy conservation standards are not applicable to gas-fired storage water heaters with input capacities above 75,000 Btu/h, electric storage water heaters with input ratings above 12 kW, and oil-fired storage water heaters with input ratings above 105,000 Btu/h, as models exceeding those limits would not be classified as consumer water heaters under EPCA. (42 U.S.C. 6291(27)); 10 CFR part 430, subpart B, appendix E, sections 1.12.1, 1.12.2, and 1.12.4.

    In the July 2014 final rule, DOE designed the test procedure so it is applicable to water heaters with any input capacity. Therefore, the lower limit for instantaneous water heaters no longer applies. 79 FR 40542, 40548 (July 11, 2014).

    As discussed in the July 2014 final rule, definitions were added for ``electric instantaneous water heater,'' ``gas-fired heat pump water heater,'' and ``oil-fired instantaneous water heater,'' and the July 2014 test procedure is applicable to these types of appliances. 79 FR 40542, 40549 (July 11, 2014).

    Although there is no definition for ``electric instantaneous water heater'' in the current test procedure in 10 CFR part 430, subpart B, Appendix E, an energy conservation standard exists for this type of water heater. In addition, the current test procedure can be applied to electric instantaneous water heaters, and manufacturers report energy factor ratings for these products. For these reasons, DOE has decided to include electric instantaneous water heaters with rated storage volumes =2 gal

    and 100 gal and

    50 gal.

    Electric Storage....................... Rated Storage Volume >=2 gal

    and =2 gal

    and 2 gal.

    Electric Instantaneous................. Rated Storage Volume >2 gal.

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    b. Commercial Water Heaters

    As stated in the July 2014 final rule, DOE excluded from the uniform efficiency descriptor any specific category of water heater that does not have a residential use, can be clearly described, and can be effectively rated using the current thermal efficiency and standby loss descriptors. 79 FR 40542, 40545 (July 11, 2014). DOE determined that certain commercial water heaters met these criteria to be excluded from the uniform efficiency descriptor, and distinguished them from water heaters that do not meet the criteria by establishing equipment classes for residential-duty commercial water heaters. Commercial water heaters meeting the definition of ``residential-duty commercial water heater'' do not meet the criteria for exclusion, and thus, are included in the uniform efficiency descriptor while all other commercial water heaters are not. DOE determined that three criteria would be used to distinguish residential-duty commercial water heaters from other commercial water heaters (79 FR 40542, 40547 (July 11, 2014)):

    (1) For models requiring electricity, uses single-phase external power supply;

    (2) Is not designed to provide outlet hot water at temperatures greater than 180emsp14degF; and

    (3) Is not excluded by the limitations regarding rated input and storage volume presented in Table III.2.

    Table III.2--Capacity Limitations for Defining Commercial Water Heaters

    Without Residential Applications (i.e., Non-Residential-Duty)

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    Indicator of non-residential

    Water heater type application

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    Gas-fired Storage...................... Rated input >105 kBtu/h; Rated

    storage volume >120 gallons.

    Oil-fired Storage...................... Rated input >140 kBtu/h; Rated

    storage volume >120 gallons.

    Electric Storage....................... Rated input >12 kW; Rated

    storage volume >120 gallons.

    Heat Pump with Storage................. Rated input >15 kW; Rated

    current >24 A at a rated

    voltage of not greater than

    250 V; Rated storage volume

    >120 gallons.

    Gas-fired Instantaneous................ Rated input >200 kBtu/h; Rated

    storage volume >2 gallons.

    Electric Instantaneous................. Rated input >58.6 kW; Rated

    storage volume >2 gallons.

    Oil-fired Instantaneous................ Rated input >210 kBtu/h; Rated

    storage volume >2 gallons.

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    DOE did not include commercial water-heating equipment that does not meet the definition of a ``residential-duty commercial water heater'' in its consideration of the mathematical conversion factor, as the equipment is not subject to the uniform efficiency descriptor test procedure. Additionally, DOE notes that there are no electric storage water heaters that would be considered to be residential-duty commercial since the qualifications shown in Table II.2 would place an electric storage water heater in the consumer category. Since there are no such units, and could not be such units under the applicable definition, a conversion is unnecessary. DOE is, therefore, not proposing a conversion factor for residential-duty electric storage water heaters. DOE also notes that a water heater that meets the definition of a consumer electric storage water heater must be tested and rated as a consumer electric storage water heater even if it is marketed as part of a commercial product line.

    As stated in the July 2014 final rule, DOE has determined that certain commercial equipment including unfired storage tanks, add-on heat pump water heaters, and hot water supply boilers are not appropriately rated using the uniform descriptor applicable to other water heaters, and, thus, will continue to be rated using the existing metrics. 79 FR 40542, 40547.

    Electric instantaneous water heaters are currently subject to the commercial water heating equipment test procedures but do not have an associated energy conservation standard. 10 CFR 431.106; 10 CFR 431.110. Because there is no commercial energy conservation standard for electric instantaneous water heaters, a conversion to the UEF cannot be made.

    2. Units on the Market

    As stated in section II, DOE undertook an investigation into the water-heating units on the market at the time of the publication of the final rule establishing the UEF test procedure. The AHRI commercial water heater database along with the CCMS consumer water heater database were examined to select representative units for testing and analysis.

    DOE's analysis focused on the models that meet the energy conservation standards contained in the April 2010 final rule, which will require compliance on April 16, 2015. The storage volume divisions at 55 gallons in the gas-fired and electric storage product classes, as established in the April 16, 2010 final rule, represent a divide in technology. For gas-fired storage units above 55 gallons manufactured on and after April 16, 2015, the energy conservation standard will be high enough that current designs can only achieve the required efficiency through the use of condensing technology.\10\ For electric storage units with storage volumes above 55 gallons, only heat pump water heaters currently

    Page 20124

    have the ability to reach the April 16, 2015 energy conservation standard levels. While the UEF test procedure will apply to both electric and gas units in this range, DOE found that for gas-fired storage water heaters, there are currently no consumer water heaters above 55 gallons that would be compliant with the updated standard, so no units were tested for development of a conversion factor. For electric storage water heaters, heat pump water heaters meet or exceed the amended energy conservation standards and, thus, were candidates for inclusion in the test plan for the conversion factor. There are no oil-fired instantaneous or oil-fired storage water heaters above 50 gallons available on the market.

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \10\ In a condensing water heater, the combustion gases are cooled such that the temperature is reduced below the dew point and condensation occurs, allowing the latent heat of vaporization to be captured and improving the efficiency of the heat exchange between the combustion gases and the water.

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    In reviewing the commercial water heating market, DOE found that commercial oil-fired instantaneous water heaters are available on the market but do not meet the definition of ``residential-duty commercial water heater,'' as they have storage volumes greater than 2 gallons. DOE found that all commercial gas-fired instantaneous units exceeded the maximum delivery temperature of 180 degF for residential-duty commercial water heaters, and, thus, would be regulated using the existing thermal efficiency and standby loss metrics. DOE also found that commercial electric instantaneous units which meet the definition of ``residential-duty commercial water heater'' exist, however, as stated in section III.B.1.b, no energy conservation standard exists for these units; therefore a conversion factor was not developed.

    Consequently, none of the commercial water heaters identified above could be tested or examined for use in this rulemaking. In addition, a conversion factor for these water heaters is not needed because there are no units in existence with efficiency ratings that can be converted. However, because a manufacturer may want to design and produce products in these equipment classes in the future, DOE must establish energy conservation standards in terms of the UEF metric. Accordingly, DOE used information gained from other product classes to establish these energy conservation standards, as discussed in section III.E.

  20. Potential Approaches for Developing Conversions

    1. Background Regarding Changes to Existing Test Procedures

    a. Consumer Water Heater Test Procedures

    Both the current test procedure and the uniform efficiency descriptor test procedure consist of a delivery capacity test and a 24-

    hour simulated-use test. The delivery capacity tests for storage and instantaneous water heaters are the first-hour rating and maximum GPM tests, respectively. These tests are largely unchanged from the current to the new test procedure, except for modifications to account for the decrease in delivered water temperature from a nominal value of 135 degF to 125 degF. The results of those tests, however, have implications on the 24-hour simulated-use test under the new test procedure that are absent under the current test procedure.

    In the current test procedure, the delivery capacity has no effect on the 24-hour simulated-use test, which consists of six hot water draws, of equivalent volumes, at the start of the test and each of the first five subsequent hours. The water heater is then in standby mode for the remainder of the test. In the July 2014 final rule, however, the delivery capacity determines the draw pattern for the 24-hour simulated-use test. According to the new test procedure, a water heater's delivery capacity can be categorized as either very small, low, medium, or high; these usages are shown below in Table III.3. 79 FR 40542, 40572 (July 11, 2014). These usage categories have an associated draw pattern prescribed to them during the 24-hour simulated-use. Depending on the delivery capacity associated with a water heater, between 9 and 14 hot water draws of various volumes and flow rates are required.

    Table III.3--Delivery Capacity Categorization Criteria

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    First-Hour Rating, gal Maximum GPM, gpm

    Draw Pattern ------------------------------------------------------------------- Drawn Volume,

    >= = 5 degF is used for the set-

    point temperature for storage water heaters (measured as the mean tank temperature) and the delivery temperature for instantaneous water heaters. In the uniform efficiency descriptor test procedure set forth in the July 2014 final rule, a temperature of 125 degF 5 degF is used for the set-point temperature for storage water heaters (measured as the delivery temperature) and the delivery temperature of instantaneous water heaters. 79 FR 40542, 40554 (July 11, 2014).

    b. Commercial Water Heater Test Procedure

    The current test procedure for rating commercial water heaters consists of a steady-state test to determine thermal efficiency and a test lasting between 24 and 48 hours to measure the standby loss. 77 FR 28996 (May 16, 2012); 10 CFR 431.106. For electric resistance water heaters, the thermal efficiency is assigned a value of 98 percent in lieu of testing. The set-point temperature of the water heater is 140 degF 5 degF, and the unit sits in an environment with an ambient temperature of 75 degF 10 degF. Water is supplied to the water heater at a temperature of 70 degF 2 degF. Instantaneous water heaters are not required to undergo a standby loss test.

    Under the uniform efficiency descriptor test procedure, commercial water heaters falling under the ``residential-duty'' category will now be subject to the first-hour rating or maximum GPM test and simulated-

    use tests specified in the previous section (III.C.1.a), with the same set-point temperature, ambient temperature, and inlet water temperature as is applied to consumer water heaters.

    2. Analytical Methods

    For converting existing ratings to ratings under the uniform efficiency descriptor test method, DOE considered equations based on a water heater's physical characteristics; these approaches will be termed analytical methods. The sections below describe

    Page 20125

    potential analytical methods for the three key metrics that result from the uniform efficiency descriptor test method: (1) The maximum GPM; (2) the first-hour rating; and (3) the UEF. In the discussion immediately below, DOE introduces key factors that it expects will change ratings from the existing consumer and commercial water heater test procedures to the new uniform efficiency descriptor test procedure.

    a. Maximum GPM

    For flow-activated water heaters, the delivery capacity is determined by the 10-minute maximum GPM rating test. During this test, the water heater runs at maximum firing rate to raise the temperature from its nominal value of 58 degF to the prescribed delivery temperature. This flow rate is determined by the following equation:

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.006

    where VV is the volumetric flow rate of water, Q is the firing rate, etar is the recovery efficiency, rho is the density of the delivered water, cp is the specific heat of the delivered water, Tdel is the delivered water temperature, and Tin is the inlet water temperature. If it is assumed that the firing rate and recovery efficiency are the same with water delivered at 125 degF and 135 degF, then the ratio of the maximum GPM at 125 degF versus that at 135 degF is determined by the following equation:

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.007

    Therefore, an analytical conversion from the existing maximum GPM rating (VVex) for consumer water heaters to the rating under the test conditions in the uniform efficiency descriptor test method (VVUED) is:

    VVUED = 1.147VVex

    As discussed in detail in section III.E.2, tests on flow-activated water heaters showed a change in maximum GPM rating under the uniform efficiency descriptor test method that correlated well with the above equation.

    b. First-Hour Rating

    For water heaters that have a heat source controlled by means other than sensing flow (e.g., thermostatically-controlled), the delivery capacity is determined through a first-hour rating test. During this test, the water heater begins in its fully heated state, and water is drawn from it at a specified flow rate until the temperature of the delivered water drops a specified amount. The water heater is then allowed to recover, and subsequent draws are initiated when the controller acts to reduce the heat input to particular burners or heating elements specified in the test procedure. These subsequent draws are terminated based on the same criterion that is used for the first draw, namely that the outlet water temperature drops a set amount of degrees from its maximum value during that draw. When the test reaches a duration of one hour from the start of the first draw, the test concludes after the draw termination criterion is reached for the draw taking place at one hour from the start of the test. If no draw is occurring at the one hour duration, a draw is initiated and terminated when the outlet water temperature reaches the termination temperature of the previous draw, and the test is concluded upon termination of that draw.

    In the uniform efficiency descriptor test procedure, the primary change that will affect the first-hour rating is the shift from a nominal delivery temperature of 135 degF to 125 degF and the accompanying adjustment to the draw termination criterion to a decrease in delivered water temperature from 25 degF in the current consumer water heater test method to 15 degF in the uniform efficiency descriptor test method. Because the initial set-point temperature is reduced in the uniform efficiency descriptor as compared to the existing consumer water heater test procedure, less stored thermal energy will be available at the start of the test. However, this effect is countered because the lower set-point temperature allows the water heater to recover quicker (as the water only needs to be heated to a 15 degF temperature rise rather than a 25 degF temperature rise), thereby allowing subsequent draws to start sooner than they would under the current test procedure. Thus, due to these offsetting effects, DOE has observed through testing that sometimes the first-hour rating is increased when tested under the uniform efficiency descriptor, and sometimes the rating is decreased. DOE is not aware of any analytical models that would mathematically represent this behavior, so it has chosen not to pursue such an approach for converting existing first-

    hour ratings to first-hour ratings under the uniform efficiency descriptor. Rather, as discussed in section III.C.3, DOE chose an approach based on an empirical regression for converting the first-hour ratings.

    Likewise, DOE is not aware of any analytical method that will convert rated values of thermal efficiency and standby loss for residential-duty commercial storage water heaters to a first-hour rating. Therefore, DOE chose an approach based on empirical regression for converting existing ratings of residential-duty commercial water heaters to first-hour ratings.

    c. Uniform Energy Factor

    A number of changes to the 24-hour simulated-use test will alter the water heater energy efficiency ratings from the existing water heater test procedures as compared to the ratings obtained under the uniform efficiency descriptor test method. Among the key changes that are expected to alter the efficiency metric for consumer water heaters are: (1) A different volume of water withdrawn per test; (2) a change in the draw pattern (i.e., number of draws, flow rates during draws, timing of draws) applied during the test; (3) reduction of the test temperature from an average stored temperature of 135 degF to a delivered water temperature of 125 degF; and (4) removal of the stipulation to normalize the energy consumption to maintain a prescribed average water temperature within the storage tank. Residential-duty commercial water heaters will see a change from the thermal efficiency and standby loss metrics currently in place to the UEF, which consists of an entirely new approach for rating efficiency.

    i. Consumer Storage Water Heaters

    A simple theoretical model for determining the energy consumption of a storage-type water heater based on key test parameters, termed the Water Heater Analysis Model (WHAM), was

    Page 20126

    presented by Lutz et al.\11\ The equation for the energy input (Q) over a 24-hour period is determined using the following equation:

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \11\ Lutz, Jim, Camilla Dunham Whitehead, Alex Lekov, David Winiarski, and Greg Rosenquist. ``WHAM: A Simplified Energy Consumption Equation for Water Heaters'' In Proceedings of the 1998 ACEEE Summer Study on Energy Efficiency in Buildings (1998) (Available at: http://cgec.ucdavis.edu/ACEEE/1998/pdffiles/papers/0114.pdf) (Last accessed October 1, 2014).

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.008

    where rho is the density of water, cp is the specific heat of water, etar is the recovery efficiency, V is the volume of water delivered per day, UA is the heat loss factor, Ttank is the average temperature of the water stored within the tank of a storage water heater, P is the input power to the water heater in Btu/h, Tamb is the average ambient temperature during the test, and 24 is the number of hours in the test. This equation considers the energy required to heat the water that is delivered by the water heater from the inlet water temperature up to the delivery temperature and the energy required to make up the heat lost from the water heater to the surrounding environment. The time over which this standby energy loss is determined is corrected by the term with the power in the denominator to account for the fact that etar, as calculated in the test, accounts for standby energy loss during periods when heat input to the water is activated.

    This calculated energy can then be used to estimate the daily efficiency, Eff, under a given daily water demand (e.g., that required during the current EF test or that required during the UEF test):

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.009

    Currently, directories of water heater ratings provide the Eff (i.e., Energy Factor), P, and etar. Since the EF testing entails a prescribed Tdel (135 degF), Tin (58 degF), Ttank (135 degF), Tamb (67.5 degF), and V (64.3 gallons), the two equations can be solved for the two remaining unknowns, Q and UA. The exception to this approach is heat pump water heaters. For these units, the reported recovery efficiency (etar) is that of the resistance element inside the water heater. Since it is expected that the heat pump unit would provide the majority of the heating during the simulated-use test as opposed to the resistance element, the required data to use the WHAM model for heat pump water heaters is not readily available in publicly accessible directories. For these units, DOE proposes to base the conversion equation purely on experimental data.

    After the equations are solved to determine UA, if one assumes that the UA and etar do not change under the new test approach, then the two equations can be solved again (this time inserting the UA value obtained from solving the previous set of equations) to determine the values for Q and Eff (i.e., UEF) under the uniform efficiency descriptor test method using the prescribed values for the uniform efficiency descriptor test procedure of Tdel (125 degF), Tin (58 degF), Ttank (125 degF), Tamb (67.5 degF), and V (varies depending upon draw pattern).

    This formulation entails a number of assumptions. A major assumption is that the average tank temperature is approximately equal to the delivered water temperature. As previously noted, the new procedure does not normalize the average stored water temperature to a prescribed value, so this estimate may not be completely accurate. Some water heaters have demonstrated that average tank temperature is below the typical delivered temperature because of stratification. This effect is believed to be most pronounced with condensing water heaters. Other water heaters show some stratification, but the average water temperature within the tank is typically closer to the delivered water temperature. Another assumption in this formulation is that the recovery efficiency and UA values do not change when the water heater stores water for delivery at 135 degF compared to storing it at 125 degF. While electric resistance water heaters have a prescribed recovery efficiency of 98 percent, other technologies may see changes in the recovery efficiency as the temperature drops. For example, the study by Sparn et al. shows plots of the Coefficient of Performance (COP), which is one aspect of the recovery efficiency, for heat pump water heaters.\12\ Their data suggest an increase in COP of approximately 15 percent with the average tank temperature at 125 degF compared to 135 degF. Data obtained by DOE indicate an increase in recovery efficiency obtained during the same draw profile of between 3 and 13 percent, with an average of 8 percent. Data collected on fossil-fuel-fired water heaters show negligible dependency of the recovery efficiency on the prescribed tank temperature. The UA value may change slightly based on higher heat transfer coefficients at higher temperatures or changes in the thermal conductivity of insulating materials at higher temperatures. Data collected by DOE suggest that the UA value decreases 7 percent from 135 degF to 125 degF.

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \12\ Sparn, B., K. Hudon, and D. Christensen, Laboratory Performance Evaluation of Residential Integrated Heat Pump Water Heaters. National Renewable Energy Laboratory (September 2011) (Available at: http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy11osti/52635.pdf) (Last accessed October 1, 2014).

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    For an initial estimate, DOE considered the situation where the UA and recovery efficiency do not change with temperature. The equations above can estimate the effects of two key factors that have changed in the test procedure, namely the volume drawn per day and the delivery temperature. As more water is delivered, the fraction of energy required to make up the standby losses compared to the overall energy required by the water heater is diminished, thereby increasing the fraction of energy going towards hot delivered water and increasing the efficiency. The change in set-point temperature appears to have less of an effect on water heater efficiency, since two competing factors are at play. With a lower stored water temperature, the standby losses are decreased, thereby increasing the overall efficiency of the water heater. The lower delivery temperature, however, means that less energy is delivered per gallon, so the energy delivered for a given volume delivered per day is less than that when the water is delivered at 135 degF, thereby decreasing the efficiency of the water heater.

    As noted, direct use of this model may not properly account for changes to the recovery efficiency, UA value, or normalization procedure for standby heat loss. Therefore, DOE has chosen a two-step process to convert the existing Energy Factor ratings for consumer storage water heaters to the UEF. First, using the equations and assumptions described above, a prediction of the

    Page 20127

    efficiency given by WHAM is determined, termed UEFWHAM. This value is then considered as part of a regression analysis (see section III.C.3) to obtain a relationship that will convert from EF to UEF. DOE believes that the use of WHAM will capture the primary effects of changes in the volume of water delivered per day along with changes in the set-point temperature. Regression with experimental data will then capture the effects that may not be fully accounted for by WHAM, such as differences in the UA value, recovery efficiency, and the change to the normalization calculation procedure for standby heat loss.

    To establish a clear method of applying the analytical model, the WHAM-based UEF equation and Table III.4, comprising the coefficients based on draw bin, are presented below. This equation incorporates the equations and assumptions presented above, where etar and EF are the recovery efficiency and energy factor, respectively, based on the current DOE test procedure, and P is the nameplate input rate in Btu/h. As shown in Table III.4, constants ``a,'' ``b,'' ``c,'' and ``d'' are dependent on the volume of water being drawn.

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.010

    Table III.4--Coefficients for WHAM-based UEF Conversion Factor

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Draw bin a b c d

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Very Small...................................... 56095146 12884892499 8930623 15125743368

    Low............................................. 56095146 48962591496 33936368 57477824799

    Medium.......................................... 56095146 70866908744 49118427 83191588525

    High............................................ 56095146 108233096990 75017235 127056244293

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ii. Consumer Instantaneous Water Heaters

    WHAM is not directly applicable to instantaneous water heaters because it assumes that the water heater loses heat at a constant rate throughout the day when the heating element is not energized. For instantaneous water heaters, this modeling approach is inappropriate since the unit does not store water at an elevated temperature throughout the day, rather heating water as it flows through the unit.

    Instantaneous water heaters instead experience a separate type of heat loss to the surroundings that sometimes result in Energy Factors that are below the steady-state thermal efficiency. This loss occurs when heat that is present in the water heater at the end of a draw dissipates to the ambient. If a draw is not initiated shortly after the end of a draw, then most of this heat is lost. If, however, a subsequent draw starts shortly after a previous draw, some of that heat is captured in the hot water that is delivered.

    DOE attempted to capture these effects in a modified equation that separately accounts for energy consumption that goes towards supplying heat to the delivered water and energy consumption that goes towards heating up the materials making up the water heater:

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.011

    where LF is a loss factor related to the amount of energy stored in the materials of the water heater and N* is the number of draws from which heat loss occurs to the environment. LF is approximately equal to the mass of the material within the water heater times its heat capacity. N* is not simply the number of draws during the day, since some draws may occur close together and do not result in total energy loss. To determine the fraction of energy from a draw that is lost, DOE examined data from testing that suggested that most heat is lost from tankless water heaters after about one hour. Using this value, DOE scaled the energy loss for a draw by the length of the standby time following the draw. For example, a draw followed by over one hour of standby time would contribute a value of 1 to N* for that test. A draw followed by 30 minutes of standby time prior to the next draw would contribute a value of (30 min)/(60 min) = 0.5 to N*. Contributions from each draw in a test pattern are added to obtain a value for N* for each draw pattern. For the existing DOE consumer water heater test, N* is 5.64, as the standby time following each draw is slightly under 60 minutes. The values for N* for all draw patterns are provided in Table III.5.

    Table III.5--Estimate of Number of Draws From Which All Energy From

    Water Heater Is Lost to Surroundings

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Draw pattern N*

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Existing Consumer Water Heater Draw Pattern.................... 5.64

    Very-Small-Use................................................. 4.36

    Low-Use........................................................ 6.72

    Medium-Use..................................................... 7.45

    High-Use....................................................... 7.53

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DOE attempted this approach by obtaining an estimate of LF from data obtained during testing of 17 gas instantaneous water heaters according to the current simulated-use test. (LF could theoretically be determined for each unit, but some test results showed a recovery efficiency equal to EF, which would mathematically lead to an infinite value of LF). A regression of the energy consumption data during these tests with the quantity multiplying LF in the previous model equation resulted in a value of LF of 0.679 Btu/degF. Using

    Page 20128

    this value to then estimate the energy consumption during the new simulated-use test resulted in predictions of the UEF. This approach resulted in a root mean squared error between predicted values and measured values of 0.027.

    Alternatively, a set of regressions, based solely on test data, were examined to determine the impact of other factors as discussed in section III.C.3. The best regressions resulted in a mean squared error of 0.032.

    As discussed for consumer storage water heaters in section III.C.2.c.i, DOE also considered a two-step process to convert the existing EF ratings to the UEF--first using the equations and assumptions described above to obtain an analytical prediction of UEF, then using a regression analysis to obtain a relationship that will convert from EF to UEF. Based on these results, DOE has chosen to use the analytical model plus a regression approach for converting EFs for consumer instantaneous water heaters to UEF. DOE has tentatively concluded that the assumptions made in the analytical model capture some key operating characteristics of the instantaneous units, and the further step to use measured data captures unforeseen issues. Details on this approach are provided in section III.C.3.

    iii. Residential-Duty Commercial Water Heaters

    DOE investigated a modified version of WHAM for converting the thermal efficiency and standby loss metrics for residential-duty commercial storage water heaters to UEF. The AHRI certification directory includes the thermal efficiency (Et) and standby loss (SL). The equation below estimates the energy consumption of a water heater based on these efficiency metrics:

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.012

    where 70 represents the nominal temperature difference in degrees Fahrenheit between the tank and ambient during the standby loss test. By assuming that Ttank equals Tdel, all variables in the equation above are known, since Et and SL can be obtained from current ratings and all other variables are specified in the UEF test procedure for a given projected first-hour rating. The equation above can be used in combination with the one below to estimate the UEF for residential-duty storage water heaters (UEFrd):

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.013

    These equations can be combined to yield the following equation for converting Et and SL to UEF using the coefficient C1, which is dependent upon the draw pattern applied during the UEF test, as provided in Table III.6.

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.014

    Table III.6--Coefficient for Conversion of Commercial Water Heater

    Ratings to UEF

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Draw pattern C1

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Very Small.............................................. 3.575 x 10-3

    Low..................................................... 9.408 x 10-4

    Medium.................................................. 6.500 x 10-4

    High.................................................... 4.256 x 10-4

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As was done with consumer water heaters, DOE decided to account for unforeseen effects observed during testing by combining this analytical prediction with a regression of the predicted values of UEF to the measured UEF.

    DOE seeks comments on the use of analytical methods to convert existing metrics to the ones described in the July 2014 test procedure final rule. This is identified as issue 2 in section V.E, ``Issues on Which DOE Seeks Comment.''

    3. Empirical Regression

    An alternative to the analytical approaches described in section III.C.2 is to develop empirical equations from measured metrics under the uniform efficiency descriptor test procedure to those obtained using the existing consumer and commercial water heater test procedures. This approach has the benefit of capturing the effects of factors that are not addressed in analytical models. The drawbacks of this approach are that it is susceptible to measurement errors and that it may not be easily extended to water heaters that were not part of the test program.

    To derive the conversion factors from an empirical regression, DOE first used a step regression method. The step regression method produces a linear equation which uses a set of observed independent variables, such as storage volume, input rate, delivery capacity, recovery efficiency, energy factor, thermal efficiency, or standby loss, and seeks to mathematically derive an equation using these variables to relate to a set of observed dependent variables, such as new delivery capacity (under the updated test method) and UEF. The step regression method systematically recombines the set of independent variables to produce an equation for each possible set. Each set's equation is compared to the others and the equation with the best fit is chosen. This approach eliminates factors that are not significant in converting existing metrics to the new metrics. DOE also considered simpler regression forms to reduce confusion in converting from old metrics to new metrics and to ensure that the regressions were applicable over the broad range of water heaters available on the market. In these circumstances, DOE examined the deviations between measured values and predicted values from the correction equations. When those deviations were comparable, DOE opted for simplified models that would be expected to capture the major phenomena that would affect the new metrics. The regression tool found in the Analysis ToolPak of Microsoft Excel (2010) was used to calculate the equation for each set of independent variables.

    As noted previously, because DOE has tentatively concluded that an empirical regression methodology would be more accurate than the analytical method described in section III.C.2 for determining first-

    hour rating for storage water heaters, DOE has proposed conversion factors for those metrics and product types based on the use of the empirical regression methodology. DOE seeks comment on the use of the regression method for the conversion factor analysis. This is identified as issue 3 in section V.E, ``Issues on Which DOE Seeks Comment.''

  21. Testing Conducted for the Mathematical Conversion

    1. Consumer Water Heater Testing

    For its analysis of a mathematical conversion factor between the existing efficiency metrics and the uniform efficiency descriptor, DOE tested 43 consumer storage water heaters to both the existing and updated test procedures. Table III.7 and Table III.8

    Page 20129

    below summarize the units that have been tested. Table III.7 summarizes the units that have been tested according to heating type. Table III.8 provides an estimate of the distribution of those units across draw pattern categories by using their first-hour ratings under the current test (although it is acknowledged that the applied draw pattern for a particular water heater could change under the new first-hour rating test).

    Table III.7--Consumer Storage Water Heater Test Distribution by Product

    Type

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Number of

    Product type units tested

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Gas-fired............................................... 22

    Oil-fired............................................... 2

    Electric................................................ 11

    Heat Pump............................................... 6

    Tabletop................................................ 2

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Table III.8--Consumer Storage Water Heater Test Distribution by Draw

    Pattern

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Number of

    Draw pattern * units tested

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Very Small **........................................... 0

    Low..................................................... 3

    Medium.................................................. 27

    High.................................................... 13

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    * The draw pattern shown is based on the current rated values; actual

    draw patterns are dependent upon amended test procedure first-hour

    rating discussed in section III.C.1.

    ** No very small consumer storage water heaters covered under the

    existing test procedure were found on the market.

    DOE also tested 22 consumer instantaneous water heaters to develop the mathematical conversion for these products. Table III.9 below summarizes the units that have been tested. Table III.10 provides an estimate of the distribution of those units across draw patterns by using their maximum GPM ratings under the current test (although it is acknowledged that the applied draw pattern for a particular water heater could change under the new maximum GPM test).

    Table III.9--Consumer Instantaneous Water Heater Test Distribution by

    Product Type

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Number of

    Product type units tested

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Gas-fired *............................................. 17

    Oil-fired **............................................ 0

    Electric................................................ 5

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    * Gas-fired water heaters include both natural gas and propane water

    heaters, as well as water heaters capable of using either natural gas

    or propane. DOE tested 10 natural gas water heaters, 1 propane water

    heaters, and 6 water heaters capable of using either natural gas or

    propane. Water heaters capable of using either fuel were tested with

    natural gas.

    ** No oil-fired consumer instantaneous water heaters were found to be on

    the market.

    Table III.10--Consumer Instantaneous Water Heater Test Distribution by

    Draw Pattern

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Number of

    Draw pattern * units tested

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Very Small.............................................. 5

    Low..................................................... 1

    Medium.................................................. 7

    High.................................................... 9

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    * Draw pattern profiles are based on the rated values; actual draw

    patterns are dependent upon tested value discussed in section III.C.1.

    2. Residential-Duty Commercial Water Heater Testing

    DOE tested 7 residential-duty commercial storage water heaters to develop the mathematical conversion for this equipment. Table III.11 summarizes the units that have been tested. A table showing the distribution of draw pattern within the residential-duty commercial water heater test list is not available, because commercial water heaters currently do not have first-hour ratings.

    Table III.11--Residential-Duty Commercial Storage Water Heater Test

    Distribution by Product Type

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Number of

    Product type * units tested

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Gas-fired............................................... 7

    Oil-fired **............................................ 0

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    * Heat pump and tabletop water heaters were not found on the market and,

    therefore, were not tested.

    ** One oil-fired unit failed during testing.

    As discussed in section III.B.2, DOE did not analyze a mathematical conversion for residential-duty commercial electric storage water heaters or residential-duty commercial instantaneous water heaters.

  22. Testing Results and Analysis of Test Data

    1. Impact of Certain Water Heater Attributes on Efficiency Ratings

    After conducting testing on all of the selected water heaters according to both the existing test procedures and the uniform efficiency descriptor test procedure, DOE examined how particular attributes of water heaters might affect the conversion factors and investigated the approaches discussed in section III.C for obtaining conversion factors. The goal of this analysis was to determine whether or not particular attributes necessitated separate conversion equations. Separate conversions were created for subsets of the tested units based on water heater attributes such as NOX emission level, short or tall configuration, vent type, standing pilot or electric ignition, if condensing or heat pump technology is used, and if the unit is tabletop. Additionally, conversion equations were also generated based on the full set of water heaters. To determine whether it was necessary to develop separate conversion factors for a particular attribute, the root-mean-square (RMS) of the difference between the measured values and the values obtained through various conversion methods was compared. The conversion approach with the lowest cumulative RMS value for a particular fuel type was considered to be the best candidate for the conversion equation.

    The three levels of NOX emissions currently available in water heaters on the market include standard (greater than or equal to 40 nanograms per joule (ng/J)), low (less than 40 ng/J and greater than or equal to 10 ng/J for storage water heaters and greater than or equal to 14 ng/J for instantaneous water heaters) and ultra-low (less than 10 ng/J for storage water heaters and less than 14 ng/J for instantaneous water heaters).

    Most units that are short or tall have been labeled as such by the manufacturer; however, some units do not have this designation. DOE has found that some units labeled as small are actually taller than units labeled as tall. DOE is interested in how manufacturers determine whether a unit is short or tall. This is identified as issue 4 in section V.E, ``Issues on Which DOE Seeks Comment.''

    The four venting configurations currently available in water heaters on the market include atmospheric, direct, power, and power-

    direct. Atmospheric and power vent units intake air from the area surrounding the water heater, while direct and power-direct vents intake air from outdoors. Atmospheric and direct

    Page 20130

    vent units use natural convection to circulate combustion air, while power and power-direct vents use some additional method to force circulation of combustion air. Concentric inlet and outlet piping is a unique configuration that can be used in directly venting water heaters to preheat incoming air using exhaust gas. For these tests, concentric inlet and outlet piping was not used; inlet air for the direct and power-direct vent units was delivered to the water heater in separate pipes from that used for exhaust. As these tests were conducted under identical controlled conditions, DOE determined that there is very little difference between atmospheric and direct vent water heaters and also between power and power-direct vent. For these reasons DOE has grouped atmospheric and direct into the atmospheric configuration and power and power-direct into the power configuration.

    As an example of the process that was taken to examine the effect of these factors, Table III.12 shows the cumulative RMS values for the first-hour rating conversions for consumer storage water heaters. The rows in the table indicate how the conversion equations were separated out, and the columns provide the RMS for each class of consumer storage water heaters. For gas water heaters, these values show that the conversion approach that differentiates between condensing or non-

    condensing technology and between NOX levels appears to provide the best approach considering its low RMS values. No other factors (e.g., short vs. tall, vent type, pilot type) were shown to have any significance on the effectiveness of the conversion factor. For oil-fired water heaters and electric water heaters, the lowest RMS deviations occurred when all units of that fuel type were considered, indicating that separating the conversion equations by tank shape was not necessary. The findings presented here for first-hour rating conversions are consistent with those for UEF. From these results, DOE proposes to develop conversion equations for consumer storage water heaters based on fuel type, with the gas units being further differentiated by whether or not they are condensing units and by their NOx emissions level ratings.

    For consumer instantaneous water heaters and residential-duty commercial water heaters, DOE found no dependence on factors such as condensing operation or vent type. Conversion factors for these classes of water heaters are, thus, based simply on fuel type.

    Table III.12--First-Hour Rating RMS Values by Water Heater Attribute for Consumer Water Heaters

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Gas-fired Oil-fired Electric

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    All Units (All fuel types)............. 6.99 6.89....................... 4.47.

    All Units Short or Tall................ 6.87 5.79....................... 3.67.

    Fuel Type (Gas, Oil or Electric)....... 7.16 Not enough units........... 3.88.

    Fuel Type Short or Tall................ 6.91 No short units............. Not enough short units.

    Fossil Fuel (Gas and Oil).............. 6.59 5.73....................... N/A.

    Fossil Fuel Short or Tall.............. 6.52 5.82....................... N/A.

    Condensing or Non-Condensing........... 6.66 N/A........................ N/A.

    NOX Type (Standard, Low or Ultra Low).. 4.61 N/A........................ N/A.

    Vent Type (Atmospheric or Power)....... 5.53 N/A........................ N/A.

    Standing Pilot or Electric Ignition.... 5.53 N/A........................ N/A.

    Non-Condensing NOX Type and Separate 3.98 N/A........................ N/A.

    Condensing.

    All Electric Types Separate............ N/A N/A........................ 3.43.

    Heat Pump Separate..................... N/A N/A........................ 3.59.

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    2. Conversion Factor Derivation

    DOE used the methods described in section III.C to derive the mathematical conversion factor for the different types of water heaters covered within the scope of this rulemaking (as discussed in section III.B). This section describes the methodology that was applied to develop a conversion factor for each type of water heater.

    a. Consumer Storage Water Heaters

    i. Test Results

    As stated in section III.D.1, DOE has conducted testing of 43 consumer storage water heaters using both the current and new test procedures. Table III.13 below presents the test data used to derive the consumer storage water heater conversion factors. Table III.14 shows the water heater attributes by unit described in section III.D.1.

    Table III.13--Consumer Storage Water Heater Test Data

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Current

    Storage Input rate Current FHR Updated FHR recovery

    Unit No. Type volume (Btu/h) (gal) (gal) efficiency EF UEF

    (gal) (%)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CS-1................................. Heat Pump............. 45.2 13,600 59.1 48.2 264.7 2.260 2.069

    CS-2................................. Heat Pump............. 45.5 8,500 57.3 57.0 269.0 2.272 2.575

    CS-3................................. Heat Pump............. 58.9 6,800 71.5 68.6 290.1 2.406 2.493

    CS-4................................. Heat Pump............. 77.6 6,800 90.5 87.1 285.0 2.315 2.641

    CS-5................................. Heat Pump............. 80.8 1,800 57.0 58.0 288.0 2.330 2.540

    CS-6................................. Electric.............. 36.2 15,400 54.0 49.7 98.0 0.941 0.905

    CS-7................................. Electric.............. 44.9 14,300 64.1 64.3 98.0 0.855 0.840

    CS-8................................. Electric.............. 46.1 14,000 64.8 61.7 98.0 0.901 0.919

    CS-9................................. Electric.............. 27.4 13,000 38.7 43.1 98.0 0.912 0.906

    CS-10................................ Electric.............. 34.1 14,000 50.7 52.0 98.0 0.902 0.907

    CS-11................................ Electric.............. 35.9 15,400 52.4 51.8 98.0 0.931 0.920

    Page 20131

    CS-12................................ Electric.............. 36.1 15,400 53.2 54.8 98.0 0.912 0.927

    CS-13................................ Electric.............. 44.9 15,400 64.9 59.4 98.0 0.960 0.926

    CS-14................................ Electric.............. 45.8 15,400 62.7 64.2 98.0 0.922 0.936

    CS-15................................ Electric.............. 49.7 18,800 68.5 73.2 98.0 0.924 0.940

    CS-16................................ Electric.............. 72.2 14,700 88.7 80.9 98.0 0.848 0.883

    CS-17................................ Tabletop.............. 25.7 15,400 37.5 45.3 98.0 0.905 0.857

    CS-18................................ Tabletop.............. 35.1 15,400 52.9 47.8 98.0 0.878 0.804

    CS-19................................ Gas................... 38.4 39,800 67.0 81.1 80.5 0.601 0.630

    CS-20................................ Gas................... 49.5 44,100 97.4 86.6 80.5 0.610 0.634

    CS-21................................ Gas................... 37.8 39,700 70.1 86.9 83.8 0.608 0.641

    CS-22................................ Gas................... 47.6 49,900 90.2 81.0 81.1 0.674 0.675

    CS-23................................ Gas................... 37.9 39,400 74.4 81.6 80.3 0.691 0.705

    CS-24................................ Gas................... 38.0 32,600 66.9 58.5 69.0 0.574 0.566

    CS-25................................ Gas................... 38.0 39,800 80.2 63.8 83.6 0.711 0.669

    CS-26................................ Gas................... 38.1 40,800 73.5 75.2 83.6 0.702 0.716

    CS-27................................ Gas................... 38.2 39,300 71.9 77.6 77.4 0.607 0.635

    CS-28................................ Gas................... 27.9 31,600 58.8 64.4 80.7 0.620 0.606

    CS-29................................ Gas................... 38.1 40,200 74.7 70.6 80.5 0.622 0.569

    CS-30................................ Gas................... 38.3 37,900 71.9 64.6 78.5 0.616 0.434

    CS-31................................ Gas................... 47.3 50,600 95.1 87.0 78.8 0.606 0.640

    CS-32................................ Gas................... 38.6 40,100 70.2 67.2 80.4 0.673 0.647

    CS-33................................ Gas................... 38.9 32,400 68.6 65.2 78.1 0.666 0.624

    CS-34................................ Gas................... 27.9 59,000 96.9 94.5 78.2 0.702 0.709

    CS-35................................ Gas................... 38.5 36,000 66.0 68.0 85.0 0.699 0.670

    CS-36................................ Gas................... 47.8 64,600 107.9 108.8 79.5 0.649 0.672

    CS-37................................ Gas................... 45.7 39,800 91.0 84.8 96.3 0.830 0.828

    CS-38................................ Gas................... 38.2 40,300 68.2 64.8 79.7 0.606 0.595

    CS-39................................ Gas................... 38.2 38,300 71.3 64.6 75.2 0.625 0.596

    CS-40................................ Gas................... 47.8 40,500 94.2 83.8 74.0 0.550 0.641

    CS-41................................ Gas................... 48.1 36,000 92.4 88.2 81.4 0.631 0.662

    CS-42................................ Oil................... 29.8 105,300 104.8 111.7 71.4 0.518 0.478

    CS-43................................ Oil................... 30.1 105,300 112.5 127.4 89.4 0.605 0.641

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Table III.14--Consumer Storage Water Heater Attributes

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Standing pilot or

    Unit No. NOX emission level Condensing Vent type Short or tall electric ignition

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CS-1........................... N/A.................... N/A................... N/A................... N/A................... N/A.

    CS-2........................... N/A.................... N/A................... N/A................... N/A................... N/A.

    CS-3........................... N/A.................... N/A................... N/A................... N/A................... N/A.

    CS-4........................... N/A.................... N/A................... N/A................... N/A................... N/A.

    CS-5........................... N/A.................... N/A................... N/A................... N/A................... N/A.

    CS-6........................... N/A.................... N/A................... N/A................... Short................. N/A.

    CS-7........................... N/A.................... N/A................... N/A................... Short................. N/A.

    CS-8........................... N/A.................... N/A................... N/A................... Short................. N/A.

    CS-9........................... N/A.................... N/A................... N/A................... Tall.................. N/A.

    CS-10.......................... N/A.................... N/A................... N/A................... Tall.................. N/A.

    CS-11.......................... N/A.................... N/A................... N/A................... Tall.................. N/A.

    CS-12.......................... N/A.................... N/A................... N/A................... Tall.................. N/A.

    CS-13.......................... N/A.................... N/A................... N/A................... Tall.................. N/A.

    CS-14.......................... N/A.................... N/A................... N/A................... Tall.................. N/A.

    CS-15.......................... N/A.................... N/A................... N/A................... Tall.................. N/A.

    CS-16.......................... N/A.................... N/A................... N/A................... Tall.................. N/A.

    CS-17.......................... N/A.................... N/A................... N/A................... N/A................... N/A.

    CS-18.......................... N/A.................... N/A................... N/A................... N/A................... N/A.

    CS-19.......................... Standard............... No.................... Atmospheric........... Short................. Yes.

    CS-20.......................... Standard............... No.................... Atmospheric........... Short................. Yes.

    CS-21.......................... Standard............... No.................... Atmospheric........... Tall.................. Yes.

    CS-22.......................... Standard............... No.................... Power................. Tall.................. No.

    CS-23.......................... Low.................... No.................... Atmospheric........... Short................. No.

    CS-24.......................... Low.................... No.................... Atmospheric........... Short................. Yes.

    CS-25.......................... Low.................... No.................... Atmospheric........... Tall.................. No.

    CS-26.......................... Low.................... No.................... Atmospheric........... Tall.................. No.

    CS-27.......................... Low.................... No.................... Atmospheric........... Tall.................. No.

    CS-28.......................... Low.................... No.................... Atmospheric........... Tall.................. Yes.

    CS-29.......................... Low.................... No.................... Atmospheric........... Tall.................. Yes.

    CS-30.......................... Low.................... No.................... Atmospheric........... Tall.................. Yes.

    Page 20132

    CS-31.......................... Low.................... No.................... Atmospheric........... Tall.................. Yes.

    CS-32.......................... Low.................... No.................... Power................. Short................. No.

    CS-33.......................... Low.................... No.................... Power................. Short................. No.

    CS-34.......................... Low.................... No.................... Power................. Tall.................. No.

    CS-35.......................... Low.................... No.................... Power................. Tall.................. No.

    CS-36.......................... Low.................... No.................... Power................. Tall.................. No.

    CS-37.......................... Low.................... Yes................... Power................. Tall.................. No.

    CS-38.......................... Ultra-Low.............. No.................... Atmospheric........... Short................. Yes.

    CS-39.......................... Ultra-Low.............. No.................... Atmospheric........... Short................. Yes.

    CS-40.......................... Ultra-Low.............. No.................... Atmospheric........... Tall.................. Yes.

    CS-41.......................... Ultra-Low.............. No.................... Atmospheric........... Tall.................. Yes.

    CS-42.......................... N/A.................... N/A................... N/A................... Tall.................. N/A.

    CS-43.......................... N/A.................... N/A................... N/A................... Tall.................. N/A.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ii. Conversion Factor Results

    For consumer storage water heaters, DOE proposes to use the regression method described in section III.C.3 to develop new first hour ratings. Of the factors considered, DOE found that the existing first hour rating was the best overall predictor of the new first hour rating. These findings were based on the root mean squared errors between predictions and measured values. In some cases, addition of other factors in the regressions (e.g., input rate, storage volume) led to predictions with slightly better RMS values, but DOE chose to be consistent in its formulations by using the same factor, existing first hour ratings. In these cases, DOE found that addition of extra terms improved the RMS value by less than 1 gallon, so it tentatively concluded that the added potential for confusion is not warranted. The resulting equations for determining the FHRnew of consumer storage water heaters are:

    New FHRGas,Non-Condensing,Standard NOx = 1.0085 * FHREx

    New FHRGas,Non-Condensing,Low NOx = 4.6894 + 0.9112 * FHREx

    New FHRGas,Non-Condensing,Ultra Low NOx = 2.9267 + 0.8882 * FHREx

    New FHRGas,Condensing = -0.7072 + 0.9724 * FHREx

    New FHROil = 1.1018 * FHREx

    New FHRElectric,Conventional&Tabletop = 11.9239 + 0.7879 * FHREx

    New FHRElectric,Heat Pump = -2.3440 + 0.9856 * FHREx

    where FHRnew is the new first hour rating, FHRex is the existing first hour rating, and the slope and intercept are constants obtained from a linear regression. While most of the data allowed for such a regression fit, in two cases (oil, non-condensing gas with standard level NOX burners) the available data were too limited to produce reliable regressions. In these cases, the intercepts of the regressions were assigned a value of zero, meaning that a water heater with an FHRex of zero would also have an FHRnew of zero.

    The next step in the conversion is to determine which draw pattern is to be applied to convert from EF to UEF. After the first-hour rating under the uniform efficiency descriptor is determined through the conversion factor above, the value can be applied to determine the appropriate draw pattern bin (i.e., very small, low, medium, or high) using Table III.3 of this NOPR or Table 1 of the uniform efficiency descriptor test procedure. 79 FR 40542, 40572 (July 11, 2014). With the draw bin known, the UEF value based on the WHAM analytical model can be calculated using the process described in section III.C.2.c.i for all types except for heat pump water heaters. Alternatively, DOE investigated the step regression approach described in section III.C.3 to convert EF to UEF. DOE found that a third technique, a combination of these approaches in which the results of the WHAM analytical model are used as the independent variable in a standard linear regression analysis, produced the best results. Separate conversion equations were developed for the same categories as used for first-hour rating. The results of the first-hour regression, the WHAM analytical model, the step regression model, and the combined WHAM-regression model are presented below in Table III.16. The RMS errors for the classes range from 0.0014 to 0.0495 when using a combined WHAM-regression model. For heat pump water heaters, a linear regression in which the UEF is estimated solely from the existing EF results in an RMS error of 0.187. Considering the larger magnitude of UEFs for heat pump water heaters, DOE has tentatively concluded that this relatively high RMS error is acceptable for heat pump water heaters. DOE has, therefore, tentatively decided to use the combined WHAM-regression approach to calculate the consumer storage water heater conversion factor for non-heat pump water heaters and to apply a regression that relates UEF to EF for heat pump water heaters. The WHAM-regression approach accounts for the test procedure changes in terms of daily volume delivered and storage tank temperature, and it corrects for the unaccounted changes using a regression with actual test data. Because the data are not believed to be publicly available to compute the WHAM estimate for heat pump water heaters, DOE proposes to base this conversion on an empirical regression. The resulting equations for determining the UEF of consumer storage water heaters are:

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.015

    UEFGas,Non-Condensing,Standard NOx = 0.2726 * UEFWHAM + 0.4736

    UEFGas,Non-Condensing,Low NOx = 0.9966 * UEFWHAM - 0.0126

    UEFGas,Non-Condensing,Ultra-Low NOx = 0.5811 *UEFWHAM + 0.2673

    Page 20133

    UEFGas,Condensing = 0.9164 * UEFWHAM + 0.0409

    UEFOil = 1.1185 * UEFWHAM - 0.0945

    UEFElectric,Conventional&Tabletop = 0.8673 * UEFWHAM + 0.1227

    UEFElectric,Heat Pump = 1.5485 * EF - 1.1235

    where UEFWHAM is the conversion factor calculated using the WHAM analytical model and the coefficient values shown in Table III.15, P is the nameplate input rate in Btu/h, and etar is the recovery efficiency expressed in decimal form (e.g., 0.98 instead of 98 %).

    Table III.15--Coefficients for WHAM-Based UEF Conversion Factor

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Draw bin a b c d

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Very Small...................................... 56095146 12884892499 8930623 15125743368

    Low............................................. 56095146 48962591496 33936368 57477824799

    Medium.......................................... 56095146 70866908744 49118427 83191588525

    High............................................ 56095146 108233096990 75017235 127056244293

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Table III.16--Consumer Storage Water Heater Conversion Factor Results

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WHAM-

    Unit No. Tested FHR Regression Tested UEF WHAM UEF Regression Regression

    (gal) FHR (gal) UEF UEF

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CS-1........................ 48.2 55.9 2.069 2.209 2.375 2.384

    CS-2........................ 57.0 54.1 2.575 2.215 2.395 2.391

    CS-3........................ 68.6 68.1 2.493 2.339 2.603 2.525

    CS-4........................ 87.1 86.9 2.641 2.435 2.461 2.630

    CS-5........................ 58.0 53.8 2.540 2.213 2.484 2.388

    CS-6........................ 49.7 54.4 0.905 0.935 0.930 0.933

    CS-7........................ 64.3 62.4 0.840 0.836 0.875 0.847

    CS-8........................ 61.7 62.9 0.919 0.888 0.904 0.893

    CS-9........................ 43.1 42.4 0.906 0.866 0.911 0.874

    CS-10....................... 52.0 51.8 0.907 0.888 0.905 0.893

    CS-11....................... 51.8 53.2 0.920 0.923 0.923 0.923

    CS-12....................... 54.8 53.9 0.927 0.901 0.911 0.904

    CS-13....................... 59.4 63.0 0.926 0.956 0.941 0.952

    CS-14....................... 64.2 61.4 0.936 0.912 0.917 0.914

    CS-15....................... 73.2 65.9 0.940 0.915 0.919 0.916

    CS-16....................... 80.9 81.8 0.883 0.880 0.871 0.885

    CS-17....................... 45.3 41.5 0.857 0.855 0.896 0.864

    CS-18....................... 47.8 53.6 0.804 0.862 0.873 0.870

    CS-19....................... 81.1 67.5 0.630 0.578 0.632 0.631

    CS-20....................... 86.6 98.3 0.634 0.651 0.637 0.651

    CS-21....................... 86.9 70.7 0.641 0.583 0.636 0.632

    CS-22....................... 81.0 91.0 0.675 0.705 0.675 0.666

    CS-23....................... 81.6 72.5 0.705 0.676 0.683 0.661

    CS-24....................... 58.5 65.6 0.566 0.558 0.571 0.544

    CS-25....................... 63.8 77.8 0.669 0.739 0.702 0.724

    CS-26....................... 75.2 71.6 0.716 0.685 0.694 0.670

    CS-27....................... 77.6 70.2 0.635 0.587 0.603 0.572

    CS-28....................... 64.4 58.3 0.606 0.598 0.616 0.583

    CS-29....................... 70.6 72.8 0.569 0.600 0.617 0.585

    CS-30....................... 64.6 70.2 0.434 0.595 0.611 0.580

    CS-31....................... 87.0 91.4 0.640 0.645 0.602 0.630

    CS-32....................... 67.2 68.6 0.647 0.656 0.666 0.641

    CS-33....................... 65.2 67.2 0.624 0.651 0.660 0.636

    CS-34....................... 94.5 93.0 0.709 0.721 0.694 0.706

    CS-35....................... 68.0 64.8 0.670 0.679 0.690 0.664

    CS-36....................... 108.8 103.0 0.672 0.681 0.643 0.666

    CS-37....................... 84.8 87.8 0.828 0.861 0.824 0.830

    CS-38....................... 64.8 63.5 0.595 0.583 0.592 0.606

    CS-39....................... 64.6 66.3 0.596 0.609 0.599 0.621

    CS-40....................... 83.8 86.6 0.641 0.589 0.653 0.610

    CS-41....................... 88.2 85.0 0.662 0.670 0.649 0.656

    CS-42....................... 111.7 115.5 0.478 0.557 0.537 0.529

    CS-43....................... 127.4 123.9 0.641 0.659 0.613 0.643

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    b. Consumer Instantaneous

    i. Test Results

    As stated in section III.D.1, DOE has tested 22 consumer instantaneous water heaters to both the current and new test procedures. Table III.17 presents the test data used to derive the consumer instantaneous water heater conversion factors. It is noted that test results show measured recovery efficiencies above 100 percent and EFs and UEFs above 1 for electric instantaneous units; DOE acknowledges that these results appear to violate theoretical limits and believes that these results are an artifact of measurement uncertainty. Table III.18 shows the water heater attributes by unit described in section III.D.1.

    Page 20134

    Table III.17--Consumer Instantaneous Water Heater Test Data

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Current

    Unit No. Type Input rate Current max Updated max recovery EF UEF

    (Btu/h) GPM GPM efficiency (%)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CI-1.............................. Electric............ 8,200 0.20 0.23 101.2 1.012 0.982

    CI-2.............................. Electric............ 32,400 0.82 0.93 101.5 1.017 0.981

    CI-3.............................. Electric............ 34,100 0.87 0.99 101.8 1.018 1.001

    CI-4.............................. Electric............ 27,300 0.68 0.80 102.0 1.019 1.004

    CI-5.............................. Electric............ 20,500 0.52 0.59 102.3 1.021 1.005

    CI-6.............................. Gas................. 179,900 4.01 4.58 82.4 0.821 0.832

    CI-7.............................. Gas................. 178,500 4.08 4.71 83.8 0.837 0.828

    CI-8.............................. Gas................. 120,900 2.69 3.07 84.1 0.839 0.814

    CI-9.............................. Gas................. 199,000 4.61 4.86 87.0 0.876 0.841

    CI-10............................. Gas................. 151,900 3.47 3.96 88.3 0.891 0.815

    CI-11............................. Gas................. 141,100 3.11 3.61 81.4 0.810 0.824

    CI-12............................. Gas................. 190,400 4.23 4.81 83.4 0.829 0.818

    CI-13............................. Gas................. 142,500 2.96 3.43 80.9 0.801 0.795

    CI-14............................. Gas................. 197,200 5.19 5.80 96.7 0.966 0.958

    CI-15............................. Gas................. 199,800 4.80 4.10 93.8 0.932 0.931

    CI-16............................. Gas................. 151,500 3.24 3.88 84.3 0.837 0.805

    CI-17............................. Gas................. 180,400 3.92 4.60 85.0 0.853 0.827

    CI-18............................. Gas................. 175,800 3.67 4.30 84.5 0.838 0.830

    CI-19............................. Gas................. 199,200 4.30 5.07 75.0 0.743 0.799

    CI-20............................. Gas................. 154,100 3.98 4.47 91.6 0.913 0.922

    CI-21............................. Gas................. 201,300 4.90 5.70 88.0 0.851 0.884

    CI-22............................. Gas................. 199,900 5.12 4.91 89.9 0.888 0.943

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Table III.18--Consumer Instantaneous Water Heater Attributes

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Unit No. NOX emission level Condensing Vent type

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CI-1............................... N/A................... N/A................... N/A.

    CI-2............................... N/A................... N/A................... N/A.

    CI-3............................... N/A................... N/A................... N/A.

    CI-4............................... N/A................... N/A................... N/A.

    CI-5............................... N/A................... N/A................... N/A.

    CI-6............................... Low................... No.................... Atmospheric.

    CI-7............................... Low................... No.................... Atmospheric.

    CI-8............................... Low................... No.................... Atmospheric.

    CI-9............................... Low................... No.................... Atmospheric.

    CI-10.............................. Low................... No.................... Atmospheric.

    CI-11.............................. Low................... No.................... Power.

    CI-12.............................. Low................... No.................... Power.

    CI-13.............................. Low................... No.................... Power.

    CI-14.............................. Low................... Yes................... Atmospheric.

    CI-15.............................. Low................... Yes................... Atmospheric.

    CI-16.............................. Ultra-Low............. No.................... Atmospheric.

    CI-17.............................. Ultra-Low............. No.................... Atmospheric.

    CI-18.............................. Ultra-Low............. No.................... Atmospheric.

    CI-19.............................. Ultra-Low............. No.................... Atmospheric.

    CI-20.............................. Ultra-Low............. Yes................... Atmospheric.

    CI-21.............................. Ultra-Low............. Yes................... Atmospheric.

    CI-22.............................. Ultra-Low............. Yes................... Power.

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ii. Conversion Factor Results

    As stated in section III.C.2, DOE developed an analytical model to convert the existing maximum GPM rating for consumer instantaneous water heaters to ratings under the uniform efficiency descriptor test procedure. DOE also attempted to develop an analytical method based on the WHAM equation to estimate the change in existing energy factor ratings under the existing consumer water heater test procedure to values under the uniform efficiency descriptor test procedure. Along with this analytical model, step regression and combined analytical model-regression approaches were conducted. The results of the analytical model, step regression, and combined analytical model-

    regression approaches for the maximum GPM and UEF conversions are presented in Table III.20. For the maximum GPM conversions, the RMS errors for the three approaches are 0.38, 0.35, and 0.38, respectively. For the UEF conversions, the three approaches have RMS errors of 0.024, 0.028, and 0.023, respectively. DOE has tentatively decided to use the analytical model approach to calculate the consumer instantaneous maximum GPM conversion factor owing to the fact that the model predicts the resultant data very closely and that it will broadly apply to those units not tested. DOE has also tentatively decided to use the combined analytical model-regression approach to convert from EF to UEF since the RMS errors are low, and it has tentatively concluded that the use of the model and regression will capture key

    Page 20135

    effects that may not be captured with either approach by itself. For the electric instantaneous water heaters, DOE imposed a zero intercept on the regression since the regression with an intercept resulted in UEFs above the theoretical limit of 1. DOE has tentatively concluded that this step is technically acceptable, as it effectively states that a water heater with an EF of zero should also have a UEF of zero. The resulting conversion factors for both first hour rating and UEF are:

    MaxGPMnew = 1.147 * MaxGPMEx

    UEFgas = 0.9059 * UEFmodel + 0.0783

    UEFelectric = 1.0079 * UEFmodel

    where MaxGPMEx is the maximum GPM rating based on the current DOE test procedure and UEFmodel is the predicted UEF determined using the following analytical model:

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.016

    Values for the coefficients A and B are dependent upon the draw pattern applied during the simulated-use test and are provided in Table III.19.

    Table III.19--Coefficients To Determine UEFmodel for Consumer

    Instantaneous Water Heaters

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Draw bin A B

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Very Small........................................ 5514.2 170.2

    Low............................................... 20954 262.4

    Medium............................................ 30328 290.9

    High.............................................. 46319 294.0

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Table III.20--Consumer Instantaneous Water Heater Conversion Factor Results

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Combined

    Tested max Analytical Regression analytical- Analytical Regression Analytical-

    Unit No. GPM max GPM max GPM regression Tested UEF UEF UEF regression

    max GPM UEF

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CI-1.................................... 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.23 0.982 0.982 0.980 0.989

    CI-2.................................... 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.981 0.984 0.987 0.992

    CI-3.................................... 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.001 0.987 0.995 0.995

    CI-4.................................... 0.80 0.78 0.78 0.78 1.004 0.989 1.001 0.997

    CI-5.................................... 0.59 0.59 0.60 0.59 1.005 0.991 1.008 0.999

    CI-6.................................... 4.58 4.60 4.58 4.60 0.832 0.820 0.816 0.820

    CI-7.................................... 4.71 4.68 4.66 4.68 0.828 0.834 0.829 0.833

    CI-8.................................... 3.07 3.08 3.17 3.08 0.814 0.834 0.830 0.834

    CI-9.................................... 4.86 5.28 5.22 5.28 0.841 0.865 0.859 0.861

    CI-10................................... 3.96 3.98 4.01 3.98 0.815 0.878 0.871 0.873

    CI-11................................... 3.61 3.56 3.62 3.56 0.824 0.808 0.807 0.810

    CI-12................................... 4.81 4.85 4.82 4.85 0.818 0.829 0.822 0.829

    CI-13................................... 3.43 3.39 3.46 3.39 0.795 0.803 0.800 0.805

    CI-14................................... 5.80 5.95 5.84 5.95 0.958 0.961 0.931 0.948

    CI-15................................... 4.10 5.50 5.43 5.50 0.931 0.933 0.904 0.923

    CI-16................................... 3.88 3.71 3.76 3.71 0.805 0.836 0.829 0.835

    CI-17................................... 4.60 4.49 4.49 4.49 0.827 0.845 0.841 0.844

    CI-18................................... 4.30 4.21 4.22 4.21 0.830 0.840 0.829 0.839

    CI-19................................... 5.07 4.93 4.90 4.93 0.799 0.746 0.754 0.754

    CI-20................................... 4.47 4.56 4.55 4.56 0.922 0.911 0.889 0.903

    CI-21................................... 5.70 5.62 5.54 5.62 0.884 0.875 0.840 0.870

    CI-22................................... 4.91 5.87 5.77 5.87 0.943 0.894 0.869 0.887

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    c. Residential-Duty Commercial Storage Testing

    i. Test Data

    As stated in section III.D.2, DOE has tested 7 residential-duty commercial storage water heaters to both the current and new test procedures. Table III.21 below presents the test data used to derive the residential-duty commercial storage water heater conversion factors. Table III.22 shows the water heater attributes by unit described in section III.D.2.

    Table III.21--Residential-Duty Commercial Storage Water Heater Test Data

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Storage Input rate Tested thermal Tested standby Updated FHR

    Unit No. Type volume (gal) (Btu/h) efficiency (%) loss (Btu/h) (gal) UEF

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    RD-1............................. Gas.................. 95.4 79,100 80.4 1,178.2 109.8 0.514

    RD-2............................. Gas.................. 72.7 67,400 67.9 721.0 90.3 0.585

    RD-3............................. Gas.................. 71.3 69,700 75.5 839.4 119.3 0.619

    RD-4............................. Gas.................. 48.3 76,500 93.6 328.0 137.0 0.816

    RD-5............................. Gas.................. 48.4 75,300 88.9 338.1 126.5 0.725

    RD-6............................. Gas.................. 47.8 75,700 90.0 358.4 103.3 0.621

    RD-7............................. Gas.................. 71.0 63,800 67.1 1,546.8 111.5 0.470

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Page 20136

    Table III.22--Residential-Duty Commercial Storage Water Heater Attributes

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Standing pilot or

    Unit No. NOX emission level Condensing Vent type Short or tall electric ignition

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    RD-1........................... Standard............... No.................... Atmospheric........... Tall.................. Yes.

    RD-2........................... Standard............... No.................... Power................. Tall.................. No.

    RD-3........................... Standard............... No.................... Power................. Tall.................. No.

    RD-4........................... Low.................... Yes................... Atmospheric........... Short................. No.

    RD-5........................... Low.................... Yes................... Power................. Tall.................. No.

    RD-6........................... Low.................... Yes................... Power................. Tall.................. No.

    RD-7........................... Ultra-Low.............. No.................... Atmospheric........... Tall.................. Yes.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ii. Conversion Factor Results

    As stated in section III.C.2.b, DOE is not aware of an analytical model to convert the thermal efficiency and standby loss ratings under the current test procedure to first-hour rating values under the new test procedure. Therefore, the step regression method described in section III.C.3 along with the best combination of water heater attributes were used to determine the following first-hour rating conversion factors:

    New FHRFossil Fuel = 1.0226 * Q + 39.81

    Where Q is the input rate of the burner in kBtu/h. For this regression, DOE decided to group both oil and gas water heaters because of the lack of oil water heaters identified. DOE has tentatively concluded that this grouping is the best approach to convert ratings for any residential-duty oil water heater on the market.

    The next step in the conversion is to determine which draw pattern is to be applied to convert to UEF. After the first-hour rating under the uniform efficiency descriptor is determined through the conversion factor above, the value can be applied to determine the appropriate draw pattern bin (i.e., very small, low, medium, or high) using Table III.3 of this NOPR or Table 1 of the uniform efficiency descriptor test procedure. 79 FR 40542, 40572 (July 11, 2014). With the draw bin known, the UEF value based on the analytical model can be calculated using the process described in section III.C.2.c.iii. The analytical results, along with the results of the step regression and analytical-regression are shown in Table III.23 and have RMS values of 0.074, 0.055, and 0.053, respectively. Based on these results, DOE has tentatively decided to use the combined analytical-regression approach to calculate the residential-duty commercial storage water heater conversion factor. While the regression approach yields a slightly better RMS error, DOE has tentatively concluded that the use of the analytical model will make the conversion more robust over the entire family of residential-

    duty commercial storage water heaters since it captures the effects of water temperature, draw volume per day, thermal efficiency, and standby loss that are expected to be valid for any water heater. Thus, the use of an analytical model is expected to be less prone to error should a model have some unexpected characteristic that was not captured in the water heaters tested as part of this NOPR. The resulting equations for determining the UEF of consumer storage water heaters are:

    UEFfossil fuel = 0.7300 * UEFrd + 0.1413

    Where UEFrd is the estimate of the UEF for residential-duty water heaters computed with the following equation:

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.017

    where C1 is a constant dependent upon the draw pattern given in Table III.6, Et is the thermal efficiency in fractional form (i.e., 0.85 instead of 85 (%)), and SL is the standby loss in BTU/

    h.

    Table III.23--Residential-Duty Commercial Conversion Factor Results

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Tested FHR Regression FHR Analytical-

    Unit No. (gal) (gal) Tested UEF Analytical UEF Regression UEF regression UEF

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    RD-1.............................................. 109.8 120.7 0.514 0.573 0.530 0.560

    RD-2.............................................. 90.3 108.8 0.585 0.562 0.629 0.551

    RD-3.............................................. 119.3 111.1 0.619 0.595 0.604 0.575

    RD-4.............................................. 137.0 118.0 0.816 0.828 0.715 0.746

    RD-5.............................................. 126.5 116.9 0.725 0.788 0.713 0.717

    RD-6.............................................. 103.3 117.3 0.621 0.791 0.709 0.719

    RD-7.............................................. 111.5 105.0 0.470 0.466 0.449 0.481

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    d. Residential-Duty Instantaneous Testing

    As discussed in section III.B.2, no instantaneous residential-duty commercial water heaters exist on the market. Therefore, a conversion factor is not needed.

    3. Energy Conservation Standard Derivation

    After developing the mathematical conversion factors to convert from the existing efficiency ratings to the efficiency ratings under the UEF metric, DOE sought to update its energy conservation standards for covered water heater products so as to be in terms of UEF. DOE investigated several possible methods to determine the appropriate energy conservation standards in terms of UEF.

    First, DOE considered the ``percent difference'' method, which is the method DOE ultimately has proposed for updating the energy conservation standards so as to be based on the UEF metric. The percent difference method was conducted as follows:

    1. Apply conversion factor to convert the current efficiency metrics provided in the relevant consumer or commercial database to the calculated UEF value for each water heater on the market.

    2. Calculate the current efficiency standard for each water heater in the database, as follows:

    Page 20137

    a. For consumer water heaters, find the minimum EF.

    b. For residential-duty commercial water heaters, find the minimum thermal efficiency.

    3. Find the percent difference between the rated efficiency value and the standard for each water heater in the database, as follows:

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.018

    4. Find the new energy conservation standard for each water heater in the database, as follows:

    a. UEFmin = UEF (1 - PD)

    5. Find a line through their minimum UEF values.

    The advantage of using a ``percent difference'' is that the updated energy conservation standard is a function of the UEF conversion for all water heaters rather than a subset. It also allows for conversions of standards for classes or groupings of water heaters where no minimally compliant models are currently available on the market. The proposed standards in terms of uniform energy factor are shown below by product class and draw pattern.

    Table III.24--Updated Consumer Water Heater Energy Conservation Standards

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Rated storage

    Product class volume Draw pattern Uniform energy factor

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Gas-fired Storage............. >=20 gal and 55 gal and =20 gal and 55 gal and =20 gal and Very Small............... 0.6808 - (0.0022 x Vr)

    i is the ith sample;

    Or,

    (2) The upper 95-percent confidence limit (UCL) of the true mean divided by 1.10, where:

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.020

    And xis the sample mean; s is the sample standard deviation; n is the number of samples; and t0.95 is the t statistic for a 95-percent one-tailed confidence interval with n-1 degrees of freedom (from Appendix A).

    and

    (B) Any represented value of the uniform energy factor, energy factor, or other measure of energy consumption of a basic model for which consumers would favor higher values shall be less than or equal to the lower of:

    (1) The mean of the sample, where:

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.021

    and, x is the sample mean; n is the number of samples; and xi is the ith sample;

    Or,

    (2) The lower 95-percent confidence limit (LCL) of the true mean divided by 0.90, where:

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.022

    And xis the sample mean; s is the sample standard deviation; n is the number of samples; and t0.95 is the t statistic for a 95-

    percent one-tailed confidence interval with n-1 degrees of freedom (from Appendix A).

    (2) For basic models initially certified before July 13, 2015 (using either the energy factor test procedure contained in Appendix E to Subpart B of 10 CFR part 430 of the January 1, 2015 edition of the Code of Federal Regulations or the thermal efficiency and standby loss test procedures contained in 10 CFR 431.106 of the January 1, 2015 edition of the Code of Federal Regulations, in conjunction with applicable sampling provisions), manufacturers must:

    (i) Conduct testing for the uniform energy factor, in conjunction with the applicable sampling provisions of this paragraph;

    (ii) Apply an AEDM in accordance with 10 CFR 429.70; or

    (iii) Calculate the uniform energy factor by applying the following mathematical conversion factors to the previously certified value of energy factor as follows. Representations of uniform energy factor based on a calculation using this mathematical conversion factor must be equal to the uniform energy factor value resulting from the application of the appropriate equation below.

    (

  23. The applicable mathematical conversion factors are as follows:

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Product class Distinguishing criteria Conversion factor *

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Consumer Gas-fired Water Heater. Non-Condensing, Standard New FHR = 1.0085 * FHREx

    NOX. UEF = 0.4736 + 0.2726 * UEFWHAM

    Non-Condensing, Low NOX. New FHR = 4.6894 = 0.9112 * FHREx

    UEF = -0.0126 + 0.9966 * UEFWHAM

    Non-Condensing, Ultra- New FHR = 2.9267 + 0.8882 * FHREx

    Low NOX. UEF = 0.2673 + 0.5811 * UEFWHAM

    Condensing.............. New FHR = -0.7072 + 0.9724 * FHREx

    UEF = 0.0409 + 0.9164 * UEFWHAM

    Consumer Oil-fired Water Heater. N/A..................... New FHR = 1.1018 * FHREx

    UEF = -0.0945 + 1.1185 * UEFWHAM

    Consumer Electric Water Heater.. Electric Resistance..... New FHR = 11.9239 + 0.789 * FHREx

    UEF = 0.1227 + 0.8673 * UEFWHAM

    Page 20143

    Heat Pump............... New FHR = -2.3440 + 0.9856 * FHREx

    UEF = -1.1235 + 1.5485 * EF

    Tabletop Water Heater........... N/A..................... New FHR = 11.9239 + 0.7879 * FHREx

    UEF = 0.1227 + 0.8673 * UEFWHAM

    Instantaneous Gas-fired Water N/A..................... New Max GPM = 1.1467 * Max GPMEx

    Heater. UEF = 0.0783 + 0.9052 * UEFmodel

    Instantaneous Electric Water N/A..................... New Max GPM = 1.1467 * Max GPMEx

    Heater. UEF = 1.0079 * UEFmodel

    Residential-Duty Commercial Gas- N/A..................... New FHR = 39.8144 + 1.0226 * Q

    fired Water Heater. UEF = 0.1413 + 0.7300 * UEFWHAM

    Residential-Duty Commercial Oil- N/A..................... New FHR = 39.8144 + 1.0226 * Q

    fired Water Heater. UEF = 0.1413 + 0.7300 * UEFWHAM

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    *FHREX = current first-hour rating.

    Max GPMEX = current max GPM rating.

    Q = nameplate input rate, in kBtu/hr.

    UEFWHAM = the UEF predicted based on either the WHAM equation (for consumer storage water heaters) or the

    modified WHAM (for residential-duty commercial water heaters, as defined in the sub-paragraphs below).

    UEFmodel = the UEF predicted based on the analytical model developed by DOE (for consumer instantaneous water

    heaters).

    (B) Calculate UEFWHAM (for consumer storage water heaters and residential-duty commercial storage water heaters) and UEFmodel (for consumer instantaneous water heaters) as follows:

    (1) For consumer storage water heaters:

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.023

    Where a, b, c, and d are coefficients based on the applicable draw pattern as specified in the table below; EF is the current energy factor rating; etar is the current recovery efficiency rating in decimal form; and P is the input rating in Btu/h.

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Draw pattern a b c d

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Very Small.......................... 56095146 12884892499 8930623 15125743368

    Low................................. 56095146 48962591496 33936368 57477824799

    Medium.............................. 56095146 70866908744 49118427 83191588525

    High................................ 56095146 108233096990 75017235 127056244293

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    (2) For consumer instantaneous water heaters:

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.024

    Where etar is the current recovery efficiency rating expressed in decimal form and A and B are coefficients dependent upon the applicable draw pattern as specified in the table below.

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Draw pattern A B

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Very Small............................. 5514.2 170.2

    Low.................................... 20954 262.4

    Medium................................. 30328 290.9

    High................................... 46319 294.0

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    (3) For residential-duty commercial water heaters:

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.025

    Where, Et is the existing thermal efficiency rating; SL is the existing standby loss rating in Btu/h; and C1 is a coefficient as specified in the table below based on the applicable draw pattern.

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Draw pattern C1

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Very Small.............................................. 3.575 x 10-3

    Low..................................................... 9.408 x 10-4

    Medium.................................................. 6.500 x 10-4

    High.................................................... 4.256 x 10-4

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------

    (3) Any represented value of the rated storage volume must be equal to the mean of the measured storage volumes of all the units within the sample.

    (4) Any represented value of first-hour rating or maximum gallons per minute (GPM) must be equal to the mean of the measured first-hour ratings or measured maximum GPM ratings, respectively, of all the units within the sample.

    (b) Certification reports. (1) The requirements of 10 CFR 429.12 are applicable to water heaters; and

    (2) Pursuant to 10 CFR 429.12(b)(13), a certification report shall include the following public product-specific information:

    (i) For storage-type water heater basic models tested for energy factor and rated pursuant to 10 CFR 429.17(a)(2)(iii): Energy factor, uniform energy factor, rated storage volume (gal), first-hour rating (gal), and recovery efficiency (percent);

    (ii) For storage-type water heater basic models tested for uniform energy factor and rated pursuant to 10 CFR 429.17(a)(1) or 10 CFR 429.17(a)(2)(i) through (ii): Uniform energy factor, rated storage volume in gallons (gal), first-hour rating (gal), and recovery efficiency (percent);

    (iii) For instantaneous-type water heater basic models tested for energy factor and rated pursuant to 10 CFR 429.17(a)(2)(iii): Energy factor, uniform energy factor, rated storage volume (gal), maximum gallons per minute, and recovery efficiency (percent); and

    Page 20144

    (iv) For instantaneous-type water heater basic models tested for uniform energy factor and rated pursuant to 10 CFR 429.17(a)(1) or 10 CFR 429.17(a)(2)(i) through (ii): Uniform energy factor, rated storage volume (gal), maximum gallons per minute, and recovery efficiency (percent).

    0

    3. Section 429.17 is further revised, effective date one year after publication of final rule, to read as follows:

    Sec. 429.17 Water heaters.

    (

    1. Determination of represented value. (1) Manufacturers must determine the represented value for each water heater by applying an AEDM in accordance with 10 CFR 429.70 or by testing for the uniform energy factor, in conjunction with the applicable sampling provisions as follows:

    (i) If the represented value is determined through testing, the general requirements of 10 CFR 429.11 are applicable; and

    (ii) For each basic model selected for testing, a sample of sufficient size shall be randomly selected and tested to ensure that--

    (

  24. Any represented value of the estimated annual operating cost or other measure of energy consumption of a basic model for which consumers would favor lower values shall be greater than or equal to the higher of:

    (1) The mean of the sample, where:

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.026

    and, x is the sample mean; n is the number of samples; and xi is the ith sample;

    Or,

    (2) The upper 95-percent confidence limit (UCL) of the true mean divided by 1.10, where:

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.027

    And, x is the sample mean; s is the sample standard deviation; n is the number of samples; and t0.95 is the t statistic for a 95-

    percent one-tailed confidence interval with n-1 degrees of freedom (from Appendix A).

    and

    (B) Any represented value of the uniform energy factor, energy factor, or other measure of energy consumption of a basic model for which consumers would favor higher values shall be less than or equal to the lower of:

    (1) The mean of the sample, where:

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.028

    and, x is the sample mean; n is the number of samples; and xi is the ith sample;

    Or,

    (2) The lower 95-percent confidence limit (LCL) of the true mean divided by 0.90, where:

    GRAPHIC TIFF OMITTED TP14AP15.029

    And x is the sample mean; s is the sample standard deviation; n is the number of samples; and t0.95 is the t statistic for a 95-

    percent one-tailed confidence interval with n-1 degrees of freedom (from Appendix A).

    (2) Any represented value of the rated storage volume must be equal to the mean of the measured storage volumes of all the units within the sample.

    (3) Any represented value of first-hour rating or maximum gallons per minute (GPM) must be equal to the mean of the measured first-hour ratings or measured maximum GPM ratings, respectively, of all the units within the sample.

    (b) Certification reports. (1) The requirements of 10 CFR 429.12 are applicable to water heaters; and

    (2) Pursuant to 10 CFR 429.12(b)(13), a certification report shall include the following public product-specific information:

    (i) For storage-type water heater basic models: Uniform energy factor, rated storage volume in gallons (gal), first-hour rating (gal), and recovery efficiency (percent);

    (ii) For instantaneous-type water heater basic models: Uniform energy factor, rated storage volume (gal), maximum gallons per minute, and recovery efficiency (percent); and

    (iii) For instantaneous-type water heater basic models: Uniform energy factor, rated storage volume (gal), maximum gallons per minute, and recovery efficiency (percent).

    0

    4. Section 429.44 is amended by:

    0

    a. Revising paragraph (a) introductory text;

    0

    b. Adding new paragraphs (c)(2)(vii) and (viii);

    The revisions and additions read as follows:

    Sec. 429.44 Commercial water heating equipment.

    (

    1. For residential-duty commercial water heaters, determine representations as provided in 10 CFR 429.17(a).

    * * * * *

    (c) * * *

    (2) * * *

    (vii) Residential-duty commercial gas-fired and oil-fired storage water heaters tested for thermal efficiency and standby loss and rated pursuant to 10 CFR 429.17(a)(2)(iii): Thermal efficiency in percent (%), maximum standby loss in British thermal units per hour (Btu/h), uniform energy factor, rated storage volume (gal), and the nameplate input rate in British thermal units per hour (Btu/h).

    (viii) Residential-duty commercial gas-fired and oil-fired storage water heaters tested for uniform energy factor and rated pursuant to 10 CFR 429.17(a)(1) or 10 CFR 429.17(a)(2)(i) through (ii): Uniform energy factor, rated storage volume (gal), first-hour rating (gal), and recovery efficiency (percent).

    * * * * *

    0

    5. Section 429.44 is further revised, effective date one year after publication of final rule, to read as follows:

    0

    a. Removing paragraph (c)(2)(vii);

    0

    b. Redesignating paragraph (c)(2)(viii) as (c)(2)(vii); and

    0

    c. Revising newly redesignated paragraph (c)(2)(vii) to read as follows:

    Sec. 429.44 Commercial water heating equipment.

    * * * * *

    (c) * * *

    (2) * * *

    (vii) Residential-duty commercial gas-fired and oil-fired storage water heaters: Uniform energy factor, rated storage volume (gal), first-hour rating (gal), and recovery efficiency (percent).

    * * * * *

    PART 430--ENERGY CONSERVATION PROGRAM FOR CONSUMER PRODUCTS

    0

    6. The authority citation for part 430 continues to read as follows:

    Authority: 42 U.S.C. 6291-6309; 28 U.S.C. 2461 note.

    0

    7. Section 430.23 is amended by revising paragraph (e) to read as follows:

    Sec. 430.23 Test procedures for the measurement of energy and water consumption.

    * * * * *

    (e) Water Heaters. (1) For water heaters tested using energy factor:

    (i) The estimated annual operating cost for water heaters tested in terms of energy factor shall be--

    (

  25. For a gas or oil water heater, the product of the annual energy consumption, determined according to section 6.1.8 or 6.2.5 of appendix E to subpart B of 10 CFR part 430 of the January 1, 2015 edition of the Code of Federal Regulations, times the representative average unit cost of gas or oil, as appropriate, in dollars per Btu as provided by the Secretary. The resulting product shall be rounded off to the nearest dollar per year.

    Page 20145

    (B) For an electric water heater, the product of the annual energy consumption, determined according to section 6.1.8 or 6.2.5 of appendix E to subpart B to 10 CFR part 430 of the January 1, 2015 edition of the Code of Federal Regulations, times the representative average unit cost of electricity in dollars per kilowatt-hour as provided by the Secretary, divided by 3412 Btu per kilowatt-hour. The resulting quotient shall be rounded off to the nearest dollar per year.

    (ii) For an individual test, the tested energy factor for a water heater shall be determined by section 6.1.7 or 6.2.4 of appendix E to subpart B of 10 CFR part 430 of the January 1, 2015 edition of the Code of Federal Regulations, rounded off to the nearest 0.01.

    (2) For water heaters tested using uniform energy factor:

    (i) The estimated annual operating cost shall be:

    (

  26. For a gas or oil water heater, the sum of: The product of the annual gas or oil energy consumption, determined according to section 6.1.10 or 6.2.7 of appendix E of this subpart, times the representative average unit cost of gas or oil, as appropriate, in dollars per Btu as provided by the Secretary; plus the product of the annual electric energy consumption, determined according to section 6.1.9 or 6.2.6 of appendix E of this subpart, times the representative average unit cost of electricity in dollars per kilowatt-hour as provided by the Secretary. The resulting sum shall be rounded off to the nearest dollar per year.

    (B) For an electric water heater, the product of the annual energy consumption, determined according to section 6.1.9 or 6.2.6 of appendix E of this subpart, times the representative average unit cost of electricity in dollars per kilowatt-hour as provided by the Secretary. The resulting product shall be rounded off to the nearest dollar per year.

    (ii) For an individual test, the tested uniform energy factor for a water heater shall be determined by section 6.1.7 or 6.2.4 of appendix E of this subpart, rounded to the nearest 0.01.

    * * * * *

    0

    8. Section 430.32 is amended by revising paragraph (d) to read as follows:

    Sec. 430.32 Energy and water conservation standards and their compliance dates.

    * * * * *

    (d) Water heaters. The energy factor of each basic model of water heater shall not be less than the following:

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Rated storage Uniform energy factor as of July

    Product class volume Draw pattern 13, 2015*

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Gas-fired Storage............. >= 20 gal and = 20 gal and = 20 gal and 2

    percent of the

    manufacturer's

    specified input rate,

    (b) the CO2 reading

    shows the value

    specified by the

    manufacturer, (c)

    smoke in the flue

    does not exceed No. 1

    smoke as measured by

    the procedure in ASTM-

    D2156-80 (reference

    for guidance only,

    see Sec. 431.104),

    and (d) fuel pump

    pressure lies within

    10

    percent of

    manufacturer's

    specifications.

    Standby Loss..... Use test set-up, May 13, 2013.....

    equipment, and

    procedures in

    subsection

    labeled ``Method

    of Test'' of

    ANSI Z21.10.3-

    2011**, Exhibit

    G2.

    Electric Storage and Standby Loss..... Use test set-up, May 13, 2013..... D. For electric

    Instantaneous Water Heaters. equipment, and products, apply the

    procedures in following in

    subsection conducting the

    labeled ``Method standby loss test:

    of Test'' of (1) Assume that the

    ANSI Z21.10.3- thermal efficiency

    2011**, Exhibit (Et) of electric

    G2. water heaters with

    immersed heating

    elements is 98

    percent. (2) Maintain

    the electrical supply

    voltage to within

    5 percent

    of the center of the

    voltage range

    specified on the

    water heater

    nameplate. (3) If the

    set up includes

    multiple adjustable

    thermostats, set the

    highest one first to

    yield a maximum water

    temperature in the

    specified range as

    measured by the

    topmost tank

    thermocouple. Then

    set the lower

    thermostat(s) to

    yield a maximum mean

    tank temperature

    within the specified

    range.

  27. Install water-tube

    water heaters as

    shown in Figure 2,

    ``Arrangement for

    Testing Water-tube

    Type Instantaneous

    and Circulating Water

    Heaters.''

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ** Incorporated by reference, see Sec. 431.105.

    Page 20147

    0

    11. Section 431.110 is revised to read as follows:

    Sec. 431.110 Energy conservation standards and their effective dates.

    Each commercial storage water heater, instantaneous water heater, unfired hot water storage tank and hot water supply boiler \1\ (except for residential-duty commercial water heaters) must meet the applicable energy conservation standard level(s) as follows:

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \1\Any packaged boiler that provides service water, that meets the definition of ``commercial packaged boiler'' in subpart E of this part, but does not meet the definition of ``hot water supply boiler'' in subpart G, must meet the requirements that apply to it under subpart E.

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Energy conservation standard \a\ (products

    manufactured on and after October 29, 2003) \b\

    Product Size -------------------------------------------------

    Minimum thermal Maximum standby loss

    efficiency \c\

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Electric storage water heaters....... All.................... N/A.................... 0.30 + 27/Vm (%/hr)

    Gas-fired storage water heaters...... 155,000 Btu/hr....... 80%.................... Q/800 + 110(Vr)\1/2\

    (Btu/hr)

    Oil-fired storage water heaters...... 155,000 Btu/hr....... 78%.................... Q/800 + 110(Vr)\1/2\

    (Btu/hr)

    Gas-fired instantaneous water heaters =10 gal.............. 80%.................... Q/800 + 110(Vr)\1/2\

    (Btu/hr)

    Oil-fired instantaneous water heaters =10 gal.............. 78%.................... Q/800 + 110(Vr)\1/2\

    (Btu/hr)

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Product Size Minimum thermal insulation

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Unfired hot water storage tank....... All.................... R-12.5.................

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \a\Vm is the measured storage volume and Vr is the rated volume, both in gallons. Q is the nameplate input rate

    in Btu/hr.

    \b\ For hot water supply boilers with a capacity of less than 10 gallons: (1) the standards are mandatory for

    products manufactured on and after October 21, 2005, and (2) products manufactured prior to that date, and on

    or after October 23, 2003, must meet either the standards listed in this table or the applicable standards in

    subpart E of this part for a ``commercial packaged boiler.''

    \c\ Water heaters and hot water supply boilers having more than 140 gallons of storage capacity need not meet

    the standby loss requirement if (1) the tank surface area is thermally insulated to R-12.5 or more, (2) a

    standing pilot light is not used and (3) for gas or oil-fired storage water heaters, they have a fire damper

    or fan assisted combustion.

    Each residential-duty commercial water heater, as defined in 10 CFR 431.102, must meet the applicable energy conservation standard level as follows:

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Product class Draw pattern Uniform energy factor*

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Gas-fired Storage.................... Very Small..................... 0.3261-(0.0006 x Vr)

    Low............................ 0.5219-(0.0008 x Vr)

    Medium......................... 0.5585-(0.0006 x Vr)

    High........................... 0.6044-(0.0005 x Vr)

    Oil-fired Storage.................... Very Small..................... 0.3206-(0.0006 x Vr)

    Low............................ 0.5577-(0.0019 x Vr)

    Medium......................... 0.6027-(0.0019 x Vr)

    High........................... 0.5446-(0.0018 x Vr)

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    * Vr is the rated storage volume.

    FR Doc. 2015-07932 Filed 4-13-15; 8:45 am

    BILLING CODE 6450-01-P

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