Tobacco Products; Required Warnings for Cigarette Packages and Advertisements

Published date16 August 2019
Citation84 FR 42754
Record Number2019-17481
SectionProposed rules
CourtFood And Drug Administration
Federal Register, Volume 84 Issue 159 (Friday, August 16, 2019)
[Federal Register Volume 84, Number 159 (Friday, August 16, 2019)]
                [Proposed Rules]
                [Pages 42754-42798]
                From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
                [FR Doc No: 2019-17481]
                [[Page 42753]]
                Vol. 84
                Friday,
                No. 159
                August 16, 2019
                Part IVDepartment of Health and Human Services-----------------------------------------------------------------------Food and Drug Administration-----------------------------------------------------------------------21 CFR Part 1141Tobacco Products; Required Warnings for Cigarette Packages and
                Advertisements; Proposed Rules
                Federal Register / Vol. 84 , No. 159 / Friday, August 16, 2019 /
                Proposed Rules
                [[Page 42754]]
                -----------------------------------------------------------------------
                DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES
                Food and Drug Administration
                21 CFR Part 1141
                [Docket No. FDA-2019-N-3065]
                RIN 0910-AI39
                Tobacco Products; Required Warnings for Cigarette Packages and
                Advertisements
                AGENCY: Food and Drug Administration, HHS.
                ACTION: Proposed rule.
                -----------------------------------------------------------------------
                SUMMARY: The Food and Drug Administration (FDA, the Agency, or we) is
                issuing a proposed rule to establish new required cigarette health
                warnings for cigarette packages and advertisements. The proposed rule
                would implement a provision of the Family Smoking Prevention and
                Tobacco Control Act (Tobacco Control Act) that requires FDA to issue
                regulations requiring color graphics depicting the negative health
                consequences of smoking to accompany new textual warning statements.
                The Tobacco Control Act amends the Federal Cigarette Labeling and
                Advertising Act (FCLAA) of 1965 to require each cigarette package and
                advertisement to bear one of the new required warnings. This proposed
                rule, once finalized, would specify the color graphics that must
                accompany the new textual warning statements. FDA is proposing to take
                this action to promote greater public understanding of the negative
                health consequences of cigarette smoking.
                DATES: Submit either electronic or written comments on the proposed
                rule by October 15, 2019. Submit comments on information collection
                issues under the Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 by September 16, 2019.
                ADDRESSES: You may submit comments as follows. Please note that late,
                untimely filed comments will not be considered. Electronic comments
                must be submitted on or before October 15, 2019. The https://www.regulations.gov electronic filing system will accept comments until
                11:59 p.m. Eastern Time at the end of October 15, 2019. Comments
                received by mail/hand delivery/courier (for written/paper submissions)
                will be considered timely if they are postmarked or the delivery
                service acceptance receipt is on or before that date.
                Electronic Submissions
                 Submit electronic comments in the following way:
                 Federal eRulemaking Portal: https://www.regulations.gov.
                Follow the instructions for submitting comments. Comments submitted
                electronically, including attachments, to https://www.regulations.gov
                will be posted to the docket unchanged. Because your comment will be
                made public, you are solely responsible for ensuring that your comment
                does not include any confidential information that you or a third party
                may not wish to be posted, such as medical information, your or anyone
                else's Social Security number, or confidential business information,
                such as a manufacturing process. Please note that if you include your
                name, contact information, or other information that identifies you in
                the body of your comments, that information will be posted on https://www.regulations.gov.
                 If you want to submit a comment with confidential
                information that you do not wish to be made available to the public
                submit the comment as a written/paper submission and in the manner
                detailed (see ``Written/Paper Submissions'' and ``Instructions.'')
                Written/Paper Submissions
                 Submit written/paper submissions as follows:
                 Mail/Hand Delivery/Courier (for written/paper
                submissions): Dockets Management Staff (HFA-305), Food and Drug
                Administration, 5630 Fishers Lane, Rm. 1061, Rockville, MD 20852.
                 For written/paper comments submitted to the Dockets
                Management Staff, FDA will post your comment, as well as any
                attachments, except for information submitted, marked and identified,
                as confidential, if submitted as detailed in ``Instructions.''
                 Instructions: All submissions received must include the Docket No.
                FDA-2019-N-3065 for ``Tobacco Products; Required Warnings for Cigarette
                Packages and Advertisements.'' Received comments, those filed in a
                timely manner (see ADDRESSES), will be placed in the docket and, except
                for those submitted as ``Confidential Submissions,'' publicly viewable
                at https://www.regulations.gov or at the Dockets Management Staff
                between 9 a.m. and 4 p.m., Monday through Friday.
                 Confidential Submissions--To submit a comment with
                confidential information that you do not wish to be made publicly
                available, submit your comments only as a written/paper submission. You
                should submit two copies total. One copy will include the information
                you claim to be confidential with a heading or cover note that states
                ``THIS DOCUMENT CONTAINS CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION.'' The Agency will
                review this copy, including the claimed confidential information, in
                its consideration of comments. The second copy, which will have the
                claimed confidential information redacted/blacked out, will be
                available for public viewing and posted on https://www.regulations.gov.
                Submit both copies to the Dockets Management Staff. If you do not wish
                your name and contact information to be made publicly available, you
                can provide this information on the cover sheet and not in the body of
                your comments and you must identify this information as
                ``confidential.'' Any information marked as ``confidential'' will not
                be disclosed except in accordance with 21 CFR 10.20 and other
                applicable disclosure law. For more information about FDA's posting of
                comments to public dockets, see 80 FR 56469, September 18, 2015, or
                access the information at: http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2015-9-18/pdf/2015-23389.pdf.
                 Docket: For access to the docket to read background documents or
                the electronic and written/paper comments received, go to https://www.regulations.gov and insert the docket number, found in brackets in
                the heading of this document, into the ``Search'' box and follow the
                prompts and/or go to the Dockets Management Staff, 5630 Fishers Lane,
                Rm. 1061, Rockville, MD 20852.
                 Submit comments on information collection issues under the
                Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 to the Office of Management and Budget
                (OMB) in the following ways:
                 Fax to the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs,
                OMB, Attn: FDA Desk Officer, FAX: 202-395-7285, or email to
                [email protected]. All comments should be identified with the
                title, ``Tobacco Products; Required Warnings for Cigarette Packages and
                Advertisements.''
                FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Courtney Smith or Daniel Gittleson,
                Office of Regulations, Center for Tobacco Products, Food and Drug
                Administration, Document Control Center, Bldg. 71, Rm. G335, 10903 New
                Hampshire Ave., Silver Spring, MD 20993-0002, 877-287-1373, email:
                [email protected].
                 With regard to the information collection: Amber Sanford, Office of
                Operations, Food and Drug Administration, Three White Flint North 10A-
                12M, 11601 Landsdown St.,
                [[Page 42755]]
                North Bethesda, MD 20852, [email protected].
                SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
                Table of Contents
                I. Executive Summary
                 A. Purpose of the Proposed Rule
                 B. Summary of the Major Provisions of the Proposed Rule
                 C. Legal Authority
                 D. Costs, Benefits, and Informational Effects
                Table of Abbreviations/Commonly Used Acronyms in This Document
                II. Background
                 A. Need for the Regulation
                 B. History of the Rulemaking
                 C. Incorporation by Reference
                III. Legal Authority
                IV. Cigarette Use in the United States and the Resulting Health
                Consequences
                 A. Smoking Prevalence and Initiation in the United States
                 B. Negative Health Consequences of Smoking
                V. Data Concerning Cigarette Health Warnings
                 A. The Current 1984 Surgeon General's Warnings Are Inadequate
                 B. Cigarette Health Warnings That Are Noticeable, Lead to
                Learning, and Increase Knowledge Will Promote Public Understanding
                About the Negative Health Consequences of Smoking
                VI. FDA's Process for Developing and Testing the Proposed Cigarette
                Health Warnings
                 A. Review of the Negative Health Consequences of Cigarette
                Smoking
                 B. Developing Revised Textual Warning Statements
                 C. FDA's Consumer Research Study on Revised Textual Warning
                Statements
                 D. Developing and Testing Images Depicting the Negative Health
                Consequences of Smoking To Accompany the Textual Warning Statements
                 E. FDA's Consumer Research Study on New Cigarette Health
                Warnings
                VII. FDA's Proposed Required Warnings
                 A. FDA's Proposed Required Warnings
                VIII. First Amendment Considerations
                IX. Description of the Proposed Rule
                 A. General Provisions (Proposed Subpart A)
                 B. Required Warnings for Cigarette Packages and Advertisements
                (Proposed Sec. 1141.10)
                 C. Misbranding of Cigarettes (Proposed Sec. 1141.12)
                X. Proposed Effective Dates
                XI. Severability and Other Considerations
                XII. Preliminary Economic Analysis of Impacts
                XIII. Analysis of Environmental Impact
                XIV. Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995
                XV. Federalism
                XVI. Consultation and Coordination With Indian Tribal Governments
                XVII. References
                I. Executive Summary
                A. Purpose of the Proposed Rule
                 This proposed rule would establish new required cigarette health
                warnings for cigarette packages and advertisements. These new cigarette
                health warnings would consist of textual warning statements accompanied
                by color graphics depicting the negative health consequences of
                cigarette smoking. The new cigarette health warnings, once finalized,
                would appear prominently on cigarette packages and in cigarette
                advertisements, occupying the top 50 percent of the area of the front
                and rear panels of cigarette packages and at least 20 percent of the
                area at the top of cigarette advertisements.
                 Cigarette smoking remains the leading cause of preventable disease
                and death in the United States and is responsible for more than 480,000
                deaths per year. Smoking causes more deaths each year than human
                immunodeficiency virus, illegal drug use, alcohol use, motor vehicle
                injuries, and firearm-related incidents combined. In developing this
                proposed rule, FDA determined that the public holds misperceptions
                about the health risks caused by smoking and that warning statements
                focused on less-known health consequences of smoking paired with
                concordant color graphics would promote greater public understanding of
                the risks associated with cigarette smoking, especially given that the
                existing Surgeon General's warnings currently used in the United States
                have been shown to go unnoticed and be ``invisible.'' For the reasons
                discussed in the preamble to this proposed rule, FDA has determined
                that the proposed new cigarette health warnings will advance the
                Government's interest in promoting greater public understanding of the
                negative health consequences of cigarette smoking.
                B. Summary of the Major Provisions of the Proposed Rule
                 This proposed rule would establish new required warnings to appear
                on cigarette packages and in cigarette advertisements. The proposed
                rule would implement a provision of the Tobacco Control Act that
                requires FDA to issue regulations requiring color graphics depicting
                the negative health consequences of smoking to accompany new textual
                warning statements. The Tobacco Control Act amends the FCLAA to require
                each cigarette package and advertisement to bear one of the new
                required warnings. These new cigarette health warnings would consist of
                textual warning statements accompanied by color graphics, in the form
                of concordant photorealistic images, depicting the negative health
                consequences of cigarette smoking. As required under the FCLAA, the new
                cigarette health warnings, once finalized, would appear prominently on
                cigarette packages and in cigarette advertisements, occupying the top
                50 percent of the area of the front and rear panels of cigarette
                packages and at least 20 percent of the area at the top of cigarette
                advertisements.
                 In addition, as required under the FCLAA, the proposed rule would
                establish marketing requirements that would include the random display
                and distribution of the required warnings for cigarette packages and
                quarterly rotations of the required warnings for cigarette
                advertisements. A tobacco product manufacturer, distributor, or
                retailer would be required to submit a plan for the random and equal
                display and distribution of the required warnings on packages and the
                quarterly rotation in advertisements for approval by FDA. In addition,
                the proposed rule would require each tobacco product manufacturer
                required to randomly and equally display and distribute warnings on
                packaging or quarterly rotate warnings on advertisements in accordance
                with an FDA-approved plan, to maintain a copy of the FDA-approved plan,
                and to make the plan available for inspection and copying by officers
                and employees of FDA.
                 FDA developed the new cigarette health warnings included in this
                proposed rule through a science-based, iterative research process. The
                proposed warnings are intended to promote greater public understanding
                of the negative health consequences of cigarette smoking.
                C. Legal Authority
                 This proposed rule is being issued in accordance with sections 201
                and 202 of the Tobacco Control Act (Pub. L. 111-31), which amend
                section 4 of the FCLAA (15 U.S.C. 1333). This proposed rule is also
                being issued based upon FDA's authorities related to misbranded tobacco
                products under sections 903 (21 U.S.C. 387c); FDA's authorities related
                to records and reports under section 909 (21 U.S.C. 387i); and FDA's
                rulemaking and inspection authorities under sections 701 (21 U.S.C.
                371), 704 (21 U.S.C. 374), and 905(g) (21 U.S.C. 387e(g)) of the
                Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act (FD&C Act).
                D. Costs, Benefits, and Informational Effects
                 The proposed new cigarette health warnings would promote greater
                public understanding of the negative health consequences of cigarette
                smoking by presenting information about the health risks of smoking to
                smokers and nonsmokers in a format that helps
                [[Page 42756]]
                people better understand these consequences. Despite the informational
                effects of this proposed rule, there is a high level of uncertainty
                around quantitative economic benefits at this time, so we describe them
                qualitatively. The cost of this proposed rule consists of initial and
                recurring labeling costs associated with changing cigarette labels to
                accommodate the new cigarette health warnings, design and operation
                costs associated with the random and equal display and distribution of
                required cigarette health warnings for cigarette packages and quarterly
                rotations of the required warnings for cigarette advertisements,
                advertising-related costs, and costs associated with government
                administration and enforcement of the rule. We estimate that, at the
                mean, the present value of the costs of this proposed rule is about
                $1.6 billion using a three percent discount rate and roughly $1.2
                billion using a seven percent discount rate (2018$). If the information
                provided by the cigarette health warning on each cigarette package was
                valued at about $0.01 (for every pack sold annually nationwide), then
                the benefits that would be generated by the proposed rule would equal
                or exceed the estimated annual costs.
                 Table of Abbreviations/Commonly Used Acronyms in This Document
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Abbreviation/acronym What it means
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                CDC.................................... Centers for Disease Control and
                 Prevention.
                COPD................................... Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary
                 Disease.
                D.C. Cir............................... United States Court of Appeals
                 for the District of Columbia
                 Circuit.
                EO..................................... Executive Order.
                EPA.................................... Environmental Protection
                 Agency.
                FCLAA.................................. Federal Cigarette Labeling and
                 Advertising Act.
                FD&C Act............................... Federal Food, Drug, and
                 Cosmetic Act.
                FDA.................................... Food and Drug Administration.
                FTC.................................... Federal Trade Commission.
                IOM.................................... Institute of Medicine.
                ITC-4.................................. International Tobacco Control
                 Four Country Survey.
                NARA................................... National Archives and Records
                 Administration.
                OFR.................................... Office of the Federal Register.
                OMB.................................... Office of Management and
                 Budget.
                PAD.................................... Peripheral arterial disease.
                PDF.................................... Portable document format.
                PVD.................................... Peripheral vascular disease.
                SES.................................... Socioeconomic status.
                SIDS................................... Sudden infant death syndrome.
                TCA statements......................... Textual warning statements
                 specified in section 4(1) of
                 the FCLAA.
                TTB.................................... Alcohol and Tobacco Tax and
                 Trade Bureau.
                WHO.................................... World Health Organization.
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                II. Background
                A. Need for the Regulation
                 To help inform consumers of the potential hazards of cigarette
                smoking, Congress passed the FCLAA that required that a printed text-
                only warning appear on cigarette packages (Pub. L. 89-92). The 1965
                warning requirement was modified by later amendments to the FCLAA,
                including the Comprehensive Smoking Education Act of 1984 (Pub. L. 98-
                474), which extended the warning requirement to cigarette advertising
                and updated the one warning to four warnings, frequently referred to as
                the Surgeon General's warnings.
                 The FCLAA has required the inclusion of text-only warnings on
                cigarette packages and in cigarette advertisements for many years. As
                discussed in detail in section V.A, there is considerable evidence that
                the Surgeon General's warnings go largely unnoticed and unconsidered by
                both smokers and nonsmokers. These warnings, which have not changed in
                nearly 35 years, have been described as ``invisible'' (Ref. 1) and fail
                to convey relevant information in an effective way (Ref. 2 at p. 291).
                The Surgeon General's warnings also do not include any color graphics.
                 In 2009, in enacting the Tobacco Control Act, Congress further
                amended the FCLAA and directed FDA to issue new cigarette health
                warnings that would include a graphic component depicting the negative
                health consequences of smoking to accompany the new textual warnings
                (section 201 of the Tobacco Control Act). In enacting this legislation,
                Congress also provided that FDA may adjust the warnings if FDA found
                that such a change would promote greater public understanding of the
                risks associated with the use of tobacco products (section 202 of the
                Tobacco Control Act).
                 Approximately 34.3 million U.S. adults smoke cigarettes (defined as
                smoking at least 100 cigarettes during their lifetime and now smoking
                cigarettes every day or some days) and nearly 1.4 million U.S. youth
                (aged 12-17 years) smoke cigarettes (defined as past 30-day use) (Refs.
                5 and 6). Results from the 2017 National Survey on Drug Use and Health
                demonstrate that, on average, each day in the United States, about
                2,000 youth under age 18 smoke their first cigarette, and 320 youth
                become daily cigarette smokers (Ref. 7).
                 The health risks associated with cigarette smoking are significant.
                Cigarette smoking is the leading cause of preventable disease and death
                in the United States and is responsible for more than 480,000 deaths
                per year (Ref. 8). Smoking causes more deaths each year than human
                immunodeficiency virus, illegal drug use, alcohol use, motor vehicle
                injuries, and firearm-related incidents combined (Refs. 9 and 10). Over
                16 million Americans alive today live with disease caused by smoking
                cigarettes (Ref. 8). In addition to lung cancer, heart disease, and
                chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), smoking also causes
                numerous other serious health conditions that are less-known effects of
                smoking and exposure to secondhand smoke, including many types of
                cancer, premature birth, low birth weight, sudden infant death syndrome
                (SIDS), respiratory illnesses, clogged arteries, reduced blood flow,
                diabetes, rheumatoid arthritis, and vision conditions such as age-
                related macular degeneration and cataracts (Ref. 8).
                 In developing this proposed rule, FDA carefully examined the
                scientific literature, including the 2014 Surgeon General's Report
                (Ref. 8), which identified 11 more health conditions that have been
                established to have sufficient evidence to infer a causal link to
                cigarette smoking--the highest level of evidence of causal inferences
                from the criteria applied in the Surgeon General's Reports. Those
                health conditions examined in the 2014 Surgeon General's Report are in
                addition to the more than forty unique health consequences already
                classified in previous Surgeon General's Reports as being caused by
                smoking and exposure to secondhand smoke. Additional findings in the
                scientific literature demonstrate that the U.S. public--including youth
                and adults, smokers and nonsmokers--holds misperceptions about the
                health risks caused by smoking (Refs. 3 and 11-16). Through its review
                of the scientific literature, as well as the Agency's science-based,
                iterative research and development process (described in sections V and
                VI), FDA determined that having warning statements focused on less-
                known health consequences of smoking accompanied by photorealistic
                [[Page 42757]]
                images can promote greater public understanding of the risks associated
                with cigarette smoking, especially given the unnoticed and
                ``invisible'' 1984 Surgeon General's warnings currently used in the
                United States (see section V.A).
                 Therefore, consistent with section 4 of the FCLAA (as amended by
                sections 201 and 202 of the Tobacco Control Act), we are proposing a
                set of textual warning label statements, to be accompanied by
                concordant color graphics depicting the negative health consequences of
                smoking, to appear on cigarette packages and in cigarette
                advertisements. Specifically, we are proposing to replace part 1141 to
                Title 21 of the Code of Federal Regulations (21 CFR part 1141), and the
                new part 1141 would require new cigarette health warnings \1\ on
                cigarette packages and in cigarette advertisements. These new cigarette
                health warnings would consist of up to 13 textual warning label
                statements accompanied by color graphics depicting the negative health
                consequences of smoking. As required by section 4 of the FCLAA, the new
                cigarette health warnings would appear prominently on packages and in
                advertisements, occupying the top 50 percent of the area of the front
                and rear panels of cigarette packages and at least 20 percent of the
                area at the top of cigarette advertisements.
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 \1\ For the purposes of discussion throughout this document, FDA
                uses the term ``cigarette health warnings'' to refer to the required
                warnings we are proposing.
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 As described in section VII, FDA has determined that the proposed
                new cigarette health warnings will advance the Government's interest in
                promoting greater public understanding of the negative health
                consequences of cigarette smoking.
                B. History of the Rulemaking
                 In the Federal Register of June 22, 2011 (76 FR 36628), FDA issued
                a final rule entitled ``Required Warnings for Cigarette Packages and
                Advertisements,'' which specified nine images to accompany the nine
                textual warning statements for cigarettes set out in the Tobacco
                Control Act. The final rule was challenged in court, and on August 24,
                2012, the United States Court of Appeals of the District of Columbia
                vacated the rule and remanded the matter to the Agency. R.J. Reynolds
                Tobacco Co. v. Food & Drug Administration, 696 F.3d 1205 (D.C. Cir.
                2012), overruled on other grounds by Am. Meat Inst. v. U.S. Dep't of
                Agric., 760 F.3d 18, 22-23 (D.C. Cir. 2014) (en banc). On December 5,
                2012, the Court denied the Government's petition for panel rehearing
                and rehearing en banc, and the Government decided not to seek further
                review of the Court's ruling. In a letter to Congress on March 15,
                2013, the U.S. Attorney General reported FDA's intention to undertake
                research to support a new rulemaking consistent with the Tobacco
                Control Act (Ref. 17).
                 Central to FDA's work since that time has been evaluating how to
                address the D.C. Circuit's critiques of the prior rule and carefully
                considering how to develop a research plan and rulemaking process that
                will provide a robust record for a new cigarette health warnings rule.
                Through extensive legal, scientific, and regulatory analyses, FDA
                developed a science-based, iterative research process for developing
                new cigarette health warnings to put forth in this proposed rule that
                would advance the Government's substantial interest in promoting
                greater public understanding of the negative health consequences of
                smoking. Because these cigarette health warnings, as shown through the
                robust scientific evidence described in detail in sections VI-VII, are
                factual and accurate, advance the substantial Government interest in
                promoting greater public understanding of the negative health
                consequences of smoking, and are not unduly burdensome, FDA believes
                the warnings would pass a First Amendment analysis under Zauderer v.
                Office of Disciplinary Counsel, 471 U.S. 626 (1985) (or, if applied,
                Central Hudson Gas & Elec. Corp. v. Pub. Serv. Comm'n, 447 U.S. 557
                (1980)). After reviewing public comments and weighing additional
                scientific, legal, and policy considerations, FDA intends to finalize
                some or all of the 13 cigarette health warnings proposed in this rule.
                C. Incorporation by Reference
                 FDA is proposing to incorporate by reference certain material
                entitled ``Required Cigarette Health Warnings.'' We have included an
                electronic portable document format (PDF) file, containing the proposed
                required warnings, as a reference in the docket (Ref. 18). Any final
                rule would provide information on how to obtain the final electronic,
                layered design files for each required warning, as well as technical
                specifications to help regulated entities appropriately select, crop,
                and scale the warnings to ensure the required warnings are accurately
                reproduced across various sizes and shapes of cigarette packages and
                cigarette advertisements. FDA would also provide instructions for how
                to access this material (e.g., via download through FDA's website or a
                file transfer protocol website). Any material incorporated by reference
                must meet the Office of the Federal Register's (OFR) requirements for
                incorporating material by reference (5 U.S.C 552(a) and 1 CFR part 51).
                III. Legal Authority
                 The Tobacco Control Act was enacted on June 22, 2009, amending the
                FD&C Act and providing FDA with the authority to regulate the
                manufacture, marketing, and distribution of tobacco products to protect
                the public health and to reduce tobacco use by minors. Section 201 of
                the Tobacco Control Act amends section 4 of the FCLAA to require that
                nine new health warning statements appear on cigarette packages and in
                cigarette advertisements and directs FDA to ``issue regulations that
                require color graphics depicting the negative health consequences of
                smoking'' to accompany the nine new health warning statements. Under
                section 201 of the Tobacco Control Act, FDA may adjust the type size,
                text, and format of the cigarette health warnings as FDA determines
                appropriate so that both the color graphics and the accompanying
                textual warning label statements are clear, conspicuous, and legible
                and appear within the specified area (15 U.S.C. 1333(d)).
                 Section 202(b) of the Tobacco Control Act also amends section 4 of
                the FCLAA to add a new subsection \2\ that permits FDA to, after
                providing notice and an opportunity for the public to comment, adjust
                the format, type size, color graphics, and text of any of the label
                requirements, or establish the format, type size, and text of any other
                disclosures required under the FD&C Act, if such a change would promote
                greater public understanding of the risks associated with the use of
                tobacco products. Such adjustments, including adjustments to the text
                of some of the warning statements and to the number of proposed
                required warnings, are included as part of this proposed rule.
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 \2\ Section 201(a) of the Tobacco Control Act amends section 4
                of the FCLAA to add a new subsection (d), ``Graphic Label
                Statements,'' which is codified at 15 U.S.C. 1333(d). Section 202(b)
                of the Tobacco Control Act amends section 4 of the FCLAA to also add
                a new subsection (d), ``Change in Required Statements,'' which is
                also codified at 15 U.S.C. 1333(d). Both provisions of the Tobacco
                Control Act are correctly codified as ``15 U.S.C. 1333(d).''
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 These requirements are supplemented by the FD&C Act's misbranding
                provisions, which require that product labeling and advertising include
                required warnings. For example, a tobacco product is deemed misbranded
                under section 903(a)(1) or (a)(7)(A) of the FD&C Act if its labeling or
                advertising is false or misleading in any
                [[Page 42758]]
                particular. Under section 201(n) of the FD&C Act (21 U.S.C. 321(n)), in
                determining whether labeling or advertising is misleading, FDA
                considers, among other things, the failure to reveal material facts
                concerning the consequences that may result from the customary or usual
                use of the product. Similarly, under section 903(a)(8)(B) of the FD&C
                Act, a tobacco product is deemed misbranded unless the manufacturer,
                packer, or distributor includes in all advertisements and other
                descriptive printed matter, which FDA interprets as including packages,
                a brief statement of, among other things, the relevant warnings. Under
                section 701(a) of the FD&C Act, FDA has authority to issue regulations
                for the efficient enforcement of the FD&C Act, and sections 704 and
                905(g) provide FDA with general inspection authority.
                 Section 909 of the FD&C Act authorizes FDA to require tobacco
                product manufacturers to establish and maintain records, make reports,
                and provide such information as the Agency may by regulation reasonably
                require to ensure that a tobacco product is not adulterated or
                misbranded and to otherwise protect public health.
                IV. Cigarette Use in the United States and the Resulting Health
                Consequences
                 Cigarette smoking is the leading cause of preventable disease and
                death in the United States and is responsible for more than 480,000
                deaths per year (Ref. 8). Smoking causes more deaths each year than
                human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), illegal drug use, alcohol use,
                motor vehicle injuries, and firearm-related incidents combined (Refs. 9
                and 10). In addition to lung cancer, heart disease, and COPD, smoking
                also causes numerous other serious health conditions, including many
                types of cancer, premature birth, low birth weight, SIDS, respiratory
                illnesses, clogged arteries, reduced blood flow, diabetes, rheumatoid
                arthritis, and vision conditions such as age-related macular
                degeneration and cataracts (Ref. 8).
                A. Smoking Prevalence and Initiation in the United States
                 Approximately 34.3 million U.S. adults and nearly 1.4 million U.S.
                youth (aged 12-17 years) smoke cigarettes (Refs. 5 and 6). Over 16
                million Americans alive today live with disease caused by smoking
                cigarettes (Ref. 8). Results from the 2017 National Survey on Drug Use
                and Health demonstrate that, on average, each day in the United States,
                about 2,000 youth under age 18 smoke their first cigarette, and 320
                youth become daily cigarette smokers (Ref. 7).
                 Cigarettes remain the most commonly used tobacco product in the
                United States among adults, and a substantial percentage of U.S. adults
                are cigarette smokers (Ref. 5). Although cigarette smoking prevalence
                has generally declined over the past several decades, results from the
                2017 National Health Interview Survey indicate that approximately 34.3
                million U.S. adults (or 14.0 percent of the U.S. adult population) are
                current cigarette smokers (Ref. 5). Among these adult smokers, the vast
                majority--75 percent, or approximately 25.7 million people--smoke every
                day. Smoking prevalence remains higher than the national average among
                certain demographic subgroups of the adult population. For example,
                among adults with differing levels of education, the highest prevalence
                rates have been observed in adults with lower education levels. Data
                indicate that 36.8 percent of adults with a General Education
                Development (GED) certificate and 23.1 percent of adults with less than
                a high school diploma were current smokers in 2017, compared with 7.1
                percent of adults with a college degree and 4.1 percent of adults with
                a graduate degree (Ref. 5).
                 The National Youth Tobacco Survey is a nationally representative
                survey of U.S. students attending public and private schools in grades
                6 through 12. The 2018 National Youth Tobacco Survey data showed that
                past 30-day smoking prevalence among high school students was 8.1
                percent, representing 1.2 million young people, of which 23.1 percent
                were frequent smokers (defined as cigarette use on 20 or more of the
                past 30 days) (Ref. 6). The data also showed that past 30-day
                prevalence among middle school students was 1.8 percent, representing
                200,000 youth, of which 19.7 percent were frequent smokers (Ref. 6).
                These youth who have smoked in the past 30 days are at particular risk
                of becoming nicotine dependent through smoking. In one study, 22
                percent of 7th grade students who had initiated occasional smoking
                reported a symptom of nicotine dependence within 4 weeks after starting
                to smoke at least once per month (Ref. 19). Among 60 students with
                symptoms of nicotine dependence, 62 percent reported experiencing their
                first symptom before smoking daily or began smoking daily only upon
                experiencing their first symptom (Ref. 19). An analysis of the 2012
                National Youth Tobacco Survey found that a substantial proportion of
                adolescents that use tobacco report symptoms of nicotine dependence,
                even with low levels of use (Ref. 20). Among adolescents who reported
                only smoking cigarettes, 42.6 percent reported having strong cravings
                to smoke, a symptom of nicotine dependence, in the past 30 days (Ref.
                20).
                B. Negative Health Consequences of Smoking
                 Cigarette smoking remains the leading cause of preventable disease
                and death in the United States. The 2014 Surgeon General's Report found
                that cigarette smoking was responsible for an average of over 480,000
                premature deaths in the United States each year from 2005 to 2009, of
                which almost 440,000 occurred because of active smoking (Ref. 8). The
                report also found that cigarette smoking was directly responsible for
                163,700 deaths from cancer, 160,600 deaths from circulatory conditions,
                and 113,100 deaths from pulmonary diseases each year. As a consequence
                of secondhand smoke exposure, there were an additional 7,330 deaths
                from lung cancer and 33,950 deaths from coronary heart disease
                annually. Cigarette smoking therefore accounted for 87 percent of
                deaths from lung cancer, 79 percent of deaths from COPD, and 32 percent
                of deaths from coronary heart disease in the United States from 2005 to
                2009.
                 It has also been estimated that approximately 14 million U.S.
                adults had serious medical conditions attributable to cigarette smoking
                in 2009 (Ref. 21). COPD accounted for the largest number of these
                conditions with an estimated 7.5 million Americans living with this
                condition because of smoking. Other serious conditions for which
                smoking-attributable morbidity was estimated included heart attack (2.3
                million cases), cancer (1.3 million cases), and stroke (1.2 million
                cases) (Ref. 21). Because individuals can live for many years with some
                of these health conditions and, in some cases, smoking-attributable
                health conditions can develop after a smoker has stopped smoking (e.g.,
                lung cancer) (e.g., Ref. 22), the morbidity burden from cigarette
                smoking is expected to remain high.
                 Cigarette smoking also causes many other health conditions;
                however, the link between smoking and these conditions is less known to
                the public. For example, a meta-analysis found that current smokers are
                twice as likely as never smokers to have age-related macular
                degeneration (Ref. 23), a degenerative condition of the tissues of the
                retina. Current smokers have also been found to have approximately 50
                percent higher risk of age-related cataracts than never smokers
                according to meta-analysis (Ref. 24). Cigarette smokers have an
                increased risk of
                [[Page 42759]]
                numerous circulatory and metabolic conditions. Another meta-analysis
                found that smokers have approximately 45 percent higher risk of
                diabetes than nonsmokers (Ref. 25). It is estimated that 1.8 million
                Americans have diabetes due to smoking (Ref. 21) and that 9,000
                Americans die of diabetes due to smoking each year (Ref. 8). Current
                smokers are nearly three times as likely as never smokers to have
                peripheral arterial disease, a condition that can lead to amputation of
                limbs (Ref. 26). Male smokers have been found to be 40 to 50 percent
                more likely to have erectile dysfunction due to diminished blood flow
                than nonsmokers (Refs. 27 and 28). Smokers also have increased risk of
                many types of cancer, beyond lung cancer. For example, current smokers
                have been found to have almost four times the risk of bladder cancer as
                never smokers (Ref. 29), and it has been estimated that smoking is
                responsible for 5,000 bladder cancer deaths in the United States each
                year (Ref. 30). Smoking has also been established to cause cancers of
                the head and neck, such as oral cancer. The American Cancer Society's
                Cancer Prevention Study II found elevated relative risks (i.e., the
                risk of the conditions among smokers compared to nonsmokers) for
                current smoking of 10.9 for males and 5.1 for females for lip, oral
                cavity, and pharyngeal cancers (i.e., male smokers have 10.9 times
                higher risk of developing these cancers than male nonsmokers, and
                female smokers have 5.1 times higher risk of developing these cancers
                than female nonsmokers) and 14.6 for males and 13.0 for females for
                laryngeal cancer (Ref. 31). These increased risks result in
                approximately 4,900 deaths from lip, oral, and pharyngeal cancers and
                3,000 deaths from laryngeal cancer from smoking in the United States
                each year (Ref. 30).
                 Secondhand smoke exposure also increases disease risks, especially
                among infants and children. For example, secondhand smoke exposure has
                been found to be causally linked to stroke, lung cancer, and other
                disease in adults and lower respiratory illness in children (Ref. 8).
                Additionally, maternal smoking (i.e., smoking while pregnant) has been
                found to be associated with low birth weight (Ref. 32) and fetal growth
                restriction (Ref. 33). The California Environmental Protection Agency
                (EPA) has estimated that there are 24,500 cases of low birth weight due
                to maternal exposure to secondhand smoke (referred to as
                ``environmental tobacco smoke'') in the United States per year (Ref.
                34). Other health consequences in children exposed to secondhand smoke
                include middle ear disease, respiratory symptoms, impaired lung
                function, lower respiratory illness, and SIDS, and it is estimated that
                400 infants die from SIDS due to exposure to secondhand smoke each year
                (Ref. 8).
                V. Data Concerning Cigarette Health Warnings
                A. The Current 1984 Surgeon General's Warnings Are Inadequate
                 As described in this section, cigarette warnings in the United
                States have not changed in nearly 35 years, and the size and location
                of the warnings have not changed in more than 50 years. The unchanged
                content of these health warnings, as well as their small size and lack
                of an image, severely impairs their ability to convey relevant
                information about the negative health consequences of cigarette smoking
                in an effective way (Ref. 2). Research has repeatedly illustrated that
                the current 1984 warnings used in the United States frequently go
                unnoticed or fail to convey relevant information regarding health risks
                (Ref. 4). Moreover, although many members of the U.S. public possess
                some general knowledge of the harms of smoking, substantial gaps in
                knowledge remain, and smokers have misinformation regarding cigarettes
                and the negative health effects of smoking (Refs. 36 and 37).
                 Cigarette packages and advertisements can serve as an important
                channel for communicating health information to broad audiences that
                include both smokers and nonsmokers. Daily smokers, who in 2016
                averaged 14.1 cigarettes per day, are potentially exposed to the
                warnings on packages over 5,100 times per year, and, because these
                packages are not always concealed and are often visible to those other
                than the person carrying the package, warnings on those packages are
                potentially viewed by many others, including nonsmokers (Refs. 38 and
                40). Smokers and nonsmokers, including adolescents, also are frequently
                exposed to cigarette advertising appearing in a range of marketing
                channels, including print and digital media, outdoor locations, and in
                and around retail establishments where tobacco products are sold (Refs.
                42 and 43). The importance of cigarette advertising is reflected in
                cigarette companies' substantial annual expenditures for cigarette
                advertising and promotion in the United States, which totaled $1.3
                billion in 2017 (not including the price discounts paid to cigarette
                retailers and wholesalers to help lower the price of cigarettes to
                consumers) (Ref. 41). Retail displays of cigarette packages and other
                in-store cigarette advertisements are typically located in areas of a
                store that are seen by a majority of consumers, such as near the
                checkout counter, and provide significant opportunities for
                communicating with smokers and nonsmokers (Refs. 44-47). The inclusion
                of health warnings on cigarette packages and in advertisements
                therefore can provide a critical opportunity to help smokers and
                nonsmokers of all ages better understand the negative health
                consequences of smoking. Prominent displays of such warnings are more
                likely to be noticed and to impact learning and knowledge than non-
                prominent displays (Refs. 3, 4, 39, 48-50). The World Health
                Organization's (WHO) Framework Convention on Tobacco Control has also
                recommended large pictorial cigarette warnings on tobacco products as a
                way to increase public awareness about the negative health effects of
                tobacco use (Ref. 51). Given the extreme risks cigarette smoking poses
                to the public health, new warnings, as described in detail below and as
                included in this proposed rule, are critical to promote greater public
                understanding of the negative health consequences of cigarette smoking.
                1. The Current 1984 Surgeon General's Warnings Have Not Changed in
                Nearly 35 Years
                 In response to the Surgeon General's first major report on smoking
                and health in 1964, Congress passed the FCLAA to require warning labels
                on all cigarette packages. The text-only warning was written in small
                print and located on one of the side panels of each cigarette package.
                It stated ``CAUTION: Cigarette Smoking May Be Hazardous to Your
                Health.'' This language appeared on all cigarette packages sold from
                January 1, 1966, through October 31, 1970. In 1969, Congress passed the
                Public Health Cigarette Smoking Act (Pub. L. 91-222), which slightly
                modified the warning statement on cigarette packages, but did not
                require any warnings in cigarette advertisements. The new warning
                language, ``Warning: The Surgeon General Has Determined That Cigarette
                Smoking Is Dangerous to Health'', appeared on cigarette packages sold
                in the United States from November 1, 1970, through October 11, 1985.
                In 1972, the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) issued consent orders
                requiring six major cigarette manufacturers and distributors to include
                in all of their cigarette advertisements a clear and conspicuous
                disclosure of the same warning required to be on packages (Ref. 35).
                [[Page 42760]]
                 In 1981, the FTC issued a report to Congress that concluded that
                the cigarette health warnings had little effect on public awareness and
                attitudes toward smoking. The FTC report stated that the existing
                warning likely was ineffective because it: (1) Was overexposed and worn
                out; (2) lacked novelty; (3) was too abstract; and (4) lacked personal
                relevance (Ref. 52).
                 Subsequently, Congress again modified cigarette warnings by
                enacting the Comprehensive Smoking Education Act of 1984 (Pub. L. 98-
                474), which required the following four rotational health warnings on
                packages and advertisements: \3\
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 \3\ Slightly different health warnings were required on outdoor
                billboard advertisements.
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Surgeon General's Warning: Smoking Causes Lung Cancer,
                Heart Disease, Emphysema, and May Complicate Pregnancy.
                 Surgeon General's Warning: Quitting Smoking Now Greatly
                Reduces Serious Risks to Your Health.
                 Surgeon General's Warning: Smoking by Pregnant Women May
                Result in Fetal Injury, Premature Birth and Low Birth Weight.
                 Surgeon General's Warning: Cigarette Smoke Contains Carbon
                Monoxide.
                 In addition, the law established the location and format for these
                warnings and mandated that they be rotated quarterly. Despite an FTC
                recommendation to change the size and shape of warnings, Congress
                retained the size and rectangular format of previous warnings (Ref. 218
                at pp. 11, 12, 24, and 25; see also Ref. 52). As implemented, for
                example, this means the Surgeon General's warnings have continued to be
                printed in small type on one side panel of cigarette packages from
                October 12, 1985, to the present.
                 Nearly 35 years have passed since these changes and a substantial
                body of research shows that the current 1984 Surgeon General's warnings
                do not effectively promote greater public understanding of the negative
                health consequences of smoking and that there are better approaches to
                cigarette health warnings.
                2. The Current 1984 Surgeon General's Warnings Do Not Effectively
                Inform the Public Because They Do Not Attract Attention, Are Not
                Remembered, and Do Not Prompt Thoughts About the Risks of Smoking
                 Pictorial cigarette warnings that increase message processing will
                aid consumer understanding of the negative health consequences of
                smoking. Cognitive theories and information processing models describe
                how information is gathered from the senses and is stored and processed
                in the brain (Ref. 111). Message processing is important to learning
                and understanding. Once an individual notices a warning, he or she
                mentally stores the information found in the warning and gives meaning
                to that information (Ref. 112). The individual mentally processes the
                information and builds on it, which helps them better recall and
                remember the information (Refs. 43 and 113). How much the information
                is mentally processed, reflected on, and thought about impacts how well
                the information is learned and understood (Ref. 114).
                 Attracting and maintaining attention is an important step in how
                communications, such as warning labels, can inform the public (Refs. 53
                and 54). Findings from the International Tobacco Control Four Country
                Survey (ITC-4) found that self-reports of noticing the health warnings
                on cigarette packages were positively associated with health knowledge
                among adults across the four countries studied, including the United
                States (Ref. 3). However, eye-tracking studies, which assess attention
                to visual stimuli, have documented low levels of attention to the
                current Surgeon General's warnings in both adults and adolescents,
                meaning that they do not attract attention (Refs. 55 and 56). One study
                of adolescents viewing tobacco advertisements found that the average
                viewing time of the Surgeon General's warnings amounted to only 8
                percent of the total advertisement viewing time; nearly half (43.6
                percent) of adolescents did not look at the warnings at all; and about
                one-third (36.7 percent) did not look at the warning long enough to
                read any of its words (Ref. 55). In that study, adolescents were unable
                to recall the content of the current Surgeon General's warnings or to
                correctly recognize the warnings from a list, indicating that the
                current warnings are likely ineffective among adolescents (Ref. 55).
                Similarly, a study of middle school students who viewed tobacco
                advertisements with the Surgeon General's warnings found the total
                amount of time spent focusing on the warning statement averaged
                slightly less than one second (Ref. 56). Similar evidence that the
                Surgeon General's warnings do not attract attention was found with a
                sample of adult smokers in 2011 who were instructed to look at a
                tobacco advertisement with a warning for 30 seconds, and of that time
                participants spent an average of only 2.8 seconds looking at the
                Surgeon General's warning specifically (Ref. 57).
                 As discussed in the following paragraphs, researchers have also
                found that the current 1984 Surgeon General's warnings are largely
                unnoticed and unconsidered by both smokers and nonsmokers. This is in
                accord with the findings of a major report on tobacco policy in the
                United States by the Institute of Medicine (IOM) in 2007, which stated
                that the 1984 warnings on U.S. cigarette packages are both ``unnoticed
                and stale'' (Ref. 2 at p. 291). Similar conclusions were drawn in a
                study with a nationally representative sample of middle and high school
                students in the United States in 2012. Less than half (46.9 percent) of
                students who saw a cigarette package with the Surgeon General's warning
                reported seeing the warning ``most of the time'' or ``always'' (Ref.
                58).
                 Noticeability of the Surgeon General's warnings is also low for
                adults. Findings from the ITC-4 published in 2007 found that only 30
                percent of U.S. adult smokers noticed the warning ``often'' or ``very
                often'' (Ref. 4). Even if people notice the warnings, less than 20
                percent of smokers in the United States report reading the warning text
                ``often'' or ``very often'' (Ref. 4). Moreover, additional findings
                from the ITC-4 found that less than half (46.7 percent) of U.S.
                respondents considered cigarette packages as a source of information on
                the negative health effects of smoking compared to 84.3 percent of
                respondents in Canada, where pictorial health warnings are required
                (Ref. 3). A study in 2009 found that 60 percent of U.S. adult smokers
                said they ``never'' or ``rarely'' noticed warnings labels on cigarette
                packages in the past month (Ref. 59). More recently, an analysis of the
                Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health Study, an ongoing,
                nationally representative, longitudinal cohort study of adults and
                youth in the United States, found that the current health warnings on
                cigarette packages often go unnoticed (Refs. 60 and 61). In the most
                recent publicly available data (data collected from late 2016 through
                the end of 2017), nearly three-quarters (73.5 percent) of the U.S.
                population, including both youth and adults, indicated they ``never''
                or ``rarely'' noticed the health warnings on cigarette packages in the
                past 30 days (Ref. 61) (data available at https://www.icpsr.umich.edu/icpsrweb/NAHDAP/studies/36231). Among U.S. youth and adults who have
                noticed cigarette health warnings in the past 30 days, 52.0 percent of
                youth and 53.5 percent of adults responded that they ``never'' or
                ``rarely'' read or looked closely at the warnings in the past 30
                [[Page 42761]]
                days (i.e., do not attract attention) (Ref. 61).
                 Other data support that adolescents also do not see or read, and do
                not remember, the current 1984 Surgeon General's warnings on cigarette
                packages and advertisements. A study of ninth-grade students found that
                nearly one-third (27.8 percent) reported never seeing warning labels on
                cigarettes and nearly half (46.1 percent) could not correctly identify
                the location of the warnings on the package (Ref. 62).
                 Similar data suggest that people also failed to notice or read the
                current 1984 Surgeon General's warnings prior to the 1999 Master
                Settlement Agreement, when cigarette advertising was common on outdoor
                billboards. One study of adults found that drivers could read the
                entire warning message on only 5 percent of highway billboard
                advertisements and were only able to fully read the health warning on
                18 of the 39 street billboards examined in the study (Ref. 63). All
                these results indicate that the current warnings are not appropriately
                conspicuous in advertisements compared to the rest of the advertising
                message, as discussed in more detail below.
                 Not only do the current Surgeon General's warnings not attract
                attention, but they also are not remembered--and remembering is a key
                component to long-term understanding of the information beyond surface-
                level noticing of the information presented. Viewing time of U.S.
                cigarette warnings is positively associated with recall (Refs. 55 and
                56). Studies have documented low recall of warning statements for both
                adults and adolescents. In a study conducted with 13- to 17-year-olds
                who viewed five tobacco advertisements containing Surgeon General's
                warnings, only 19 percent were able to recall the general theme of the
                warning statement (Ref. 55). In another study, only between 20 and 53
                percent of high school students could correctly recall each of the four
                Surgeon General's warnings even when they were provided with the actual
                wording, and some incorrectly recalled having seen a warning that was
                not being used at the time (Ref. 62). Similarly, low levels of recall
                were found in a study with high school students who viewed tobacco
                advertisements containing Surgeon General's warnings. Although most
                students (79 percent) reported seeing a warning, very few (15 percent)
                reported the warning statement's concept and even fewer (6 percent)
                correctly reported its exact message (Ref. 64).
                 Beyond being noticed and being remembered, additional measures of
                how well a message helps people understand its contents are to ask
                whether the message makes them think about the message's substantive
                information--showing an even deeper understanding of the information
                being communicated. These measures, often termed ``cognitive
                elaboration,'' are well-validated and often used in studies of
                cigarette health warnings (See, e.g., Refs. 80 and 84). Research
                demonstrates that the current 1984 Surgeon General's warnings do not
                prompt thoughts about the risks of smoking, and they are also perceived
                to be ineffective at making people think about those risks. Less than
                40 percent of U.S. adult smokers in the ITC-4 reported that the Surgeon
                General's warnings make them think about the health risk of smoking, a
                level that was consistent between 2002 and 2005 (Ref. 4). In a study in
                Buffalo, NY, 62 percent of adult smokers reported that the Surgeon
                General's warning labels made them think ``a little'' or ``not at all''
                about the health risks of smoking (Ref. 59). Participants in a
                randomized clinical trial with smokers in California and North Carolina
                reported that the Surgeon General's warnings made them think about the
                warning message only a little (an average of 2.3 on a scale of 1 to 5)
                and made them think about the harms of smoking only somewhat (an
                average of 2.9 on a scale of 1 to 5) (Ref. 65). That study also found
                that the Surgeon General's warnings were perceived as not impactful
                (Ref. 65).
                 Health communication research has found that adolescents also
                report that the current 1984 U.S. cigarette warnings do not prompt
                thoughts about the health risks of smoking. Among a nationally
                representative sample of U.S. middle and high school students who
                reported seeing a cigarette package, less than one-third (30.4 percent)
                reported that cigarette warning labels made them think about health
                risks ``a lot'' (Ref. 58). This proportion is even lower for adolescent
                current smokers, as only 13.8 percent reported that warnings made them
                think ``a lot'' about health risks (Ref. 58).
                3. There Remain Significant Gaps in Public Understanding About the
                Negative Health Consequences of Cigarette Smoking
                 Consumers suffer from a pervasive lack of knowledge about and
                understanding of the negative health consequences of smoking. A
                nationally representative survey of 1,046 adult smokers found
                widespread misperceptions regarding cigarettes and the negative health
                effects of smoking (Refs. 36 and 37). Thirty-three percent of adult
                smokers in the sample did not know that cigarettes were a proven cause
                of cancer (Refs. 36 and 37). Additionally, a quarter of the sample did
                not know that smoking was still dangerous to health even without
                inhaling (Refs. 36 and 37). Another study of 776 adult and adolescent
                smokers and nonsmokers asked participants what illnesses are caused by
                smoking (Ref. 15). Whereas the majority of respondents identified lung
                cancer as a smoking-related lung disease, only half mentioned emphysema
                (Ref. 15). A much smaller proportion identified cardiovascular disease
                (Ref. 15). Very few (3 to 7 percent) named any other smoking-related
                cancer (besides lung, mouth, throat, or gum cancer), such as
                pancreatic, cervical, bladder, or kidney cancer (Ref. 15). Very few
                mentioned negative cardiovascular effects, such as hypertension,
                atherosclerosis, aneurisms, or stroke, as smoking-related illnesses. In
                addition, people underestimated the percent of people diagnosed with
                lung cancer who would die from the condition (Ref. 15). Findings from
                another study indicate that approximately one-third of U.S. adult
                smokers believe that cigarettes have not been proven to cause cancer
                (Ref. 211).
                 Many studies show that the public has limited understanding of
                other smoking-related health consequences such as impotence (Refs. 3,
                12, 13, and 67; U.S. studies); stroke (Refs. 15 and 67; U.S. studies);
                gangrene (Ref. 12; U.S. study); vision impairment/blindness (Refs. 11,
                119, and 201; non-U.S. studies); emphysema and chronic bronchitis (Ref.
                11; non-U.S. study); other cancers outside of lung cancer, such as
                bladder cancer (Refs. 11, 13, 15, and 67; both U.S. and non-U.S.
                studies); the effects of secondhand smoke on nonsmoker adults and
                children (Ref. 16; non-U.S. study); and impacts on reproductive health
                and pregnancy (Refs. 13 and 67; U.S. studies). Studies in the United
                States have also documented that people are largely unaware of the
                health risks of smoking specific to women, including infertility (Refs.
                13, 14, and 67), osteoporosis, early menopause, spontaneous abortion,
                ectopic pregnancy, and cervical cancer (Ref. 14 and 67). Research
                findings also show gaps in public understanding of the negative health
                effects of smoking during pregnancy. For example, one focus group study
                conducted in four U.S. cities with current smoking women ages 18 to 30
                years found that participants had low to moderate awareness of smoking
                outcomes related to pregnancy (Ref. 68). These findings suggest that
                the public does not
                [[Page 42762]]
                understand the complete range of illnesses caused by smoking,
                indicating gaps in public understanding of the negative health
                consequences of smoking.
                B. Cigarette Health Warnings That Are Noticeable, Lead to Learning, and
                Increase Knowledge Will Promote Public Understanding About the Negative
                Health Consequences of Smoking
                 To understand a message, individuals must first attend to the
                message (i.e., notice and be made aware of the message), and then they
                must process the information in the message (i.e., acquire knowledge of
                and learn that information) (Ref. 70). When introduced in other
                countries, pictorial cigarette warnings have been shown to increase
                understanding of the negative health consequences of smoking (Refs. 3,
                4, 39, and 48). The following section describes studies that
                demonstrate how pictorial cigarette warnings promote greater public
                understanding about the health consequences of smoking as they: (1)
                Increase the noticeability of the warning's messages; (2) increase
                knowledge and learning of the negative health consequences of smoking;
                and (3) benefit subpopulations that have disparities in knowledge about
                the negative health consequences of smoking. These studies incorporate
                measures that evaluate the impact of tobacco health warnings on
                understanding, many of which were drawn from the WHO's International
                Agency for Research on Cancer handbook on the methods for evaluating
                tobacco control policies (Ref. 71).
                1. Cigarette Health Warnings That Are Noticeable Will Lead to Increased
                Attention to the Warning Message
                 To promote understanding of the content of a warning message,
                individuals must first notice the warning and must be made aware of the
                information contained in that warning (Refs. 53 and 54). In the
                scientific literature on consumer warnings, features that increase the
                noticeability of the warning label (also known as vivid features, such
                as images) increase the likelihood that people will see and pay
                attention to the warning message (Refs. 73 and 74). Physical features
                (e.g., use of pictures or color) that make a message more noticeable
                increase attraction and attention to the message (Ref. 75). A meta-
                analysis found that warnings, not specific to cigarette warnings, that
                include such features were more likely to attract attention than
                warnings without these features (Ref. 76). One experiment among a
                sample of U.S. adult smokers and middle school students found that
                participants who viewed pictorial cigarette warnings with full color
                spent more time looking at the warning compared to participants who
                either viewed black and white pictorial warnings or text-only warnings
                (Ref. 77).
                 Communication theory and research explain the message
                characteristics that impact how an individual is exposed to, attends
                to, comprehends, and understands the content of the message (Refs. 43,
                78, and 79). Messaging that includes vivid features (e.g., images)
                increases attention to as well as cognitive elaboration (or thinking
                about) and processing of the message, which leads to increased message
                comprehension (Ref. 80). Messages that include vivid features, such as
                images, are easier to imagine and are more engaging compared to
                messages that do not include vivid features. An online experiment with
                2,156 adults that examined varying levels and combinations of vivid
                features (i.e., testimonial images, identifying information,
                nontestimonial explanatory statements, testimonial explanatory
                statements, and contextual information) found that increasing the
                number of vivid features of cigarette warnings increased engagement
                with the message (Ref. 81).
                 a. Pictorial cigarette warnings increase attention to warning
                messages, which leads to increased understanding of the negative health
                consequences of smoking.
                 Research supports the role of pictorial cigarette warnings in
                increasing attention to and noticeability of warnings about the harms
                of smoking. More noticeable pictorial cigarette warnings are more
                effective in communicating the harms of smoking compared to text-only
                cigarette warnings in other countries as well as in experimental
                studies conducted in the United States (Refs. 3, 49, 50, 82, and 83).
                Pictorial cigarette warnings result in higher noticeability of and
                attention to the warning message compared to text-only cigarette
                warnings (Refs. 4, 48, 72, 77, 82-94). One study using data from ITC-
                Canada and ITC-Mexico assessed smokers' reactions to cigarette health
                warnings (Ref. 48). During the study period, Mexico had text-only
                cigarette warnings while Canada had pictorial cigarette warnings.
                Compared to adult smokers in Mexico, Canadian adult smokers reported
                greater levels of noticing the warning label and thinking about the
                harms of smoking. Another ITC study assessed noticing warnings in a
                sample of Chinese and Malaysian adult smokers (Ref. 83). After
                introduction of the new Malaysian pictorial cigarette warnings in 2009,
                there was a significant increase in the percentage of smokers who
                reported noticing the health warnings often or very often (54.4 percent
                pre-implementation compared to 67 percent post-implementation) (Ref.
                83). Another study in the United States surveyed a sample of
                adolescents who had a parent, guardian, or other household member who
                participated in a randomized controlled trial in which a single
                pictorial or text-only warning was displayed on the parent's cigarette
                package for 4 weeks (Ref. 94). The pictorial cigarette warnings drew
                greater attention among adolescents in the study, and adolescents more
                accurately recalled the pictorial cigarette warning. In addition, the
                pictorial cigarette warning was recognized from a list of warnings more
                than the text-only cigarette warning.
                 Studies demonstrate that increasing notice of and attention to the
                information in a cigarette health warning promotes understanding of the
                message. Data from the ITC-4 showed that noticing health warnings on
                cigarette packages was associated with increased knowledge about the
                health consequences of smoking (Ref. 3). Smokers who reported noticing
                the cigarette health warnings were more likely to report believing that
                smoking causes the specific health consequences contained in the
                warnings, compared to those who did not notice the warnings.
                 Once individuals notice and attend to the warning, they are able to
                store and process the information in the warning that can be recalled
                later; these processes contribute to engagement with the message and
                lead to understanding. The important role of attention in message
                storing and processing is well supported by research (see, e.g., Ref.
                54). For example, a study with smokers found that the frequency of
                noticing a cigarette health warning was associated with frequency of
                thinking about the dangers of smoking (Ref. 95). In addition, studies
                conducted in the United States with youth and adults have shown that
                longer time spent looking at a cigarette health warning was associated
                with greater recall of the information found on the warning (Refs. 56,
                57, and 217), indicating that attention to a cigarette health warning
                leads to storing of the warning content and later recall of that
                information.
                 b. Pictorial cigarette warnings increase the likelihood that
                consumers will read, recall, and understand the warnings.
                 Research supports the role of pictorial cigarette warnings in
                increasing reading of and closely looking at the message
                [[Page 42763]]
                warning as well as aiding comprehension and understanding of the
                information contained in the message warning. In a United States-based
                experimental study, repeated viewing of warning labels is associated
                with increased recognition and memory of the content of the label (Ref.
                96). Research on recorded eye movement during reading of a warning
                label provides support for the link between reading and comprehension
                of the warning (Ref. 97). Measures of viewing duration (e.g., how long
                the eyes are fixed on specific words in the warning) are associated
                with how much participants are processing and can later recall that
                information (Refs. 56, 97, and 98).
                 Many studies support the finding that cigarette health warnings
                with vivid features (e.g., images) are read and looked at more closely
                compared to those without these features (Refs. 83, 86, 92; non-U.S.
                studies). One study of U.S. adult smokers showed that viewing a
                pictorial cigarette warning led to higher reported reading or looking
                closely at the warning, label memory and recall, and perceived label
                credibility compared to text-only cigarette warnings (Ref. 85). Another
                study of U.S. adult smokers showed that participants who had a
                pictorial cigarette warning put on their packs reported looking at the
                label more often and correctly recalled the label's contents more often
                than those with packs that had a text-only warning on them (Ref. 99). A
                study in Australia found that students reported more frequent reading
                and attending to the pictorial cigarette warnings after they were
                introduced, as compared to when text-only warnings were displayed (Ref.
                100).
                2. Pictorial Cigarette Warnings Can Address Gaps in Public
                Understanding About the Negative Health Consequences of Smoking
                 a. Pictorial cigarette warnings increase knowledge and accurate
                health beliefs by addressing gaps in public understanding about the
                negative health consequences of smoking.
                 Pictorial cigarette warnings increase consumer knowledge of the
                harmful effects of smoking, which promotes greater public understanding
                of the negative health consequences of smoking. Numerous non-U.S.
                studies support the role of pictorial cigarette warnings in promoting
                knowledge gains in cigarette-related health risks after implementation
                of those warnings (Refs. 3, 39, 48, 49, 100, 102-107, 202, and 203).
                One review examined health warning messages on tobacco products and
                concluded that health warnings increased correct knowledge about the
                negative health effects caused by smoking (Ref. 39). That review
                concluded that pictorial cigarette warnings are significantly more
                likely to draw attention, result in greater processing, and improve
                memory of the health warning (Ref. 39). Summarizing these effects among
                smokers, the National Cancer Institute concluded in its Tobacco Control
                Monograph 21 that large pictorial health warnings on tobacco packages
                are effective in increasing smokers' knowledge (Ref. 66).
                 Visual depictions of smoking-related disease in pictorial cigarette
                warnings help address gaps in public understanding of the negative
                health consequences of smoking by providing new information beyond what
                is in the text of the warnings through reinforcing and helping to
                depict and explain the health effect described in the text (Ref. 101;
                see also Ref. 39 at p. 330). Many studies have shown that exposure to
                pictorial cigarette warnings promotes knowledge of the negative health
                effects of smoking (Refs. 3, 48, and 102-107). For example, a study
                using data from ITC-Canada and ITC-Mexico assessed smokers' reactions
                to cigarette health warnings (Ref. 48). During the study period, Mexico
                had text-only cigarette warnings while Canada had pictorial cigarette
                warnings. Compared to smokers in Mexico, Canadian smokers had higher
                levels of knowledge about smoking-related health outcomes, such as
                stroke, impotence, and mouth cancer. Another study using ITC-4 data
                showed that Canadian smokers were almost three times more likely than
                non-Canadian smokers to accurately believe that smoking causes
                impotence; during the time of the study, Canada was the only country to
                require pictorial cigarette warnings and the only country that had a
                warning about impotence (Ref. 3). Another study surveyed adult male
                smokers to assess changes in awareness of health risks from smoking
                after Malaysia implemented new pictorial cigarette warnings (Ref. 102).
                Findings showed that knowledge of health risks across 13 different
                health conditions was greater after pictorial cigarette warnings were
                introduced in Malaysia (Ref. 102). In March 2007, Australia became the
                first country to implement pictorial cigarette warning on cigarette
                packages with the message that smoking causes blindness. ITC data from
                adult smokers were analyzed assessing knowledge that smoking causes
                blindness (Ref. 103). Findings indicated that Australian smokers were
                significantly more likely to report that smoking causes blindness
                compared to smokers in countries where there were no cigarette health
                warnings about blindness (Canada, the United Kingdom, and the United
                States) (Ref. 103). After the introduction of the blindness warning,
                Australian smokers were dramatically more likely than before to report
                knowing that smoking causes blindness (62 compared to 49 percent) (Ref.
                103). Another study assessing smokers' beliefs about the health effects
                of smoking in South Australian smokers found that, post-implementation
                of pictorial cigarette warnings, participants reported more health
                beliefs about smoking-related negative health effects, such as
                blindness/eye damage, stroke, harm to unborn babies, mouth cancer,
                throat cancer, blocked arteries, as compared to their health beliefs
                when previous text-only warnings were required (Ref. 105).
                 Research supports that exposure to pictorial cigarette warnings
                leads to knowledge gains about the harms of smoking among adolescents,
                whereas, as discussed earlier, the current 1984 Surgeon General's
                warnings do not. A report of Canadian warnings indicated that pictorial
                cigarette warnings improved knowledge of specific negative health
                effects of smoking among adolescents (e.g., increased knowledge of
                bladder cancer, impotence in men, mouth cancer, gum or mouth disease,
                reduced growth in babies during pregnancy, and strokes) (Ref. 108). One
                study that surveyed Australian students in grades 8 through 12 found
                increases in the proportion of students who recognized the smoking-
                related effects of mouth cancer and peripheral vascular disease after
                the introduction of new pictorial cigarette warnings on those topics
                (Ref. 100). Another study examined the effects of viewing health
                warnings on beliefs about the specific negative health effects of
                smoking among adult smokers and adolescents (aged 16 to 18 years). For
                both adults and adolescents, exposure to pictorial cigarette warnings
                that highlighted specific health topics led to increases in correct
                beliefs about smoking causing the specific health topic in the warning.
                For some topics (e.g., smoking causes strokes, smoking causes
                impotence), increases in correct health beliefs were only found in
                adolescents and not adults (Ref. 106).
                 There are a small number of recent studies conducted in the United
                States that failed to find an effect of pictorial cigarette warnings on
                increasing health beliefs about the negative effects of smoking (Refs.
                77, 84, 109, and 110). The failure in those studies to find an
                [[Page 42764]]
                association between exposure to pictorial cigarette warnings and
                increased health beliefs may be partly or fully attributable to the
                fact that, as previously described, the public already has a high pre-
                existing level of knowledge of the specific health consequences
                described in the warnings tested in those studies, some of which
                included warning statements set forth by Congress in the Tobacco
                Control Act. For example, a few studies have found increases in
                knowledge only of less-known conditions (e.g., blindness) but not of
                more well-known negative health effects (e.g., lung cancer) (Refs. 12
                and 105). Notably, the increases in health beliefs from pictorial
                warnings were greatest for negative health effects that started with
                lower levels of prior beliefs about that health condition, such as
                gangrene and stroke (Ref. 12). This suggests that the impact of
                cigarette warnings on knowledge is greatest for topics that are not
                well known to the public.
                 In summary, pictorial cigarette warnings that convey the risk of
                specific negative health effects from smoking can increase beliefs and
                knowledge about the health consequences of smoking, particularly for
                negative health effects that are less known.
                 b. Pictorial cigarette warnings increase information processing and
                learning of new information about the negative health consequences of
                smoking.
                 Pictorial cigarette warnings that increase message processing will
                aid consumer understanding of the negative health consequences of
                smoking. Cognitive theories and information processing models describe
                how information is gathered from the senses and is stored and processed
                in the brain (Ref. 111). Message processing is important to learning
                and understanding. Once an individual notices a warning, he or she
                mentally stores the information found in the warning and gives meaning
                to that information (Ref. 112). The individual mentally processes the
                information and builds on it, which helps them better recall and
                remember the information (Refs. 43 and 113). How much the information
                is mentally processed, reflected on, and thought about impacts how well
                the information is learned and understood (Ref. 114). Health warnings
                are therefore frequently assessed by looking to how noticeable they
                are; how well remembered their content is; and how much they prompt
                individuals to think about their content.
                 i. Pictorial cigarette warnings lead to increased thinking about
                the harms of smoking.
                 One way to process information found in a health message includes
                thinking about the message's content. Research (from both U.S. and
                international studies) has demonstrated that pictorial cigarette
                warnings lead to increased thinking (i.e., ``cognitive elaboration'')
                about the content of the warning (Refs. 49, 83, 84, 86, 87, 100, 102,
                104, and 115). For example, one study of U.S. adult smokers found that
                participants who were exposed to pictorial cigarette warnings processed
                the information in deeper ways, such as thinking about their own health
                problems (e.g., diabetes) in the context of smoking (Ref. 99).
                Participants assigned to view pictorial cigarette warnings had more
                accurate recall and were better able to describe the content of the
                warning compared to those assigned to view the text-only warnings (Ref.
                99). A meta-analysis of experimental studies conducted in twenty
                countries compared pictorial cigarette warnings to text-only cigarette
                warnings (Ref. 50). Compared to text-only warnings, pictorial cigarette
                warnings elicited more thinking about the message content (Ref. 50).
                Another study had U.S. adolescent and adult participants view one of
                nine pictorial cigarette warnings (Ref. 116). Exposure to pictorial
                cigarette warnings caused individuals to think about family members who
                smoke or how smoking could hurt the health of family members (Ref.
                116).
                 ii. Pictorial cigarette warnings lead to exposure to and learning
                of new information about the negative consequences of smoking to
                smokers and nonsmokers.
                 Health warnings on cigarette packages can serve as prominent
                sources of health information for both smokers and nonsmokers (Ref. 2).
                Daily smokers in the United States, who in 2016 averaged 14.1
                cigarettes per day, are potentially exposed to the pictorial cigarette
                warnings on packages over 5,100 times per year, and, because these
                packages are not always concealed and are often visible to those other
                than the person carrying the package, information found on those
                packages are potentially viewed by many others, including nonsmokers
                (Refs. 38-40). Indeed, a review of tobacco health warning studies in
                more than 13 countries, including the United States, concluded that
                pictorial warnings are an important source of health information for
                smokers as well as nonsmokers (Ref. 39).
                 Pictorial cigarette warnings have also been shown to be effective
                in communicating the health consequences of smoking to youth (Refs. 94
                and 100). A report prepared for Health Canada showed that approximately
                6 years after the introduction of pictorial cigarette warnings in
                Canada, more than 90 percent of Canadian youth agreed that the
                pictorial cigarette warnings had provided them with important and
                accurate information about the negative health effects of smoking
                cigarettes (Ref. 108). Pictorial cigarette warnings can also serve as
                effective sources of information for youth with smoking parents. One
                study interviewed adolescents whose parents received pictorial warnings
                on their cigarette packages as part of a randomized clinical trial
                (Ref. 117). When asked about the pictorial cigarette warnings,
                adolescents described how the warnings caught their attention. While
                many already reported believing that smoking was dangerous before
                seeing the warnings, viewing the warnings strengthened and reinforced
                beliefs about the negative health consequences of smoking.
                 In the health communication scientific literature, messages that
                are accompanied by images closely linked to the message content (i.e.,
                concordant) are shown to increase the likelihood that consumers will
                comprehend the message (Ref. 118). Because of this, pictorial cigarette
                warnings increase understandability and learning of the message. After
                implementation of Australia's pictorial cigarette warnings, focus group
                research findings concluded that images depicting the health
                consequences of smoking provided new information beyond what was
                contained in the text through providing a visual explanation of the
                negative health effects noted in the text (Ref. 101). For example, very
                few participants were aware that smoking caused peripheral vascular
                disease, and having an image of peripheral vascular disease provided a
                visual explanation of the effects of the disease, which led to learning
                of the consequences of smoking (Ref. 101). Studies in other countries
                have shown that participants tend to rate pictorial cigarette warnings
                as being more informative than text-only warnings (Refs. 119 and 120).
                A study with U.S. young adult smokers and nonsmokers evaluated the
                effect of pictorial cigarette warnings on learning (Ref. 121). Findings
                showed that participants rated pictorial cigarette warnings higher in
                increasing personal understanding of the health consequences of smoking
                and leading to learning new information compared to text-only warnings.
                 c. Pictorial cigarette warnings can increase understanding of the
                negative health consequences of smoking across diverse populations.
                [[Page 42765]]
                 Research has shown that being a member of a group with lower
                socioeconomic status (SES), as measured by income and education levels,
                is associated with having lower knowledge of the negative health
                consequences of smoking; most smokers in the United States are in this
                group (Refs. 5, 123, and 124). One study found that knowledge about the
                negative health effects of smoking was lower among older respondents,
                those with lower educational attainment, and those from racial or
                ethnic minority groups (Ref. 123). Some subpopulations, such as
                specific racial or ethnic minority groups (e.g., American Indian/
                Alaskan Natives), those with a lower level of education, and those
                experiencing serious psychological distress (Ref. 5), are
                disproportionately represented in lower SES subgroups, which have lower
                access to health information and are more likely to smoke cigarettes
                (Refs. 5, 204, and 205). Having a lower SES is also associated with
                lower health literacy compared to those with higher SES (Ref. 125).
                 One study compared data from higher and lower income adult smokers
                who participated in the ITC-4 and found that higher income smokers had
                71 percent, 34 percent, and 83 percent higher odds of reporting
                knowledge that smoking causes heart disease, stroke, and lung cancer,
                respectively (Ref. 124). However, another study found that, among
                nonsmoking Canadian adolescents, having less spending money was
                associated with lower knowledge of the negative health effects of
                smoking but that disparities in knowledge were not as strong in
                adolescent smokers as they were in other studies with adults (Ref. 11).
                 In addition, smokers with less education may be less likely to
                notice and recall health information in cigarette warnings (Refs. 69
                and 72). In its 2007 report, the IOM expressed concern about the
                ability of consumers with less education to recall the information
                included in text-based messages (Ref. 2). The IOM (Ref. 2) cited a
                study of Canadian smokers' knowledge about the country's prior warning
                requirements, which, like the current 1984 Surgeon General's warnings,
                only contained four textual warning statements. In that study, compared
                to women with higher educational attainment, comparatively fewer women
                with lower educational attainment were aware of messages that warn of
                the harmful effects of smoking on life expectancy, heart disease, or
                pregnancy (Ref. 69). A study of pregnant women found that those with
                lower reading levels had less knowledge about the negative health
                effects of smoking (Ref. 136).
                 Pictorial cigarette warnings are likely to help reduce disparities
                among disadvantaged groups in consumer understanding about the harms of
                smoking. One study examined perceptions of pictorial cigarette warnings
                among low-income adult smokers using in-depth interviews (Ref. 126).
                Some participants reported that the image in the pictorial cigarette
                warning influenced their perceptions of smoking-related conditions
                because they contained new information and portrayed long-term health
                outcomes (e.g., diminished quality of life, irreparable physical
                damage, death) (Ref. 126).
                 Research has shown that pictorial cigarette warnings increase
                understanding of the health consequences of smoking across diverse
                settings and countries (Refs. 4, 87, 102, 119, and 206-210). These
                findings demonstrate that pictorial cigarette warnings are effective
                for diverse populations that differ in cultural, racial, ethnic, and
                socioeconomic backgrounds. One large study that randomized 3,371 adult
                smokers to view either pictorial cigarette warnings or text-only
                warnings found that participants who viewed the pictorial warnings had
                rated the warnings as being significantly more noticeable and more
                credible compared to participants who viewed the text-only warnings
                (Ref. 127). No statistically significant interactions were found
                between these results and race/ethnicity, education, or income, which
                suggests that the pictorial warnings had consistently greater
                noticeability and credibility across all the study subpopulations than
                the text-only warnings (Ref. 127). Other research suggests that among
                lower SES groups, pictorial cigarette warnings may lead to stronger
                effects in noticing the warning and thinking about smoking risks
                compared to those in higher SES groups because of the added benefits of
                the information contained in the pictorial warning (Refs. 72 and 206).
                Collectively, the evidence demonstrates that pictorial cigarette
                warnings are effective across diverse populations and settings and
                likely will help reduce disparities found in consumer understanding
                about the harms of smoking.
                VI. FDA's Process for Developing and Testing the Proposed Cigarette
                Health Warnings
                 Findings from the scientific literature indicate that an important
                first step in promoting public understanding of health risks is to
                raise public awareness of those risks, particularly if the risks are
                not commonly known (Refs. 130 and 131) (see section V.B). Measuring
                whether information is new helps identify opportunities to improve
                understanding through increased awareness. Additionally, communication
                science research has found that people are more likely to pay attention
                to information that is new, and attention plays a vital role in message
                comprehension and learning (Ref. 128).
                 As described in detail in this section, FDA undertook a science-
                based, iterative research and development process to consider whether
                revisions to the textual warning statements specified in section 4(1)
                of the FCLAA (``TCA statements'') would promote greater public
                understanding of the risks associated with smoking and then to develop
                and test paired concordant color graphics to accompany the textual
                warning statements. As part of this process, FDA examined the nine TCA
                statements to consider whether to revise those statements to promote
                greater public understanding of the risks associated with cigarette
                smoking (see sections VI.A-C), which included a review of the risks
                associated with cigarette smoking and a focus on negative health
                effects that are less known, less understood, or about which the public
                holds misperceptions. After considering this information, FDA developed
                initial versions of revised textual warning statements (``revised
                statements''). Based on FDA's careful review of the scientific
                literature on the health risks associated with cigarette smoking,
                evaluation of the public's general awareness and knowledge of those
                health risks, and assessment of the Agency's own consumer research on
                potential revised warning statements, FDA determined there is
                sufficient support to propose adjusting some of the text of the TCA
                statements, as authorized by section 4(d) of the FCLAA (as amended by
                section 202(b) of the Tobacco Control Act). While developing the
                revised statements, FDA worked in parallel to develop color graphics,
                in the form of photorealistic images, depicting the negative health
                consequences of cigarette smoking to accompany the statements (section
                4(d) of the FCLAA; see section VI.D). Once FDA determined there was
                sufficient support to propose adjusting the text of the required
                warnings, identified textual warning statements for further testing,
                and developed photorealistic images to accompany those statements, we
                paired textual warning statements with concordant images to assess
                which statement-and-image pairings should be
                [[Page 42766]]
                considered for this proposed rule. FDA selected 16 statement-and-image
                pairings to test in a final quantitative consumer research study.
                Results of this study (described in section VI.E), along with FDA's
                formative research, review of the scientific literature, and internal
                scientific and public health communications expertise, informed FDA's
                selection of the 13 cigarette health warnings in this proposed rule.
                The following subsections describe each of these steps in more detail.
                 The Agency invites comment on the warnings proposed in this rule,
                including its proposed revisions to the textual warning statements and
                its proposed photorealistic images. Given the degree of public and
                stakeholder interest in this area, and the legal complexities involved,
                FDA also seeks proposals for alternative text and images you believe
                would advance the Government's interest in promoting greater public
                understanding of the negative health consequences of smoking. If
                proposing alternative text and images to those in this proposed rule,
                please provide scientific information supporting that the alternative
                text and images would, in fact, promote greater public understanding of
                the negative health consequences of smoking. Proposals for alternative
                images should accompany either one of FDA's proposed textual warning
                statements or an alternative textual warning statement you are
                proposing.
                A. Review of the Negative Health Consequences of Cigarette Smoking
                 In determining whether FDA should, as authorized by section 4(d) of
                the FCLAA, adjust the format, type size, color graphics, and text of
                any of the label requirements to promote greater public understanding
                of the risks associated with the use of tobacco products, FDA reviewed
                the scientific literature as well as available nationally
                representative data on current consumer knowledge and misperceptions
                about the health risks of smoking. Despite the current 1984 Surgeon
                General's warnings on cigarette packages and in cigarette
                advertisements, the literature demonstrates that substantial
                proportions of U.S. smokers hold misperceptions about the health risks
                associated with cigarette smoking, particularly regarding cancer, heart
                disease, and other health conditions. For more discussion, see section
                V.A.3 (``There Remain Significant Gaps in Public Understanding About
                the Negative Health Consequences of Cigarette Smoking'').
                 FDA considered the evidence presented in Surgeon General's Reports
                to identify all negative health consequences that are causally linked
                to cigarette smoking and exposure to secondhand smoke, including
                negative health consequences causally linked to cigarette smoking since
                the passing of the Tobacco Control Act in 2009. Surgeon General's
                Reports provide definitive syntheses of the available evidence on
                smoking and health and use such evidence to reach conclusions on
                causality that have public health implications (Ref. 8, p. 3). Surgeon
                General's Reports classify the strength of causal inferences in a four-
                level hierarchy based upon work of the IOM (now the National Academy of
                Medicine) and the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC)
                (Refs. 200 and 212):
                 Evidence is sufficient to infer a causal relationship.
                 Evidence is suggestive but not sufficient to infer a
                causal relationship.
                 Evidence is inadequate to infer the presence or absence of
                a causal relationship (which encompasses evidence that is sparse, of
                poor quality, or conflicting).
                 Evidence is suggestive of no causal relationship (Refs.
                154 at p. 18, 8 at pp. 3, 52, and 53).
                 These standardized determinations consider factors such as the
                consistency of results; the strength of the association between smoking
                and specific health effects; specificity; temporality; coherence,
                plausibility, and analogy; biologic gradient (dose-response evidence);
                and natural experiments (Ref. 154 at pp. 21-23). The rigor and
                consistent application of these causal standards has rendered Surgeon
                General's Reports the preeminent source regarding whether cigarette
                smoking and exposure to secondhand smoke are causally related to
                specific negative health consequences. Throughout this proposed rule,
                and in the context of the word ``cause'' or ``causes'' used in the
                textual warning statements included therein, FDA relied on the four-
                level classification provided in the Surgeon General's Reports.
                Further, the negative health consequences addressed in this proposed
                rule's warnings are all rated at the highest level, meaning that the
                proposed warnings' use of ``cause'' and ``causes'' is uniformly based
                upon the strongest possible level of scientific inference: ``Evidence
                is sufficient to infer a causal relationship'' (Ref. 8 at p. 3). A
                causal relationship supported at this level expresses ``[t]he judgment
                that smoking causes a particular disease'' and ``has immediate
                implications for prevention of the disease'' (Ref. 154, p. 18).
                 Since the first Surgeon General's Report published in 1964,
                evidence of the negative health consequences of cigarette smoking and
                secondhand smoke has expanded dramatically. For example, the 2014
                Surgeon General's Report, entitled ``The Health Consequences of
                Smoking: 50 Years of Progress'' (Ref. 8), presented a robust body of
                scientific evidence documenting the health consequences from both
                smoking and exposure to secondhand smoke across a range of diseases and
                organ systems. In particular, the 2014 Surgeon General's Report added
                eleven diseases to the long list of diseases causally linked to
                cigarette smoking: Liver cancer, colorectal cancer, age-related macular
                degeneration, orofacial clefts from maternal smoking during pregnancy,
                tuberculosis, stroke (for adults), diabetes, erectile dysfunction,
                ectopic pregnancy, rheumatoid arthritis, and impaired immune function
                (Ref. 8, pp. 4-5). The health conditions established to be causally
                linked to cigarette smoking in the 2014 Surgeon General's Report are in
                addition to the more than 40 unique health consequences of cigarette
                smoking and exposure to secondhand smoke determined by earlier studies
                (Ref. 8).
                 FDA determined that some of the health conditions newly identified
                in the 2014 Surgeon General's Report represented an opportunity to
                educate the public about negative health consequences of cigarette
                smoking that are subject to particularly low awareness and
                understanding. Historically, the large majority of public health
                messaging about the health risks associated with cigarette smoking has
                focused on a small subset of health conditions, notably lung cancer and
                addiction. The current Surgeon General's warnings for cigarette
                packages and advertisements, which have not been updated for nearly 35
                years despite increasing evidence of additional, serious negative
                health effects of cigarette smoking, only include warnings on a limited
                number of health conditions (i.e., lung cancer, heart disease,
                emphysema, pregnancy complications, and general risks to health) (see
                section V for additional discussion of the current Surgeon General's
                warnings). Both U.S. and non-U.S. studies have found that consumers are
                largely unaware of the negative health consequences of cigarette
                smoking not mentioned in current warnings as well as more specific
                information about the negative health effects and their mechanisms
                (Refs. 3, 11, 13-16, 67, 145, and 213-215).
                [[Page 42767]]
                Additionally, and as discussed in section V, the current Surgeon
                General's warnings often go unnoticed and are not effective at
                informing the public of the health risks associated with cigarette
                smoking.
                B. Developing Revised Textual Warning Statements
                 After FDA's initial review of the scientific literature on
                cigarette smoking-related consumer knowledge and misperceptions, as
                well as its epidemiological reviews of the causally linked health
                conditions identified in the recent Surgeon General's Reports and
                scientific literature, we evaluated whether revising some or all of the
                TCA statements to focus on negative health effects that are less-known
                or less understood by consumers would promote greater public
                understanding of the risks associated with cigarette smoking. FDA
                developed initial versions of revised statements for further review,
                testing, and refinement. These initial revised statements were reviewed
                by FDA internal epidemiological experts to ensure that the health
                conditions under consideration were causally linked to cigarette
                smoking or exposure to secondhand smoke, and that these smoking-
                attributed conditions were not rare.
                 Through a series of 16 qualitative focus groups with adolescent
                smokers, adolescents at risk for starting smoking, and adult smokers
                (OMB control number 0910-0674, ``Qualitative Study on Cigarettes and
                Smoking: Knowledge, Beliefs, and Misperceptions''), FDA gathered
                additional input on consumers' awareness of the negative health
                consequences of cigarette smoking and assessed initial consumer
                responses to 17 revised statements \4\ and the nine TCA statements.
                These focus groups provided FDA with qualitative feedback on consumers'
                comprehension of each statement, the believability of the content of
                each statement (e.g., that smoking causes the health condition noted),
                if that health condition was new information to participants, and other
                feedback about the statement and how to make it more understandable or
                convey the intended message more clearly. Generally, participants
                reported the initial revised statements presented new information more
                than the TCA statements. FDA considered this information in identifying
                15 revised statements \5\ for further quantitative (see section VI.C)
                and qualitative (see section VI.D) testing.
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 \4\ FDA developed multiple revised versions of some TCA
                statements, developed no revised version for others, and also
                developed statements for which there is no TCA statement focused on
                that health condition.
                 \5\ The 15 revised statements FDA refined for further testing
                did not include revised versions of the following 4 TCA statements:
                WARNING: Cigarettes are addictive; WARNING: Smoking can kill you;
                WARNING: Tobacco smoke causes fatal lung disease in nonsmokers; and
                WARNING: Quitting smoking now greatly reduces serious risks to your
                health. FDA made this determination based on focus group feedback
                and findings from the scientific literature suggesting the health
                conditions described in these 4 statements are better-known health
                consequences of smoking and that revised statements on these
                conditions likely would not promote greater public understanding of
                the negative health consequences of smoking more than either the
                relevant TCA statements themselves or new statements on different
                health conditions.
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                C. FDA's Consumer Research Study on Revised Textual Warning Statements
                 FDA next conducted a large quantitative consumer research study to
                assess which, if any, of the revised warning statements would promote
                greater public understanding of the risks associated with cigarette
                smoking as compared to the TCA statements (OMB control number 0910-
                0848, ``Experimental Study on Warning Statements for Cigarette Graphic
                Health Warnings''). A secondary goal of this study was to inform the
                selection of health conditions and specific statements that, when
                paired with color graphics depicting the health conditions described in
                the warning statements, would form new cigarette health warnings for
                further testing.
                1. Study Design
                 FDA's study on revised textual warning statements had two phases,
                both of which were completed during a single online session. The study
                sample comprised 2,505 participants. This included adolescents (aged 13
                to 17 years), half of whom were current smokers and the rest of whom
                had never smoked but were at risk for starting smoking; younger adult
                (aged 18 to 24 years) current smokers; and older adult (aged 25 years
                and older) current smokers. Study participants in all age groups were
                randomly assigned to a condition that determined which warning
                statements they viewed during the study. Participants in the control
                condition viewed the nine TCA statements. Participants in each of the
                treatment conditions viewed one of 15 revised warnings statements plus
                8 TCA warning statements. Table 1 provides a list of the 9 TCA
                statements and 15 revised warning statements that FDA evaluated in this
                study.
                 Table 1--TCA and Revised Statements Studied in FDA's Consumer Research
                 Study
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Revised statements (short
                 TCA statements (short name) name)
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                WARNING: Cigarettes are addictive WARNING: Smoking causes
                 (addictive). mouth and throat cancer
                WARNING: Tobacco smoke can harm your (mouth and throat cancer).
                 children (harm children). WARNING: Smoking causes head
                WARNING: Cigarettes cause fatal lung and neck cancer (head and
                 disease (fatal lung disease in smokers). neck cancer).
                WARNING: Cigarettes cause cancer WARNING: Smoking causes
                 (unspecified cancer). bladder cancer, which can
                WARNING: Cigarettes cause strokes and lead to bloody urine
                 heart disease (strokes and heart (bladder cancer).
                 disease). WARNING: Smoking during
                WARNING: Smoking during pregnancy can harm pregnancy causes premature
                 your baby (harm your baby). birth (premature birth).
                WARNING: Smoking can kill you (kill you). WARNING: Smoking during
                WARNING: Tobacco smoke causes fatal lung pregnancy stunts fetal
                 disease in nonsmokers (fatal lung disease growth (stunts fetal
                 in nonsmokers). growth).
                WARNING: Quitting smoking now greatly WARNING: Smoking during
                 reduces serious risks to your health pregnancy causes premature
                 (quit now). birth and low birth weight
                 (low birth weight).
                 WARNING: Secondhand smoke
                 causes respiratory
                 illnesses in children, like
                 pneumonia (pneumonia).
                 WARNING: Smoking can cause
                 heart disease and strokes
                 by clogging arteries
                 (clogged arteries).
                 WARNING: Smoking causes
                 COPD, a lung disease that
                 can be fatal (COPD).
                 WARNING: Smoking causes
                 serious lung diseases like
                 emphysema and chronic
                 bronchitis (emphysema and
                 chronic bronchitis).
                [[Page 42768]]
                
                 WARNING: Smoking reduces
                 blood flow, which can cause
                 erectile dysfunction
                 (erectile dysfunction).
                 WARNING: Smoking reduces
                 blood flow to the limbs,
                 which can require
                 amputation (amputation).
                 WARNING: Smoking causes type
                 2 diabetes, which raises
                 blood sugar (diabetes).
                 WARNING: Smoking causes age-
                 related macular
                 degeneration, which can
                 lead to blindness (macular
                 degeneration).
                 WARNING: Smoking causes
                 cataracts, which can lead
                 to blindness (cataracts).
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 In Phase 1 of the study, all participants viewed nine warning
                statements, one at a time, presented in random order. Participants in
                the control condition viewed the nine TCA statements. Participants in
                the treatment condition viewed 8 TCA statements plus 1 of 15 revised
                statements, for a total of 9 statements. Revised statements that did
                not have a TCA counterpart (e.g., the diabetes statement) are called
                ``new content'' statements for short. Each revised statement either was
                presented in place of a more general TCA statement on the same or
                similar health condition (e.g., a revised statement on head and neck
                cancer replaced the TCA unspecified cancer statement) or, for ``new
                content'' statements, was presented in place of a randomly selected TCA
                statement (e.g., a revised statement on diabetes was presented in place
                of the TCA statement on fatal lung disease in smokers). After viewing
                each individual warning statement, participants answered questions
                about that statement before viewing and answering questions about the
                next assigned statement. The study evaluated the following outcomes:
                 Whether the warning statement was new information to
                participants (``new information'') (i.e., participants reported that
                they had not previously heard of that specific health effect from
                cigarette smoking);
                 Whether participants learned something from the warning
                statement (``self-reported learning'');
                 Whether the warning statement made participants think
                about the health risks of smoking (``thinking about risks'');
                 Whether the warning statement was believable
                (``believable'');
                 Whether the warning statement was informative
                (``informativeness'') (i.e., participants reported that the warning was
                informative to them);
                 Whether the warning statement was perceived to be a fact
                or an opinion (``factuality''); and
                 Whether participants reported beliefs linking smoking and
                the health consequences in the warning statement (``health beliefs'').
                 In Phase 2 of the study, all participants viewed nine warning
                statements presented at the same time. Participants assigned to the
                control condition viewed the nine TCA warning statements again.
                Participants assigned to the treatment conditions viewed one of several
                different combinations of nine revised warning statements. After
                viewing the nine warning statements, all participants answered
                questions about their beliefs about the link between smoking and each
                of the health consequences presented in the warning statements they
                viewed (``Health beliefs'').
                 More details about the study methodology can be found in the study
                report, which we have included in this docket (Ref. 129).\6\
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 \6\ FDA will conduct a peer review of this consumer research
                study. FDA's peer review plans are available online at https://www.fda.gov/science-research/science-and-research-special-topics/peer-review-scientific-information-and-assessments.
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                2. Study Findings
                 The outcomes ``new information'' and ``self-reported learning''
                provide useful data for determining whether a revised warning statement
                would promote greater understanding than a TCA statement of the risks
                associated with cigarette smoking, as described below. In general,
                relatively few participants reported that the content of the TCA
                statements was new information; more participants reported that the
                revised statements were new information than did participants who
                viewed the TCA statements on the same health conditions; and most
                participants reported that the ``new content'' statements were new
                information. For example, fewer than 24 percent of participants
                reported that the TCA statements were new information to them,\7\
                whereas more than 66 percent of participants who viewed the ``new
                content'' statements (e.g., blindness, diabetes) reported that the
                ``new content'' statements were new information to them. When a
                specific health condition was covered by both a revised and TCA
                statement (e.g., cancer), the revised statement was new information to
                more participants than the TCA statement.
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 \7\ There was one exception: The TCA statement ``Fatal lung
                disease in nonsmokers'' was new information to 41.9 percent of
                participants.
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 At the level of the individual warning statement, 10 of the 15
                revised statements tested demonstrated statistically significant higher
                levels of both ``new information'' and ``self-reported learning'' when
                compared to a TCA statement (see Ref. 129, Table 4-1, ``Summary of
                Significant Results''). Those 10 revised statements focused on the
                following negative health effects of cigarette smoking: Age-related
                macular degeneration, cataracts, type 2 diabetes, peripheral vascular
                disease (amputation), bladder cancer, erectile dysfunction, head and
                neck cancer, heart disease and stroke (clogged arteries), stunted fetal
                growth, and COPD.
                 There were two revised statements that had statistically
                significant higher levels of ``new information'' but not ``self-
                reported learning,'' both of which focused on pregnancy-related health
                consequences (premature birth; low birth weight). For two revised
                statements (emphysema and chronic bronchitis; pneumonia), participants
                had statistically significant higher levels of ``self-reported
                learning'' but not ``new information.'' For one revised statement
                (mouth and throat cancer), participants did not have statistically
                significant higher levels of either of these two outcomes. Of the five
                revised warning statements that lacked statistically significant higher
                outcomes for both ``new information'' and ``self-reported learning'',
                four focused on a health condition for which another revised statement
                had statistically significant higher levels of both ``new information''
                and ``self-reported learning'' (e.g., premature birth versus stunts
                fetal
                [[Page 42769]]
                growth); only the revised warning statement on pneumonia did not.
                 More details about the full study results can be found in the study
                report, which we have included in this docket (Ref. 129).
                3. How Study Findings Were Used
                 FDA determined that the scientific literature demonstrates that the
                outcomes ``new information'' and ``self-reported learning'' are
                predictive for the task of identifying which, if any, of the revised
                warning statements would promote greater public understanding of the
                risks associated with cigarette smoking as compared to a TCA statement.
                Communication science research shows that an important first step in
                promoting public understanding of health risks is to raise public
                awareness of those risks, particularly if the risks are not commonly
                known (Refs. 130 and 131) (see section V.B). Measuring whether
                information is new helps identify opportunities to improve
                understanding through increased awareness. Additionally, communication
                science research has found that people are more likely to pay attention
                to information that is new, and attention plays a vital role in message
                comprehension and learning (Ref. 128). Therefore, ``new information''
                and ``self-reported learning'' are often linked and are both predictive
                of improved understanding. Other study outcomes, such as ``thinking
                about the risks'' and ``health beliefs,'' were unlikely to change with
                a single brief exposure to the text-only statements--as was provided in
                this first quantitative consumer research study--and therefore were not
                considered predictive of improved understanding in the way the ``new
                information'' and ``self-reported learning'' measures were.
                 Because the purpose of this first quantitative consumer research
                study was to determine which, if any, revised warning statements
                promote greater public understanding of the risks associated with
                cigarette smoking (as per section 4(d) of the FCLAA) when compared to a
                TCA warning statement, the study was not designed to put the revised
                statements in a rank order or compare individual results of one revised
                statement to another. Rather, FDA interpreted the presence of a
                statistically significant finding in a positive direction as support
                for a revised warning statement over its comparator TCA statement.\8\
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 \8\ Five of the 15 revised statements were ``new content''
                statements, without a comparator TCA statement on the same health
                condition. Those five revised statements were compared to a randomly
                selected TCA statement on a different health condition, which may
                have resulted in larger effects for these ``new content'' statements
                as compared to the effects for the remaining 10 revised statements.
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 FDA evaluated the research results for each individual warning
                statement to determine which statements would move on for further
                testing. Based on this analysis, a total of 10 revised statements and 5
                TCA statements were selected for such further testing. As discussed
                above, at the level of the individual warning statement, 10 of the 15
                revised warning statements tested demonstrated statistically
                significant higher levels of both ``new information'' and ``self-
                reported learning'' when compared to a TCA warning statement. FDA
                selected those 10 revised statements for further testing in the final
                consumer research study discussed below. Of the five revised warning
                statements that did not have statistically significant higher outcomes
                for both ``new information'' and ``self-reported learning,'' four
                focused on a health condition for which another revised statement did
                have statistically significant higher levels for both ``new
                information'' and ``self-reported learning''; only the revised
                statement on harms of secondhand smoke exposure in children (pneumonia)
                did not. Because there was not another revised statement on harms of
                secondhand smoke exposure in children, FDA selected the TCA statement
                on the same health condition (harm children) for further testing in the
                final quantitative consumer research study.
                 Additionally, as described above, FDA did not test a revised
                warning statement for four TCA statements (addictive, kill you, fatal
                lung disease in nonsmokers, quit now; see table 1 for full statements).
                Although these TCA statements were new information to relatively few
                participants and self-reported learning was low, FDA determined that it
                would provide a better basis for decision-making to pursue additional
                data on these four TCA statements, and thus included them for further
                testing.
                 Based on the Agency's analysis of the research results and
                evaluation of other considerations as just described, FDA selected a
                total of 15 textual warning statements for further testing. FDA
                selected the following five TCA statements for the final quantitative
                consumer research study:
                 WARNING: Cigarettes are addictive.
                 WARNING: Tobacco smoke can harm your children.
                 WARNING: Smoking can kill you.
                 WARNING: Tobacco smoke causes fatal lung disease in
                nonsmokers.
                 WARNING: Quitting smoking now greatly reduces serious
                risks to your health.
                 Additionally, FDA selected the following 10 revised or ``new
                content'' statements for the final quantitative consumer research study
                (see section VI.E for a discussion of that study):
                 WARNING: Smoking causes head and neck cancer.
                 WARNING: Smoking causes bladder cancer, which can lead to
                bloody urine.
                 WARNING: Smoking during pregnancy stunts fetal growth.
                 WARNING: Smoking can cause heart disease and strokes by
                clogging arteries.
                 WARNING: Smoking causes COPD, a lung disease that can be
                fatal.
                 WARNING: Smoking reduces blood flow, which can cause
                erectile dysfunction.
                 WARNING: Smoking reduces blood flow to the limbs, which
                can require amputation.
                 WARNING: Smoking causes type 2 diabetes, which raises
                blood sugar.
                 WARNING: Smoking causes age-related macular degeneration,
                which can lead to blindness.
                 WARNING: Smoking causes cataracts, which can lead to
                blindness.
                D. Developing and Testing Images Depicting the Negative Health
                Consequences of Smoking To Accompany the Textual Warning Statements
                 Section 4(d) of the FCLAA, as amended by section 201(a) of the
                Tobacco Control Act, directs FDA to issue regulations that require
                color graphics depicting the negative health consequences of smoking to
                accompany textual warning statements on cigarette packages and in
                cigarette advertisements. In parallel with FDA's efforts to develop and
                test revised warning statements, the Agency also undertook an
                iterative, research-based approach to develop color graphics depicting
                the negative health consequences of cigarette smoking to accompany
                those statements. This process required considering how to help promote
                greater public understanding of the negative health consequences of
                cigarette smoking given that the general public comprises individuals
                with many varied backgrounds, knowledge, beliefs, and abilities to read
                and understand health information. According to National Assessment of
                Adult Literacy estimates, about 12 percent of U.S. adults have
                proficient health literacy (i.e., the ability to access, understand,
                and use health information and services (Refs. 125 and
                [[Page 42770]]
                132). Among the remaining adults, 53 percent have intermediate health
                literacy, 22 percent have basic health literacy, and 14 percent have
                below basic health literacy (Ref. 125). Individuals with basic or below
                basic health literacy are more likely to be cigarette smokers (Refs.
                133-135) and are more likely to have limited knowledge about the
                negative health consequences of smoking (Refs. 136 and 137). National
                surveys also indicate that about half of the U.S. adult population has
                only very basic or below basic quantitative skills, and only 9 percent
                of U.S. adults scored in the highest numeracy levels (i.e., the ability
                to understand and use numbers, including the ability to read and
                interpret data presented in tables, graphs, and bar charts) (Refs. 138
                and 139).
                 To determine the best way to visually depict the negative health
                consequences of cigarette smoking to promote greater understanding
                among such a diverse population, FDA considered findings from health
                communication science research regarding best practices for helping the
                public better understand health risk information. As described in
                section V.B, it is well established in the scientific literature that
                vivid features (e.g., images) increase noticeability of and attention
                to textual health risk information (e.g., cigarette health warnings)
                and increase comprehension, understanding, and recall of health
                messages (Refs. 43, 50, 75, 78-81, 118, and 140-145). Research also
                indicates that visual depictions of textual health risk information are
                especially beneficial in aiding comprehension and understanding among
                subpopulations that have lower health literacy and numeracy skills
                (Refs. 118, 144, and 146-148), including greater disparities in
                knowledge about the negative health consequences of smoking (Ref. 69).
                However, multiple factors influence whether a specific type of visual
                depiction (such as an image compared to a bar chart or graph)
                ultimately aids or impedes message comprehension, including the level
                of concordance between the text and accompanying visual depiction
                (e.g., using an image of an eye to depict the word ``eye''); the level
                of cognitive effort required to understand the information (e.g., using
                a stacked bar chart to depict multiple data comparisons requires
                greater cognitive effort); and the type of communication channel used
                to deliver the message (e.g., information presented by a doctor as part
                of a conversation with a patient, versus information presented in a
                mass media campaign) (Refs. 118, 140-143, 146, 147, and 149-152). For
                example, some types of visual depiction, such as bar charts and graphs,
                are better suited to certain communication purposes such as depicting
                comparisons (bar charts) or conveying numerical information (graphs)
                (Refs. 142 and 152). When used to communicate health risk information
                to the public, bar charts and graphs are often misperceived, especially
                when not accompanied by further instruction on how to read and
                interpret the information (Refs. 140, 141, 149, and 151). Bar charts
                and graphs also require a higher degree of numerical proficiency and
                cognitive effort to promote consumer understanding than do other types
                of visual depiction, such as illustrations and photographs. In
                comparison, illustrations, photographs, and other pictorial visual
                depictions are more likely to aid comprehension when used for mass-
                communication purposes as these types of visual depictions are more
                easily made congruent (i.e., the type of visual is appropriate for the
                message) and concordant, and they require less numerical proficiency
                and cognitive effort to understand the information (Refs. 141, 142,
                149, and 150). Therefore, based on this review of the literature, the
                proposed cigarette health warning message content, and the
                communication channel, FDA determined that textual warning statements
                paired with factually accurate, concordant photographs or
                photorealistic images of specific health conditions, presented in a
                realistic and objective format, would be most likely to advance the
                Government's interest in promoting greater public understanding of the
                negative health consequences of cigarette smoking.
                 FDA then undertook a rigorous multistep process to develop, test,
                and refine images that: (1) Are factually accurate; (2) depict common
                visual presentations of the health conditions (intended to aid
                understanding by building on existing consumer health knowledge and
                experiences) and/or show disease states and symptoms as they are
                typically experienced; (3) present the health conditions in a realistic
                and objective format that is devoid of non-essential elements; and (4)
                are concordant with the statements on the same health conditions.
                 After developing initial image concepts, FDA used information
                gathered through a series of 53 indepth individual interviews with
                adolescents and adults (OMB control number 0910-0796, ``Qualitative
                Study of Perceptions and Knowledge of Visually Depicted Health
                Conditions'') to further refine the concepts. FDA evaluated the extent
                to which participants found the initial image concepts clear (in terms
                of recognizing what was being depicted in the image), attention-
                grabbing, worth remembering, credible, and relevant, and whether the
                concepts provided any new information. The interviews found that some
                image concepts were very clear, while others were less understood. When
                there were multiple image concepts on the same or similar health
                conditions, participants reacted similarly to those concepts. Overall,
                the majority of participants found the image concepts to be credible
                and rated most of the concepts as medium to high in terms of image
                clarity. FDA used the feedback from these qualitative interviews to
                further refine the initial image concepts, eliminate some image
                concepts from further consideration, and inform a future quantitative
                consumer research study (see section VI.E).
                 FDA used a photorealistic illustration format for the images rather
                than photographs, because this format best allowed depicting specific
                features of the health conditions as described by the textual warning
                statements. The photorealistic illustration format also facilitated
                providing factually accurate images that depict common presentations of
                the health conditions in a realistic and objective format devoid of
                non-essential elements. Using photorealistic images allowed further
                editing and refinements for clarity and ease of understanding
                throughout the research and development process for new cigarette
                health warnings. A certified medical illustrator developed high
                quality, medically accurate, photorealistic images in close
                collaboration with FDA staff. After the photorealistic images were
                created, FDA paired each textual warning statement (the 9 TCA
                statements and the 15 revised statements tested in the first
                quantitative consumer research study) with a concordant image for
                further testing.
                 To do this further testing, FDA evaluated the photorealistic images
                through a series of 20 qualitative focus groups with adolescent
                smokers, adolescents at risk for starting smoking, and adult smokers
                (OMB control number 0910-0796, ``Qualitative Study on Consumer
                Perceptions of Cigarettes Health Warning Images''). The focus groups
                examined what factual information the images conveyed to participants
                about the negative health consequences of cigarette smoking in the
                absence of a paired textual warning statement, as well as how
                concordant participants considered the images to be when paired with
                potential textual warning statements (both TCA
                [[Page 42771]]
                statements and the revised statements). Based on feedback received in
                these focus groups, FDA further refined some images for additional
                clarity and eliminated other images that were not well understood or
                where potential confusion could not be resolved through additional
                revisions. FDA then completed final pairings of textual warning
                statements and concordant photorealistic images for testing in the
                final quantitative consumer research study.
                 As noted earlier (see section VI.C), FDA selected a total of 15
                textual warning statements for further testing. However, two of the
                textual warning statements (fatal lung disease in nonsmokers, COPD)
                shared similar concordant images (diseased lungs). To preserve the
                option of potentially requiring both warning statements but without
                using two similar images, FDA paired an additional concordant image
                that tested well in the qualitative focus groups (man with oxygen tank)
                with the COPD warning statement for further testing. Therefore, FDA
                prepared a total of 16 statement-and-image pairings to test in the
                final quantitative consumer research study.
                E. FDA's Consumer Research Study on New Cigarette Health Warnings
                 Once FDA examined opportunities to promote greater public
                understanding of the risks associated with cigarette smoking, developed
                potential revised statements to address gaps in public understanding,
                tested the revised statements in a consumer research study, and
                developed concordant photorealistic images that depict the negative
                health consequences of smoking, the Agency prepared a set of 16
                cigarette health warnings (statements paired with their concordant
                photorealistic images) to be tested in a final consumer research study.
                The purpose of the final research study was to assess the extent to
                which any of the cigarette health warnings, developed through FDA's
                science-based, iterative research process, increase understanding of
                the negative health consequences of cigarette smoking. For warnings to
                be considered for this proposed rule, FDA decided that a warning tested
                in this final consumer research study must demonstrate statistically
                significant improvements, as compared to the control condition, on both
                the two outcomes of ``new information'' and ``self-reported learning''
                (more discussion about the study design, including the control and
                outcomes follows).
                1. Study Design
                 FDA's final research study on new cigarette health warnings was a
                three-session internet-based consumer research study using an online
                research panel (OMB control number 0910-0866, ``Experimental Study of
                Cigarette Warnings''). The study included 9,760 participants,
                including: (1) Adolescents (aged 13-17 years) who were current smokers
                and those at risk for starting smoking; (2) younger adults (aged 18-24
                years) who were current smokers and nonsmokers; and (3) older-adults
                (aged 25 years and older) who were current smokers and nonsmokers.
                Study participants in all age groups were assigned to a condition that
                determined which warnings they viewed during the study. Participants in
                the control condition viewed one of the four current Surgeon General's
                cigarette warnings. Participants in each of the treatment conditions
                viewed one of 16 of the new cigarette health warnings (i.e., text-image
                pairings) FDA developed through the process described in sections VI.B-
                D. Table 2 provides a list of the 16 textual warning statements (paired
                with images) that FDA evaluated in this study.
                 Table 2--Text of Cigarette Health Warnings Tested in FDA's Consumer
                 Research Study
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Statements
                -------------------------------------------------------------------------
                WARNING: Cigarettes are addictive.
                WARNING: Tobacco smoke can harm your children.
                WARNING: Smoking can kill you.
                WARNING: Tobacco smoke causes fatal lung disease in nonsmokers.
                WARNING: Quitting smoking now greatly reduces serious risks to your
                 health.
                WARNING: Smoking causes head and neck cancer.
                WARNING: Smoking causes bladder cancer, which can lead to bloody urine.
                WARNING: Smoking during pregnancy stunts fetal growth.
                WARNING: Smoking can cause heart disease and strokes by clogging
                 arteries.
                WARNING: Smoking causes COPD, a lung disease that can be fatal. [paired
                 with an image of diseased lungs]
                WARNING: Smoking causes COPD, a lung disease that can be fatal. [paired
                 with an image of man with oxygen tank]
                WARNING: Smoking reduces blood flow, which can cause erectile
                 dysfunction.
                WARNING: Smoking reduces blood flow to the limbs, which can require
                 amputation.
                WARNING: Smoking causes type 2 diabetes, which raises blood sugar.
                WARNING: Smoking causes age-related macular degeneration, which can lead
                 to blindness.
                WARNING: Smoking causes cataracts, which can lead to blindness.
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 All participants viewed their assigned warnings on both a mock
                three-dimensional cigarette package that could be rotated on screen and
                as part of a mock full-page magazine cigarette advertisement in either
                their current (e.g., on the side of the package for the Surgeon
                General's warnings) or proposed (e.g., on the top 50 percent of the
                front and rear panel of the package for the new cigarette health
                warnings) size and location.
                 The study took place over three sessions over more than two weeks
                for each respondent. During the first session, participants answered
                baseline questions about their beliefs about the negative health
                consequences of cigarette smoking. Next, they viewed their assigned
                warning on both the mock cigarette package and in the mock cigarette
                advertisement and answered questions assessing the following outcomes:
                 Whether the warning was new information to participants
                (``new information);
                 Whether participants learned something from the warning
                (``self-reported learning'');
                 Whether the warning made participants think about the
                health risks of smoking (``thinking about risks'');
                 Whether the warning was perceived to be informative
                (``perceived informativeness'');
                [[Page 42772]]
                 Whether the warning was perceived to be understandable
                (``perceived understandability'');
                 Whether the warning was perceived to be a fact or opinion
                (``perceived factualness'');
                 Whether participants reported beliefs linking smoking and
                each of the health consequences presented in the warning (``health
                beliefs'');
                 Whether the warning was perceived to help participants
                understand the negative health effects of smoking (``perceived
                helpfulness understanding health effects'');
                 Whether the warning grabbed their attention
                (``attention''); and
                 Whether the warning was recalled (``recall'').
                 Approximately 1 day later, during the second session, participants
                viewed their assigned warning again and answered questions assessing
                their beliefs about the negative health consequences of cigarette
                smoking. Approximately 14 days after the second session, during the
                third session (i.e., a delayed post-test), participants answered
                questions about their beliefs about the negative health consequences of
                cigarette smoking as well as questions assessing recall of the warning
                they viewed.
                 More details about the study methodology, including the sample size
                calculation and analysis plan, can be found in the study report, which
                we have included in this docket (Ref. 153).\9\
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 \9\ As with the first consumer research study, FDA will conduct
                a peer review of this consumer research study. FDA's peer review
                plans are available online at https://www.fda.gov/science-research/science-and-research-special-topics/peer-review-scientific-information-and-assessments.
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                2. Study Findings
                 The results of the final consumer research study allowed FDA to
                draw important conclusions that provide a basis for the cigarette
                health warnings included in this proposed rule. Overall, relative to
                the average of the Surgeon General's warnings, most of the new
                cigarette health warnings were reported to be new information; resulted
                in greater self-reported learning; led to thinking about risks; were
                higher on perceived informativeness, perceived understandability, and
                perceived helpfulness understanding health effects; increased agreement
                with accurate health beliefs over time; attracted attention; and were
                recalled.
                 As discussed above (see section VI.C.3), FDA determined that the
                outcomes ``new information'' and ``self-reported learning'' are
                predictive for the task of identifying which of the cigarette health
                warnings increase understanding of the negative health consequences of
                cigarette smoking. Participants were significantly more likely,
                relative to the control condition (i.e., the Surgeon General's
                warnings), to report that, for 13 of the 16 cigarette health warnings
                tested (except for the warnings related to addiction, smoking can kill,
                and quitting smoking), the new cigarette health warnings provided new
                information and resulted in greater self-reported learning (see Ref.
                153, Table 4-1, ``Summary of Results'').
                 More details about the full study results can be found in the study
                report, which we have included in this docket (Ref. 153).
                3. How Study Findings Were Used
                 Because the purpose of this final quantitative consumer research
                study was to identify which of the cigarette health warnings increase
                understanding of the negative health consequences of cigarette smoking,
                the study was not designed to put the cigarette health warnings in a
                rank order or compare individual results of one cigarette health
                warning to another. FDA evaluated the research results for each
                individual cigarette health warning to determine which warnings to
                include in this proposed rule.
                 FDA is including in this proposed rule only the warnings that
                demonstrate statistically significant improvements, as compared to the
                control condition (i.e., the Surgeon General's warnings), on both the
                outcomes of ``new information'' and ``self-reported learning'' (i.e.,
                knowledge gain). Following review of the findings of the final
                quantitative consumer research study, FDA is proposing 13 cigarette
                health warnings that use the following 12 statements:
                 WARNING: Tobacco smoke can harm your children.
                 WARNING: Tobacco smoke causes fatal lung disease in
                nonsmokers.
                 WARNING: Smoking causes head and neck cancer.
                 WARNING: Smoking causes bladder cancer, which can lead to
                bloody urine.
                 WARNING: Smoking during pregnancy stunts fetal growth.
                 WARNING: Smoking can cause heart disease and strokes by
                clogging arteries.
                 WARNING: Smoking causes COPD, a lung disease that can be
                fatal. [paired with two images] \10\
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 \10\ As discussed in section VI.D, FDA paired two concordant
                images (i.e., diseased lungs, man with oxygen tank) with the COPD
                warning statement for final testing. Both text and image pairings
                demonstrated statistically significant improvements, as compared to
                the control condition (i.e., the Surgeon General's warnings), on
                both the outcomes of ``new information'' and ``self-reported
                learning'' (i.e., knowledge gain).
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 WARNING: Smoking reduces blood flow, which can cause
                erectile dysfunction.
                 WARNING: Smoking reduces blood flow to the limbs, which
                can require amputation.
                 WARNING: Smoking causes type 2 diabetes, which raises
                blood sugar.
                 WARNING: Smoking causes age-related macular degeneration,
                which can lead to blindness.
                 WARNING: Smoking causes cataracts, which can lead to
                blindness.
                 The cigarette health warnings using the following three statements
                did not demonstrate statistically significant improvements, as compared
                to the control condition, on the outcomes of ``new information'' and
                ``self-reported learning'' and therefore are not included as part of
                this proposed rule:
                 WARNING: Cigarettes are addictive.
                 WARNING: Smoking can kill you.
                 WARNING: Quitting smoking now greatly reduces serious
                risks to your health.
                VII. FDA's Proposed Required Warnings
                 The initial section 4(d) of the FCLAA, as amended by section 201 of
                the Tobacco Control Act, directs FDA to issue ``regulations that
                require color graphics depicting the negative health consequences of
                smoking'' to accompany the textual warning statements specified in
                section 4(a)(1) of the FCLAA. A second section 4(d) of the FCLAA, as
                created by section 202(b) of the Tobacco Control Act, permits FDA,
                through notice and comment rulemaking, to adjust the format, type size,
                color graphics, and text of any of the label requirements if such a
                change would promote greater public understanding of the risks
                associated with the use of tobacco products. FDA interprets these
                provisions of the FCLAA to permit a rulemaking that establishes new
                cigarette health warnings and at the same time adjusts the text and
                color graphic requirements, including the number of required warnings,
                so long as the adjustments promote greater public understanding of the
                risks of the use of tobacco products.
                 As described in section VI.B, FDA undertook a science-based,
                iterative research and development process to consider whether
                revisions to the textual warning statements specified in section 4(1)
                of the FCLAA would promote greater public understanding of the risks
                associated with cigarette smoking. The empirical results
                [[Page 42773]]
                demonstrate sufficient scientific support to adjust the textual warning
                statements. Also, as described in section VI.D, FDA carefully developed
                and tested concordant color graphics, in the form of photorealistic
                images, depicting the negative health consequences of smoking to
                accompany each of the textual warning statements included in this
                proposed rule. Based on the results of FDA's research, we intend to
                finalize some or all of the 13 new cigarette health warnings proposed
                in this rule. We invite comment on how many warnings should be selected
                for the final rule and whether fewer than, more than, or exactly nine
                warnings would advance the Government's interest in promoting greater
                public understanding of the negative health consequences of smoking.
                 The 13 proposed warnings, each of which consists of a textual
                warning statement paired with a concordant photorealistic image
                depicting the negative health consequences of smoking, are available in
                an electronic PDF in this docket (Ref. 18). For the final rule, the
                required warnings will be contained in a document entitled ``Required
                Cigarette Health Warnings,'' as is further discussed in section II.C.
                 These proposed required warnings, as shown through the robust
                scientific evidence described in detail in sections V and VI and in the
                remainder of this section, are factual and accurate, advance the
                Government's interest, and are not unduly burdensome (see section VIII
                for a more detailed discussion). In determining which proposed
                cigarette health warnings will be required in the final rule, FDA will
                consider public comments submitted to this docket, full research
                results from our final quantitative consumer research study (including
                peer reviewer comments), scientific literature, and other
                considerations as discussed in this proposal.
                A. FDA's Proposed Required Warnings
                 As discussed above, we assessed whether the new cigarette health
                warnings, developed through FDA's science-based, iterative research
                process, will advance the Government's interest in promoting greater
                public understanding of the negative health consequences of cigarette
                smoking. Based on available data and information available to us at
                this time, including results from FDA's final consumer research study
                (see section VI for a full description of the final consumer research
                study) (Ref. 153), we identified 13 cigarette health warnings for this
                proposed rule.
                 Each of the proposed warnings described in this section
                demonstrated statistically significant higher levels of providing new
                information and self-reported learning when compared to the control
                condition (i.e., the Surgeon General's warnings) (Ref. 153). While the
                final consumer research study was designed to measure a range of
                outcomes related to consumer understanding, as an initial matter, FDA
                is including in this proposed rule only the warnings that demonstrate
                statistically significant improvements, as compared to the control
                condition (i.e., the Surgeon General's warnings), on both the outcomes
                of ``new information'' and ``self-reported learning'' (i.e., knowledge
                gain). As described above, the scientific literature demonstrates that
                these two outcomes are predictive for the task of assessing which of
                the new cigarette health warnings increase understanding of the risks
                associated with cigarette smoking. Other study outcomes provide
                additional, useful information and are reflected in the study report
                (Ref. 153).
                 FDA solicits comment on the individual cigarette health warnings
                included in this proposal, and we ask that comments provide data and
                factual information that would help us to further consider which
                proposed warnings to include in the final rule or whether such warnings
                should be altered, consistent with the Government's interest, and how.
                For additional consideration, the following subsections provide
                relevant scientific support for each of the proposed required warnings.
                 1. WARNING: Tobacco smoke can harm your children.
                 This proposed warning consists of the TCA statement ``WARNING:
                Tobacco smoke can harm your children'' paired with a concordant,
                factually accurate, photorealistic image depicting a negative health
                consequence of secondhand smoke exposure in children. The image shows
                the head and shoulders of a young boy (aged 8-10 years) wearing a
                hospital gown and receiving a nebulizer treatment for chronic asthma
                resulting from secondhand smoke exposure.
                 Since 2004, several Surgeon General's Reports have confirmed the
                causal link between exposure to secondhand smoke and several negative
                health consequences in children, including middle ear disease,
                respiratory symptoms, impaired lung function, lower respiratory
                illness, and SIDS (Refs. 8, 154, and 155). The 2006 Surgeon General's
                Report stated that the evidence is sufficient to conclude--the highest
                level of evidence of causal inferences from the criteria applied in the
                Surgeon General's Reports--that secondhand smoke exposure from parental
                smoking causes the following negative health effects: Lower respiratory
                illness in infants and children; middle ear disease in children,
                including acute and recurrent otitis media and chronic middle ear
                effusion; cough, phlegm, wheeze, and breathlessness among children of
                school age, and ever having asthma among children of school age; the
                onset of wheeze illnesses in early childhood; persistent adverse
                effects on lung function across childhood; and a lower level of lung
                function during childhood (Ref. 155). More recently published studies
                on the topic support the Surgeon General's Reports' conclusion that
                parental secondhand smoke influences child health, particularly
                respiratory health (Refs. 156-158).
                 2. WARNING: Tobacco smoke causes fatal lung disease in nonsmokers.
                 This proposed warning consists of the TCA statement ``WARNING:
                Tobacco smoke causes fatal lung disease in nonsmokers'' paired with a
                concordant, factually accurate, photorealistic image depicting fatal
                lung disease. The image shows gloved hands holding a pair of diseased
                lungs containing cancerous lesions from chronic secondhand smoke
                exposure.
                 The 1986 and subsequent Surgeon General's Reports have confirmed
                the causal link between secondhand smoke exposure and lung cancer, a
                fatal lung disease, among nonsmokers (Refs.155 and 159). The conclusion
                in the 2006 Surgeon General's Report extends to all secondhand smoke
                exposure, regardless of location of exposure (e.g., at home, at work,
                in other settings); the combined evidence from multiple studies
                indicates a 20 to 30 percent increase in the risk of lung cancer from
                secondhand smoke exposure associated with living with a smoker (Ref.
                155). For example, a meta-analysis of 43 studies, including studies
                conducted in both the United States and outside of the United States,
                found that the relative risk of lung cancer among nonsmoking women who
                live with partners who smoke (i.e., the risk of the lung cancer among
                nonsmokers living with smokers compared to nonsmokers not living with
                smokers) was 1.29 (Ref. 160). This means that nonsmoking women who live
                with partners who smoke have 1.29 times higher risk of lung cancer
                compared to nonsmoking women who live with partners who do not smoke.
                Recent studies support and extend these conclusions (Refs. 161-164). In
                addition to the many lung cancer deaths caused directly by smoking,
                researchers
                [[Page 42774]]
                estimate that another 5 percent of all lung cancer deaths, or 7,300
                deaths annually (as measured in 2006), can be attributed to secondhand
                smoke exposure (Ref. 165).
                 3. WARNING: Smoking causes head and neck cancer.
                 This proposed warning consists of the revised textual warning
                statement ``WARNING: Smoking causes head and neck cancer'' paired with
                a concordant, factually accurate, photorealistic image depicting neck
                cancer. The image shows the head and neck of a woman (aged 50-60 years)
                who has neck cancer caused by cigarette smoking. The woman has a
                visible tumor protruding from the right side her neck just below her
                jawline.
                 Common head and neck cancers include mouth, nose, pharynx, and
                larynx. Since 1979, Surgeon General's Report have recognized that
                smoking causes head and neck cancers, and the 2004 Surgeon General's
                Report stated that the evidence is sufficient to infer a causal
                relationship--the highest level of evidence of causal inferences from
                the criteria applied in the Surgeon General's Reports--between smoking
                and cancers of the oral cavity, pharynx, and larynx (Ref. 154),
                building on the strong conclusions of causality from previous reports.
                The magnitude of this relationship is substantial--male and female
                smokers who currently smoke and have smoked only cigarettes experience
                10- and 5-fold higher risk of head and neck cancers than lifetime
                nonsmokers, respectively. The 2004 Surgeon General's Report summarized
                clinical studies showing that premalignant lesions in the mouth and
                throat are most commonly found in areas that have direct contact with
                tobacco or smoke and that quitting smoking causes most premalignant
                lesions to regress and reduces oral and pharyngeal cancer incidence and
                mortality (Ref. 154). In 2015, there were 44,430 new cases of cancer of
                the oral cavity and pharynx and 12,292 new cases of cancer of the
                larynx (Ref. 166). There were approximately 14,000 deaths from head and
                neck cancer in 2016 (approximately 10,000 from cancer of the lip, oral
                cavity, and pharynx, and approximately 3,900 from cancer of the larynx)
                (Ref. 166). Most head and neck cancers are attributable to smoking,
                with almost 70 percent of lip, oral cavity, pharynx, and larynx cancer
                deaths from 2000 to 2004 attributable to smoking, representing 7,900
                deaths a year (Ref. 30).
                 4. WARNING: Smoking causes bladder cancer, which can lead to bloody
                urine.
                 This proposed warning consists of the revised textual warning
                statement ``WARNING: Smoking causes bladder cancer, which can lead to
                bloody urine'' paired with a concordant, factually accurate,
                photorealistic image depicting bloody urine. The image shows a gloved
                hand holding a urine specimen cup containing bloody urine resulting
                from bladder cancer caused by cigarette smoking.
                 The association between smoking and bladder cancer has been noted
                since the first Surgeon General's Report in 1964, and a causal
                conclusion was reported in the 1990 report (Refs. 183 and 219). The
                2014 Surgeon General's Report again confirmed that the evidence is
                sufficient to infer a causal relationship--the highest level of
                evidence of causal inferences from the criteria applied in the Surgeon
                General's Reports--between cigarette smoking and bladder cancer (Ref.
                8). Recent research illustrates that even smoking a few cigarettes per
                day is associated with an increased risk of bladder cancer (Ref. 167)
                and that low intensity/long duration smoking is particularly associated
                with increased bladder cancer risk (Ref. 168). In most cases, blood in
                the urine (called hematuria) is the first visible sign of bladder
                cancer (Ref. 169), although there are other causes of hematuria. The
                number of cases of bladder cancer related to smoking is considerable.
                There were 73,000 bladder cancer cases in the United States in 2015 and
                16,650 deaths from bladder cancer in 2017 (Ref. 166). According to the
                American Cancer Society, 1 in 27 men and 1 in 89 women will develop
                bladder cancer during their lifetime (Ref. 170). The Centers for
                Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has estimated that 40 percent of
                bladder cancer deaths in 2000 through 2004 were attributable to
                smoking, representing almost 5,000 deaths a year (Ref. 30).
                 5. WARNING: Smoking during pregnancy stunts fetal growth.
                 This proposed warning consists of the revised textual warning
                statement ``WARNING: Smoking during pregnancy stunts fetal growth''
                paired with a concordant, factually accurate, photorealistic image
                depicting a negative health consequence of smoking during pregnancy: An
                infant with low birth weight resulting from stunted fetal growth. The
                image shows a newborn infant on a medical scale, and the digital
                display on the scale reads four pounds.
                 The 2004 Surgeon General's Report concluded for the first time that
                the evidence was sufficient to infer a causal relationship--the highest
                level of evidence of causal inferences based on the criteria applied in
                the Surgeon General's Reports--between maternal smoking and fetal
                growth restriction and preterm delivery (Ref. 154). The 2004 Surgeon
                General's Report summarized many studies that found a consistent and
                strong relationship between smoking and reduced birth weight as well as
                a strong dose-response relationship between smoking intensity and birth
                weight, and the 2010 Surgeon General's Report cited additional studies
                further supporting that conclusion (Ref. 171). New studies published
                since 2014 further support the causal relation between smoking and
                restricted fetal growth (Refs. 172-175).
                 In the United States, around eight percent of newborns have low
                birth weight each year (Ref. 176). The CDC reported that low birth
                weight was twice as common among smoking mothers compared to nonsmoking
                mothers in Ohio in a 6-month period in 1989, with 20 percent of cases
                of low birth weight among infants during the same period due to
                maternal smoking (Ref. 177). Low birth weight was almost 60 percent
                more common among mothers who smoked during pregnancy than mothers who
                did not in a study in Massachusetts in 1998 (Ref. 32). The California
                EPA estimated 24,500 cases of low birth weight due to maternal exposure
                to environmental tobacco smoke (i.e., secondhand smoking) in the United
                States per year (Ref. 34).
                 6. WARNING: Smoking can cause heart disease and strokes by clogging
                arteries.
                 This proposed warning consists of the revised textual warning
                statement ``WARNING: Smoking can cause heart disease and strokes by
                clogging arteries'' paired with a concordant, factually accurate,
                photorealistic image depicting a patient who recently underwent heart
                surgery to treat heart disease caused by smoking. The image shows the
                chest of a man (aged 60-70 years) wearing an open hospital gown. The
                man has a large, recently-sutured incision running down the middle of
                his chest and is undergoing post-operative monitoring.
                 Surgeon General's Reports since the 1970s have concluded that
                smoking is causally related to heart disease and stroke (Refs. 154 and
                178). The 2014 Surgeon General's Report summarized the evidence and
                focused on new insights into causal mechanisms gained since the earlier
                report (Ref. 8). Coronary heart disease--often simply called heart
                disease--is a disorder of the blood vessels of the heart that can lead
                to a heart attack. A heart attack happens when an artery becomes
                blocked, preventing oxygen and nutrients from getting to the heart.
                Stroke occurs when blood supply to part of the brain is interrupted or
                reduced, depriving brain
                [[Page 42775]]
                tissue of oxygen and nutrients (Ref. 179). Atherosclerosis, or clogged
                arteries, is a disease in which plaque builds up inside the arteries
                that carry oxygen-rich blood to the heart and other parts of the body
                and can lead to heart attack and stroke through thrombosis, or blockage
                of the arteries (Refs. 8 and 179). Most coronary heart disease involves
                atherosclerosis, or clogged arteries. The 2004 Surgeon General's Report
                concluded that evidence from several different populations, multiple
                age groups, and both genders is sufficient to conclude that there is a
                causal relationship--the highest level of evidence of causal inferences
                from the criteria applied in the Surgeon General's Reports--between
                smoking and atherosclerosis and related health conditions such as heart
                disease and stroke (Ref. 154). Across many studies over time, a clear
                dose-response relationship has been established with smoking more
                cigarettes and smoking for a longer time linked to greater risk of
                heart disease and stroke. More recent evidence demonstrates that even a
                very low frequency of smoking (i.e., even as few as one cigarette per
                day) has a measurable increase in the risk for cardiovascular disease
                (Ref. 180). The 2004 Surgeon General's Report further concluded that
                the evidence is sufficient to infer a causal relationship--the highest
                level of evidence of causal inferences from the criteria applied in the
                Surgeon General's Reports--between smoking and subclinical (or very
                early signs of) atherosclerosis (Ref. 154).
                 The public health burden of heart disease and stroke is
                considerable. It has been estimated that, in the United States, over 2
                million people have had a heart attack during their lifetime and over 1
                million have had a stroke during their lifetime due to smoking (Ref.
                21). The mortality burden is also substantial. There are approximately
                635,000 deaths from heart disease and 140,000 deaths from stroke in the
                United States each year (Ref. 181). Recent data showed that the
                mortality risk (i.e., the risk of dying) for current smokers compared
                to never smokers from heart disease was 2.50 times greater for men and
                2.86 times greater for women. The risk of having a stroke was 1.92
                times greater for men and 2.10 times greater for women who were current
                smokers compared to never smokers (Ref. 182). The proportion of all
                deaths from heart attack and stroke due to active smoking is notable--
                24.1 percent for heart disease deaths and 11.3 percent for stroke
                deaths. This represents approximately 100,000 deaths from heart attack
                due to smoking, and 15,000 stroke deaths due to smoking (Ref. 8).
                 7. WARNING: Smoking causes COPD, a lung disease that can be fatal.
                [image of diseased lungs]
                 This proposed warning consists of the revised textual warning
                statement ``WARNING: Smoking causes COPD, a lung disease that can be
                fatal'' paired with a concordant, factually accurate, photorealistic
                image depicting COPD. The image shows gloved hands holding a pair of
                diseased, darkened lungs removed from a smoker with COPD. Because a
                similar image of diseased lungs was paired with the TCA statement
                regarding fatal lung disease in nonsmokers, FDA paired this revised
                statement with two different images for final testing (see next
                subsection).
                 Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) includes the diseases
                emphysema and chronic bronchitis. The 1964 Surgeon General's Report
                concluded that smoking is a primary cause of chronic bronchitis, and
                subsequent reports summarized additional evidence to conclude, in the
                2004 Surgeon General's Report, at the highest level of evidence of
                causal inferences from the criteria applied in the Surgeon General's
                Reports, that the evidence is sufficient to infer a causal relationship
                between active smoking and COPD morbidity and mortality (Refs. 154,
                183, and 184). The 2014 Surgeon General's Report reinforced and
                extended this evidence to discuss the relationship between smoking and
                COPD mortality (Ref. 8). The 2014 Surgeon General's Report concluded
                that the evidence is sufficient to infer--once again, the highest level
                of evidence of causal inferences from the criteria applied in the
                Surgeon General's Reports--that smoking is in fact the dominant cause
                of COPD in the United States (Ref. 8). The report also concluded that
                smoking causes all elements of COPD, including emphysema and damage to
                the airways of the lung (Ref. 8).
                 The public health burden of COPD is substantial. The National
                Heart, Lung, Blood Institute estimates that there are 12 million U.S.
                adults currently living who have been diagnosed with COPD and another
                12 million who have COPD but have not yet been diagnosed (Ref. 185). It
                has also been estimated that approximately 7.5 million people currently
                living with COPD (whether diagnosed or undiagnosed) have the disease
                because of smoking (Ref. 21). The mortality risk from COPD for current
                smokers compared to never smokers was 25.61 times higher for men and
                22.35 times higher for women, according to 50-year trends published in
                the New England Journal of Medicine (Ref. 182). There are about 128,000
                COPD deaths in the United States each year, of which 101,000 (79
                percent) are attributable to smoking (Ref. 8).
                 8. WARNING: Smoking causes COPD, a lung disease that can be fatal.
                [image of man with oxygen tank]
                 This proposed warning consists of the revised textual warning
                statement ``WARNING: Smoking causes COPD, a lung disease that can be
                fatal'' paired with a concordant, factually accurate, photorealistic
                image depicting a man receiving oxygen support because he has COPD
                caused by cigarette smoking. The image shows the head and neck of a man
                (aged 50-60 years) who has a nasal canula under his nose supplying
                oxygen; the oxygen tank can be seen behind his left shoulder. Because,
                based on the findings from previous qualitative testing (see section
                VI.D), both this warning statement and the TCA statement regarding
                fatal lung disease in nonsmokers were paired with similar images of
                diseased lungs (see previous subsection), FDA decided to pair this
                revised statement with an additional concordant image for testing in
                the final quantitative consumer research study.
                 As explained in the previous subsection (``7. WARNING: Smoking
                causes COPD, a lung disease that can be fatal. [image of diseased
                lungs]''), COPD includes the diseases emphysema and chronic bronchitis.
                The 1964 Surgeon General's Report concluded that smoking is a primary
                cause of chronic bronchitis, and subsequent reports summarized
                additional evidence to conclude, in the 2004 Surgeon General's Report,
                at the highest level of evidence of causal inferences from the criteria
                applied in the Surgeon General's Reports, that the evidence is
                sufficient to infer a causal relationship between active smoking and
                COPD morbidity and mortality (Refs. 154, 183, and 184). The 2014
                Surgeon General's Report reinforced and extended this evidence to
                discuss the relationship between smoking and COPD mortality (Ref. 8).
                The 2014 Surgeon General's Report concluded that the evidence is
                sufficient to infer--once again, the highest level of evidence of
                causal inferences from the criteria applied in the Surgeon General's
                Reports--that smoking is in fact the dominant cause of COPD in the
                United States (Ref. 8). The report also concluded that smoking causes
                all elements of COPD, including emphysema and damage to the airways of
                the lung (Ref. 8).
                 The public health burden of COPD is substantial. The National
                Heart, Lung, Blood Institute estimates that there are
                [[Page 42776]]
                12 million U.S. adults currently living who have been diagnosed with
                COPD and another 12 million who have COPD but have not yet been
                diagnosed (Ref. 185). It has also been estimated that approximately 7.5
                million people currently living with COPD (whether diagnosed or
                undiagnosed) have the disease because of smoking (Ref. 21). The
                mortality risk from COPD for current smokers compared to never smokers
                was 25.61 times higher for men and 22.35 times higher for women,
                according to 50-year trends published in the New England Journal of
                Medicine (Ref. 182). There are about 128,000 COPD deaths in the United
                States each year, of which 101,000 (79 percent) are attributable to
                smoking (Ref. 8).
                 9. WARNING: Smoking reduces blood flow, which can cause erectile
                dysfunction.
                 This proposed warning consists of the revised textual warning
                statement ``WARNING: Smoking reduces blood flow, which can cause
                erectile dysfunction'' paired with a concordant, factually accurate,
                photorealistic image depicting a man who is experiencing erectile
                dysfunction caused by smoking. The image shows a man (aged 50-60 years)
                sitting on the edge of a bed and leaning forward, with one elbow
                resting on each knee. The man's head is tilted down, with his forehead
                pressed into the knuckles of his right hand. Behind him on the bed, his
                female partner looks off in another direction.
                 The 2014 Surgeon General's Report concluded, for the first time,
                that the evidence is sufficient to infer a causal relationship--the
                highest level of evidence of causal inferences from the criteria
                applied in the Surgeon General's Reports--between smoking and erectile
                dysfunction (Ref. 8). This conclusion is supported by the consistency
                of the strength of the association across numerous studies that
                evaluated rates of erectile dysfunction among smokers. For example, a
                recent meta-analysis of studies that included 50,360 participants found
                that smoking more cigarettes and smoking for a longer time were
                associated with increased erectile dysfunction risk (Ref. 186).
                 Erectile dysfunction is likely under-reported in epidemiological
                studies; therefore, the effect estimates observed in studies are likely
                an underestimate. However, given that limitation of being under-
                reported in studies, at least 20 percent of all men have some degree of
                erectile dysfunction (Ref. 187). Among men between the ages of 40 and
                70 years, approximately 50 percent have some degree of erectile
                dysfunction (Ref. 187). Smokers have been found to have a 40 percent
                increased risk of erectile dysfunction in studies such as the Health
                Professionals Follow-up Study and the Olmsted County Study of Urinary
                Symptoms and Health Status (Refs. 27 and 28).
                 10. WARNING: Smoking reduces blood flow to the limbs, which can
                require amputation.
                 This proposed warning consists of the revised textual warning
                statement ``WARNING: Smoking reduces blood flow to the limbs, which can
                require amputation'' paired with a concordant, factually accurate,
                photorealistic image depicting the feet of a person who had several
                toes amputated due to tissue damage resulting from peripheral vascular
                disease caused by cigarette smoking.
                 Peripheral arterial disease (PAD), also known as peripheral
                vascular disease (PVD), is a condition in which narrowed arteries
                reduce blood flow to the limbs, especially the legs. Plaque is made up
                of fat, cholesterol, calcium, fibrous tissue, and other substances in
                the blood. Over time, plaque can harden and narrow the arteries. This
                limits the flow of oxygen-rich blood to organs and other parts of the
                body. PAD/PVD usually affects the arteries in the legs (Ref. 188).
                Complications of PAD/PVD occur because of decreased or absent blood
                flow and may include amputation or loss of limb due to tissue not
                getting enough oxygen from blood and dying. The 1983 Surgeon General's
                Report entitled ``The Health Consequences of Smoking: Cardiovascular
                Disease'' summarized evidence regarding smoking and PAD/PVD and
                concluded that cigarette smoking is the most powerful risk factor
                predisposing to this condition and that smoking cessation plays an
                important role in its medical and surgical management (Ref. 189). Since
                that time, other Surgeon General's Reports have extended this evidence
                base, through the 2014 report (Ref. 8).
                 The population health burden of PAD/PVD is substantial. Overall
                prevalence of PAD/PVD was found to be 13.5 percent in 2012 in the
                Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study, a multi-site, biracial,
                prospective cohort study investigating the causes and clinical effects
                of atherosclerosis in four U.S. communities (Ref. 190). A meta-analysis
                of studies of PAD/PVD and smoking found that the risk of the condition
                was 2.71 times greater for current smokers and 1.67 times greater for
                former smokers compared to never smokers (Ref. 26). In its summary of a
                recent prospective analysis using the Women's Health Study, which
                evaluated the relationships of smoking and smoking cessation with PAD/
                PVD, the 2014 Surgeon General's Report showed that risk estimates have
                increased over time (Ref. 8). Results from that study found higher
                risks than those in the meta-analysis; compared to never smokers, the
                risk of PAD/PVD in the Women's Health Study was 3.16 times greater for
                former smokers, 11.94 times greater for current smokers reporting less
                than 15 cigarettes per day, and 21.08 times greater for current smokers
                reporting 15 or more cigarettes per day (Ref. 191).
                 One estimate from a review of the scientific literature suggests
                that there are between 160,000 and 180,000 amputations due to PAD/PVD
                annually in the United States, and, among people with critical limb
                ischemia (i.e., a severe blockage of the arteries that greatly reduces
                blood flow due to PAD/PVD), 25 percent have amputations each year (Ref.
                192). Another article estimates that ``over 90% of all limb amputations
                in the Western world occur as a direct or indirect consequence'' of
                PAD/PVD (Ref. 193).
                 11. WARNING: Smoking causes type 2 diabetes, which raises blood
                sugar.
                 This proposed warning consists of the revised textual warning
                statement ``WARNING: Smoking causes type 2 diabetes, which raises blood
                sugar'' paired with a concordant, factually accurate, photorealistic
                image depicting a personal glucometer device being used to measure the
                blood glucose level of a person with type 2 diabetes caused by
                cigarette smoking. The digital display reading of 175 mg/dL and a
                notation on the glucometer indicate a high blood sugar level.
                 The 2014 Surgeon General's Report concluded, for the first time,
                that: (1) The evidence is sufficient to infer--the highest level of
                evidence of causal inferences from the criteria applied in the Surgeon
                General's Reports--that cigarette smoking is a cause of type 2
                diabetes; (2) the risk of developing diabetes is 30 to 40 percent
                higher for active smokers than nonsmokers; and (3) there is a
                relationship between increased number of cigarettes smoked and
                increased risk of developing diabetes (Ref. 8). Across the 25 studies
                included in the 2014 Surgeon General's Report updated summary, the
                associations were strong and consistent and were found in many
                subgroups, and these results have been replicated in many different
                study populations and study locations.
                 The public health burden of smoking and diabetes is substantial.
                The prevalence of diabetes among U.S. adults was estimated to be 12.1
                percent in 2005 through 2010 National Health and Nutrition Examination
                Survey data (Ref. 194). A meta-analysis of studies
                [[Page 42777]]
                found the risk of type 2 diabetes to be 44 percent greater among
                current smokers and 23 percent greater among former smokers compared to
                never smokers (Ref. 25). Smoking has been estimated to cause 9,000 of
                the 70,810 deaths (12.7 percent) due to diabetes in the United States
                each year (Ref. 8).
                 12. WARNING: Smoking causes age-related macular degeneration, which
                can lead to blindness.
                 This proposed warning consists of the revised textual warning
                statement ``WARNING: Smoking causes age-related macular degeneration,
                which can lead to blindness'' paired with a concordant, factually
                accurate, photorealistic image depicting a closeup of an older man
                (aged 65 years or older) who has age-related macular degeneration
                caused by cigarette smoking. The man is receiving an injection in his
                right eye to prevent additional vessel growth.
                 Macular degeneration is an incurable eye disease that causes
                blindness. The 2014 Surgeon General's Report on cigarette smoking
                concluded, for the first time, that the evidence is sufficient to infer
                a causal relationship--the highest level of evidence of causal
                inferences from the criteria applied in the Surgeon General's Reports--
                between cigarette smoking and the two major types of advanced age-
                related macular degeneration (Ref. 8). The association is found across
                a range of populations and through various study designs. The
                prevalence of any macular degeneration among U.S. adults aged 40 years
                and older was estimated to be 6.5 percent (Ref. 216). A meta-analysis
                found that current smokers were approximately twice as likely (relative
                risks for cohort studies of 2.06 and for case-control studies of 2.38),
                as never smokers to have macular degeneration (Ref. 23).
                 13. WARNING: Smoking causes cataracts, which can lead to blindness.
                 This proposed warning consists of the revised textual warning
                statement ``WARNING: Smoking causes cataracts, which can lead to
                blindness'' paired with a concordant, factually accurate,
                photorealistic image depicting a closeup of the face of a man (aged 65
                years or older) who has a cataract caused by cigarette smoking. The
                man's right pupil is covered by a large cataract.
                 A cataract is a clouding of the lens in the eye that affects
                vision. Without treatment, the area of clouding of the lens can
                increase and eventually leads to blindness. The 2004 Surgeon General's
                Report on cigarette smoking concluded that the evidence is sufficient
                to infer a causal relationship--the highest level of evidence of causal
                inferences from the criteria applied in the Surgeon General's Reports--
                between smoking and nuclear cataracts (Ref. 154). A nuclear cataract is
                one of the three types of cataracts and refers to the location of the
                clouding in the lens of the eye. The epidemiologic studies examined in
                the 2004 Surgeon General's Report found generally consistent
                associations between smoking and nuclear cataracts, with most studies
                reporting that smoking doubled or tripled the relative risk of nuclear
                cataracts; in addition, a dose-response relationship was observed as
                risk increased with the number of cigarettes smoked (Ref. 154). Data
                for other types of cataracts were less strong, and these subtypes are
                also less common in the population (Ref. 154). Authors have continued
                to identify smoking as a major causal risk factor in the development
                and progression of cataracts (Refs. 195-197). Studies of smoking
                cessation and risk of cataracts has affirmed that risk decreases, but
                is not equivalent to never smokers, upon elimination of the exposures
                of tobacco smoke (Ref. 198).
                 Prevalence of cataracts among U.S. adults aged 40 years and older
                in 2010 was estimated to be 17.1 percent by the National Eye Institute
                (Ref. 199). By age 75, more than half of non-Hispanic whites have
                cataracts (Ref. 199). A meta-analysis found that the risk of cataracts
                was about 50 percent higher for current smokers and 20 percent to 60
                percent higher for former smokers compared to never smokers (Ref. 24).
                VIII. First Amendment Considerations
                 The Government may, consistent with the First Amendment, require
                the disclosure of factual information in commercial marketing where the
                disclosure is justified by a Government interest and does not unduly
                burden protected speech. Zauderer v. Office of Disciplinary Counsel;
                Nat'l Inst. of Family and Life Advocates v. Becerra, 138 S. Ct. 2361,
                2372 (2018). The proposed new cigarette health warnings, including
                their images, fully satisfy those requirements.
                 The proposed warnings are factual and accurate. As described in
                greater detail in section VI.A above, ``Review of the Negative Health
                Consequences of Cigarette Smoking,'' in developing the new warnings,
                FDA relied on the 2014 Surgeon General's Report, entitled ``The Health
                Consequences of Smoking: 50 Years of Progress'' (Ref. 8), in addition
                to previous reports of the Surgeon General and other scientific
                literature, which together present a robust body of evidence
                documenting the health consequences from both active smoking and
                exposure to secondhand smoke across a range of diseases and organ
                systems. In particular, Surgeon General's Reports provide definitive
                syntheses of the available evidence on smoking and health (Ref. 8, p.
                3). Surgeon General's Reports classify the strength of causal
                inferences in a four-level hierarchy based upon work of the IOM (now
                the National Academy of Medicine) and the IARC (Refs. 200 and 212).
                Because of the rigor and consistent application of these causal
                standards, the Surgeon General's Reports are the preeminent authority
                for determinations of conditions caused by cigarette smoking and by
                exposure to secondhand smoke. Every smoking-related condition in every
                warning statement that FDA tested is supported at the very highest
                level of evidence of causal inferences from the criteria applied in the
                Surgeon General's Reports.
                 Based upon this research and upon the substantial scientific
                literature on the significant gaps and misperceptions in public
                understanding of the negative health consequences of smoking (see
                section V.A.3 above, ``There Remain Significant Gaps in Public
                Understanding About the Negative Health Consequences of Cigarette
                Smoking''), FDA developed initial versions of revised statements for
                further review, testing, and refinement. These initial revised
                statements were further reviewed by FDA internal epidemiological
                experts to confirm that the health conditions under consideration were
                causally linked to cigarette smoking or exposure to secondhand smoke.
                 In parallel with FDA's work to develop and test revised warning
                statements, the Agency also undertook an iterative, research-based
                approach to develop and test color graphics depicting the negative
                health consequences of cigarette smoking to accompany the statements.
                As discussed in section VI.D above (``Developing and Testing Images
                Depicting the Negative Health Consequences of Smoking to Accompany the
                Textual Warning Statements''), FDA used a photorealistic illustration
                format for the images because this format best allowed FDA to ensure
                that the final images would be fully concordant with the ultimate
                textual statements addressing the same health conditions. The
                photorealistic illustration format also facilitated providing factually
                accurate images that depict common presentations of the health
                conditions in a realistic and objective format devoid of non-essential
                elements.
                 FDA also carefully considered the D.C. Circuit Court findings
                regarding the
                [[Page 42778]]
                Agency's 2010-2011 cigarette warning rule, including the court's
                statements criticizing the images as having been designed ``to evoke an
                emotional response'' with ``inflammatory images and the provocatively-
                named hotline.'' R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Co. v. FDA, 696 F.3d at 1216
                (D.C. Cir. 2012). The court further found that some of the images
                ``could be misinterpreted by consumers'' and some did ``not convey any
                warning information at all.'' Id. (emphasis omitted) (``For example,
                the images of a woman crying, a small child, and the man wearing a T-
                shirt emblazoned with the words 'I QUIT' do not offer any information
                about the health effects of smoking.''). As discussed below, FDA's
                science-based, iterative research process to develop and select the
                current proposed cigarette health warnings thoroughly addresses any
                such criticisms.
                 To ensure that all proposed warnings are unambiguous, are unlikely
                to be misinterpreted or misunderstood by consumers, and do convey
                warning information, FDA repeatedly tested potential text statements,
                potential images, and potential pairings of statements with images. To
                assess the 9 statements set out in the TCA and the 17 potential revised
                statements that were under consideration at the start of its consumer
                research, FDA conducted 16 qualitative focus groups with adolescent
                smokers, adolescents at risk for starting smoking, and adult smokers.
                As discussed in section VI.B above (``Developing Revised Textual
                Warning Statements''), these focus groups provided qualitative feedback
                on consumers' comprehension of each potential statement; the
                believability of each statement's content (e.g., that smoking causes
                the health condition noted); whether the relationship between smoking
                and the relevant health conditions was new information for them; and
                other feedback to make the statement more understandable or convey the
                intended message more clearly.
                 This qualitative consumer focus group feedback informed FDA's
                selection and refinement of the warning statements for the next phase
                of research, a large (2,505 participant) quantitative consumer research
                study that tested potential statements on their own, without images.
                See details in section VI.C above (``FDA's Consumer Research Study on
                Revised Textual Warning Statements'') and in the study results included
                in this docket (Ref. 129). Obviating any potential concern that the
                proposed new warnings would ``not convey any warning information at
                all,'' Reynolds, 696 F.3d at 1216, FDA used the results of this
                quantitative research, especially ``self-reported learning'' and ``new
                information'' outcomes, to identify the warning statements, to be
                paired with accompanying concordant photorealistic images, for testing
                in the final quantitative consumer research study.
                 FDA's rigorous process for developing the proposed images likewise
                obviates any potential concerns of the kind raised in Reynolds that
                they might ``not offer any information about the health effects of
                smoking'' or be discordant from the text statements with which they are
                paired. Id. FDA used different development and research processes to
                select and study the images in this rule than it did for the 2010-2011
                rulemaking. As discussed above, two of FDA's criteria for images
                require them to be factually accurate and to be concordant with the
                textual warning statements on the same health condition. FDA sought
                repeated consumer feedback to ensure that its proposed images meet
                these criteria, including 53 indepth individual interviews with
                adolescents and adults, and later on, 20 qualitative focus groups with
                adolescent smokers, adolescents at risk for starting smoking, and adult
                smokers. Based on feedback received in these focus groups, FDA further
                refined some images for additional clarity and identified and
                eliminated images that were not well understood or where potential
                confusion could not be resolved through additional revisions. See
                details in section VI.D above (``Developing and Testing Images
                Depicting the Negative Health Consequences of Smoking to Accompany the
                Textual Warning Statements''). The Agency took careful and deliberate
                steps to develop and test images that are unambiguous and unlikely to
                be misinterpreted or misunderstood by consumers. Presenting the health
                condition in an objective format devoid of non-essential elements
                ensures that the focus of the image remains on the smoking-related
                health condition. The process FDA engaged in to develop and study the
                warnings was far more extensive than could be completed in the short
                timeframe for the prior rule.
                 The proposed warnings are clearly justified by the Government's
                interest in promoting greater public understanding of the negative
                health consequences of cigarette smoking. As the Supreme Court has
                recognized, ``tobacco products are dangerous to health when used in the
                manner prescribed.'' FDA v. Brown & Williamson Tobacco Corp., 529 U.S.
                120, 135 (2000). Indeed, as discussed above, cigarette smoking remains
                the leading cause of preventable disease and death in the United
                States. Given the magnitude of this public health problem from
                cigarette smoking, in the Tobacco Control Act Congress required nine
                new health warning statements appear on cigarette packages and in
                cigarette advertisements; directed FDA to develop color graphics
                ``depicting the negative health consequences of smoking'' to accompany
                the warning statements; and provided that FDA may adjust the warnings
                to ``promote greater public understanding of the risks associated with
                the use of tobacco products'' (sections 201 and 202 of the Tobacco
                Control Act). In reviewing and upholding the Tobacco Control Act's new
                warning requirements, the Sixth Circuit concluded that ``[t]here can be
                no doubt that the government has a significant interest in . . .
                warning the general public about the harms associated with the use of
                tobacco products.'' Disc. Tobacco City & Lottery, Inc. v. U.S., 674
                F.3d 509, 519 (6th Cir. 2012).
                 FDA's research and review of the scientific literature has
                confirmed that many smokers and nonsmokers hold misperceptions about
                the health risks associated with cigarette smoking, even among the
                health conditions most commonly focused on in health warnings and
                public health education campaigns. And studies have shown that
                consumers are largely unaware of many of the negative health
                consequences of cigarette smoking not mentioned in the current 1984
                warnings (see section V.A.3 above, ``There Remain Significant Gaps in
                Public Understanding About the Negative Health Consequences of
                Cigarette Smoking''). Accordingly, the proposed rule is justified by
                the Government's substantial interest in informing consumers regarding
                the negative health consequences of smoking.
                 Furthermore, the proposed warnings do not unduly burden protected
                speech. As the Sixth Circuit held, the Tobacco Control Act's warning
                requirement for cigarettes is not unduly burdensome because a
                manufacturer has the ability to convey other information of its
                choosing in the remaining space available. Disc. Tobacco City &
                Lottery, Inc. v. U.S., at 530-31. By statute, the required warnings for
                cigarette packages must comprise the top 50 percent of the front and
                rear panels, and for advertisements at least 20 percent of the area at
                the top of the advertisement. The Sixth Circuit found that ``ample
                evidence support[s] the size requirements for the new warnings'' and
                ``that the remaining portions of their packaging'' are sufficient for
                the
                [[Page 42779]]
                companies ``to place their brand names, logos or other information.''
                Id. at 531, 567. See also Spirit Airlines, Inc. v. United States Dep't
                of Transp., 687 F.3d 403, 414 (D.C. Cir. 2012) (requirement for
                airlines to make total price the most prominent cost figure does not
                significantly burden airlines' ability to advertise). The scientific
                literature strongly supports that larger warnings, such as those of the
                size proposed in this rule, are necessary to ensure that consumers
                notice, attend to, and read the messages conveyed by the warnings,
                which leads to improved understanding of the specific health
                consequences that are the subject of those warnings (Refs. 3 and 4).
                See discussions above in, e.g., section V.A (``The Current 1984 Surgeon
                General's Warnings Are Inadequate''); section V.B.2.a (``Pictorial
                cigarette warnings increase knowledge and accurate health beliefs by
                addressing gaps in public understanding about the negative health
                consequences of smoking''). Accordingly, the proposed warnings are
                constitutional under Zauderer.
                 Although Zauderer provides the appropriate framework for review,
                the rule also satisfies the elements of the test for commercial speech
                articulated in Central Hudson Gas & Elec. Corp. v. Pub. Serv. Comm'n.
                Under that test, agencies can regulate speech where the regulation
                advances a substantial Government interest and the regulation is no
                more extensive than necessary. This standard does not require the
                Government to employ ``the least restrictive means'' of regulation or
                to achieve a perfect fit between means and ends. Board of Trustees v.
                Fox, 492 U.S. 469, 480 (1989). Instead, it is sufficient that the
                Government achieve a ``reasonable'' fit by adopting regulations ``in
                proportion to the interest served.'' Id.
                 As discussed above, the Government's interest in informing the
                public and correcting misperceptions about the risks of cigarette
                smoking is undeniably substantial. See Disc. Tobacco City & Lottery,
                Inc., 674 F.3d at 519. The proposed warnings directly and materially
                advance the Government's interest by helping consumers understand the
                negative health consequences associated with cigarette smoking. As
                discussed above, the current 1984 warnings on cigarettes are virtually
                invisible and ineffective (see section V.A above, ``The Current 1984
                Surgeon General's Warnings Are Inadequate''). FDA has developed new
                warnings with new information, in the form of text paired with
                concordant images, to promote greater public understanding of the
                negative health consequences of smoking. FDA's extensive qualitative
                and quantitative consumer research--on potential statements, potential
                images, and potential pairings of statements and images--amply
                demonstrate that the proposed cigarette health warnings do in fact
                promote better understanding by the public of the negative health
                effects of smoking. All 13 of the proposed cigarette health warnings
                statistically significantly outperformed the control condition (i.e.,
                the current 1984 Surgeon General's warnings) on the dimensions of ``new
                information'' and ``self-reported learning.'' See discussion above in
                sections VI.B (``Developing Revised Textual Warning Statements'')
                through VI.E (``FDA's Consumer Research Study on New Cigarette Health
                Warnings''), and the consumer research study reports, which we have
                included in the docket (Refs. 129 and 153). The warnings selected for
                this proposal will advance the Government's interest.
                 Finally, the regulation is appropriately tailored to achieve that
                result. The warnings relate to the dangers of smoking cigarettes and
                will be required on all cigarette packages and advertisements, so there
                is nothing over- or underinclusive in the rule's scope. As the Sixth
                Circuit held, the size of the warnings is justified by the ample data
                demonstrating that larger warnings ``materially affect consumers'
                awareness of the health consequences of smoking,'' Disc. Tobacco City &
                Lottery, Inc., 674 F.3d at 530, and there is sufficient remaining room
                for the manufacturers' speech.
                 Accordingly, the proposed rule is constitutionally permissible
                under the First Amendment.
                IX. Description of the Proposed Rule
                 Section 4 of the FCLAA, as amended by sections 201 and 202 of the
                Tobacco Control Act, directs FDA to issue regulations requiring color
                graphics depicting the negative health consequences of smoking to
                accompany textual warning label statements, and permits FDA to adjust
                the format, type size, color graphics, and text of any of the label
                requirements, or establish the format, type size, and text of any other
                disclosures required under the FD&C Act, if such a change would promote
                greater public understanding of the risks associated with the use of
                tobacco products. This proposed rule would replace part 1141 in Title
                21 of the Code of Federal Regulations to implement these FCLAA
                requirements. As described in detail in sections VI-VII, the proposed
                required warnings are intended to promote greater public understanding
                of the negative health consequences of cigarette smoking. We are
                seeking comments on these proposed provisions; if you have comments on
                specific provisions, we request that you identify the specific
                provisions in your comments.
                A. General Provisions (Proposed Subpart A)
                1. Scope (Proposed Sec. 1141.1)
                 As directed by section 4 of the FCLAA, proposed Sec. 1141.1(a)
                would explain that proposed part 1141 sets forth the requirements for
                the display of required warnings on packages and in advertisements
                cigarettes (proposed Sec. 1141.3 includes a definition of cigarette).
                These requirements would be applicable to manufacturers, distributors,
                and retailers except as described in this proposed section. Retailers
                who are also manufacturers would be subject to both the requirements
                for retailers and manufacturers, as applicable.
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.1(b) provides that the requirements of this
                proposed part would not apply to manufacturers or distributors of
                cigarettes that do not manufacture, package, or import cigarettes for
                sale or distribution within the United States. This proposed subsection
                is consistent with section 4(a)(3) of the FCLAA. Manufacturers and
                distributors are defined in proposed Sec. 1141.3.
                 In addition, retailers would not be in violation of the
                requirements of section 4 of the FCLAA and this proposed part for
                cigarette packaging that: (1) Contains a warning; (2) is supplied to
                the retailer by a license- or permit-holding tobacco product
                manufacturer or distributor; and (3) is not altered by the retailer in
                a way that is material to 15 U.S.C. 1333 or proposed part 1141 (see
                proposed Sec. 1141.1(c)). We believe most, if not all, retailers would
                fall under this scenario.\11\ This proposed subsection is consistent
                with section 4(a)(4) of the FCLAA. However, this proposed subsection
                would require that a retailer ensure that all cigarette packages they
                display or sell contain a warning that is unobscured by stickers,
                sleeves, or other materials on the packages, for example.
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 \11\ We note that manufacturers who are also retailers would be
                subject to the proposed requirements as manufacturers.
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Under proposed Sec. 1141.1(d), the advertisement requirements in
                proposed Sec. 1141.10 would apply to a retailer only if the retailer
                is responsible for or directs the warnings for advertising.
                Importantly, this provision would not relieve a retailer of liability
                if the retailer displays in a location open to the public an
                advertisement that does
                [[Page 42780]]
                not contain a warning or that contains a warning that has been altered
                by the retailer in a way that is material to section 4 of the FCLAA or
                the requirements of this proposed part.
                 Retailers would be in violation of the FCLAA and this proposed part
                if they alter cigarette packaging or advertising in a way that is
                material to the requirements of section 4 of the FCLAA or proposed part
                1141, for example, by obscuring or covering up the warning (e.g.,
                blocking with a sticker or marker), shrinking the warning, or using a
                sleeve to cover the warning. Retailers also would be liable if they
                display, in a location open to the public, an advertisement that does
                not contain a warning (proposed Sec. 1141.1(d)).
                2. Definitions (Proposed Sec. 1141.3)
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.3 provides the definitions for the terms used
                in the proposed rule. Proposed Sec. 1141.3 sets forth the meaning of
                terms as they apply to proposed subparts A and B of part 1141. Proposed
                Sec. 1141.3 includes the following definitions from the FCLAA (15
                U.S.C. 1332):
                 Cigarette. As defined in section 3(1) of the FCLAA, the
                term ``cigarette'' means: (1) Any roll of tobacco wrapped in paper or
                in any substance not containing tobacco and (2) any roll of tobacco
                wrapped in any substance containing tobacco which, because of its
                appearance, the type of tobacco used in the filler, or its packaging
                and labeling, is likely to be offered to, or purchased by, consumers as
                a cigarette described in paragraph (1) of this definition.
                 Commerce. As defined in section 3(2) of the FCLAA,
                ``commerce'' means--
                 [cir] Commerce between any State, the District of Columbia, the
                Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, Guam, the Virgin Islands, American Samoa,
                Wake Island, Midway Islands, Kingman Reef, or Johnston Island and any
                place outside thereof;
                 [cir] Commerce between points in any State, the District of
                Columbia, the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, Guam, the Virgin Islands,
                American Samoa, Wake Island, Midway Islands, Kingman Reef, or Johnston
                Island, but through any place outside thereof; or
                 [cir] Commerce wholly within the District of Columbia, Guam, the
                Virgin Islands, American Samoa, Wake Island, Midway Island, Kingman
                Reef, or Johnston Island.
                 Package or packaging. As defined in section 3(4) of the
                FCLAA, ``package'' means a pack, box, carton, or container of any kind
                in which cigarettes are offered for sale, sold, or otherwise
                distributed to consumers. The proposed rule would use ``packaging''
                interchangeably with package.
                 Person. As defined in section 3(5) of the FCLAA,
                ``person'' means an individual, partnership, corporation, or any other
                business or legal entity.
                 United States. As defined in section 3(3) of the FCLAA,
                ``United States,'' when used in a geographical sense, includes the
                several States, the District of Columbia, the Commonwealth of Puerto
                Rico, Guam, the Virgin Islands, American Samoa, Wake Island, Midway
                Islands, Kingman Reef, and Johnston Island. The term ``State'' includes
                any political division of any State.
                 In addition, FDA proposes the following definitions:
                 Distributor. FDA proposes to define ``distributor'' as any
                person who furthers the distribution of cigarettes, whether domestic or
                imported, at any point from the original place of manufacture to the
                person who sells or distributes the product to individuals for personal
                consumption. Common carriers are not considered distributors for the
                purposes of this proposed part.
                 This proposed definition of distributor would be consistent with
                the definition of distributor in section 900(7) (21 U.S.C. 387(7)) of
                the FD&C Act. FDA believes using this definition would help ensure
                consistent understanding of the scope of distributor across tobacco
                product regulations issued by FDA. For example, Sec. 1140.3 (21 CFR
                1140.3) uses a definition of distributor that is the same as this
                proposed definition except that Sec. 1140.3 uses ``tobacco product''
                instead of ``cigarette.''
                 Front panel and rear panel. FDA proposes to define ``front
                panel'' and ``rear panel'' to mean the two largest sides or surfaces of
                the package.
                 FDA is proposing to include a definition of front and rear panels
                because section 4 of the FCLAA, in setting out the placement
                requirements for the label statements, provides that each label
                statement shall comprise the top 50 percent of the front and rear
                panels of the package. This proposed definition would help ensure that
                all persons responsible for complying with the FCLAA and this proposed
                part identify the sides or surfaces of the cigarette package on which
                the required warnings must appear. On almost all cigarette packages,
                these two panels are oriented directly opposite from one another and
                are the same size.
                 Manufacturer. FDA proposes to define ``manufacturer'' as
                any person, including any repacker or relabeler, who manufactures,
                fabricates, assembles, processes, or labels a finished cigarette
                product; or imports any cigarette that is intended for sale or
                distribution to consumers in the United States.
                 Retailer. FDA proposes to define ``retailer'' as any
                person who sells cigarettes to individuals for personal consumption, or
                who operates a facility where vending machines or self-service displays
                of cigarettes are permitted. This definition would include any person
                who sells cigarettes online (e.g., through a website or mobile phone
                application).
                 The proposed definitions of manufacturer and retailer are similar
                to those used in part 1140 (which establishes sale and distribution
                restrictions for cigarettes, as well as other tobacco products), but
                with some edits to reflect that the scope of this proposed part is
                cigarette packaging and advertisements.
                3. Incorporation by Reference (Proposed Sec. 1141.5)
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.5 would identify the material that FDA proposes
                to incorporate by reference in this proposed part, entitled ``Required
                Cigarette Health Warnings.'' This section states that FDA is proposing
                to incorporate by reference each required warning, consisting of a
                textual warning label statement and its accompanying color graphic. Any
                final rule would provide information on how to obtain the electronic,
                layered design files for each required warning, as well as technical
                specifications to help manufacturers appropriately select, crop, and
                scale the warnings to ensure the required warnings are accurately
                reproduced during implementation across various sizes of cigarette
                packaging and cigarette advertisements. This material would be
                available for download either through FDA's website or a file transfer
                protocol website. For ease of review for this proposed rule, we have
                included an electronic PDF file, containing the proposed required
                warnings, as a reference in the docket for this proposed rule (Ref.
                18).
                 As described in section II.C, FDA intends to provide the required
                warnings selected for the final rule as electronic, layered design
                files and incorporate those by reference. The material incorporated by
                reference must meet the OFR's requirements for incorporating material
                by reference, and thus the way this material is displayed may be
                changed for the final rule to meet such requirements.
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.5(a) would identify the material that FDA
                proposes to incorporate by reference, ``Required Cigarette Health
                Warnings,'' and how to obtain the material from FDA. This material
                would include the electronic, layered design files for each required
                [[Page 42781]]
                warning in a range of sizes and aspect ratios, including the textual
                statements in English and Spanish, font files, color spaces, the
                accompanying color graphics, and the white and black warning
                backgrounds and borders. These layered design files would be
                accompanied by technical specifications describing how to use the
                layered design files to help manufacturers appropriately select, crop,
                and scale the warnings to ensure the required warnings are accurately
                reproduced during implementation of the required warnings on cigarette
                packages and in cigarette advertisements. Manufacturers, distributors,
                and, when applicable, retailers would obtain the required warnings by
                downloading the files directly from FDA's website or via a file
                transfer protocol website and accurately reproduce them on cigarette
                packages and in advertisements as required by section 4 of the FCLAA
                and proposed part 1141.
                 This proposed section would also explain that the material is
                incorporated by reference with the approval of the Director of the
                Federal Register and where interested parties may obtain a copy of the
                material (1 CFR part 51). Specifically, if the proposed incorporation
                by reference is approved by the OFR and incorporated in the final rule,
                interested parties would be able to examine the incorporated material
                at that National Archives and Records Administration and at FDA's
                Dockets Management Staff.
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.5(b) would list the source where interested
                parties may obtain a copy of the incorporated material, i.e., by
                contacting FDA's Center for Tobacco Products at the address listed.
                B. Required Warnings for Cigarette Packages and Advertisements
                (Proposed Sec. 1141.10)
                 To promote greater public understanding of the negative health
                consequences of cigarette smoking, proposed Sec. 1141.10 would
                establish required warnings for cigarette packages and advertising. The
                proposed requirements comply with section 4 of the FCLAA and include a
                textual warning label statement (proposed Sec. 1141.10(a)(1)) with an
                accompanying color graphic (proposed Sec. 1141.10(a)(2)).
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.10(a) would establish that a required warning
                must contain both one of the textual warning label statements and a
                color graphic to accompany the textual warning label statement. The
                textual warning label statements that would be required will be set out
                in any final rule. As FDA has described in section VI.D, we have
                identified concordant color graphics proposed to accompany each textual
                warning label statement. FDA invites comment on the proposed textual
                warning statements and accompanying color graphics. Given the degree of
                public and stakeholder interest in this area, and the legal
                complexities involved, FDA also seeks proposals for alternative text
                and images you believe would advance the Government's interest in
                promoting greater public understanding of the negative health
                consequences of smoking. If proposing alternative text and images to
                those in this proposed rule, please provide scientific information that
                supports that the alternative text and images would, in fact, promote
                greater public understanding of the negative health consequences of
                smoking. Proposals for alternative images should accompany either one
                of FDA's proposed textual warning statements or an alternative textual
                warning statement you are proposing. These comments and information
                will help inform the required warnings to be included in a final rule.
                 Section 4(d) of the FCLAA directs that the required warnings be
                clear, conspicuous, and legible. Accordingly, proposed Sec. 1141.10(b)
                and (c) are intended to address those FCLAA requirements. Proposed
                Sec. 1141.10(b) would require that manufacturers and distributors (and
                retailers in the specific circumstances described in proposed Sec.
                1141.1(c)) obtain and accurately reproduce the required warning (which
                would comprise the combination of the textual warning label statement
                and its accompanying color graphic), from the electronic files
                contained in the material to be incorporated by reference at proposed
                Sec. 1141.5. These entities would be responsible for ensuring that the
                required warnings are not distorted, obscured, or otherwise
                inaccurately reproduced from the incorporated material when reproduced
                for use in differing types of media (e.g., print, digital). For
                example, the required warnings would need to be accurately reproduced,
                including maintaining text specifications such as font face and size;
                using capital letters for the word ``WARNING'' in each statement; and
                maintaining the relationship of text to image for each warning. As per
                the requirements laid out in section 4 of the FCLAA, the text of the
                cigarette health warnings on packages must be black on a white
                background, or white on a black background, in a manner that contrasts,
                by typography, layout, or color, with all other printed material on the
                package.
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.10(c) would establish generally that it is
                unlawful for any person to manufacture, package, sell, offer to sell,
                distribute, or import for sale or distribution within the United States
                any cigarette unless the package of which bears a required warning (as
                described in proposed Sec. 1141.10(a)) in accordance with section 4 of
                the FCLAA and this proposed part. This provision would apply to any
                package, including a pack, box, carton, or container, all of which are
                included in the definition of package in section 3(4) of the FCLAA.
                Thus, in the instance of a carton that contains packs of cigarettes,
                the carton and each pack would be required to bear a required warning.
                This proposed requirement helps to promote public understanding of the
                negative health consequences of cigarette smoking by ensuring that all
                cigarette packages bear the required warning.
                 In addition, proposed Sec. 1141.10(c)(1) would require that the
                warning appear directly on the package and be clearly visible
                underneath any cellophane or other clear wrapping. This proposed
                requirement is intended to ensure that the warning is not obscured in
                any way, e.g., any outer wrapping and tear tape would be required to be
                clear and otherwise not interfere with the required warning's
                visibility. For packages that are soft-sided (i.e., ``soft pack'' style
                packaging), the overwrap closure must not obscure the warning, and, for
                hinged lid packages, this would mean that no word of the textual
                warning statement may be severed when the package is opened.
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.10(c)(2) would implement the requirements in
                section 4 of the FCLAA that the required warning comprise at least the
                top 50 percent of the front and rear panels of the package. For cartons
                (which are included in the definition of package), proposed Sec.
                1141.10(c)(2) would specify that the required warning be located on the
                left side of the front and rear panels of the carton and comprise at
                least the left 50 percent of these panels. This proposed requirement is
                intended to ensure that when cigarettes are sold in cartons and not as
                individual packs, the required warnings are clearly visible,
                conspicuous, and legible to consumers as required by the FCLAA. As
                described earlier in this section, the required warning would need to
                be on the carton and on each pack to ensure compliance with the FCLAA
                and this proposed part.
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.10(c)(3) would specify that the required
                warning be positioned such that the text of the required warning and
                other information on that panel of the package have the same
                orientation. For example, if the front panel of a cigarette package
                contains information, such as the brand
                [[Page 42782]]
                name of the cigarette, in a left to right orientation, the required
                warning could not be placed such that it appears at a right angle to
                this text. Rather, the required warning, including the textual warning
                label statement, must also appear in a left to right orientation. This
                would help ensure that the required warnings on cigarette packages
                would be conspicuous and legible to consumers, as required by section 4
                of the FCLAA and this proposed part.
                 Cigarette advertisements are addressed in proposed Sec.
                1141.10(d). This section would establish requirements related to
                cigarette advertising, including that it is unlawful for any
                manufacturer, distributor, or retailer of cigarettes to advertise or
                cause to be advertised within the United States any cigarette unless
                each advertisement bears a required warning in accordance with section
                4 of the FCLAA and this proposed part. As per the requirements laid out
                in section 4 of the FCLAA, the text of the cigarette health warnings in
                advertisements must be black if the background is white and white if
                the background is black.
                 More specifically, for print advertisements and other
                advertisements with a visual component, the required warning must
                appear directly on the advertisement (proposed Sec. 1141.10(d)(1)).
                Advertisements that would be subject to this proposed rule may appear
                in or on, for example, promotional materials (point-of-sale or non-
                point-of-sale), billboards, posters, placards, published journals,
                newspapers, magazines, other periodicals, catalogues, leaflets,
                brochures, direct mail, shelf-talkers, display racks, internet web
                pages, electronic mail correspondence, and also may include those
                communicated via mobile telephone, smartphone, microblog, social media
                website, or other communication tool; \12\ websites, applications, or
                other programs that allow for the sharing of audio, video, or
                photography files; video and audio promotions; and items not subject to
                the sale or distribution ban in Sec. 1140.34. Proposed Sec.
                1141.10(d)(1) includes some of these examples for reference but neither
                the examples in Sec. 1141.10 (d) nor this discussion are intended to
                be exhaustive.
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 \12\ FCLAA prohibits any advertising of cigarettes on radio,
                television, or other media regulated by the Federal Communications
                Commission.
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.10(d)(2) would require that the warning
                comprise at least 20 percent of the area of the advertisement in a
                conspicuous and prominent format and location at the top of each
                advertisement, and that no part of the required warning would fall in
                the ``trim area'' (i.e., the area of an advertisement that is cut off
                as part of the print publishing process). To meet the proposed
                requirement, the required warning would need to be in the
                advertisement's ``safe area'' (i.e., not in the trim area) and not be
                placed in any area of an advertisement that may be cropped or folded
                during final publishing. For advertisements in digital media, proposed
                Sec. 1141.10(d)(2) would mean that a required warning must be
                appropriately scaled in its coding for both standard desktop and mobile
                sizes to ensure that the full required warning is visible on the screen
                in its entirety (i.e., a user does not need to scroll in any direction
                to see any areas of the warning), is located at the top of the screen,
                and is displayed at each point of access to such advertisements. These
                proposed requirements are consistent with the language of section 4(b)
                of the FCLAA, which mandates that the required warning comprise at
                least 20 percent of the area of the advertisement and specifies that
                the advertisement appear in a conspicuous and prominent format and
                location at the top of the advertisement. We recognize that there is a
                wide variation in advertisement size and media, and we are requesting
                comments and information on how advertisements in different types of
                media might comply with these proposed requirements, including comments
                on issues related to small-size advertisements, advertisements in
                digital media, and non-visual advertisements.
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.10(d)(3) would require that the text of the
                required warning be in English, with the two exceptions established in
                section 3(b) of the FCLAA. First, the text of the required warning
                should not be in English when the advertisement appears in a non-
                English medium. In that case, the text of the required warning would be
                required to appear in the predominant language of the medium regardless
                of whether the advertisement is in English (the predominant language is
                the primary language used in the non-sponsored content in the
                publication). For example, if the predominant language of the medium is
                French, but the advertisement is in English, the text of the required
                warning would be required to be in French. Second, the text of the
                required warning would not need to appear in English when the
                advertisement appears in an English language medium but the
                advertisement is not in English; in this case, the text of the required
                warning would need to appear in the same language as that principally
                used in the advertisement. The purpose of the proposed requirement and
                the two proposed exceptions in Sec. 1141.10(d)(3) is to help promote
                public understanding of the negative health consequences of cigarette
                smoking by ensuring that the textual warning label statement component
                of the required warning is in the language that is most likely to be
                understood by the majority of the public who would view the
                advertisement.
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.10(d)(4) would state that for English-language
                or Spanish-language warnings, each required warning must be obtained
                from the electronic files contained in ``Required Cigarette Health
                Warnings,'' which would be incorporated by reference (see proposed
                Sec. 1141.5). The required warnings would need to be accurately
                reproduced as specified in ``Required Cigarette Health Warnings,'' to
                help ensure that the required warnings are not distorted or obscured,
                and are prominent and legible, consistent with the requirements of the
                FCLAA and this proposed part.
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.10(d)(5) would require that non-English-
                language warnings, other than Spanish-language warnings, be adapted
                using the English-language required warnings obtained from the
                electronic files contained in ``Required Cigarette Health Warnings,''
                which would be incorporated by reference at proposed Sec. 1141.5. As
                with the proposed requirement in Sec. 1141.10(d)(4), the required
                warnings would be required to be accurately reproduced as specified in
                ``Required Cigarette Health Warnings,'' but for these warnings this
                would also include the substitution and insertion of a true and
                accurate translation of the textual warning label statement in place of
                the English-language version. The proposed rule would require that the
                inserted textual warning label statement comply with all requirements
                of section 4 of the FCLAA and this proposed part. The manufacturer,
                distributor, or retailer would be required to accurately and
                appropriately translate the textual warning label statement into the
                appropriate non-English language or the advertisement would be in
                violation of the FCLAA and this proposed part. The translated required
                warning would also need to meet the area, format, and other
                requirements of the FCLAA and this proposed part.
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.10(e) would require that the required warnings
                be indelibly printed on or permanently affixed to the package or
                advertisement. These required warnings, for example, must not be
                printed or placed on a label
                [[Page 42783]]
                affixed to a clear outer wrapper that is likely to be removed to access
                the product within the package. This provision is intended to ensure
                that the required warnings cannot be easily ripped off, obscured, or
                otherwise tampered with, which would undermine the proposed
                requirement. For an advertisement in digital media to meet this
                proposed requirement, the required warning must remain on the
                advertisement at all times and be clear, conspicuous, and legible as
                required in section 4 of the FCLAA and this proposed part. Thus, for
                example, it would not be enough to display the required warning only
                for a period of time in an advertisement in digital media. We invite
                comments and information on how advertisements in digital media might
                appropriately satisfy this proposed requirement.
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.10(f) would provide that no person may
                manufacture, package, sell, offer for sale, distribute, or import for
                sale or distribution within the United States cigarettes whose packages
                or advertisements are not in compliance with section 4 of the FCLAA and
                this proposed part, except as provided by proposed Sec. Sec. 1141.1(c)
                and 1141.1(d).
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.10(g) would establish marketing requirements
                applicable to cigarettes. The marketing requirements would include the
                random and equal display and distribution of the required warnings for
                cigarette packages and quarterly rotation of the required warnings in
                advertisements. The marketing requirements would also require
                submission of a plan that provides for the random and equal display and
                distribution of the required warnings on cigarette packaging and the
                quarterly rotation of the required warnings in cigarette advertising,
                as described under section 4 of FCLAA and part 1141 (referred to as
                ``plan''). These proposed requirements would ensure that all of the
                required warnings would be displayed by the tobacco product
                manufacturer, distributor, or retailer at the same time.
                 As described in more detail in the following paragraphs, under
                proposed Sec. 1141.10(g)(1), each required warning would be required
                to be randomly displayed in each 12-month period, in as equal a number
                of times as is possible on each brand of the product and the packages
                randomly and equally distributed in all areas of the United States in
                which the cigarette is marketed. A manufacturer, distributor, or
                retailer would be required to submit a plan for random and equal
                display and distribution of the required warnings for packaging to FDA
                for approval. In addition, proposed Sec. 1141.10(g)(2) would establish
                quarterly rotation requirements for the required warnings in
                advertisements. Under this proposed requirement, the required warnings
                for advertisements must be rotated quarterly in alternating sequence in
                advertisements for each brand of cigarettes in accordance with a plan
                approved by FDA. The manufacturer, distributor, or retailer would be
                required to submit the plan for quarterly rotation of the required
                warnings in advertisements to FDA for approval.
                 For efficiency of review, each plan submitted under proposed Sec.
                1141.10(g)(1) and (2) should cover both packaging and advertising,
                rather than submitting each plan separately, to the extent applicable.
                The tobacco product manufacturer, distributor, or retailer should
                describe how their plan would achieve the random and equal display and
                distribution of the required warnings on packages and the quarterly
                rotation of the required warnings in advertisements.
                 Under proposed Sec. 1141.10(g)(1), for each brand of cigarettes,
                the plan for packaging would explain how each of the required warnings
                would be randomly displayed during each 12-month period on each brand;
                how each of the warnings would be displayed in as equal a number of
                times as possible on each brand of the product; and how product
                packages would be randomly and equally distributed in all areas of the
                United States in which the product is marketed. FDA expects that a plan
                for the random and equal display and distribution of required warnings
                on packages would ordinarily be based on the date of manufacture or
                shipment of the product.
                 For each cigarette brand, the plan for advertising would be
                required to explain how the required warnings would be rotated
                quarterly in advertisements and how the quarterly rotations would occur
                in alternating sequence (proposed Sec. 1141.10(g)(2)). Among other
                things, the plan should specify the initial rotation timeframe on which
                quarterly rotation is based and, if the rotation timeframe varies for
                different types/forms of advertising, specify the different quarterly
                timeframes associated with the different types/forms of advertising,
                and describe the quarterly schedule for rotating each of the required
                warnings for each cigarette brand. FDA would not consider a plan that
                merely restated the regulatory requirements to be sufficiently detailed
                to enable FDA to approve the plan.
                 After FDA approval of an initial plan, a supplement to the approved
                plan should be submitted to FDA and approved before making changes to
                the random and equal display or distribution of required warning
                statements on packages or the quarterly rotation of required warning
                statements in advertisements. For a new brand, a new plan or a
                supplement to an approved plan would be required to be submitted and
                approved before displaying or distributing packages and advertisements
                for that new brand.
                 However, in lieu of a supplement to an approved plan for a new
                brand, manufacturers may reference in their initial plan all brands in
                their product listing(s) under section 905(i) of the FD&C Act and
                incorporate any new brands into their approved plan, so long as no
                other changes are made to the plan. For retailer-generated advertising,
                retailers may list ``all brands'' in their plan, which would cover
                future brands, so long as the plan provides for the same schedule for
                quarterly rotation of the required warning statements for all brands.
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.10(g)(3) would explain that FDA would review
                each plan submitted. FDA's review of a plan would only be for the
                purpose of determining compliance with the regulatory criteria for
                approval of a plan, as set forth in proposed Sec. 1141.10(g)(1) and
                (2). FDA requests that each plan include representative samples of
                packages and advertisements with each of the required warnings. Such
                samples would place the plan in context and, therefore, facilitate
                FDA's review of the plan, not a review of the content of the package
                labels and advertisements. During the course of a review of a plan, FDA
                may request an amendment to a plan under review if FDA needs
                clarification of information in the plan or other additional
                information to determine whether FDA could approve the plan.
                 As described in proposed Sec. 1141.10(g)(3), FDA intends to
                approve the plan if it would: (1) Provide for the random and equal
                distribution and display of the required warnings on packaging and the
                quarterly rotation of the required warnings in advertising, as set out
                in proposed Sec. 1141.10(g)(1) and (2) and (2) assure that all
                required warnings would be displayed by the manufacturer, distributor,
                or retailer at the same time. Approval of a plan would not represent a
                determination by FDA that any specific package or advertisement
                complies with any of the other requirements of the FCLAA and proposed
                part 1141, including those regarding the placement, font type, size,
                and color of the warnings, or any other requirements under the FD&C Act
                and
                [[Page 42784]]
                its implementing regulations. FDA intends to communicate the approval
                of a plan by issuing a letter to the submitter. After FDA approval of a
                plan, if a manufacturer, distributor, or retailer intends to make
                changes to the approved plan, they should first submit a supplement to
                FDA for review and approval. To provide FDA sufficient time to review a
                supplement to an approved plan, FDA strongly recommends allowing up to
                6 months for FDA to review and approve a supplement. The amount of time
                it would take FDA to review a supplement, however, would depend upon
                the volume and quality of the submissions.
                 Plans, and any amendments or supplements, should be submitted to
                FDA's Center for Tobacco Products, Office of Compliance and
                Enforcement. FDA intends to allow electronic submissions, via FDA's
                Electronic Submissions Gateway (https://www.fda.gov/ForIndustry/ElectronicSubmissionsGateway/default.htm), and written submissions,
                directed to: Food and Drug Administration, Center for Tobacco Products,
                Office of Compliance and Enforcement, Document Control Center, Bldg.
                71, Rm. G335, 10903 New Hampshire Ave., Silver Spring, MD 20993-0002.
                FDA strongly encourages electronic submission to facilitate efficiency
                and timeliness of submission and processing.
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.10(g)(4) would establish that each manufacturer
                required to randomly and equally display and distribute warnings on
                packaging or quarterly rotate the required warnings in advertisements
                in accordance with an FDA-approved plan under section 4 of the FCLAA
                and this proposed part must maintain a copy of the FDA-approved plan
                and make it available for inspection and copying by officers or
                employees of FDA. The FDA-approved plan must be retained while in
                effect and for a period of not less than 4 years from the date it was
                last in effect. FDA has selected 4 years as a means to help ensure that
                the FDA-approved plan would be available for at least one biennial FDA
                inspection under sections 704 and 905(g) of the FD&C Act. Retaining the
                FDA-approved plan for 4 years from the date it was last in effect would
                allow FDA to evaluate, for example, whether the warnings are randomly
                and equally displayed on product packaging during the time period in
                which such products are offered for sale to consumers. In addition,
                based on FDA's experience with smokeless plans, FDA has observed at
                times in conducting inspections that firms, including contract
                manufacturers, have not been aware of the FDA-approved plan that they
                should be following. Requiring that the FDA-approved plan is retained
                for 4 years from the date it was last in effect would help ensure that
                FDA has the opportunity to confirm during the course of an inspection
                that firms are aware of and following an approved plan.
                 As discussed in section X, FDA intends to establish an effective
                date for the submission of plans to FDA, by each person subject to
                proposed Sec. 1141.10(g). This would require submission of plans no
                later than 5 months from the date of publication of any final rule.
                Although FDA believes this timeframe would provide sufficient time for
                the plan to be submitted to FDA and reviewed by FDA in advance of the
                effective date for the required warnings on packages and advertisements
                (which, consistent with section 4 of the FCLAA, would be 15 months from
                the publication date of any final rule), we encourage the submission of
                these plans as soon as possible once the final rule is published.
                 We invite comment on these proposed requirements, including whether
                and how the number of final required warnings selected would affect the
                random and equal display and distribution of the required warnings on
                packages and the quarterly rotation of the required warnings in
                advertisements.
                C. Misbranding of Cigarettes (Proposed Sec. 1141.12)
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.12(a) sets out that a cigarette package would
                be deemed misbranded under section 903(a)(1) of the FD&C Act if its
                package and labeling do not bear one of the required warnings in
                accordance with section 4 of the FCLAA and this proposed part. In
                addition, proposed Sec. 1141.12(a) would provide that a cigarette
                would be deemed misbranded under section 903(a)(7)(A) of the FD&C Act
                if its advertising does not bear one of the required warnings in
                accordance with section 4 of the FCLAA and this proposed part.
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.12(b) would explain that a cigarette
                advertisement and other descriptive printed matter issued or caused to
                be issued by the manufacturer, packer, or distributer, would be deemed
                to include a brief statement of relevant warnings for the purposes of
                section 903(a)(8) of the FD&C Act, if it bears one of the required
                warnings in accordance with section 4 of the FCLAA and this proposed
                part. However, FDA is proposing that a cigarette distributed or offered
                for sale in any State would be deemed misbranded under section
                903(a)(8) of the FD&C Act unless the manufacturer, packer, or
                distributor includes in all advertisements and other descriptive
                printed matter issued or caused to be issued by the manufacturer,
                packer, or distributor with respect to the cigarette one of the
                required warnings in accordance with section 4 of the FCLAA and this
                proposed part. Section 201(a)(1) of the FD&C Act (21 U.S.C. 321(a)(1))
                defines ``State'' as ``any State or Territory of the United States, the
                District of Columbia, and the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico.'' The
                warnings required by section 4 of the FCLAA for cigarette advertising
                and packages are ``relevant warnings'' with respect to cigarettes as
                that phrase is used in section 903 of the FD&C Act. For the purpose of
                this proposed provision, ``other descriptive printed matter'' would
                include the packages of cigarettes and would be required to bear one of
                the required warnings.
                X. Proposed Effective Dates
                 FDA is proposing that the required warnings for packages and
                advertisements (proposed Sec. 1141.10) would become effective 15
                months after the date the final rule publishes in the Federal Register.
                This proposed effective date is consistent with the language of section
                201(b) of the Tobacco Control Act, which contemplates that the
                amendments to the FCLAA established by the Tobacco Control Act would
                take effect 15 months after the issuance of the regulations set out in
                201(a) of the Tobacco Control Act. FDA is also proposing an effective
                date for submission of plans under the FCLAA and this proposed part
                (Sec. 1141.10(g)) of no later than 5 months after the final rule
                publishes in the Federal Register. This would help ensure that FDA has
                time to review the plan in advance of the effective date requiring that
                packaging and advertising of cigarettes bear the required warnings.
                 Thus, cigarette packages that do not comply with the requirements
                of any final rule must not be manufactured for sale or distribution in
                the United States as of the effective date (i.e., 15 months after the
                date the final rule publishes in the Federal Register). Section 201(b)
                of the Tobacco Control Act provides that, beginning 30 days after the
                effective date, a manufacturer must not introduce into the domestic
                commerce of the United States any product, irrespective of the date of
                manufacture, that is not in conformance with section 4 of the FCLAA, as
                amended by the Tobacco Control Act. As provided by section 201(b),
                after the 30-day period, manufacturers would not be permitted
                [[Page 42785]]
                to introduce into domestic commerce any cigarette packages that do not
                contain the required warnings, irrespective of the date of manufacture.
                While this statutory limitation applies to only manufacturers, FDA
                believes that keeping products without the required warnings under any
                final rule on the market for an extended period would not be in the
                interest of public health. We request comments regarding ways to
                differentiate cigarette packages sold from existing inventory from
                those that were manufactured after the effective date.
                 In addition, as of 15 months from the publication of any final rule
                mandating that cigarette packages and advertisements bear the required
                warnings, no tobacco product manufacturer, distributor, or retailer of
                cigarettes may advertise or cause to be advertised within the United
                States any cigarette product unless the advertising complies with the
                final rule.
                XI. Severability and Other Considerations
                 In accordance with section 5 of the Tobacco Control Act, the
                various requirements established by this proposed rule, when finalized,
                would be considered severable and the individual provisions of this
                rule would be considered workable on their own. Section 5 of the
                Tobacco Control Act states that, if any provision of a regulation
                issued under the Act is held to be invalid, the remainder of the
                regulation ``shall not be affected and shall continue to be enforced to
                the fullest extent possible.'' (Section 5 of the Tobacco Control Act is
                codified at 21 U.S.C. 387 note.) Consistent with that directive, it is
                FDA's intent that the invalidity of any provision of the final rule
                shall not affect the validity of any other part of the rule. In the
                event any court or other lawful authority were to temporarily or
                permanently invalidate, restrain, enjoin, or suspend any provision of
                the final rule, FDA intends for the remaining parts to continue to be
                valid.
                 Each provision of the proposed rule is independently supported by
                data and analysis as described or referenced in this preamble and, if
                issued separately, would remain a proper exercise of FDA authority
                under sections 201 and 202 of the Tobacco Control Act and sections 701,
                704, 903, 905(g), and 909 of the FD&C Act, as amended by the Tobacco
                Control Act. If a court were to invalidate some but not all of the
                images within the cigarette health warnings, the corresponding textual
                warning statements would go into effect without the invalidated images,
                along with the remaining cigarette health warnings that pair a textual
                warning statement with an image. The remaining pairings and the textual
                warning statements without images would still be required to be
                randomly and equally displayed and distributed on packages and
                quarterly rotated in advertisements. This approach would advance the
                Government's interest in promoting greater public understanding of the
                negative health consequences of smoking.
                 In the event that a court were to invalidate all of the images
                within the cigarette health warnings, FDA intends for all the warnings
                to go into effect with only their textual warning statements, without
                the invalidated images. These too would be randomly and equally
                displayed and distributed on packages and quarterly rotated in
                advertisements as required. FDA believes this approach could serve as
                an interim measure to address Congress's intent to replace the stale
                Surgeon General's warnings and to promote greater public understanding
                of the negative health consequences of smoking while FDA worked to
                develop new pictorial warnings.
                 If a court were to invalidate some of FDA's revised textual
                warnings with their paired images but some remained valid, FDA intends
                that the remaining revised textual warning statements and their paired
                images would go into effect. Alternatively, FDA might also choose to
                require that the textual warning statements specified in section 4(1)
                of the FCLAA go into effect without an accompanying image. In
                determining the appropriate approach, relevant circumstances could
                include whether there were a sufficient number of warnings to be
                randomly and equally displayed and distributed on packages and
                quarterly rotated in advertisements as required by statute. As
                described above, FDA proposes implementing text-only cigarette health
                warnings as an interim measure as a means to address Congress's intent
                to replace the stale Surgeon General's warnings and to promote greater
                understanding of the negative health consequences of smoking while FDA
                worked to develop new pictorial warnings.
                 FDA invites public comment on the application of the severability
                provision in section 5 of the Tobacco Control Act to this rulemaking
                and how any severed portions of a final rule would operate, advance the
                Government's interest, and address Congress's intent to replace the
                stale 1984 Surgeon General's warnings. FDA also seeks comment on
                whether additional codified language should be added for any of the
                scenarios described in this section.
                 FDA further requests public comment, in the event a court were to
                invalidate all of the images within the cigarette health warnings or
                were to vacate this rule once finalized, as to whether and how FDA
                should implement textual warning statements without images as an
                interim measure. Additionally, FDA requests comment on whether, in the
                event that a court were also to invalidate the size or location of
                revised cigarette warnings as directed by Congress (i.e., for packages,
                at least the top 50 percent of the front and rear panels of the
                packages), it should require that such interim textual warning
                statements comprise, for example, at least the top 30 percent of the
                front and rear panels of the packages, consistent with warnings for
                other categories of tobacco products that are comprised of textual
                statements only, while FDA sought to develop new pictorial warnings.
                XII. Preliminary Economic Analysis of Impacts
                 We have examined the impacts of the proposed rule under Executive
                Order (E.O.) 12866, E.O. 13563, E.O. 13771, the Regulatory Flexibility
                Act (5 U.S.C. 601-612), and the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act of 1995
                (Pub. L. 104-4). Executive Orders 12866 and 13563 direct us to assess
                all costs and benefits of available regulatory alternatives and, when
                regulation is necessary, to select regulatory approaches that maximize
                net benefits (including potential economic, environmental, public
                health and safety, and other advantages; distributive impacts; and
                equity). E.O. 13771 requires that the costs associated with significant
                new regulations ``shall, to the extent permitted by law, be offset by
                the elimination of existing costs associated with at least two prior
                regulations.'' We believe that this proposed rule is an economically
                significant regulatory action as defined by E.O. 12866.
                 The Regulatory Flexibility Act requires us to analyze regulatory
                options that would minimize any significant impact of a rule on small
                entities. We estimate that for a small manufacturer or importer who
                would be affected by this proposed rule, one-time costs could represent
                between 2.5 and 35.6 percent of their annual receipts and recurring
                costs could represent from 0.4 to 4.4 percent of their annual receipts.
                Hence, we find that the proposed rule will have a significant economic
                impact on a substantial number of small entities.
                 The Unfunded Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (section 202(a)) requires
                us to prepare a written statement, which
                [[Page 42786]]
                includes an assessment of anticipated costs and benefits, before
                proposing ``any rule that includes any Federal mandate that may result
                in the expenditure by State, local, and tribal governments, in the
                aggregate, or by the private sector, of $100,000,000 or more (adjusted
                annually for inflation) in any one year.'' The current threshold after
                adjustment for inflation is $154 million, using the most current (2018)
                Implicit Price Deflator for the Gross Domestic Product. This proposed
                rule would result in an expenditure in any year that meets or exceeds
                this amount.
                 This proposed rule would require that one of up to 13 new cigarette
                health warnings, each comprising a textual warning statement paired
                with an accompanying color graphic image, appear on cigarette packages
                and in cigarette advertisements. The proposed rule would further
                require that, for cigarette packages, the required cigarette health
                warnings be randomly displayed in each 12-month period, in as equal a
                number of times as is possible on each brand of the product and be
                randomly distributed throughout the United States in accordance with a
                plan approved by FDA. The proposed rule would also require that, for
                cigarette advertisements, the required cigarette health warnings must
                be rotated quarterly in alternating sequence in advertisements for each
                brand of cigarettes in accordance with a plan approved by FDA.
                 Pictorial cigarette health warnings promote greater public
                understanding about the negative health consequences of smoking as they
                increase the noticeability of the warning's message, increase knowledge
                and learning of the negative health consequences of smoking, and
                benefit diverse populations that have disparities in knowledge about
                the negative health consequences of smoking.
                 The direct economic benefits of providing information on cigarette
                health warnings are difficult to quantify, and we do not predict the
                size of these benefits at this time. We discuss the informational
                effects qualitatively.
                 The cost of this proposed rule consists of initial and recurring
                labeling costs associated with changing cigarette labels to accommodate
                the new cigarette health warnings, design and operation costs
                associated with the random and equal display and distribution of
                required cigarette health warnings for cigarette packages and quarterly
                rotations of the required warnings for cigarette advertisements,
                advertising-related costs, and costs associated with government
                administration and enforcement of the rule. Using a 20-year time
                horizon, we estimate that the present value of the costs of this
                proposed rule ranges from $1.3 billion to $1.9 billion, with a mean
                estimate of $1.6 billion, using a three percent discount rate, and
                ranges from $1.0 billion to $1.5 billion, with a mean estimate of $1.2
                billion, using a seven percent discount rate (2018$). Annualized costs,
                which are presented below in table 3, range from $88.6 million per year
                to $129.7 million per year, with a mean estimate of $107.5 million per
                year, using a three percent discount rate, and range from $94.6 million
                per year to $139.8 million per year, with a mean estimate of $115.3
                million per year, using a seven percent discount rate (2018$).
                 Because it is not possible to compare benefits and costs directly
                when the benefits are not quantified, we employ a break-even approach.
                If the information provided by the cigarette health warning on each
                cigarette package was valued at about $0.01 (for every pack sold
                annually nationwide), then the benefits that would be generated by the
                proposed rule would equal or exceed the estimated annual costs.
                 Table 3--Summary of the Informational Effects and Costs of the Proposed Rule
                 [in millions of 2018$]
                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Units
                 Primary Low High ---------------------------------------------
                 Category estimate estimate estimate Year Discount Notes
                 dollars rate Period covered
                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Informational Effects......... ................. Pictorial cigarette health warnings promote greater public understanding about the negative health
                 consequences of smoking as they increase the noticeability of the warning's message, increase
                 knowledge and learning of the negative health consequences of smoking and help reduce disparities in
                 knowledge about the negative health consequences of smoking across diverse populations. If the
                 information provided by the cigarette health warning on each cigarette package was valued at about
                 $0.01 (for every pack sold annually nationwide), then the benefits that would be generated by the
                 proposed rule would equal or exceed the estimated annual costs.
                 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Costs......................... Annualized $115.3 $94.6 $139.8 2018 7% 20 Years......... Effective date of
                 Monetized 15 months from
                 $millions/year. date of
                 publication of
                 final rule.
                 107.5 88.6 129.7 2018 3% 20 Years.........
                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 In line with E.O. 13771, in table 4 we estimate present and
                annualized values of costs and cost savings over an infinite time
                horizon. Based on these costs, when finalized this proposed rule would
                be considered a regulatory action under E.O. 13771.
                [[Page 42787]]
                 Table 4--E.O. 13771 Summary Table
                 [in millions of 2016$, over an infinite time horizon]
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Primary
                 Item estimate
                 (7%)
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Present Value of Costs....................................... $985.8
                Present Value of Cost Savings................................ 0
                Present Value of Net Costs................................... 985.8
                Annualized Costs............................................. 69.0
                Annualized Cost Savings...................................... 0
                Annualized Net Costs......................................... 69.0
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Notes: All amounts have been discounted relative to year 2016 from year
                 2021, the latter of which is the estimated year in which the proposed
                 rule would become effective once finalized. Because of this additional
                 discounting step, the present value estimates presented here are in
                 all instances lower than the comparable present value estimates
                 associated with a 20-year time horizon. Effective date is 15 months
                 from date of publication of the final rule.
                 We have developed a comprehensive Preliminary Economic Analysis of
                Impacts that assesses the impacts of the proposed rule. The full
                preliminary analysis of economic impacts is available in the docket for
                this proposed rule (Ref. 220) and at https://www.fda.gov/AboutFDA/ReportsManualsForms/Reports/EconomicAnalyses/default.htm.
                XIII. Analysis of Environmental Impact
                 The labeling regulation is a class of actions that are ordinarily
                categorically excluded under 21 CFR 25.30(k). Additionally, the
                proposed action is not anticipated to pose serious harm to the
                environment and to adversely affect a species or the critical habitat
                of a species as stipulated under 21 CFR 25.21(b). The proposed action
                is of a type that does not individually or cumulatively have a
                significant effect on the human environment. No extraordinary
                circumstances exist that would require a preparation of an
                environmental assessment or an environmental impact statement.
                XIV. Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995
                 This proposed rule contains information collection provisions that
                are subject to review by OMB under the Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995
                (44 U.S.C. 3501-3520). A description of these provisions is given in
                the Description section immediately below, with an estimate of the
                annual reporting and recordkeeping burden. Included in the estimate is
                the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources,
                gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing
                each collection of information.
                 FDA invites comments on these topics: (1) Whether the proposed
                collection of information is necessary for the proper performance of
                FDA's functions, including whether the information will have practical
                utility; (2) the accuracy of FDA's estimate of the burden of the
                proposed collection of information, including the validity of the
                methodology and assumptions used; (3) ways to enhance the quality,
                utility, and clarity of the information to be collected; and (4) ways
                to minimize the burden of the collection of information on respondents,
                including through the use of automated collection techniques, when
                appropriate, and other forms of information technology.
                 Title: Required Warnings for Cigarette Packages and Advertisements
                 Description: The requirement for submission of plans for cigarette
                packages and advertisements, and the specific marketing requirements
                relating to the random and equal display and distribution of required
                warning statements on cigarette packaging and quarterly rotation of
                required warning statements in alternating sequence in cigarette
                product advertising, appear in proposed Sec. 1141.10(d)(5). A record
                of the FDA-approved plan must also be established and maintained.
                 Description of Respondents: The respondents to this collection of
                information are manufacturers, distributors, and certain retailers of
                cigarettes who will be required to submit plans for cigarette packages
                and advertisements to FDA.
                 FDA intends to ask that each plan cover both packaging and
                advertising to the extent applicable. The tobacco product manufacturer,
                distributor, or retailer should demonstrate how they plan to achieve
                the random and equal display and distribution of the required warning
                statements on packages and the quarterly rotation in advertisements.
                Required warnings for cigarettes must be randomly and equally displayed
                and distributed on packages, and rotated quarterly in advertisements,
                in accordance with an FDA-approved plan.
                 Plans should be submitted to FDA no later than 5 months after the
                date of publication of the final rule and before advertising or
                commercially marketing a product that is subject to the rule. Packages
                and advertisements of cigarettes would be required to bear the required
                warnings beginning 15 months after the date of publication of the final
                rule. FDA intends to request an amendment to a plan under review if FDA
                needs clarification of information in the plan or other additional
                information to determine whether it could approve the plan. Any such
                amendments would likely increase the overall review time.
                 After FDA approval of an initial plan, a supplement to the approved
                plan should be submitted to FDA and approved before making changes to
                the random and equal display or distribution of required warning
                statements on packages or the quarterly rotation of required warning
                statements in advertisements. For a new brand, a new plan or a
                supplement to an FDA-approved plan would be required to be submitted
                and approved before displaying or distributing packages and
                advertisements for that new brand.
                 However, in lieu of a supplement to an FDA-approved plan for a new
                brand, manufacturers may reference in their initial plan all brands in
                their product listing(s) under section 905(i) of the FD&C Act and
                incorporate any new brands into their approved plan, so long as no
                other changes are made to the plan. For retailer-generated advertising,
                retailers may list ``all brands'' in their plan, which would cover
                future brands, so long as the plan provides for the same schedule for
                quarterly rotation of the required warning statements for all brands.
                 FDA intends to allow electronic submissions, via FDA's Electronic
                Submissions Gateway, and written submissions. FDA strongly encourages
                electronic submission to facilitate efficiency and timeliness of
                submission and processing.
                 For each brand of cigarettes, the plan for packaging should explain
                how: Each of the warnings will be randomly displayed during each 12-
                month period on each brand; each of the warnings will be displayed in
                as equal a number of times as possible on each brand of the product;
                and product packages will be randomly and equally distributed in all
                areas of the United States in which the product is marketed. FDA
                expects that a plan for random and equal display and distribution of
                warnings on packages will ordinarily be based on the date of
                manufacture or shipment of the product. For each cigarette brand, the
                plan for advertising should explain how the required warning statements
                will be rotated quarterly in advertisements and how the quarterly
                rotations will occur in alternating sequence. Among other things, the
                plan should specify the initial rotation timeframe on which quarterly
                rotation is based and, if the rotation timeframe varies for different
                types/forms of advertising, specify the different quarterly timeframes
                associated with the different types/forms of advertising, and describe
                the quarterly schedule for rotating each of the required warnings for
                each cigarette
                [[Page 42788]]
                brand. FDA would not consider a plan that merely restated the
                regulatory requirements to be sufficiently detailed to enable FDA to
                approve the plan.
                 FDA's review of a plan would only be for determining compliance
                with the regulatory criteria for approval of a plan, as set forth in
                proposed Sec. 1140.10(g)(1) and (2). FDA requests that plans submitted
                for review include representative samples of packages and
                advertisements with each of the required warning statements. Such
                samples would place the plan in context and, therefore, facilitate
                FDA's review of the plan, not a review of the content of the package
                labels and advertisements. Approval of a plan does not represent a
                determination by FDA that any package or advertisement complies with
                any of the other requirements regarding the placement, font type, size,
                and color of the warnings found in section 4 of the FCLAA and proposed
                part 1141, or any other requirements under the FD&C Act and its
                implementing regulations. FDA intends to communicate the approval of a
                plan with a letter to the submitter. After FDA approval of an initial
                plan, a supplement to the approved plan would need to be submitted to
                FDA for review and approved before making changes to the display or
                distribution of required warnings on packages or the rotation of
                required warning statements in advertisements. For a new brand, a new
                plan or a supplement to an approved plan would need to be submitted and
                approved before displaying or distributing packages and advertisements
                for that new brand. However, in lieu of a supplement to an approved
                plan for a new brand, manufacturers may reference in their initial plan
                all brands in their product listing(s) under section 905(i) of the FD&C
                Act and incorporate any new brands into their approved plan, so long as
                no other changes are made to the plan. For retailer-generated
                advertising, retailers may list ``all brands'' in their plan, which
                would cover future brands, so long as the plan provides for the same
                schedule for quarterly rotation of the required warning statements for
                all brands.
                 Table 5--Estimated One-Time Reporting Burden \1\
                ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Number of Average
                 Type of plan Number of responses per Total annual burden per Total hours
                 respondents respondent responses response
                ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Initial Plans................... 59 1 59 150 8,850
                Supplements..................... 30 1 30 75 2,250
                 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Total....................... .............. .............. .............. .............. 11,100
                ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                \1\ There are no capital costs or operating and maintenance costs associated with this collection of
                 information.
                 The burden estimates are based on FDA's experience with information
                collections for other tobacco product plans (i.e., smokeless OMB
                control number 0910-0671 and cigars OMB control number 0910-0768) and
                2017 Treasury Alcohol and Tobacco Tax and Trade Bureau (TTB) data.
                 As discussed in the preliminary regulatory impact analysis (see
                section XII; Ref. 220), based on 2017 TTB data FDA estimates 59
                entities will be affected by the rule. We estimate these 59 entities
                will submit a one-time initial plan, and it will take an average of 150
                hours per respondent to prepare and submit a plan for packaging and
                advertising for a total of 8,850 hours. We estimate that about half of
                respondents will submit a supplement. If a supplement to an approved
                plan is submitted, FDA estimates it will take half the time per
                response. We estimate receiving 30 supplements at 75 hours per response
                for a total of 2,250 hours. FDA estimates that the total hours for
                submitting initial plans and supplements will be 11,100.
                 Proposed Sec. 1141.10(g)(4) would establish that each tobacco
                product manufacturer required to randomly and equally display and
                distribute warnings on packaging or quarterly rotate warnings on
                advertisements in accordance with an FDA-approved plan under section 4
                of the FCLAA and this proposed part must maintain a copy of the FDA-
                approved plan (approved under proposed Sec. 1141.10(g)(3)). This copy
                (or record) of such FDA-approved plan must be available for inspection
                and copying by officers or employees of FDA. This proposed subsection
                would require that the record(s) be retained for a period of not less
                than 4 years from the date of FDA's approval of the plan.
                 Table 6--Estimated Annual Recordkeeping Burden \1\
                ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Number of Average
                 Plan records Number of records per Total annual burden per Total hours
                 recordkeepers recordkeeper records recordkeeping
                ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Records......................... 59 1.5 89 3 267
                 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Total....................... .............. .............. .............. .............. 267
                ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                \1\ There are no capital costs or operating and maintenance costs associated with this collection of
                 information.
                 FDA estimates that 59 recordkeepers will keep a total of about 89
                records at 2 hours per record for a total of 267 hours. As stated
                previously, these estimates are based on FDA's experience with
                information collections for other tobacco product plans (i.e.,
                smokeless OMB control number 0910-0671 and cigars OMB control number
                0910-0768). Based on our estimates for the submission of initial plans
                and supplements (that all respondents will submit initial plans and
                about half of respondents will submit supplements), we estimate that
                each recordkeeper will keep an average of 1.5 records.
                 FDA estimates that the total burden for this information collection
                is 11,367 hours (11,100 reporting + 267 recordkeeping).
                 FDA believes that the proposed required warnings for cigarette
                packages and cigarette advertisements in proposed Sec. 1141.10 are not
                subject to
                [[Page 42789]]
                review by OMB under the PRA because they do not constitute a
                ``collection of information'' under that statute (44 U.S.C. 3501-3520).
                Rather, these labeling statements are a ``public disclosure'' of
                information originally supplied by the Federal Government to the
                recipient for the purpose of ``disclosure to the public'' (5 CFR
                1320.3(c)(2)).
                 To ensure that comments on information collection are received, OMB
                recommends that written comments be faxed to the Office of Information
                and Regulatory Affairs, OMB or emailed to [email protected]
                (see ADDRESSES). All comments should be identified with the title of
                the information collection.
                 In compliance with the Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (44 U.S.C.
                3407(d)), the Agency has submitted the information collection
                provisions of this proposed rule to OMB for review. These requirements
                will not be effective until FDA obtains OMB approval. FDA will publish
                a notice concerning OMB approval of these requirements in the Federal
                Register.
                XV. Federalism
                 We have analyzed this proposed rule in accordance with the
                principles set forth in Executive Order 13132 and seek input from State
                and local officials on potential federalism impacts of the proposed
                regulation. Section 4(a) of the Executive Order requires agencies to
                ``construe . . . a Federal statute to preempt State law only where the
                statute contains an express preemption provision or there is some other
                clear evidence that the Congress intended preemption of State law, or
                where the exercise of State authority conflicts with the exercise of
                Federal authority under the Federal statute.'' This rule is being
                proposed under section 4 of the FCLAA, as amended by the Tobacco
                Control Act, and sections 701, 704, 903, 905(g), and 909 of the FD&C
                Act, as amended by the Tobacco Control Act. Federal law includes an
                express preemption provision that preempts any requirement, except
                pursuant to the Tobacco Control Act, for a ``statement relating to
                smoking and health, other than the statement required by section 4 of
                [FCLAA], . . . on any cigarette package.'' Section 5(a) of the FCLAA.
                It also includes an express preemption provision that preempts any
                ``requirement or prohibition based on smoking and health . . . imposed
                under State law with respect to the advertising or promotion of any
                cigarettes the packages of which are labeled in conformity with the
                provisions of [FCLAA],'' which includes section 4 of the FCLAA. Section
                5(b) of the FCLAA. However, section 5(b) of the FCLAA does not preempt
                any State or local statutes and regulations based on smoking and
                health, that take effect after June 22, 2009, imposing specific bans or
                restrictions on the time, place, and manner, but not content, of the
                advertising or promotion of any cigarettes. Section 5(c) of the FCLAA.
                 In addition, section 916(a)(2) of the FD&C Act (21 U.S.C. 387p)
                expressly preempts any state or local requirement which is different
                from, or in addition to, any requirement under Chapter IX of the FD&C
                Act relating to, among other things, misbranding and labeling. This
                express preemption provision, however, does not apply to requirements
                relating to among other things the sale, distribution, access to, or
                the advertising and promotion of tobacco products.
                XVI. Consultation and Coordination With Indian Tribal Governments
                 We have analyzed this proposed rule in accordance with the
                principles set forth in Executive Order 13175. We have tentatively
                determined that the rule does not contain policies that would have a
                substantial direct effect on one or more Indian Tribes, on the
                relationship between the Federal Government and Indian Tribes, or on
                the distribution of power and responsibilities between the Federal
                Government and Indian Tribes. The Agency solicits comments from tribal
                officials on any potential impact on Indian Tribes from this proposed
                action.
                XVII. References
                 The following references marked with an asterisk (*) are on display
                at the Dockets Management Staff (see ADDRESSES) and are available for
                viewing by interested persons between 9 a.m. and 4 p.m., Monday through
                Friday; they also are available electronically at https://www.regulations.gov. References without asterisks are not on public
                display at https://www.regulations.gov because they have copyright
                restriction. Some may be available at the website address, if listed.
                References without asterisks are available for viewing only at the
                Dockets Management Staff. FDA has verified the website addresses, as of
                the date this document publishes in the Federal Register, but websites
                are subject to change over time.
                *1. U.S. Congress. House. Committee on Energy and Commerce,
                Subcommittee on Health. H.R. 1108, Family Smoking Prevention and
                Tobacco Control Act: Hearing Before the House Subcommittee on Health
                of the Committee on Energy and Commerce. Testimony of Richard
                Bonnie. 110th Cong., 1st sess., October 3, 2007.
                *2. IOM of the National Academies. Ending the Tobacco Problem: A
                Blueprint for the Nation. R.J. Bonnie, K. Stratton, R.B. Wallace,
                Eds. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2007. Available
                at http://www.nationalacademies.org/hmd/Reports/2007/Ending-the-Tobacco-Problem-A-Blueprint-for-the-Nation.aspx.
                3. Hammond, D., G.T. Fong, A. McNeill, et al. ``Effectiveness of
                Cigarette Warning Labels in Informing Smokers About the Risks of
                Smoking: Findings from the International Tobacco Control (ITC) Four
                Country Survey.'' Tobacco Control, 15(Suppl. 3):iii19-iii25, 2006.
                Available at https://doi.org/10.1136/tc.2005.012294.
                4. Hammond, D., G.T. Fong, R. Borland, et al. ``Text and Graphic
                Warnings on Cigarette Packages: Findings from the International
                Tobacco Control Four Country Study.'' American Journal of Preventive
                Medicine, 32(3):202-209, 2007. Available at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amepre.2006.11.011.
                *5. Wang, T.W., K. Asman, A.S. Gentzke, et al. ``Tobacco Product Use
                Among Adults--United States, 2017.'' Morbidity and Mortality Weekly
                Report, 67(44):1225-1232, 2018. Available at https://doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm6744a2.
                *6. Gentzke, A.S., M. Creamer, K.A. Cullen, et al. ``Vital Signs:
                Tobacco Product Use Among Middle and High School Students--United
                States, 2011-2018.'' Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report,
                68(6):157-164, 2019. Available at https://doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm6806e1.
                *7. Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration
                (SAMHSA). Results From the 2017 National Survey on Drug Use and
                Health: Detailed Tables, Table 4.10A. Rockville, MD: U.S. Department
                of Health and Human Services, SAMHSA, Center for Behavioral Health
                Statistics and Quality, 2018. Accessed October 12, 2018. Available
                at https://www.samhsa.gov/data/sites/default/files/cbhsq-reports/NSDUHDetailedTabs2017/NSDUHDetailedTabs2017.pdf.
                *8. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS). The Health
                Consequences of Smoking--50 Years of Progress.: A Report of the
                Surgeon General. Atlanta, GA: HHS, Centers for Disease Control and
                Prevention (CDC), National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and
                Health Promotion, Office on Smoking and Health, 2014.
                *9. Murphy, S.L., J. Xu, K.D. Kochanek, et al. ``Deaths: Final Data
                for 2015.'' National Vital Statistics Reports, 66(6):1-75, 2017.
                Available at https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr66/nvsr66_06.pdf.
                10. Mokdad, A.H., J.S. Marks, D.F. Stroup, and J.L. Gerberding.
                ``Actual Causes of Death in the United States, 2000.'' Journal of
                the American Medical Association, 291(10):1238-1245, 2004. Available
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                11. Elton-Marshall, T., R. Wijesingha, R.D. Kennedy, et al.
                ``Disparities in Knowledge About the Health Effects of Smoking Among
                Adolescents Following the Release of New Pictorial Health Warning
                Labels.'' Preventative Medicine, 111:358-365, 2018. Available at
                https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ypmed.2017.11.025.
                12. Mutti, S., D. Hammond, J.L. Reid, et al. ``The Efficacy of
                Cigarette Warning Labels on Health Beliefs in the United States and
                Mexico,'' Journal of Health Communication, 18(10):1180-1192, 2013.
                Available at https://doi.org/10.1080/10810730.2013.778368.
                13. Oncken, C., S. McKee, S. Krishnan-Sarin, et al. ``Knowledge and
                Perceived Risk of Smoking-Related Conditions: A Survey of Cigarette
                Smokers.'' Preventative Medicine, 40(6):779-784, 2005. Available at
                https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ypmed.2004.09.024.
                14. Roth, L.K. and H.S. Taylor. ``Risks of Smoking To Reproductive
                Health: Assessment of Women's Knowledge.'' American Journal of
                Obstetrics and Gynecology, 184(5):934-939, 2001. Available at
                https://doi.org/10.1067/mob.2001.112103.
                15. Weinstein, N., Slovic, P., Waters, E., and G. Gibson. ``Public
                Understanding of the Illnesses Caused by Cigarette Smoking,''
                Nicotine and Tobacco Research, 6(2):349-355, 2004. Available at
                https://doi.org/10.1080/14622200410001676459.
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                *220. Preliminary Regulatory Impact Analysis; Initial Regulatory
                Flexibility Analysis; Unfunded Mandates Reform Act Analysis,
                Required Warnings for Cigarette Packages and Advertisements;
                Proposed Rule.
                List of Subjects in 21 CFR Part 1141
                 Advertising, Incorporation by reference, Labeling, Packaging and
                containers, Tobacco, Smoking.
                 Therefore, under the Federal Cigarette Labeling and Advertising
                Act, the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act, and under authority
                delegated to the Commissioner of Food and Drugs, the Food and Drug
                Administration proposes to revise 21 CFR part 1141 to read as follows:
                PART 1141--REQUIRED WARNINGS FOR CIGARETTE PACKAGES AND
                ADVERTISEMENTS
                Subpart A--General Provisions
                Sec.
                1141.1 Scope.
                1141.3 Definitions.
                1141.5 Incorporation by reference.
                Subpart B--Required Warnings for Cigarette Packages and Advertisements
                1141.10 Required warnings.
                1141.12 Misbranding of cigarettes.
                 Authority: 15 U.S.C. 1333; 21 U.S.C. 371, 374, 387c, 387e, 387i;
                Secs. 201 and 202, Pub. L. 111-31, 123 Stat. 1776.
                Subpart A--General Provisions
                Sec. 1141.1 Scope.
                 (a) This part sets forth the requirements for the display of
                required warnings on cigarette packages and in advertisements for
                cigarettes.
                 (b) The requirements of this part do not apply to manufacturers or
                distributors of cigarettes that do not manufacture, package, or import
                cigarettes for sale or distribution within the United States.
                 (c) A cigarette retailer will not be in violation of Sec. 1141.10
                for packaging that:
                 (1) Contains a warning;
                 (2) Is supplied to the retailer by a license- or permit-holding
                tobacco product manufacturer, or distributor; and
                 (3) Is not altered by the retailer in a way that is material to the
                requirements of section 4 of the Federal Cigarette Labeling and
                Advertising Act (15 U.S.C. 1333) or this part.
                 (d) Section 1141.10(d) applies to a cigarette retailer only if that
                retailer is responsible for or directs the warnings required under
                Sec. 1141.10 for advertising. However, this paragraph (d) does not
                relieve a retailer of liability if the retailer displays, in a location
                open to the public, an advertisement that does not contain a warning or
                has been altered by the retailer in a way that is material to the
                requirements of section 4 of the Federal Cigarette Labeling and
                Advertising Act or this part.
                Sec. 1141.3 Definitions.
                 For purposes of this part:
                 Cigarette means--
                 (1) Any roll of tobacco wrapped in paper or in any substance not
                containing tobacco; and
                 (2) Any roll of tobacco wrapped in any substance containing tobacco
                which, because of its appearance, the type of tobacco used in the
                filler, or its packaging and labeling, is likely to be offered to, or
                purchased by, consumers as a cigarette described in paragraph (1) of
                this definition.
                 Commerce means:
                 (1) Commerce between any State, the District of Columbia, the
                Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, Guam, the Virgin Islands, American Samoa,
                Wake Island, Midway Islands, Kingman Reef, or Johnston Island and any
                place outside thereof;
                 (2) Commerce between points in any State, the District of Columbia,
                the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, Guam, the Virgin Islands, American
                Samoa, Wake Island, Midway Islands, Kingman Reef, or Johnston Island,
                but through any place outside thereof; or
                 (3) Commerce wholly within the District of Columbia, Guam, the
                Virgin Islands, American Samoa, Wake Island, Midway Island, Kingman
                Reef, or Johnston Island.
                 Distributor means any person who furthers the distribution of
                cigarettes, whether domestic or imported, at any point from the
                original place of manufacture to the person who sells or distributes
                the product to individuals for personal consumption. Common carriers
                are not considered distributors for the purposes of this part.
                 Front panel and rear panel mean the two largest sides or surfaces
                of the package.
                 Manufacturer means any person, including any repacker or relabeler,
                who manufactures, fabricates, assembles, processes, or labels a
                finished cigarette product; or imports any cigarette that is intended
                for sale or distribution to consumers in the United States.
                 Package or packaging means a pack, box, carton, or container of any
                kind in which cigarettes are offered for sale, sold, or otherwise
                distributed to consumers.
                 Person means an individual, partnership, corporation, or any other
                business or legal entity.
                 Retailer means any person who sells cigarettes to individuals for
                personal consumption, or who operates a facility where vending machines
                or self-service displays of cigarettes are permitted.
                 United States, when used in a geographical sense, includes the
                several States, the District of Columbia, the Commonwealth of Puerto
                Rico, Guam, the Virgin Islands, American Samoa, Wake Island, Midway
                Islands, Kingman Reef, and Johnston Island. The term ``State'' includes
                any political division of any State.
                Sec. 1141.5 Incorporation by reference.
                 (a) Certain material titled ``Required Cigarette Health Warnings,''
                appearing in Sec. 1141.10, is incorporated by reference into this part
                with the approval of the Director of the Federal Register under 5
                U.S.C. 552(a) and 1
                [[Page 42797]]
                CFR part 51. All approved material is available for inspection at U.S.
                Food and Drug Administration, Division of Dockets Management, 5630
                Fishers Lane, Rm. 1061, Rockville, MD 20852, and is available from the
                source listed in paragraph (b) of this section. It is also available
                for inspection at the National Archives and Records Administration
                (NARA). For information on the availability of this material at NARA,
                email [email protected] or go to https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/cfr/ibr-locations.html.
                 (b) Center for Tobacco Products, U.S. Food and Drug Administration,
                10903 New Hampshire Ave., Silver Spring, MD 20993; 1-888-463-6332.
                 (1) ``Required Cigarette Health Warnings''
                 (2) [Reserved]
                Subpart B--Required Warnings for Cigarette Packages and
                Advertisements
                Sec. 1141.10 Required warnings.
                 (a) A required warning must include the following:
                 (1) One of the following textual warning label statements:
                 (i) WARNING: Tobacco smoke can harm your children.
                 (ii) WARNING: Tobacco smoke causes fatal lung disease in
                nonsmokers.
                 (iii) WARNING: Smoking causes age-related macular degeneration,
                which can lead to blindness.
                 (iv) WARNING: Smoking causes type 2 diabetes, which raises blood
                sugar.
                 (v) WARNING: Smoking reduces blood flow to the limbs, which can
                require amputation.
                 (vi) WARNING: Smoking causes cataracts, which can lead to
                blindness.
                 (vii) WARNING: Smoking causes bladder cancer, which can lead to
                bloody urine.
                 (viii) WARNING: Smoking reduces blood flow, which can cause
                erectile dysfunction.
                 (ix) WARNING: Smoking causes head and neck cancer.
                 (x) WARNING: Smoking can cause heart disease and strokes by
                clogging arteries.
                 (xi) WARNING: Smoking during pregnancy stunts fetal growth.
                 (xii) WARNING: Smoking causes COPD, a lung disease that can be
                fatal.
                 (2) A color graphic to accompany the textual warning label
                statement.
                 (b) Each required warning, comprising a combination of a textual
                warning label statement and its accompanying color graphic, must be
                obtained and accurately reproduced as specified from the electronic
                files contained in ``Required Cigarette Health Warnings,'' which is
                incorporated by reference at Sec. 1141.5.
                 (c) It is unlawful for any person to manufacture, package, sell,
                offer to sell, distribute, or import for sale or distribution within
                the United States any cigarettes unless the package of which bears a
                required warning in accordance with section 4 of the Federal Cigarette
                Labeling and Advertising Act and this part.
                 (1) The required warning must appear directly on the package and
                must be clearly visible underneath any cellophane or other clear
                wrapping.
                 (2) The required warning must comprise at least the top 50 percent
                of the front and rear panels; provided, however, that on cigarette
                cartons, the required warning must be located on the left side of the
                front and rear panels of the carton and must comprise at least the left
                50 percent of these panels.
                 (3) The required warning must be positioned such that the text of
                the required warning and the other information on that panel of the
                package have the same orientation.
                 (d) It is unlawful for any manufacturer, distributor, or retailer
                of cigarettes to advertise or cause to be advertised within the United
                States any cigarette unless each advertisement bears a required warning
                in accordance with section 4 of the Federal Cigarette Labeling and
                Advertising Act and this part.
                 (1) For print advertisements and other advertisements with a visual
                component (including, for example, advertisements on signs, retail
                displays, internet web pages, digital platforms, mobile applications,
                and email correspondence), the required warning must appear directly on
                the advertisement.
                 (2) The required warning must comprise at least 20 percent of the
                area of the advertisement in a conspicuous and prominent format and
                location at the top of each advertisement within the trim area, if any.
                 (3) The text in each required warning must be in the English
                language, except as follows:
                 (i) In the case of an advertisement that appears in a non-English
                medium, the text in the required warning must appear in the predominant
                language of the medium whether or not the advertisement is in English;
                and
                 (ii) In the case of an advertisement that appears in an English
                language medium but that is not in English, the text in the required
                warning must appear in the same language as that principally used in
                the advertisement.
                 (4) For English-language and Spanish-language warnings, each
                required warning must be obtained from the electronic files contained
                in ``Required Cigarette Health Warnings,'' which is incorporated by
                reference at Sec. 1141.5, and must be accurately reproduced as
                specified in ``Required Cigarette Health Warnings.''
                 (5) For non-English-language warnings, other than Spanish-language
                warnings, each required warning must be obtained from the electronic
                files contained in ``Required Cigarette Health Warnings,'' which is
                incorporated by reference at Sec. 1141.5, and must be accurately
                reproduced as specified in ``Required Cigarette Health Warnings,''
                including the substitution and insertion of a true and accurate
                translation of the textual warning label statement in place of the
                English language version. The inserted textual warning label statement
                must comply with the requirements of section 4 of the Federal Cigarette
                Labeling and Advertising Act, including area and other formatting
                requirements, and this part.
                 (e) The required warnings must be indelibly printed on or
                permanently affixed to the package or advertisement. These warnings,
                for example, must not be printed or placed on a label affixed to a
                clear outer wrapper that is likely to be removed to access the product
                within the package.
                 (f) No person may manufacture, package, sell, offer for sale,
                distribute, or import for sale or distribution within the United States
                cigarettes whose packages or advertisements are not in compliance with
                section 4 of the Federal Cigarette Labeling and Advertising Act and
                this part, except as provided by Sec. 1141.1(c) and (d).
                 (g)(1) Random display. The required warnings for packages specified
                in paragraph (a) of this section must be randomly displayed in each 12-
                month period, in as equal a number of times as is possible on each
                brand of the product and be randomly distributed in all areas of the
                United States in which the product is marketed in accordance with a
                plan submitted by the tobacco product manufacturer, distributor, or
                retailer to, and approved by, the Food and Drug Administration.
                 (2) Rotation. The required warnings for advertisements specified in
                paragraph (a) of this section must be rotated quarterly in alternating
                sequence in advertisements for each brand of cigarettes in accordance
                with a plan submitted by the tobacco product manufacturer, distributer,
                retailer to, and approved by, the Food and Drug Administration.
                 (3) Review. The Food and Drug Administration will review each plan
                [[Page 42798]]
                submitted under this section and approve it if the plan:
                 (i) Will provide for the equal distribution and display on
                packaging and the rotation required in advertising under this
                subsection; and
                 (ii) Assures that all of the labels required under this section
                will be displayed by the tobacco product manufacturer, distributor, or
                retailer at the same time.
                 (4) Record retention. Each tobacco product manufacturer required to
                randomly and equally display and distribute warnings on packaging or
                rotate warnings in advertisements in accordance with an FDA-approved
                plan under section 4 of the Federal Cigarette Labeling and Advertising
                Act and this part must maintain a copy of such FDA-approved plan and
                make it available for inspection and copying by officers or employees
                duly designated by the Secretary of Health and Human Services. The FDA-
                approved plan must be retained while in effect and for a period of not
                less than 4 years from the date it was last in effect.
                Sec. 1141.12 Misbranding of Cigarettes.
                 (a) A cigarette will be deemed to be misbranded under section
                903(a)(1) of the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act if its package
                does not bear one of the required warnings in accordance with section 4
                of the Federal Cigarette Labeling and Advertising Act and this part. A
                cigarette will be deemed to be misbranded under section 903(a)(7)(A) of
                the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act if its advertising does not
                bear one of the required warnings in accordance with section 4 of the
                Federal Cigarette Labeling and Advertising Act and this part.
                 (b) A cigarette advertisement and other descriptive printed matter
                issued or caused to be issued by the manufacturer, packer, or
                distributor will be deemed to include a brief statement of relevant
                warnings for the purposes of section 903(a)(8) of the Federal Food,
                Drug, and Cosmetic Act if it bears one of the required warnings in
                accordance with section 4 of the Federal Cigarette Labeling and
                Advertising Act and this part. A cigarette distributed or offered for
                sale in any State shall be deemed to be misbranded under section
                903(a)(8) of the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act unless the
                manufacturer, packer, or distributor includes in all advertisements and
                other descriptive printed matter issued or caused to be issued by the
                manufacturer, packer, or distributor with respect to the cigarette one
                of the required warnings in accordance with section 4 of the Federal
                Cigarette Labeling and Advertising Act and this part.
                 Dated: July 24, 2019.
                Norman E. Sharpless,
                Acting Commissioner of Food and Drugs.
                 Dated: August 9, 2019.
                Eric D. Hargan,
                Deputy Secretary, Department of Health and Human Services.
                [FR Doc. 2019-17481 Filed 8-15-19; 8:45 am]
                BILLING CODE 4164-01-P
                

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